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What are Trump’s realistic chances of getting re-elected at this point in time?

>inb4 100% cause I like Trump and democraps are stupid lol
>0% cause Trump’s a kike

Please be objective and use reason to back up your argument
>>
Depends who's nominated.
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>>219218307
80% Trump re election. All of the dogs running against him have obvious fleas that Trump will pick at, non stop, thus demoralizing their base, in addition to the split within the democrat party.
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>>219218307
I don't know nor do I care. I'm just in it for the violence
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>>219218425
Not any dem, they freaking raised their hands when asked if they would give illegals healthcare, they would probably run someone third party to take from drump's voting base probably
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>>219218307
100%, mossad will rig the election for him again.
>>
Very slim to none. Trump has been a terrible president to those for and against him. Trump has done nothing for his base and everything to piss off his opponents so his base of support is punished and his opponents are empowered.

Trump does not deserve a second term

>OP is a phoneposter
KYS nigger
>>
I'm not voting for him again.
I know I'm just one insignificant man, but I'm sure there are others like me.

He's done nothing that he said he would. Outside of fulfilling his promises to Israel and billionaire financier Sheldon Adelson, he's been an abject failure.

I don't care if his opponents are even worse. I'd rather burn this shithole to the fucking ground.
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>>219218307
He’ll be re-elected, but will continue the same neocon agenda as always.
>>
>>219218307
it depends on who the democratic nominee is
>biden
will win becuase he appeals to white people, blacks, white women, and the midwest/working class + OBAMA legacy
>sanders
same appeal to poor whites, will win midwest
>warren
similar to sanders, attracts poor/working class whites + liberals + minorities

Where trump will win:
>harris
Trump will win, she does not appeal to poor/working class people, will lose midwest, flordia, north carolina, nevada
>anybody else
they dont appeal to the midwest like trump can because of "working class" issues like trade, immigration, benefits to them etc
>>
It's the Democrats race to lose at this point

If its Bernie, Biden, or possibly Warren, he might lose
>>
50% either he's president or the democrat nominee is
>>
>>219218307
If Cali fails to block the DMV data on illegals getting out (since they marked a lot of them as citizens) quite high.
>>
SleepyCreepy Joe - out of touch, that is when he is not inappropriately touching.

Kamel Toe - not african american, Jusse Smollet connection, comes from slaveholding family.

Fauxcahontas - lied about native heritage to get job, missed her chance 10 years ago when she had momentum.

Breadline Bernie - overt commie, cucked to Shillery, not even a democrat.

Beto - Rachel Dolezal Mexican

Buttplug - fag, no appeal to blacks or mexicans

Tulsi - getting the Ron Paul treatment from dnc.
>>
I'm assuming all of these shitty threads end up in a report somewhere with a rotten tomatoes style score on them over time to measure the opinion of the "alt-right". There's no other possible point. I'm sure some Goldsteinbaum has patented this method of "up to the minute random sampling" and is making a billion dollars a year selling it to the FBI.
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I think the main reason he won last election was because many thought he was the greater of two evils, so if a better candidate on any side appears I can't see him getting reelected.
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>>219219246
*lesser
fuck i'm retarded
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>>219218307
Its 100% because there is nobody else. Why is this even a question?
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>>219218307
if he bans bitcoin he has my vote
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>>219218307
I feel like he had a good chance of winning again but I dont know if thats a good thing or not.
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>>219218307
He's a sitting president running for reelection in a booming economy, only a retard would think he isn't getting reelected.
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>>219218844
Based
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>>219218307
I'm probably speaking from a narrow point of view, but the reason I voted for him at least was because I was sick on them' SJWs and he sounded like the sword against them.

Sadly I realize he's kind of a cuck when it came to the wall and online freedoms so he's gonna lose some support there. But with the antifags running around and SJWs going full sicko mode I assume some republican candidate will win even if it isn't trump.
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>>219219011
Well they do rig every election, both sides and know the outcome well in advance.
https://www.bigeye.com/elections.htm
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>>219219357
Yep, he's 100% going to get reelected, but it's completely meaningless. He's not deporting illegals, no wall, and replacing Americans with more third worlders than ever before.

It doesn't matter whether he wins or loses 2020, the future of America is poor, brown, degenerate, communist, and faggotry.

The whole point of trying to get him to win 2020 was to have a chance at saving our country. He chose not to save our country, so it doesn't matter. Trump winning does nothing.
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>>219218307
100%

Why? Because the dems have fuck all to contest him with.
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>>219219810
Basically this

America is fucked anyways by 2024, I'll fucking die in a corner laughing when the GOP selects Nikki Haley as the nominee that run.
>>
Why does it matter? What the difference would it make?
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>>219219612

He continues to flood us with browns, Texas will be blue after 2030, and the antifags and openly pro-pedo SJWs are going to be running this country from then on. The left won't even have to pretend anymore.
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>>219218307
He did little to nothing to better the US.

All he does is brag all the time about how things are great and how it will be even better. He is selling the facade. He brags about the stock market, as if that matters for the average American, he makes tax cuts but it does little for the average income family...

He continues to sell weapons across the globe, calling it great deals and saying shit like "Lockheed is a great company".

He continues to enforce US insatiable appetite for policing the world and enforcing its whims with threats of military intervention. He continues to dictate what other countries should do and how they should serve the US interests.

The entire Russian collision shit is one big circus. There was nothing but that on the menu for his ENTIRE mandate. One big fucking distraction shit show, while things go on as they did under Obama, Bush, Clinton...

He pictures America as something great and wonderful, he is embellishing things non stop. The more something is trying to be made look good on the outside, the more rotten it is on the inside. The bigger the assurances of greatness and prosperity, the closer the actual collapse.
>>
>>219219810
>>
>>219218307
Seriously pretty good.
Incumbent presidents always have an advantage because tend to stick with what they know.
Trump really hasn't had any major gaffs and his biggest loss has been on the wall which wasn't very popular to begin with (his core base like it but that's it, moderates decide elections)
Otherwise his approval numbers are the highest they have ever been.
He has managed to avoid getting us entangled in further wars.
The economy is doing well.
Employment numbers are up.

His biggest advantage however is the Democrat party itself.
They are currently in a mode of pandering to the extremists on Twitter while alienating middle America.
The democrats are trying to pretend that the economy is in shambles and that the country is coming apart at the seams.
Simultaneously they are embracing hard socialism and radical identity politics.
These things are all repulsive to the centrists.
The old guard dems know that the party is in a race based death spiral but amytime they try to do anything about it they get labelled traitors by the new radical "justice" dems.
Meanwhiles minorities are showing record support for the GOP.

Honestly, Trump is a decent president.
He's not Lincoln, or Kennedy, but he hasnt fucked the country.
He is a very beatable president but the dems seem determined to lose.

My conclusion is that he will be reelected easily and will likely secure the popular vote as well this time
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>>219219044
Attacking Trump supporters doesnt make them stop supporting Trump, this is what the left doesnt understand.
In fact, it just makes them feel like they are being unfairly oppressed so they support Trump even more strongly out of defiance in spite of his obvious character flaws.
If the left had any intelligence they would have just fucked off after the last election and stonewalled and let his supporters naturally become disenfranchised.
Instead their rabid attacks for the last 3 years has kept the Trump base highly motivated and engaged
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>>219218307
99%
Biden is a chump compared to Trump. There's a chance Biden won't be the nominee and they'll nominate someone sane and competent instead. Trump still has a great advantage there too, but there's a chance for the DNC.
>>
>>219219978
projection
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>>219219096

Sanders and warren are gimmedat retards and the midwest hates them.
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>>219218307
IF dems lose its because their policies are UTTER DOG SHIT
Not because trumps base is happy

But i dont see his base being very motivated to vote this time.
Dems will likely win.
Country will be destroyed
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>>219219246
Exactly this, however the dems are too busy tripping over each other to be the most radical they have completely lost the middle.
Dems would have a better chance running a literal potatoe than any of their current candidates
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It depends entirely on if the recession hits by 2020
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>>219221315
It won't, trump's new fed chair is going to lower interest rates
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>>219220671
This
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>>219218844
those repeating numbers confirm
2020 is gonna be a blast
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>>219218307
>be trump
>arrogant and haughty
>effortlessly put down opponents on twitter
>easily reelected as only electable candidate
>still accomplish nothing
>>
He will. 100%
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>>219218307

0% because while GLUMPF! was passing pro israeli shit and obeying Kushner, the democraps flooded the country with hundreds of thousands of immigrants aka new democrat voters, changed the electoral college laws in 10+ states, mobilized and won key positions during the midterms, and gained 1 500 000 new voters in a single day in a vital swing state with the Florida felon voting law.
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>>219218307
if it's tulsi and trump, it's a tossup for me.
i don't think she'll be able to get anything done on the domestic front but I think she has a shot at working with the republicans on the foreign front.
which is fucking perfect. it would be at least fucking something to reduce the size of the government.
>>
>>219218307
I don't agree with him on 100% of everything, but he's the only sane choice.
I don't have to agree with him on 100% of policy issues to see that he's a lot better than anyone in the running to oppose him.
>>
For Trump:

>Republicans will always come out and vote Republican even if they don't like the nominee
>Incumbent with a good economy

Against Trump:
>Completely squandered two years of control of all branches of gov't, has no major legislative accomplishments to speak of
>Approval rating is consistently underwater (usually about -10)
>Midwest states that barely gave him electoral college win seem to be going back to being blue (other than Ohio)

It'll be a close one. If the Dems pick a good candidate that can appeal to the midwest then they should get it done. I think Biden is a bad choice, dude looks lost out there lately.

Doesn't really matter though, Democrats won't win the senate and Republicans won't win the House so it's all gonna be gridlock for whoever wins.

>>219222130
Tulsi is polling at about 1%, good luck with that.
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>>219222130
It's going to be Biden vs Trump, none of the other candidates have a chance.
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>>219219044
anon, the dems don't win the election by appealing to their far-left asshats. they need to appeal to the poor working class. the ones they call deplorables.
not the asshats living in silicon valley, desperately trying to capture rent for their useless marketing jobs, and build up their walled garden so they can drink onions latte's and consume consume consume as they write up their blog on how to bash the fash.
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>>219218307
Every time Biden opens his mouth the left finds some way to attack him. It's going to be Trump vs Biden and I say Trump takes it.
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>>21921830
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>>219219978
You fall for this shit everytime. You've been calling him a pedo all fucking week. All he has to do is boomer post about bitcoin while taking a shit, and you retards drop pedophilia accusations for "muh dobald no like bit coin. See! I think you like bitcoin so I bet that makes you real upset! Finally gotcha!" You've become a whole political movement based on an infant's primitive emotional feedback and response. That's why you have to keep the issue changing every three days now since your big one momma Hillary told you about is dead. The best part is, this tweet somehow proves the pedo claims in your mind, so you move on, because it's more proof orange man bad, even though it's a literal grandpa shit posting about meme coins. Let's face it, the outrage of pedo thing already wore off because it was so watered down and so disingenuous it didn't give you the usual high. Now you basically need a scandal per day to keep this up (it's going to be a tough year and a half). That's where trump's tweets come in for a quick fix. Keep reaching for those jingling keys, while thinking he's the retard. We're laughing at you everytime. And every day it takes a little bit of your energy, while we get rejuvenated with no effort spent.
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>>219222451
Best chances dems have is Sanders but we all know that's not happening kek
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>>219222347
I'd say the only three with a real chance are Kamala, Biden, and Warren.

Biden for obvious reasons.

Kamala seems like she has the most room to grow and I'm willing to bet she gets a big media push once Biden has a few more senile moments.

Warren is basically a palatable version of Bernie and has been getting a lot more popular lately.

Bernie has no more room to grow in support and every candidate is stealing the ideas that made him stand out. The gay dude seems cool but he has no shot, his run will be amazing for his future political career though.
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>>219222642
I'd argue Bernie is still the best shot since he can capture that same "revolutionary outsider" meme that Trump pushed. Biden is just Hillary 2.0 but slightly more likeable, and as long as people are still sick of establishment candidates these clowns won't win.
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>>219218307
A couple things are working in his favor.

Incumbents usually win reelection
Biden has a history of being a screwball. He was literally the reason why Obama didnt get JFKd in his first election year.
Harris and others are now more left than Sanders, this weakens support for the Dem platform as a whole since it isnt as palatable for most Americans
Trump has been scoring wins on trade and economic things.

89 percent
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>>219222822
No way in hell.
Not after the way he cucked to Clinton and the DNC last time.
Didn't he buy a vacation mcmansion or something?
>>
>>219222822
That's assuming people who voted Trump over Hillary for anti-establishment reasons are happy with the results of Trump's first term. I think it's reasonable that a decent chunk of those people might want a return to normalcy at this point - which I think is a big reason Biden is leading at the moment.
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>>219219096
Trump wins against both warren and bernie because their policies are batshit insane. They may be able to debate, but they aren't moderate enough.

The only candidate who stands a chance of winning is Biden, but I don't think he has the energy or the wokeness to get past the primaries
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>>219223019
Biden is leading because people know who he is. You have folks out there who think Sanders is the guy behind KFC.
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>>219223135
Bernie and Biden have practically the same amount of name recognition (both are in the high 90s). He's probably peaked in the polls unless Warren drops and he takes her voters.
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>>219223084
He seemed like a confused old man in the debates. Frustrated he couldn't remember his lines, at one point he just stopped talking in the middle of a sentence, and the moderators just brushed past it like he called his grandson the wrong name by mistake and didn't want to mention it and hurt his feelings.
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>>219223084
Biden would lose to Trump worse than Mondale lost to Reagan. At this point the nominee must be a wahmen and Harris has the most oppression points of the wahmen running so she gets it.
>>
>>219218307

Honestly? 55% now. 75% later.

These Democrats are going to have to backpedal like fucking crazy on so many statements. They are all on the record for amnesty for illegal immigrants. They all advocate for an effective open border policy. They are all on the record for believing in a certified conspiracy theory. Their combined policy platform boils down to "give indebted white liberals the things they need to live a life of luxury".

They're fucked.
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>>219218307
Not good. Hillary almost won and no one likes her. If the Dems were smart, they would push a boring centrist and wait for more spics to flood Texas. Dems won't lose after that.
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>>219221362
Imma get my wife a Yukon fuck yeah
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>>219218307
look up the election betting odds
those people are in it for the money so they won't fudge numbers one way or another.
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>>219218307
It all hinges on Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trump is not strong in these states, but the Democrats seem dead set on nominating abrasive cunt Kamala Harris who would also be a turn off there. If they went with Bernie, they would waste Trump easily because bernie is loved in those states, but the party insiders hate Bernie.
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>>219223587
imo, the DNC Is fucked this time around. They absolutely blew it with Hillary and now the Progs are halfway to revolt and are dragging the Corporate Dems to elect someone like Bernie or Warren kicking and screaming.

If the Dems cuck out and shiv Bernie, Trump wins
>>
>>219218307
>Trump "do you want open borders?"
>Democrats "No"
>Trump "why oppose the wall?"
>Democrats "well... walls don't work."
>Trump "if the wall doesn't work - why fight so hard to stop it."
>Democrats "...because to save money."
>Trump looks at the camera and laughs "democrats oppose the wall because they want to save money - if you believe that statement for even one second, go ahead and vote for her, please, do it."
>>
>>219223587

Party insiders hate Bernie because they legitimately believe the reason they lost to trump was because of Bernie Sanders and not their horrific campaign strategy of running up votes in cities while ignoring the swing States.
>>
>>219223444
>If the Dems were smart,
There's the rub. The Russian hackers narrative allowed Dems to externalize all of their issues and avoid self-reflection that would be necessary for them to change course. So they're just doubling down and pushing black/pajeet Hillary instead.
>>
>>219223786
Funny enough, the reverse is with the outsiders. If the Dems don't unify and screw the pooch like they tried with Hillary, Trump will mop the floor. If they do, then Trump better get some shit done in the swing states.
>>
>>219223863

I agree with your assessment. But these are the things that happen when you do not run a legitimate autopsy and instead push conspiracy theories into the Press to cover for the fact that your entire party was controlled by Hillary and she fucking blew it.
>>
>>219218307
I’m voting for hillary
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>>219218307
I would have to say less than before, as it seems that last time he won by the skin of his teeth because the Democrats had a shitty candidate and many libtards didn't vote because of this.

Now, a sizable portion of his base has turned against him and the democrats that didn't vote are probably going to swarm the ballots because they are frothing at the mouth against him.

Honestly, it wouldn't even matter if Trump or Bernie were president, as both are going to be controlled by the same masters.
>>
After bitcoin fuck up? Zero
>>
I would say 50/50 because I can't tell, at the moment.

1. He has failed his base. No significant progress on the border wall, He had his chance during the govt shutdown and he folded. That was bad.

2. Has bent over backwards to prove to the leftist subhumans he isn't racist , but there is no pleasing those things.

3. Democrats have embraced their inner bolsheviks though and are damaging their own bullshit.

4. If he actually tames big tech, I think he will win but chances are this stuff is a fart in the wind.
>>
>>219223944
Yeah it's obvious the Dems, especially the Corporates, did not expect to get humiliated by some fucking New Yorker Orange dude. I kind of think that's why they pushed the Russia Hoax so immediate and brazenly without understanding how dumb and idiotic the consequences will be. They freaked out and in turn, pissed off the Progs for their ineptness, radicalized the Dems, and forced the Progs into near open revolt who are now on their way couping the DNC by next decade.

The only thing that's going for them is if Trump can be more incompetent than them. imo, I'm feeling they will learn their lesson, and if not, well enjoy your 4 years with Trump
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>>219218307
Fuck off
>>
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>All of these delusional Trump cultists not understanding how razor thin his margin of victory was against shillary
>tfw he has to win by the skin of his teeth again but has done literally nothing to bring moderates to his side while failing to appease his own voter base
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>>219224154
came here to post this, he's done
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>>219222642
Gorilla Harris is Trump's easiest matchup. A lot of white Democrats won't vote for her because she's a dumb nigger.
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>>219218957
the sad thing is this doesn't harm them, they have the cuck white vote locked up, and they're just trying to increase voter turnout among spics
>>
>>219218307
over 9000
>>
>>219218307
Re-elected 0%, but I’m strongly under the impression that we’re taking to the streets and slaughtering since we’re not going to allow ourselves to be under the rule of a bunch of Spics. Also I’m under the impression that we’re supposed to slaughter in order to keep Daddy as our President. Am I incorrect here?
>>
>>219219096
>Warren defeats Trump
Have you ever heard that cunt's voice? If you haven't, look up a video of her while she's making an "impassioned" speech. She makes Hillary sound like an angel, and when she gets national TV exposure after nomination she'll lose 45-55.
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>>219218307
bretty good
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>>219218307
realistically, 48%

If you take into account the list of people that hate him that is absolutely staggering:
>all democrats
>90% of republicans in office
>all media, including fox news
>all elites, democrat and republican
>american jews
>black people
>women, including Ann Coulter

You have to be impressed it is this close.
>>
>>219224262
Black voters won't be big on her either due to being a crypto-nigger and a former prosecutor who locked up plenty of black people.
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>>219218307
If the crash happens before the election, which is unlikely
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>>219224438
all of those people hated him in 2016 and he still won tho
>>
>>219224438
I'm amazed at the state of the Democrats. All they have to do is find one candidate who isn't a fake piece of shit and quit cheerleading illegals. Trump wouldn't have a chance. Instead we got a dozen fucking failures shouting to be heard over each other and they're all shedding crocodile tears about how bad non-citizens have it while actual citizens live like shit.
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>>219224322
Is this for your own amusement that you post this? If you're actually getting paid to do this to fight "terrorism", we're in worse shape than I thought.
>>
About 70% because Americans outside of New York and California are fucking retards.
>>
>>219224242
the funniest part is the justification of sacrificing the core policies so he can theoretically gain moderate support. stupid dumbass thinks america is still like the 70s and that homogenous discourse is still possible.
>>
>>219218307
56%
>>
>>219218307
Shills are starting with the demoralization threads already

Never vote democrat, dont let them convince you Republicans have no chance. They played this game already and we know the real outcome. They wouldn't fight this hard if they weren't scared.
>>
>>219224573
Well, Ann liked him back then.

But yes, he has a real chance of winning again even after 4 years of 24/7 anti Trump campaigning.
>All comedy shows are doing nothing but bash trump
>All media channels are doing nothing but bash trump
>Social media is banning all trump supporters (youtube, twitter, google search, wikipedia etc)
>walking on the street with any trump related apparel will get you mugged
>If anybody finds out you are a trump supporter you will get ostracized and called a racist.
>if you are white you will get ostracized and called a racist just in case you may be a trump supporter.
>>
>>219222130
I can’t imagine getting to a state in my life wherein I would actually support a woman for president. Maybe if I develop schizophrenia in my mid-20’s, which is fairly common I hear. At that point it’d probably be better to just die rather than pollute society with bullshit like this. Like honestly, just think how much of a troglodyte you’d have to be to even consider voting for a female.
>>
>>219224593
First democratic debate:
>Raise your hand if you want healthcare for all to include illegal immigrants.
They all do.
>Raise your hand if you want open borders.
They all do.

I am not sure what is worse, that they don't realize that this is a problem or that they think their voters wont.
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>>219224710
That's because the justification is always ad hoc with Trump's dementia-fueled bullshit coaster
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>>219218307
I say 75% for trump. He just needs to keep hitting them when their down like the Democratic debates. I used to think Biden was too liberal and lies to much to win the general election. Remember that obamas ticket was balanced out by Biden as Obama was playing to the center. He said some pretty stupid shit at the VP debates in 2008/12 as well as rallies but the media was focusing on Palin and that Romney/ryan was "going to put ya'll back in chains.. " The media tells us that trump will lose badly but they predicted that last time.
>>
Very low , he won in 2016 because he didnt manage to fullfill most of his promises , the wall started to go up just recently , not to forget his stance for israel , /pol/ wont be shitposting as hard as it did 2016 because half of it got let down .
>>
>>219222547
0/10
>>
>>219221056
too much hurt for you?
>>
>>219219044
>Very slim to none. Trump has been a terrible president to those for and against him. Trump has done nothing for his base and everything to piss off his opponents so his base of support is punished and his opponents are empowered.

people still voted Reagan into a second term despite his widespread unpopularity.

>>219219050
>He's done nothing that he said he would. Outside of fulfilling his promises to Israel and billionaire financier Sheldon Adelson, he's been an abject failure.

He also got Paul Ryan's tax cuts for the 1% passed.
>>
99% sure it will be another Republican. Hopefully a better candidate.
>>
>>219229233
Explain
>>
>>219218307
The only thing he's good at is destroying rival candidates
I can see him being re-elected but it'll be another 4 years of fucking nothing



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