The biggest problem I have with this AI bubble is that despite all the signs being there, it doesn’t feel like a usual bubble. A significant percentage of people, atleast in the West, are still highly skeptical or oppositional to AI and almost everyone says it’s a bubble either way that is about to burst.so it doesn’t have the stupid mania like eg. crypto cycles or the Dot-Com bubble, but I was only a child at that time so maybe the sentiment was the same.
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>>61442758>i heard someone say its a bubble and that sounds easier to understand than what the scientists keep talking about
Wait until the "durr it wasnt a bubble" narrative emerges. Cattlegroids will buy. Then, dump everything.
>>61442758>every single person I've talked to says it's a bubble>they all have absolutely no skin the game, and no relevant knowledge in the field>i have bothI'm honestly not sure what to think of it either. Were the poor and tech illiterate the ones who were early calling out the dotcom bubble? It kind of makes sense, a divorced perspective. But it also doesn't, they'd have no clue what they were talking about.
>>61442789* "Sure thing," save this post and keep it close!
>>61442758The difference is this time it will not be allowed to burst because nobody believes that economies can recover after it does. So it will not pop for a very long time, and it will become very silly indeed before that. I say 20 years from now people will be wondering how the fuck AI bubble is still around.
>>61442778I’ve been monitoring it closely. LLMs have long passed a point of diminishing returns, and the latest video and image generators are still almost exclusively used just to make memes.All this while AI companies struggle to find ways to monetize their services and to this date, not a single major AI company is in profit.
>>61442758I just don't know where they will get the money from. Like OpenAI has to grow like 10-50x in the next years and people arn't just willing to pay for just a better way to search for stuff. People are already struggling to pay for stuff so I feel like paying an AI chatbot is not really among most people priorities, especially since the free stuff from Google often works fine. Even for companies there is use for AI but enough to warrant the exponential growth.
>>61442821You could be right. It’s the same with real estate. Virtually every unit that was affordable on a single salary 40 years ago are now either out of reach or requires a 30+ year mortgage with 2 middleclass salaries.I feel like they prop up this bubble by creating an artificial shortage by jacking up material prices and adding more regulations, while houses overall remain of the same quality.Because a crash in the housing market is going to be catastrophic for all the boomers and real estate jews.
>>61442836My idea is a Deepseek moment where advanced LLMs retain their versatility but the hardware requirements drop and we could reach a point where an LLM could operate inside a phone. However, disappointingly enough, this direction quickly got memoryholed and AI companies are instead aiming at higher complexity and more hardware to power their already plateauing models and giving out bread and circus in the form of improved video/image generation which I see no real productive use cases of besides stock footage for smaller creators. And even there, the stock footage market is already very competitive and affordable in this regard.
Nothing ever happens.The "bubble" will be a 20% (30% if unlucky) correction that will get bought up quickly over the span of weeks/months not a decade.
Dotcom bubble was a pure bubble. AI is a space race/moonshot requiring lots of government investment and support. There is also the risk that a company could make a breakthrough that makes all previous attempts obsolete, hence the all-in nature. Imagine the space race and it was becoming clear that we might not be able to make a lunar lander that can also take back off from the moon once landing, but its still possible we might.
>>61442778>scientistsscientists are beheld to hypothesis testing and the scientific process. business jews and their codetranny pets aren't. they just lie about the capabilities of their products.
>>61443233LLMs are not AI and they never will be. It could be a space race/moonshot scenario but that would require a very large change of course and a lot of creativity applied to something other than getting funding.
>>61443263no you don't understand, just 2 more weeks and another $2 trillion of GPUs and the probability weighted sentence constructor trained on reddit posts and indian quora/stackoverflow posts will spontaneously transform into a sentient hyper intelligence.
