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Don’t bet soccer edition

Post winners and reasons why they’re winners
>>
struff going on the blacklist. can't trust him.
>>
Show us your winning bets OP
>>
>Bet on Milan and Sporting
>Also bet on Neverkusen
just fucking kill me
>>
>>145520448
took BTTS/O2.5 in liv/lever, and madrid win/O1.5. bad misses that wrecked the day.
>>
>>145520448
It's always the 3rd leg that fucks me. I'm only making 2 legs accas going forward.
>>
LOSC-chad we got robbed
>>
>>145520448
Don’t parlay.
Never parlay.
>>
>>145520598
You always say what NOT to bet on but never WHAT to bet on
>>
Did someone from here ever tried buying a fixed match tip?
>>
>>145520634
I post 10-20 picks in every /bet/ thread and euros never stop complaining even when I win most
>>
>>145520709
You always say this but never actually post the tips
>>
Hey guys, American here, I told you to bet on Gyökeres and Díaz getting a hattrick (no I don't have proof of this).
>>
>>145520649
Sounds like a good way to get arrested
>>
>>145520845
How its that illegal?
>>
>>145520814
>>145520842
I posted the Ravens blowout escalator last thread, which went 5-0 with four plus money winners
>>
>>145520883
Match fixing is illegal. Trying to buy tips or place wagers on a fixed match is illegal. You will get arrested
>>
>>145520905
Only in freedom state in my country there its no such a thing
>>
there was a guy last year i think? said he had a fixed tip on some 0-0 match between shitters in south america. argentina, i think. and it ended up 0-0, but no idea if it was actually fixed or he just took an educated guess on a south american slurper.
>>
>>145521075
Im surprised /bet/ didnt tried this yet
I only remember the canadian who posted an indian match but his next few matches was all wrong he probably took a lucky guess
>>
>>145521075
>>145521215
back in /bet/'s "golden years" people would post tips for obscure matches, usually in eastern Europe, that would hit.
>>
>>145520353
He was pretty shaky against Shevchenko already but managed to win somehow. Wonder how long it will take him to find some form again. Not like he has been injured for that long.


>>145505803
Pretty rough day. Semenistaja got the 2-0 win against Wurth in two tiebreaks, the rest failed. Joint put up a fight but it wasn't enough those atrocious first serves. Still think bookies are overrating Korneeva a bit. She definitely lacks experience and struggles a bit at closing out matches. Not sure what I saw in the Cilic odds in retrospect. He has been completely underwhelming since the Hangzhou title but I thought he might have had a shot against a Lehecka who has also been fairly underwhelming. Might have to start fading Cilic because it's starting to look like he's satisfied with that one quick title out of nowhere since his return.


Only going for 2 things tomorrow:

Semenistaja to beat Udvardy @1.85

Tsurenko to win the first set against Teichmann @1.7

Would like to take Marozsan to beat Lajovic but trying to stay away a bit from current ATP matches.
>>
what are you guys betting on for tomorrow's matches
>>
>>145521075
I miss Guatemalan basketball anon. He posted quite a few major underdogs who won outright because of bad lines
>>
>>145521429
NCAA BB
Wagner +20.5 vs Rutgers
Villanova -17 vs Columbia
Coppin State vs High Point OVER 143.5
>>
NCAAB CARK @ BYU Over 153.5 Total -110 @ FanDuel 1.1u
>>
I lost £5 today but I am still happy because Man City got battered :)
>>
Bet on Haaland to score and of course the bloke misses a penalty. I usually skimp on such mug bets but that pretty much sums it up for me.
>>
Hey

Don’t bet soccer

Don’t
>>
>>145521776
I'm on C. Arkansas +33.5
>>
any election bets?
>>
>>145523738
If you want to buy low on Kamala, now is the time. If she wins NC or PA the odds are going to flip
>>
>>145523803
i was looking at what states she'd need on 270toWin and was thinking a bet on her taking between 270-299 electoral votes might be even better odds
>>
this is why you don't bet weekday college football.

ball state is one of the absolute worst teams in the entire country. miami is one of the better teams in the conference. and miami is getting handled and is lucky to barely have a lead.
>>
I've got a guaranteed win coming up but the odds are only 1.25.

If you're happy with a 25% ROI, hit me up.
>>
>>145524439
DM'ed you. :)
>>
>>145524446
Manchester United vs. PAOK Salonika

Manchester United to WIN - @1.25

Why they will win and do it easily. They team has stabilised since Van Nistelrooy has taken over as interim. The incoming manager, Amorim, has just battered Manchester City in the Champions League. Now the United players will be playing out of their skin to impress the new manager and not get quick sold in the summer.

Easy money. If you bet 1K you will get 1.25K in return.
>>
>>145523825
Shenanigans are definitely afoot in PA. It's like when the better team randomly gets a red card
>>
>>145524480
I don't trust it and I shan't be betting on that game.
>>
>>145524520
Don't trust the game. Trust me.

I always get United games right. See pic attached.
>>
>>145524480
this is the same united that drew against fenerbahce, right?
>>
>>145524536
That's before they sacked Ten Hag and I also predicted a draw for that game.
>>
im 2 yards rushing away from hitting a $20 +3300 and they wont give this dude the fucking ball
>>
lost $150 on these shit cfb games
>>
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>>145524544
yeet
>>
Don't bet on teen sports
>>
>>145524554
parlays or straights?
>>
>>145524554
BG sold that game for me
they couldnt go a thing right in the redzone like 8 times

need 3 points in the ball state game but isnt looking good either
weekday games have been so bad to me
>>
>>145524601
ca$h
>>
>>145524687
straights
>>145524694
it's my fault. i should have cashed out. i know you are giving up equity, but i should have done it. sometimes it is obvious the side you bet on just doesn't have it and it isn't going to hold up.
>>
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did you guys take the easiest odds and bet ever? I should have put more but I waste a lot on faggot ass player parlays.
>>
>>145524710
had a cbb bet that i knew i should have cashed out of but couldnt do
would have lost like $15 from $200 bet and it went to shit

weekday cfb games have been brutal
>>
i'm down 800 bucks the last week and half. all of my profit has been wiped out.
>>
>>145524715
None of these will hit
>>
>>145524822
damn dude you coping that hard? It was never going to be close, but you thought it was because you're programmed like a bot, by twitter and cnn.

Sports betting is no different. If you watch ESPN for anything other than the ACTUAL game, you're an idiot.
>>
>>145524828
We'll see lol
>>
>>145524856
yea you're right. They are magically taking too long to call all the most important places kek. Jew rat has all the scripts. Who wins the NCAA championship at least?
>>
>>145524897
Yes rare but also rare to have a random woman no one really nominated. Its kinda insulting to not get to choose your nominee. Its already known as a puppet show and then that happens to make it worse. They probably coulda chose anyone else and won.
>>
>>145524934
yes but he was at least voted on and has been fighting for the spot for a long time now.

They are all tiny hat club puppets. I just felt the passion was one sided on this one.
>>
Kamala is 10/1 on Bet365
>>
>>145525067
cheeky punt
>>
>>145525112
I put £2 on it for the off chance
>>
>>145525132
It's a live possibility, usually the winner should have been decided by now but as it so happens some of the key swing states just so happen to be using the 2020 system of vote tabulation. What a coincidence!
>>
tolded you so, but I guess i wont get anything above 5% sadge. But still profit
>>
>>145525540
Im moving mine into crypto. Im hoping things keep juicing, but we might get a pullback after BTC just starting going parabolic.
>>
>>145525540
Just buy oil stocks
>>
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just put her out of her misery
>>
Keep an eye on the odds for Keyshawn Davis vs Gustavo Lemos this weekend. Gustavo is a massive underdog in that fight despite being extremely game. His only loss came against Richardson Hitchins (world level opponent) in a fight he arguably deserved to win. He's young and his style looks like the type that Keyshawn could struggle with (smaller swarmer vs counterpuncher).
>>
Inter Milan Tie No Bet -115 DK 1.15U
PSG 1H ML -110 DK 1.1U
Stuttgart/Atalanta O2.5 -144 FD 1.44U
>>
What do I bet on today lads?
>>
Thoughts on Benfica or draw against Bayern?
>>
>>145528426
Maybe
>>
>>145528273
Cavaliers -7.5 .... 9-0 BABY!!!
>>
Any parlays anons?
>>
>>145528814
Nope. Don’t parlay. Single bets only.
>>
Lost £2 on Villa
>>
>>145527916
its over
>>
>>145528426
Posting here brings bad juju like other anons have said. I won big yesterday and lost all bets today.
>>
I like WSH Capitals ML tonight @ -122.

thinking about the over in EDM/VGK but not sure i will pull the trigger. mcdavid is apparently back in the lineup tonight.
>>
>>145531179
i notice that i win more on bets i never share here.
>>
NBA guys, charlotte +2. what do you think?
>>
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>>145531348
>>
NCAAB Notre Dame Fighting Irish -26.5 Point Spread -110 @ BetMGM 1.1u

NCAAB Western Illinois Leathernecks +5.5 Point Spread -110 @ BetMGM 1.1u

Analysis: Extra greasy
>>
Ravens -6.5 at 1.98 seems good.

I'm afraid this will be another thursday game where both teams spill spaghetti though.
>>
>>145521686
>3 points CLV on Wagner
>lose
every. fucking. time.
>>
>>145532062
way she goes
>>
columbia looks like they came to play
>>
>>145521424
Tsurenko won 2-0. Reason I went with the first set win instead of the ML is that Tsurenko has a tendency to run out of energy pretty quickly throughout a longer match but it was a 2-0 anyway so both would have worked. Semenistaja won lost 2-1 after winning the first set. Underwhelming, just kind of fell apart after the first set. By the way, Marozsan of course destroyed Lajovic. Lajovic didn't get a single break point the whole match. Not sure what bookies see in Lajovic with these kind of odds he's getting lately. Shouldn't have psyched myself out of it.


Picks for tomorrow:

Medjedovic to beat Cerundolo @2.2

Over 2.5 sets in Swiatek - Kasatkina @3.1
>>
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There’s a trap game in here isn’t there?
>>
>>145533021
Ranked in likelihood to ruin your parlay
>lions
>eagles
>bills
>chargers
>chiefs
>falcons
>>
>>145521686
Rough start to the CBB season. Pick a -17 favorite and they lose by 10. At least the over hit
>>
>>145524601
Very nice congrats anon
>>
>>145533021
Don’t ever do a big favorite NFL parlay like this. At least 2 of these will lose
>>
Draftkings forced me to update the app on my android phone today. Now I can't log in. Just getting the server error in picrel. Anyone else having this issue?
>>
>>145533021
the saints falcons game is a bit of a wild card, both teams have terrible defenses. the falcons have the least amount of sacks in the league, and have almost a 50% 3rd down conversion rate against them. they basically have no pass rushing of any kind. you are just hoping cousins can outscore the saints offense because they have one of the worst defenses in the league.
>>
>>145533021
The chiefs will find a way to lose to Denver
>>
where does bet365 get their streams from? for some games it literally shows the tv broadcast, but its somehow like 30 seconds ahead of a live tv broadcast. i know tv has some built in delay in case some guy dies or some shit they can still cut away from it, but how is the bet365 steam ahead of the live tv stream?
>>
>>145533963
I believe betting sites pay for a true live stream so they can offer live betting without getting destroyed by people in the stadium betting ahead of the feed
>>
>>145533800
No I updated it but I had the thumbprint unlock.
>>
>>145533800
reckon all """app devs""" who make error messages as vague as this should either unironically kill themselves or stop invading straight white man territory and pretending like they know something when all they are is dumb faggots
>>
>>145534456
>white man territory
>sports betting
Lol. I called customer service at least three times and every time it was a black guy. He was nice though. Gave me a full $100 refund
>>
>>145533497
Usually I don’t, but I don’t see any underdogs who look good to me this week. I’ll probably end up narrowing it down by a team or two.
>>145533826
That was my line of thinking with it, I think they should be able to do that.
>>145533838
This is the game I’m most afraid of honestly. Just seems a little fishy
>>
Ajax for the win @1.36
>>
bergs literally just giving up in the 3rd set
>>
Galatasaray O3.5 -105 DK 1.05U
Nice ML -135 DK 1.35U
Ajax 1H -135 DK 1.35U
>>
Legia Warsaw @1.44 with everything you got
>>
>No Rodri
>No KDB

Are you so happy about beating Man City(who lost 90% of their fullpower)?
>>
I'm really bad at betting so letting you all know my acca so you can avoid it

Man United - WIN
Ajax - WIN
Frankfurt - WIN/DRAW

@2.0
>>
>>145535744
>>145536123
ajax is playing tel aviv
bit anti semetic that everyone is betting versus them
>>
have a look at FC Astana. Their odds tanked to 16.00 and them scoring a goal sit @2.4. and It's not like they are playing against Chelsea or anything, it's against a team from Cyprus
>>
>>145536133
>>145536167
no but Netanyahu May
>>
Braga 0.0 @1.7

Small...
>>
Boråsbros...
>>
I needed to recover and decided to bet win/ draw for frankfurt and bodo glimt and still lose against the bottom of the table.
FUCK THAT TEAM OF CHOKERS
>>
dynamo got a red, ferencvaros to win 1.57
>>
Saturday 09 November
Flemington
Race 8
Number 10, Via Sistina

reason: it's the best horse in the world
>>
Opinions on the Pajeet Telegram Betting Mafia and the Russian Syndicate of Sport Exchange?
>>
>>145535744
2-1 I'll take it
>>
/bet/nogs are all typical brown customers
>>
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>>145538145
This is a safe place for you, my fellow POC.
>>
Romanians are so fucking retarded, im not surprised they see themselves like african level of brown
>>
going ravens -5.5 at 1.78

hopefully they don't drop their spaghetti again
>>
>>145538145
whiter than you ackmal
>>
>>145536123
Wait. I actually won.

LET'S GOOOOOO
>>
>>145538865
Frankfurt slurp was a good calll
>>
what do we think about diontae johnson receiving yards prop? +120 for 25, +330 for 40. O/U set at 20.5 for -105.

he didn't get any targets last week, though, which is why his number is low.
>>
NCAAB Florida Gators -23.5 Point Spread -120 @ FanDuel 1.2u

NCAAB North Florida Ospreys -7.5 Point Spread -115 @ BetMGM 1.15u
>>
>>145538916

Over 20.5 is the hill that I plan to die on tonight. Hopefully no Bateman legacy game tonight.
>>
>>145532834
Medjedovic with a dominant 2-0 so that perfectly. Over 2.5 sets in Swiatek - Kasatkina has to be one of my worst bets of the year. Kasatkina won one single game the whole match. Really not sure in retrospect why I thought Kasatkina would actually win a set here just because Swiatek kind of struggled in the first matches. Was hopeful Kasatkina could sneak in a set for once instead of just losing 2-0 again like alwas but that was obviously a complete misprediction. Still made a slight profit for the day thanks to Medjedovic but should have known better.

In restrospect I'm really mad I didn't go for the underdog wins in the Sabalenka and Gauff matches since they were both confirmed to go through regardless of outcome so it was likely for them to save some energy. Especially the Rybakina odds were absurd. No way Rybakina should ever be this much of an underdog against anybody regardless of circumstances. Should have just taken it out of principle. Such easy Rybakina and Krejcikova bets for big plus odds I missed out on, terrible.


Picks for tomorrow:

Lehecka to beat Shapovalov @2.2

Sabalenka to win 2-0 against Gauff @2.15

Sharma to beat Parks @2.6
>>
>>145524715
im still waiting to get paid out zzzzzz I hate this country. It takes us a month to count little circles
>>
>>145539075
Ole miss has been on fire. I like them separating themselves from UGA.
>>
>>145539081
getting a bad feeling they won't throw to him again
>>
>>145540591

>Diontae nowhere to be found
>Burrow 0 TD passes
>Chase Brown more yards than Henry
>Lamar doing fuck-all passing yards-wise
>Both TD scorers are players nowhere on any of my betslips
>Game has now turned into a defensive struggle

It was a quick death for me
>>
>>145540795
prime time unders claims another victim
>>
i'd probably take the under on johnson every game for the rest of the season. falling down on that route sealed it for him.
>>
>>145541995
Don't bet on handegg
>>
>>145542597
more like don't bet on any prop that doesn't involve a front line star player. there are no "hidden gems".
>>
>>145542720
Bet on OJ Simpson my dad said he is good.
>>
I'm the only one who posted a winning bet ITT today :)
>>
>>145538801
Well I was right and they did drop spaghetti. Thankfully my ML bet made up for the losses.
>>
>>145540795
>>145540816
kek
>>
NCAAF Wake Forest Demon Deacons +7.5 Point Spread -110 @ DraftKings 1.1u
>>
Any soccer tips anons?
>>
My state finally legalized sports betting
redpill me on /bet/
>>
>>145545579
look into +ev betting and make money
>>
I bet the Alabama money line against LSU. How fucked am I?
>>
>>145545916
hard to say
LSU night game
milroe is gonna ball or fuck you
>>
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>>145545916
>>145545921
after looking at the FBS rankings and power rankings bama is better pretty much everywhere
night game in baton rouge is def moving the ml/spread
>>
Why do these strange Americans know so much about American kids playing football? Very strange that. That's like me knowing a lot about the Wolverhampton Wanderers U18s.

Just weird.
>>
Day 2 of being the only anon to post a winning bet :)
>>
>>145546852
ive posted 3 soccer bets 3 days in a row
2-0-1
1-2
2-1

im 6-2 on cbb posted here
>>
Heads up lads, I just bet on Watford to win so they're going to lose.

Avoid this bet. Thank me later.
>>
NCAAF Miami Hurricanes -10.5 Point Spread -110 @ DraftKings 1u
>>
>>145547279
>>
NAC Breda - PSV @1.30
Slavia Praga @1.20 - Karvina
Braga - Sporting @1.57
River Plate @1.26 - Barracas Central
>>
>>145547884
Sporting is just a flex.
PSV Slavia River free money treblinho
>>
>>145539597
All 3 bets failed miserably. Shapovalov completely destroyed Lehecka, Parks beat Sharma about as badly and Sabalenka decided to choke the first set away after getting broken at 6-5 and then lost the whole match 2-0. Terrible picks. Have some stuff I'm heavily eyeing for tomorrow but it's probably better to take a short break now with how things have been going.
>>
LAFC v Vancouver Whitecaps FC

LAFC @ 1.66

i would go all in on this. the whitecaps really struggle to beat lafc and they have never beat them twice in a row. the whitecaps have also lost 3 games in a row on the road while lafc has won 4 games in a row at home.
>>
NCAAB East Tennessee State Buccaneers () -11.5 Point Spread -115 @ FanDuel 1.15u

NCAAB St. Thomas (MN) Tommies () -2.5 Point Spread -115 @ BetMGM 1.15u

NCAAB ARKST @ ALA Over 169.5 Total -115 @ FanDuel 1.15u
>>
>>145548367
>Shapovalov completely destroyed Lehecka,
yeah i didn't touch this one, but waffled on betting on shapovalov [even after he made me look dumb for taking o'connell, who he also destroyed]. took a tiebreak in michelsen-bonzi match and of course michelsen choked the 12th game away in the third set after breaking bonzi twice [after getting broken himself] just to get it there.
>>
>>145548776
Insane how much Bonzi has been winning lately. Always used to mentally put him in that "underwhelming shitter" category. Every time I think his win streak has to end and he keeps winning. Rough beat on the no tiebreak with Michelsen. Obviously the right bet even though it didn't work. Michelsen with some weird performances lately. I am still skeptical of Bonzi but kind of hard to argue with his results lately.
>>
Mbappe to score
>>
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>>145548757
last chance to win money on his team
>>
Leverkusen
Bayern
City . Haaland
Sporting. Gyokeres
PSV @1.3
Johor DT @1.08 4+ 5+
Galatasaray : Osimhen / Icardi
Sparta Praga 1.80 just dropping some value
Fenerbahce @1.22 - Sivasspor
maybe late live? Mou won't drop points
Panathinaikos @1.30 - Lamia
They're DUE some wins at home stadium and they have a stacked team for greek league. 95% WIN. 3-0 4-0
Beerschot - Club Brugge
Brings back good memories. You can take brugge to score live, or any time the second goal. Will end the first half 17 chances to score, 4 shots on target, 9 off target, 0-1. and you can take another one
Sporting is MUCH better and in form now than Braga. Even after amorim left. Gyokeres is still there. And that whole talented team.

Slavia is another LOCK.
Colo Colo

River Plate
>>
>>145549181
I don't like any of these dude
>>
>>145549275
What's wrong?
>>
can California cover?
>>
>>145549602
bet wake +7.5
think they are both middling teams and cal is busted up with injuries
iowa -6 as well
>>
UFC Saturday 11/9

Another trash card. Let’s gamble on it

>Magny +550 vs Prates
Small bet. In all likelihood Prates puts him away with strikes. I’ll take a flier on the experienced boring clinchfighter who can stall and win rounds on control time. Prates is not a strong wrestler or grappler. Also taking over 2.5 +160.

>Gore -180 vs Trocoli
Trocoli looked as bad as you can look against Shara, stood there and got punched for 10 minutes. Gore should be able to find his chin

>Blackshear vs Stamann under 2.5 +280
Betting purely on price. Stamann is a decision machine, while 3 of Blackshear’s last 4 have ended inside distance. Nearly 4-1 on a finish is a decent bet in the smaller apex cage

>Semelsberger +3.5 -160 vs Radtke
Semi just needs to win one round and not get heemed. He always starts fast, strongly believe he wins the first round and wins or loses 29-28 to cover

>GM3 +250 vs de Ridder
They’re fairly similar fighters with strong grappling. de Ridder has been beating up on 4th tier ONE fighters while GM3 has fought some of the worlds best for years. Sometimes when two BJJ guys fight it ends up being a shitty kickboxing match, which would favor GM3.
>>
>wake forest already down 9
welp
>>
>>145550250
weekday cfb i have missed every single game it feels like. i sweat it off every week too
>>
>>145550704
wake forest can't stop anything. terrible bet.
>>
>>145547668
Sorry bro, I'm usually wrong. I hope you didn't lose a lot.
>>
>>145547904
Sporting is a guaranteed win imo. Amorim's last game and the team already showed against City that they'll go all out for him..
>>
anyone betting on the horse racing in Aus today? I'll put some tips in this thread instead of making a horse racing general.
>>
Flemington R4 - I like the favourite #9 Nadal, easy win last time out and should do even better at a lower weight. #7 Red Hot Nicc EW is the value bet
>>
>>145551695
fkn hell
>>
wake forest is god awful
>>
ok lets do better

Rosehill R5 - #3 Naval Commission, and #5 Morryl Moral EW
>>
>>145551833
garbage
>>
Flemington R5 - #6 Quickster. Please win
>>
>>145551790
Nah they about to beat the spread
>>
Rosehill R6 - not betting on this. $1m group 3 race where the horses are either debuting or racing their 2nd race. I need a coffee and cigarette
>>
>>145550977
>terrible bet
>wins
>>
>>145552133
Jk lol
>>
>>145552219
nevermind
terrible bet
pick with 2 minutes left and then td
>>
Flemington R6 - #5 Bella Nipotina and #12 Bellatrix Star EW. I really need this
>>
>>145552415
baka
>>
>>145552456
embarrassing
>>
The absolute worst feeling when you have to top up your account because youre a shit cunt. Fkn hell
>>
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>>145537775
best horse in the world
>>
got the quaddie at flem
>>
time to put in a college ticket and pass out stoned.
>>
>>145553672
indiana/texas/miami someones gonna choke.
>>
>>145553041
the odds were $1.50 mate. doesn't count. but yes, that horse is on fire rn
>>
>>145550043
Thoughts on Gilly sub? r2 or 3?
>>
Palmeiras was a good sign
Today is all favourites
Real win / mbappe scores
Dinamo Zagreb scores live
Leverkusen
Dortmund
Bayern
>>
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All favourites
Slovan
Levski
U-BT
Craiova
Hajduk
>>
Milan
City
Leipzig
AEK
PSV
Rapid
>>
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Juve
Liverpool
PSG
Sevilla
Libertad
>>
Tomorrow this absolute TANK of a treble
>Sporting
>Slavia Praga
>River Plate
>>
Got wasted last night and angrily self excluded for a year (law here where you can ban yourself from gambling sites) because they wouldn't give me a bonus bet lel. Maybe the best drunk thing I've ever done
>>
EPL: Wolverhampton -115 DK 1.15U
Bundesliga: Bochum/Leverkusen O3.5 -116 FD 1.16U
>>
NCAAF VIR @ PITT Over 57.0 Total -110
NCAAF Cincinnati Bearcats -4.0 Point Spread -120
NCAAF Arkansas State Red Wolves +14.5 Point Spread -110
>>
>bet on dortmund
>red card
always.
>>
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cbb plays from evanmiya
>>
NCAAB High Point Panthers -21.5 Point Spread -115 @ FanDuel 1.15u

NCAAB UTEP Miners +2.0 Point Spread -110 @ DraftKings 1.1u
>>
>Craiova, City, PSV @3.38
Good night
>>
PSG looks good @1.31
>>
Hajduk Split @1.30
Livaja to score here
>>
>>145556284
I mean take only the ml.
But i do believe craiova scores 2+ goals. 3 maybe 4. With mitrita in 2nd half. Bancu will be key going up on the left. Baiaram good u21, Paradela, Koljic. 2+ @1.58, 3+ @2.75
3+ 500 bucks make it 1.250
1000 on 2+ for cover

Total possible winnings 1.200+
Risking 1.500
>>
>>145556529
Basically we need 3 craiova goals
2 to get the money back

And prepare 3 more rebacks for 1000 on over 0.5 (if it doesn't come early)
>>
Levski Sofia 1-2 ht
v Septemvri Sofia
Levski over 1.5 @1.2 - 1000
Levski over 2.5 @2.00 - 200
>>
>>145556563
>>145556529
HAHAHA
Like clockwork
>>
Craiova over 1.5 @1.47
_|_
A big fuck you to all the bookies who banned me permanently
>>
>PSV
>Club Brugge
>Fenerbahce
>Panathinaikos
>Slavia Praga
>River Plate

This safe parlay in odds @4.07
6 legs. Taken independently they're all clear favourites to win the game
>>
>>145557084
8.400 @1.47
An old aunt died and left me 4.700 ron
Now it's all in on craiova over 1.5
>>
Hajduk Split to score @1.36 next
>>
My advice: watch the stream, then you'll know the bet
>>
why the fuck do quarterbacks try to toss up some duck throw when they are already sacked and in field goal range?

who is coaching these idiots?
>>
>>145557636
that was an all time dumbfuck play if you mean sorsby/cinncy
>>
cincinnati bet looks busted ALREADY
>>
>>145557645
that is exactly who i'm talking about. the more i watch him, the more of a fraud he looks to be.
>>
Have accounts with 3,4 bookies. For streams etc. I know like 8 here in ro. Know who gives early payout, who has nice odds, who's fast live and specific tricks. You'll find value, you'll have a good run. You just need to catch that momentum. To capture the moment. Bet only a select few games. First start 1500 whatever currency. and learn to keep afloat 1000. and soon you make it 1700, and 2000. or....
Go all in 1500. make it 2200 sth... so some odds around 1.50
And then another one from 2300 to 3500 on 1.40
And you caught it. You're riding the wave. Now you can apply money mage.. bet only 100, 200. Till 5000. Till 7500. Till 10k. Just survive 1 or 2 all ins at first.
>>
>>145557688
blame the coach too
he could have taken the fg and been up 2 possesions
sorsby doesnt have to do much more than not turn it over to beat this WV team. WV is awful on defense and bad on offense
>>
>>145557710
their defense looks like it's holding up fine enough early
>>
Cashed out hajduk split 3.300/
12.000 bet posibil winnings 16.500
>>
cincinnati is going to get boatraced just like wvu did to oklahoma state
>>
i would do better setting hundred dollar bills on fire
>>
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
>>
3.300 on over 2.5 @2.90
>>
>>145558089
No, i cashed out 2700. I don't like it
>>
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>Navy hurt me badly last week
>Didn't go near them because I'm still upset about it
>Already up 14-0
>Meanwhile Miami's defense playing an injured QB is just as awful as when playing a healthy one
>Minnesota is losing to a team on a 4 game losing streak and without their best offensive player

At least I didn't go through with the Cincy bet that I was thinking about to make it worse.
>>
Why is Cagliari always fucking up my bets if I have bet on them they'd lose 5-0
>>
>>145558122
Rebacked 2700 @3.90 for 7 mins extra time
>>
>>145558208
Cashed out 2000
>>
>>145558240
Rebacked 2000 @6.75
>>
>>145558256
Cashed out 1000
>>
>>145558281
>>145558256
>>145558208
>>145558122
>>145558089
God you're such a mug rom, calm down, slow down.
>>
PSV @1.36 - All in
>>
>>145558329
What the fuck did I just say Rom
>>
>>145558345
I got 1000 left, actually goes on this >>145557206 and added sporting for odds 6.00
>>
gotta start fading every poster in here
>>
>>145560225
Romanian*
>>
I lost £1 betting on City
>>
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Prates

>Mullins vs Sygula
shit lower level WMMA. Mullins probably wins because she's less shit but it's not worth betting on
>Gore vs Tricoli
Gore has some skill and physicality, despite being out for a while. Tricoli is extremely mediocre. Gore wins. Maybe gets a TKO but probably a decision
>Stamann vs Blackshear
Blackshear is better than his last fight (an 18 second smoking) suggests. Stamann is hardy but limited. Blackshear has a nice submission game and Stamann has been submitted before. Probably a Blackshear decision but the submission prop is 5/1...
>Semelsberger vs Radtke
distinctly mid vs is he a little bit better than mid? I think Radtke is decent enough and I think he beats Semelsberger here
>Zaleski vs Scroggin
Zaleski has miles on the clock but he's good. Scroggin, super late notice replacement, I've watched one fight and I have no idea. Zaleski probably wins, Scroggin probably is just a regional guy, but who knows with this one
>Kowalkiewicz vs Gomes
almost 40 vs 24. Gomes is a stocky brawler type, and Kowalkiewicz got KO'd by Jessica Andrade, a similar style fighter. Gomes by decision or KO
>Abdul-Malik vs Todorovic
contender series bruiser vs a very questionable middleweight. I like Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO. Todorovic has been beat up by guys who don't have the power that AM seems to have. Todorovic doesn't have good defensive skills and I just don't rate him
>Pinheiro vs Robertson
conventional logic says Robertson, and most likely by submission. She definitely has the ability, and Pinheiro has just shown she can be submitted. But Robertson's entries are shit and Pinheiro might be evasive enough. I'm picking Robertson but expecting failure

1/2
>>
ty bald fraud
>>
>>145555725
Why would you bet on Dortmund in the current year? Have you seen how terrible they are? This week they were struggling to beat a team that doesn't even have a real name
>>
>>145561644
>Bolanos vs Romious
Bolanos is an average kickboxer with no ground game. Romious seems like a little muscle midget with a ground game. He will have a big physicality edge, despite being shorter. If he's smart, he keeps Bolanos on the ground throughout and tries for submissions. Because I think he'll get one off. Romious to win by decision or submission.
>Meerschaert vs de Ridder
Meerschaert could well upset the applecart by resisting de Ridder's submissions and outlasting him. His striking is better than de Ridder's. And he's a decent underdog. But de Ridder is an excellent grappler. They both are, but GM3 has been submitted several times, and de Ridder never has been. I think this one is very tough to call. GM3 is an excellent underdog, but this fight is not really in his favour when it comes to styles, in my opinion.
>Magny vs Prates
Magny is a real veteran, record holder in several categories (related to his longevity). He is the gatekeeper of gatekeepers. But Prates has incredible muay Thai striking, as well as great physicality and an obviously decent level of composure and fight IQ. Magny will turn back pretenders, but Prates is not a pretender. His striking is so crisp, his timing is so on point, that there's only one way this right ends. Carlos Prates by KO/TKO. The odds are shit, but it's definitely happened. Absolutely guaranteed that Prates knocks Magny out, 100%.
>>
I'll reiterate some ancient /bet/ wisdom to you guys...Stop betting on correctly priced mainstream games...There are quantum computers that work out ways for you to lose even if you win.
>>
>>145562780
Just use the very old ancient phrase...

Mug
>>
Libertad score @1.60
>>
>>145553738
it does when you loaded up on it
>>
>>145561644
>Probably a Blackshear decision but the submission prop is 5/1...
submission just hit at 5/1, hope you got on.

3 for 3 so far in terms of picks for the card.
>>
>skattebo injured and not playing
should i cash out?
>>
>>145562833
How much are you up today?
>>
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Anons how do we identify spots like this and smash the alt totals for whatever is the highest payout they offer
>>
>>145540011
fade me, I tolded I tolded
>>
>>145565566
i had bet the under thinking daily was going to be out, then thought i lost another bet when he was playing. but it worked out. wish i had bet more, but i have been getting creamed for 2 straight weeks now.
>>
FSU +25
OU/Mizzou Over 42
Washington + 13.5

I think LSU will win but I just have a rule to not fucking bet for or against alabama
>>
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>>
>>145569559
Don't bet on cage punch
>>
>>145569567
It's the only sport I watch. I wouldn't bet on a sport I'm not familiar with.
>>
Sporting CP and Man United are a LOCK for Sunday

Amorim and Van Nistelrooy's last games. Sporting players will go all out to win and the United players are all trying to impress the incoming manager.
>>
>>145569592
I'm just joking because there's an American who usually replies to every football post with "don't bet on soccer" kek
>>
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>>145569640
I see, I don't normally frequent /bet/
>>
>>145569673
I see. Bet on Sporting CP to win. Enjoy the free money :)
>>
Why is Sporting such a lock?
>>
>>145569819
Ruben Amorim's last game as manager. In the previous game they battered Man City 4-1.

All of the players love him so they will give 100% effort. Plus the ones who impress while the eyes are on them may get moves to big English clubs.
>>
>>145569819
they havent lost a game this season across all competitions, including a victory against manchester city. the portugese league is very top heavy. sporting, benfica, and porto are significantly richer than the other teams.
>>
>>145569605
Bookies don't know this apparently
>>
>>145570478
Bookies base their odds on bet activity. The favourite on a betting app isn't necessarily the best team.
>>
>>145570583
Is this what you really believe?
>>
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>>145570652
Yeah
>>
Sorry if anyone took inter miami to advance 1.20 or it ruined your acca because i suggested it here.
>>
any opinions on BTTS ipswich/tottenham?
>>
nottingham forest is overachieving right now, but i dont think newcastle will be the team to stop them. the odds are quite close for these 2 sides for tomorrow, and this is looking like it will be a struggling offense vs a smothering defense. enticing odds for a game where the 2 sides arent really that close in terms of current form.

nottingham forest +0 @ 1.920
>>
DO NOT back anyone of these teams.

This is my bet for Sunday and I never win. Thank me later.
>>
>>145572313
>nottingham forest +0 @ 1.920
sorry, what do you mean by this anon?
>>
>>145572409
he's referring to asian handicap.
>>
>>145572409
its the same as a draw no bet, but some platforms dont have that so you have to use an asian spread at +0. if the game ends in a draw the bet is a push.
>>
>>145572423
>>145572437
oh ok thx
>>
>>145570478
Sometimes you have to let people find out for themselves. I think when we all first started betting we just picked the favourites to win. Although Rom has been doing that for a decade and he still hasn't learned.
>>
/bet/ I need to win €200 today.

What the fuck do i bet?
>>
>>145573894
You can do a parlay of Nishikori to beat Nardi live in Helsinki and Fritz to win the first set against Medvedev in Turin to reach odds of roughly @4 (depends on the live odds for Nishikori but I wouldn't take anyhing lower than @1.9). Not betting on this myself because I'm taking a small break so you know it's going to hit.
>>
>>145574161
Nishikori won the second set and now has live odds of about @1.2
>>
>>145574342
Nishikori very convincingly won the third set and Fritz won 2-0 so this would have easily won but doubt you paid attention.
>>
>>145573729
What else blud?
>>
Bills -4.5? It was -4.
>>
>>145573894
knicks, magic, lakers, nuggets, thunder, timberwolves, celtics
>>
>>145576494
and forgot Detroit
>>
watch these shitters blow the under
>>
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>>145574161
>>145576494
Thanks, but i went for pic related. There's hope...
>>
U de CHile to win. @1.55
+2.5 Braga v Sporting @1.65
>>
>>145578598
hope got crushed real fast
>>
i knew bilbao was gonna fuck me over, ffs
>>
is sporting actually about to choke?
>>
>>145581621
looks like it
>>
never bet on soccer
>>
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>>145578598
>>145579987
scratch the timberwolves and bet on miami. 9 leg parlay let's fucking go
>>
>Sporting dominating the league
>conceded 3 goals all season
*I bet on them*
>concede 2 in 1st half

Hmmmm
>>
>>145581902
It's portugal so I wouldn't be suprised if it's match fixing. Everyone expects Sporting to win this game.
>>
>>145581894
fuckk why are you saying this now i already bet on everyone you recommended
>>
>Kamara stopped inside the 5 multiple times
MVS TD
>Jonathan Taylor stopped inside the 5 multiple times
Tyler Goodson TD
>Rhamondre Stevenson stopped inside the 5 multiple times
Ja'Lynn Polk TD
>Need Josh Allen to throw 2+ TD passes or get a James Cook TD
Josh Allen runs it in for a TD
>Need Sam Darnold to throw 2+ TD's, get a Justin Jefferson TD, or get a T.J. Hockenson TD
Sam Darnold throws an endzone INT twice
>Bucky Irving gets all the hard yards
Rachaad White gets one snap, one catch, and the TD

Every week just hurts worse and worse. Don't bet on handegg,
>>
>>145582032
don't worry twolves are heavily favoured and the safest bet on the night especially with butler out but I smell an upset just because it was revealed to me in a dream
>>
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NO WIN? You fucking idiot, Amorim! You total fucking idiot! That was YOUR job, you fucking moron! You cretin! YOU'RE A FUCKHEAD! THAT'S WHAT YOU ARE! A FUCKING SHITHEAD!
>>
hit on O2.5 turnovers for NYG/CAR and JAX/MIN. somehow missed the obvious in BUF/IND.
>>
>>145579148

Colo-colo to win. is @ 1.5 now.
>>
>>145581902
looks like they will pull it out
>>
>>145583132
All in colo colo to score
>>
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>>145582450
>>145583694
I kneel, Amorim-San.
>>
damn sporting did not disappoint, i bet on them live when they were 1 down. hope barca doesnt either
>>
back breaker INT by cousins. choke assist from the korean kicker.
>>
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I FUCKING CASHED OUT AFTER THE FIRST HALF ENDED
>>
Eagles -7.5? seems like a lot of points. Cardinals +2?
>>
I made so much money on Sporting. I live bet a draw at 2-0 down and then a win at 2-2.

Man United have a good manager here.
>>
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>>145583883
sorry, both teams failed me.
>>
c´mon barca dont ruin this for me
>>
is this going to be the week that a chargers under fails?
>>
I would win a lot of money if Barcelona wins. Not looking good right now though :(
>>
Fuck Barcelona
>>
FUCK BARCA
>>
>>145585701
nothing like a garbage time TD that doesn't matter to blow it
>>
lions setting my profit on fire after a good day
>>
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I'm a junk bond king
And I'm on the run
Me and a friend of mine
We were headed for the sunshine
I got my hands on the wheel
I got gas in the tank
I got a suitcase full of money
From a Luxembourg bank
We didn't stop 'til we got to Big Cypress
Wandered in to the Legion Hall
The sign outside said "Seminole Bingo"
Fell in love with the ping pong balls
And the SEC is far behind
Down in the swamp with the gators and flamingos
A long way from Liechtenstein
I'm a junk bond king playing Seminole Bingo
And my Wall Street wiles
Don't help me even slightly
'Cause I never have the numbers
And I'm losing nightly
>>
>>145588075
kek, why is betting so hard, but it seems so easy
>>
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4 cbb plays
>>
alcaraz getting pasted by ruud. i was thinking about it and thought it was too obvious.
>>
>>145598493
Based CBB aficionado. Favorite sport to bet. So many games. Small conference lines generally aren’t great
>>
is it known if tyreek hill is playing tonight?
>>
>>145598493
any tips anon?
>>
>>145599094
honestly its probably best to wait a bit before diving into betting cbb. still tons of big spreads and uncertainty but will post some interesting spots later. that post is using evan miyas model that i trust (ATS around 55% for years)

its a beatable smaller market
>>
>>145598841
its a great market and you can closely follow a couple smaller conferences and make some good money. there is always a worse team in cbb
>>
From yesterday
>>
cavaliers to cover tonight? -8 is what i'm seeing.
>>
>>145601563
not sure about the spread but that total is pretty damn high
>>
>>145599094
sign up for KenPom.com and bet on games where KenPom has a significant disparity from the bookies’ line. I’m not saying he’s always right but you’ll win more than you lose with that strategy
>>
NCAAB Maryland Terrapins -31.5 Point Spread

NCAAB Citadel Bulldogs -2.5 Point Spread

NCAAB Butler Bulldogs -16.5 Point Spread

DePaul Blue Demons -8.5 Point Spread
>>
Sorry to the guy that followed me on that Falcons moneyline bet. What a gay as fuck game that was.
>>
>>145602747
caveat before you dorks point out i lost a you $2

Early season CBB means more grease - lot of macros buys early in the season (just teams im high on and kind of bet them in a cluster of games until I think the market corrects or my priors are wrong)
>>
>>145603002
it did play out the way that one guy was warning about. falcons defense can get torched and carr is a QB good enough to take advantage of teams like that.

still, they had a chance to win and should have. missed kick and an INT. what are you going to do.
>>
Lads...
>>
More gems?
RFS - PAOK @1.65
>>
Dinamo Minsk - Copenhaga @1.60
BAHAHAHAHAHA
>>
>Panathinaikos @1.34 v HJK
Is a lock
>>
>>145603196
Falcons scored 0 points on 5 different runs against the worst defense in the league. Not much I can do about that.
I will defend myself and say it was still a good bet at the time, but obviously spaghetti was dropped.
>>
>>145599209
Todays, had to add Germany cuz of a dumb rule around fixed games
>>
Wyatt Johnston O2.5 shots on goal @ -130
>>
coppin and citadel bets looking great. maryland looks like it might be busted already.
>>
>>145604846
Maryland went up 15-0 and then turned into a usual Kevin Willard team and isn’t running offense
>>
Alright /bet/, time for you to do your best work, I signed up for a new customer bonus, and I need a bet that will LOSE for me to claim a $1500 bonus bet

Gimme a bet that you know for sure isn't going to hit lol
>>
>>145605009
any euro flag soccer bet close to even money or isnt -2000 will work
>>
i bet on second division brazilian soccer tonight. i'm thinking it's a loss
>>
>>145605009
>1500$ bonus bet what kind of crazy restrictions does it have
>>
vile bookies won't let me cash out
>>
>Didn't take the easy +100 Mostert over 7.5 receiving yards option
>Blake Corum is genuinely going to be taking snaps away from Kyren Williams tonight
>Rams O-Line getting healthier has actually made them play worse
>Nacua, Robinson, and Kupp have no catches after 3 drives
>Picked Rams to win

Another masterclass incoming.
>>
>Maryland wins 84-53
lmao fuck this shit
>>
>>145606079
went to the bench with like 6 minutes left
missed 2 FTs under 1 minute and got hooked by a uncontested layup from A&M
>>
>>145606111
when the thought ticked to 84 i was like we got it.
>>
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model 1st round best bets for cbb tomrrow
>>
>>145602747
3/4 hit

pretty good
>>
>>145607029
you have opinions on this pacific/hawaii game on right now?
>>
>>145607029
What do you think of a parlay?
>>
/bet/ i need to win 100 bucks
Any suggestions?
>>
>>145610058
Red on the roulette.
>>
Medvedev at 1.92 is clearly value
>>
medbedev
>>
>>145610047
>>
>>
>>145610173
Medvedev has completely lost it. In one return game against Fritz he intentionally held the handle upwards. Zero care in his game right now. He's mentally out of the tournament already I think.
>>
>>145610333
faded this cheers stavros will be buying a moussaka in your honour
>>
NCAAB
Kansas Jayhawks -6.0 Point Spread
Tennessee Tech -5.5 Point Spread
>>
>>145610497
you know anything about a player named chris rodesch? he's playing duckworth in drummondville today.
>>
>>145610909
Kansas losin
>>
>>145611031
possible - no real consensus on the sperad yet. seeing 5.5 to 7 in some sports
early enough in the season im just macro buying teams
mich state has some good players and is well coached
>>
>>145610333
you'd be better off playing them as singles
thats just gambling (which is fine if that is what you are going for)
also you should shop your odds - some of those aren't plays since they lines moved too on that book
that said i hope it hits
>>
>>145610497
Apologize
>>
>>145610973
I can't say much about Rodesch, sorry. Hasn't really been on my radar because from what I can tell he's mostly been beating relatively lower-level opponents. Can't say I'm too impressed with most of his wins this year. Don't rate Duckworth too highly either but surprised he's not a bigger favourite. Something seems fishy.

>>145611152
Yeah, was completely wrong. He did seem out of it against Fritz but I guess against someone with a much less threatening serve things were different. Should have known all the money coming in on De Minaur would mean Medvedev wins. When a line gets too steamed against a more established player I swear they always win.
>>
Got some bets to save you from bankruptcy Romy
>>
NCAAB High Point Panthers -16.5 Point Spread

NCAAB Villanova Wildcats -2.5 Point Spread
>>
Notts County ML @2.2

Blackpool ML @1.7
>>
>>145613181
>Blackpool ML @1.7
let's hope notts county holds up
>>
duckworth choking away a 5-1 lead in the first set
>>
>>145613645
from 5-1 to losing the tiebreak. duckworth is an absolute bum. i should have taken rodesch like i was thinking.
>>
>>145613077
Listening
>>
NCAAB
Northern Illinois +2 PS or better
>>
>>145613747
takes the 2nd set 6-2 and then immediately gives up 6-1 in the third.
>>
>>145614237
Fuck Duckworth, he's an inconsistent shitter and choke artist.
>>
i'm on america mineiro -1
>>
>>145614626
uh ok, that looks unironically like match fixing
>>
>>145613112
Kyle Neptune is a retard
>>
>>145614626
should have just bet on goals. looks like it might push. would have won if not for that fucking idiot heading it into his own goal.
>>
Just parlay Boston, Minnesota and Miwaukee if you want free money. Go ahead and dump 1000 dollars on it and enjoy free 700 dollars
>>
>>145615546
famous last words
>>
>>145615546
>Risk everything for shit odds on the Mickey mouse cup
>>
parlay might not survive the first game
>>
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cbb model plays for tomrrow
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>>145607029
4-1 on model plays before the oregon game

>>145613112
>>145610909
1-3 on bets tailing my cbb jew wizard
>>
>>145616713
Where do you get the team rankings and stat data?
>>
>>145617534
evan miya
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>>145617534
he mentioned the source earlier in the thread IIRC but i forgot which post or who it was
someone with a patreon i think
>>
>>145617318
>the oregon game
4-2, not bad at all.
>>
>>145618161
what a fucking melt by oregon
got 2 brutal loses today

tenn tech hit a 30 foot 3 at the buzzer to lose by 3
high point player missed 2 FTs with 10 seconds left to get hooked

have been getting really good clv taking these bets at night when i post them. niu bet and sienna both covered from the tool but lost another on some high school team
>>
>>145610173
>>145520252

help I need odds 2 on tennis for a promotion
>>
>>145618652
Maybe the german can help you
>>
>>145613077
Spit it out
>>
>>145615731
>>145615741
Holy shit bombston and timberpups actually lost
>>
>>145615546
>>145619435
>free money
>lost
?
>>
>>145619457
8 out of 10 times those teams win but I see tonight was the underdogs night
>>
>>145618652
>>145619344
You would have to wait because the odds aren't even up yet but on Friday Bopanna/Ebden are going to play their last group match of Turin. Bet on them to lose 2-0 once the odds are up for Friday. The odds will be above @2 for sure. They have been consistently terrible and I don't see really see that changing for the last match especially since they're already confirmed to be out.
>>
>>145619879
I meant for today
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>>145619981
Maybe try a list minute bet on over 2.5 sets in Alcaraz - Rublev. Alcaraz has been sick but if he's showing up to play I assume he has to feel a little better.
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>>145620018
I bet rublev one set
It's over
>>
i'm taking schwaerzler @ +105
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>>145620359
Rublev made a comeback in the tiebreak just to lose it in a close call anyway. Rough beat, my bad. Wasn't particularly confident about anything for today which is why I said to wait until Friday.
>>
NCAAB
Illinois Fighting Illini -22.5
Minnesota Golden Gophers -2.0
>>
>>145616713
adding longwood -3.5 and north dakota state +16.5
>>
what are we thinking about miami/kent state? the spread is huge at -30.5. i've seen some suggestions that kent state U7.5 points should be on the table. same with the game under, i guess because they expect so little from kent state.
>>
>>145621874
kent state is fucking putrid


i made a good amount on them when they played tennesse
they were so bad they gave up 65 in the 1st half and it busted up the books algos. books were had the total in 90s like it would keep happening. niec under spot hit
>>
My bets for Nations League tomorrow. Follow at your own risk:

Belgium - Italy, both teams to score @ 1.7
Greece - England, 1X @ 1.9
North Macedonia - Latvia, 1 @ 1.47
France and Austria to win parlay @ 1.44
Scotland - Croatia X2 @ 1.33
>>
>>145623193
Since I've already posted a game from Nov 15, I'll continue:
Romania - Kosovo 1 and over 1.5 @ 2.18
Denmark - Spain 2 @ 1.82
Portugal - Poland 1 and over 1.5 @ 1.4
Switzerland - Serbia X2 @ 2.05
>>
>>145621874
>>145621874
Kent State is the worst team in FBS, and it isn't close.
They're around 32 points than an average FBS team and Miami (OH) is roughly 4 points worse than an average FBS team.
HFA shouldn't be a factor since they're both based in Ohio, but you could give Miami a point for HFA if you wanted.
That's either Miami -28 or -29 depending on what you do with HFA. If I were going to take a side, I'd shop for Kent State at +31, but I wouldn't feel good about it.
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>>145623445
32 points 'worse'
>>
of course kent state gets a turnover and touchdown immediately
>>
>Kent State TD

No. I refuse to believe I'm this cursed.
>>
i took -17.5 first half spread. it's already busted.
>>
>>145623445
>laying over 4 TDs on a midweek MAC game
No thank you
>>
mercyhurst shidding themselves a little bit late
>>
UFC 309 Saturday 11/16

>Nickal by KO/TKO -150
Craig has a weak chin. Bo won't follow him to the mat to pursue a sub if he gets a knockdown. I think Bo sleeps him on the feet. Craig's only chance is a lucky sub like he pulled against Ankalaev.

>Ruffy by KO/TKO -150
UFC wants Ruffy to be a star so they gave him a hittable, not very dangerous opponent in Llontop. Ruffy records a highlight KO like Prates last week. Fighting Nerds can't lose these days.

>Chandler +200 vs Oliviera
Chandler always has a puncher's chance, especially against a chinny guy like Oliviera. Chandler defends subs fairly well, spent a solid minute with Charles on his back last fight and got out of it. I like the +200 number, would bet it down to +150 with Chandler. I think Chandler has a 40-50% chance to win.

>McGhee -145 vs Martinez
McGhee is a killer and Martinez gets hit a lot. He got smoked by old man Aldo. 3 UFC fights and 3 finishes for McGhee, he makes it 4/4 against a chinny Martinez

>Tybura -145 vs Diniz
I despise Tybura's fight style. Backing him here because he's a much better grappler/wrestler than Diniz. Good grappling usually beats good striking.

>Gall vs Brahimaj over 2.5 rounds
Both guys are crafty BJJ finishers who will want to avoid the other's submission game. I see this as a terrible standup fight that goes the distance.

>Hafez +200 vs Elliott
Not buying Elliott as a large favorite. Hafez is a steroid machine who will win at least one round via wrestling. IMO Hafez beat JDM and lost a questionable SD. Hafez at 3-1 is great.

>Miller +135 vs Jackson
Damon Jackson has poor striking and gets hit constantly. His best chance is a sub. Miller keeps it on the feet and wins via late KO or decision.
>>
>>145625700
looks like it will actually be bucknell that shits the bed
>>
>>145625821
yup they have been shit the 2nd half
maybe they pull through but looking bleek
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>>145619457
literally 90% of
>muh free money
picks posted on /bet/ lose. automatic fade every time
>>
>>145625852
might become a bookie and take o/u bets on this post with 90% as the line
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>>145625884
give me the under it's free money
>>
>>145625947
might take moneyline bets on this post winning
>>
it's a lot of points, but i'm wishy washy on this creighton game.
>>
>>145626012
lost the unconn +38 fwiw
kind of risky bets since these teams can name their score and when to pull starters
might track them for a bit and then decide if i want to take them
i took that one last night so im stuck
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>>145626012
Insightful post
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>>145626066
yeah i took it. we'll see.
>>
are they in a 2nd OT in bucknell?
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>>145626114
yup but they cant pull away for shit
ill take a push but seems fucked
>>
Eagles -3.5 is free money
Commanders are a fraud and will finish 9-8
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>>145626333
i can see a game where that half a point kills it
>>
houston christian might not score another bucket
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>>145626350
Eagles 27-13 Commanders
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>>145626012
>>145626364
was hoping i was wrong, but i think creighton might drub them by 50
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>>145625441
Read, the position was taking the points, not laying them.
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>>145626364
they covered
someone got hooked on the other side lol
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>>145627027
i took them at +35, so i got a push out of it.
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>>145627039
damn better than losing

looks like 6-5 or 7-4 tonight
have NDSU +16.5 and they are down 10 at half
waiting on the model to push out tomrrows games before sleep so i can get the numbers before they move
>>
>>145616713
5 right and 4 wrong, pretty much a coinflip.
>>
>>145627293
>>145621475
added 2 more here
longwood won
NDSU is down 7 with 6 minutes left
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>>145627331
ok that's fair, so 7/11 right.
>>
germanbro where are my friday tennis picks?
>>
Do I dare put some money on Tyson to fuck Paul in the ring? Dare I?
>>
>>145628662
I already posted my main pick for Friday here >>145619879. Think both the pure ML and the 2-0 against Bopanna/Ebden are good bets. Also think Rublev to beat Ruud looks good. Think Ruud's odds are a bit inflated due to that win over Alcaraz which has a pretty big asterisk because Alcaraz was obviously sick. Problem is the odds already dropped a bit, I saw pick'em odds when they went up and now Rublev is @1.65 which is still playable but obviously not as enticing. Also think Alcaraz to win the first set against Zverev is potentially a good bet but not super confident.
>>
should finland be such a large underdog to ireland?
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>>145629406
Yes
>>
Huge Sunday for nfl
>>
Armenia/Faroe Islands BTTS @ +125
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cbb model plays
7-4 yesterday small slate today
>>
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>>145631102
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>>145631112
taking them. eastern michigan was at +2.5 for me so we'll see if that works out.
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>>145631169
was +2.5 everywhere except bet365 they had +3
buffalo is taking enough money that i got a notificatoin for the bryant ML being +ev at -205

was just 1 book laggin behind the others so it popped on the board im assuming
>>
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still showing the bryant ML as a +EV play on DK
was -205 a few minutes ago
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>>145631238
it just moved to +6.5 after i placed of course
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>>145631260
+3.5, +6.5, and +17.5 on mgm right now
>>
BUF-STL O6 goals @ +102 might be worth a go

STL doesn't score a lot, but they are 27th out of 32 teams in goals against. BUF is 23 in goals against and 9th in goals for.
>>
CFB Parlay

Penn State ML (at Purdue)

>Purdue is a hapless team. They're going 1-11. They haven't covered a spread since October 12th. Penn State is playing for a CFP at-large spot.

Notre Dame ML (vs. Virginia)

>This one could be scary as Virginia beat Pitt 2 weeks ago. But ND has covered in 4 straight (could easily be 7 straight) and looks like a team possessed ever since they lost to NIU.

Texas State ML (vs. Southern Miss)

>It's always scary betting mid-majors, but Southern Miss has quit on the season. They have won 1 game (vs. FCS team) and have lost every game by 10+ points. At 26.5 points, this is the biggest underdog they've been all year.

UNLV ML (vs. San Diego State)

>Honestly, this is the one that I'm worried about. Besides the Boise State and non-conference games, SDSU has just been a bad luck Chuck all year. But UNLV is playing for a MWC Title spot.

Louisville ML (at Stanford)

>Louisville hasn't been covering many spreads, but they're not losing as a favorite. This is the biggest favorite they've been since Week 2. Stanford is lifeless. They haven't covered since Week 3 and have lost 6 straight, 5 of which by 24+ points.

South Carolina ML (vs. Missouri)

>Love South Carolina this year. They're 7-2 ATS, won 3 straight, all of which had spread of a TD or less by an average of +23. Missouri might be playing their backup QB for this one and is 0-2 to the only Top-25 teams they played, losing 41-10 to A&M and 34-0 to Alabama. This one is a massacre if Sellers is healthy.

East Carolina ML (at Tulsa)

>ECU fired their HC after the Charlotte loss and has saved their season with back to back impressive W's. Tulsa got battered by UAB last week.

Colorado ML (vs. Utah)

>Colorado has covered in every Big 12 matchup. This is the biggest favorite that Colorado has been all year. Utah has lost 5 straight but almost saved their season last week. They'll be on their backup QB (Zach Wilson's brother) this week.

Payout should be around +100 depending on book
>>
>>145631439
how do you feel about Michigan S ML @Illinois
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>>145630717
Armenia is really going to bum it up
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>>145631836
disgraceful
>>
International Break in Soccer but still one play for an afternoon sweat

Nations League: Belgium/Italy BTTS Yes -128 FD 1.28U
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>>145631558
I wouldn't touch that game with a 100-foot pole.
>>
>royer v barrere
>17-17 tiebreak
>>
/nba/ bet bro what do you think about Dallas -6.5?
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more like bumgium
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Simple as
Hesitated with Italy scores first @2,1 ; would have been a quick gain.

Was tempted by England and Norway, but this is already nice odds, better not be greedy
norway did win 3-0 not long ago tho
>>
Doubled my money on ingerlund :)
>>
BIG TIP

ARGENINA ML @1.85

It's a world cup qualifier so the pissi defence force (fifa) will make sure Argentina wins.
>>
Is this community dead? Barely any interaction here anymore.
>>
>>145635121
soccer fags are on break and hate money
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>>145634563
I'll take you up on that, although Argentina already has 2 losses so far and this is just matchday 11/18.
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>>145635329
They play against Paraguay and Pessi is starting the game
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>>145635174
Ironic because some of the easiest money to be made in football is international
>>
I've got 50 bongs on Argentina

Returns 95
>>
>>145629406
boxing is/was/will always be rigged. This isn't Mike Tyson's comeback story. Its Jake Paul pretending like this is Punch Out and beating the final boss.
>>
>>145631439
someone is gonna fuck you with that many legs

its gonna be mizzo, tulsa, or utah
texas state also sometimes just blows it out of their own ass but think that one is close to free
>>
buffalo might be tanked already
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>>145636891
if they could stop missed layups they would have more points
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>>145631439
>8 team CFB ML parlay
yeah, nah
>>
>>145629406
He's fucking 58 and was shot 25 years ago. Sure, there's a chance it's fixed but Paul almost definitely wins if it's not fixed
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>>145637227
yeah but he gonna see red hes a dawg
remember the 80s?
>>
scorching hot tip on argentina
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>>145629406
bet over 4.5 rounds if you're going to bet
netflix is paying a ton for this fight, they won't let it be a 90 second KO
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>>145635421
Lol need I pull up last international break /bet/ thread when every >free money pick lost
>>
>>145629406
Draw + Mike not winning arbi is the smartest bet. Jake is the favorite and he'll probably win, so you lose nothing if he wins.
If Mike wins you lose money, but seeing that faggot zoomer get BTFO will make it bittersweet.
>>
think the eagles expose the commies tonight
eagles plays good defense and run the ball well
commies are 29th in run defense
jalen attd seems likely if they are running the ball since everytime ive ever bet barkley attd jalen vultues it
>>
>>145636876
>tulsa
you might have called it.
>>
>>145637448
eagles are going to win easy
commanders are fraudulent
>>
luvu 6+ tackles
barkley second half TD
>>
I apologise for recommending Argentina.

I didn't realise how shit they actually are without FIFA giving them a penalty every game.
>>
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cbb 1st model run for tomorrow
still not sure how to deal with these huge spreads with dogs. think im going to make a new tag for them to track and just .25u bet them

nc is taking money so dont see a reason to take that bet now anyways
>>
>>145626333
another episode of anon thinks he knows better than vegas
>>
>>145638537
kek it's alright
>>
NEW
>>145640258
>>145640258
>>
>>145639018
(he did)
>>
>>145636147
Losses 50



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