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Joe Biden Is Now Favorite Over Donald Trump in Four Swing States
Published Apr 18, 2024 at 8:31 AM EDT
Updated Apr 18, 2024 at 8:32 AM EDT

https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-donald-trump-presidential-election-polling-swing-states-1891653

Joe Biden is leading Donald Trump in four swing states, the latest betting odds show.

According to Polymarket, an online prediction platform where users can place yes or no bets on world events, the incumbent president will beat Trump, the former president and presumptive Republican nominee, in November's vote in Pennsylvania (58 percent to 42 percent), Nevada (58 percent to 41 percent), Michigan (57 percent to 44 percent) and Wisconsin (52 percent to 47 percent.)

Biden won all of them in the 2020 presidential election, but they are all known as battleground states that could go either way when voters go to the polls in November. Newsweek contacted representatives for Trump and Biden by email to comment on this story.

Trump's victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin in 2016 helped him win the White House, but he only beat Hillary Clinton in the three states by a combined 83,161 votes.

In contrast, Biden won Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin by a combined 255,425 votes in 2020, more than tripling Trump's margin of victory. Wisconsin, which Biden won by 20,682 votes, was the only one of the three states decided by less than 1 percentage point.
>>
Biden passes Trump to become the betting favorite among UK oddsmakers
Updated: Apr. 18, 2024, 2:21 p.m.|Published: Apr. 18, 2024, 1:39 p.m.

https://www.pennlive.com/news/2024/04/biden-passes-trump-to-become-the-betting-favorite-among-uk-oddsmakers.html

By J.D. Prose | jdprose@pennlive.com
President Joe Biden is now the betting favorite among United Kingdom oddsmakers in this year’s presidential election.

According to Oddschecker.com, Biden’s odds across the pond are now +100, or 46%, just slightly ahead of former President Donald Trump at +110, or about 44%.
>>
Any links just point to another jewsweek.com article. They’re sourcing themselves.

Nothing to see here, totally legit.
>>
>>1288629
da jews?
>>
>>1288626
And according to the same source, polymarket, Tim Scott has double the chances of anyone else of becoming Trump's VP pick. It's pretty funny that anyone would think this website posting Joe Biden has a 1% higher chance to win than Trump based on the bets people are making is a valid source worth reporting on.
>>
>betting odds

Reminder

https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls/election

RCP Aggregrate:

2024 Arizona: Trump vs Biden
>Trump +4.5

2024 Georgia: Trump vs Biden
>Trump +4.2

2024 Michigan: Trump vs Biden
>Trump +3.3

2024 Nevada: Trump vs Biden
>Trump +3.2

2024 North Carolina: Trump vs Biden
>Trump +4.2

2024 Pennsylvania: Trump vs Biden
>Biden +0.5

2024 Wisconsin: Trump vs Biden
>Trump +1.0
>>
>>1288644
>includes rassmussen
That's why no one takes that site seriously
>>
>>1288644
>2024 Michigan: Trump vs Biden
>>Trump +3.3
>2024 Wisconsin: Trump vs Biden
>>Trump +1.0
These are the only 2 that matter most states are already decided or don't matter
I hope trump wins
I haven't been a fan of biden's foreign policy and I feel like spending has been out of control under him
>>
>>1288664
>muh Rasmussen
Each one of those polls is an aggregate of 25 different sources, Rasmussen is 1

Stop being a faggot about RCP, it's a valid source
>>
tRump can hear them jail walls closing in on him.
He's gonna be desperate and try a real insurrection this time if he loses. He's got nothing to lose if he loses.
>>
>>1288672
>Stop being a faggot about RCP, it's a valid source
Well, it is when it says Trump is gonna win. If it says Trump isn't gonna win its gay and leftist and jewish. Are you not familiar with the conservative schizo polling analysis?
>>
>>1288676
>coping this hard over an aggregate
If it did say Biden had a majority lead over Trump, you'd have no problem with it. Hence why you've resorted to using betting odds instead of actual polls. Cause you're a faggot.
>>
>>1288677
>If it did say Biden had a majority lead over Trump, you'd have no problem with it.
You're not very good at strawmanning, anon. I'd give up and try something else.
>>
>>1288679
>is literally posting betting odds instead of actual polls
>cries straw-man when accused of resorting to betting odds instead of actual polls
Maybe if you post the betting odds of a cockfighting arena in Tijuana, you'll feel better about the polls all saying Trump currently has a lead on Biden
>>
>>1288681
>Doesn't understand the concept of an anonymous image board
>Thinks every poster is the same person
>Posts "ALL THE POLLS LIKE TRUMP" in a thread literally about the polls liking Biden
Seek a the guidance of a psychiatrist
>>
>>1288689
>in a thread literally about the polls liking Biden
This thread is about betting odds anon, and the sample size is 1.

RCP's number's are an aggregate of 25. Of these 25, you've admitted to having an issue with 1. That leaves 24 different polls, 80% plus of which show Trump having a lead on Biden. They are more realistic than Policymarket's betting odds, and it totally doesn't seem like this thread is a thinly veiled advertisement for them.

>Seek a the guidance of a psychiatrist
Now you're definitely projecting cope
>>
>>1288695
Not him but including even one fake poll like Rassmussen is going to skew the average, which is why no one pays attention to RCP anymore.
>>
>>1288697
>Rasmussen
>Fake poll
Just because you don't like it doesn't make it fake anon, sorry
>>
>>1288695
>RCP's number's are an aggregate of 25. Of these 25, you've admitted to having an issue with 1. That leaves 24 different polls, 80% plus of which show Trump having a lead on Biden.
I have no clue why you're rattling on as if anybody gives a fuck about polls. Nobody does. Even if they did, nobody who is even remotely politically literate would even bother putting legitimate stock in the results of polls 6 months out from a general election. The last two elections showed us that polls and voter turnouts are two vastly different numbers. Besides, this board puts no good faith stock in them. Whenever polls say what you want they say polls are based. Whenever polls say the opposite of what you want they say polls are rigged. Your post is tossing bricks into a volcano, anon. It has no impact.
>>
>>1288700
It's fake because it's fake, Anon, I didn't make up their numbers like they did.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/08/rasmussen-538-polling/

>As time passed, though, Rasmussen’s inability to meet the standards set by 538 — and two dubious polls conducted for right-wing organizations — eventually led 538 to make the change this week.

>Last month, Rasmussen’s assessment of President Biden’s approval rating was included in the site’s average; it no longer is. Searching for “Rasmussen” on 538’s pollster rankings returns only pollster Scott Rasmussen, not the firm he founded and then left.
>>
This kind of Democrat insanity is when you know that your country has turned into a real life Vault-Tec experiment. Everyone knows by now that Biden supporters are a media fabrication, so who actually voted for Biden?
>>
>>1288708
Good post
>>
I believe Trump had better odds than Biden last time.
Look what happened to him.
>>
trump for the win
>>
>>1288719
>I believe Trump had better odds than Biden last time.
>Look what happened to him.

the machines stole the election.
tRump was terminated.
>>
>>1288708
>>1288709
Excellent marketing posts
>>
>>1288704
>Your post is tossing bricks into a volcano, anon. It has no impact.
Same could be said about this whole discussion, but you keep on yapping.
>>1288626
Polls this far out are retarded, but referencing a betting platform is even more retarded, because the only thing people are answering is whether they think Biden or Trump will win, not who they will vote for.
AFAIK, polls consistently have Trump beating Biden, but the margin of victory has narrowed over time, hence the Democrat refrain that the more people see of Biden and Trump, the more people favor Biden.

I think that Biden wins the election.
>>
>My polls!!! muh polls!!! believe the lies!!!
:P
>>
>>1288791
You're panicking.
>>
>>1288626
Becky G fixing her tooth gap has been devastating for humanity.
>>
>>1288626
>Joe Biden Is Now Favorite Over Donald Trump in Four Swing States
This has always been the case. There's not the slightest chance of trump winning. He has no platform, he's asleep (literally and figuratively) in court, the Republicans are deader than dead. The only people voting for him (and the Republicans) are the super-retards and the super-rich.

Even the media, despite their superhuman effort to make trump credible, have failed.
>>
>>1288975
>This has always been the case.
This has not always been the case and is not the case now

Reminder:
https://www.realclearpolling.com/

The only swing state Biden has a lead in is Pennsylvania, +.05

>Even the media, despite their superhuman effort to make trump credible, have failed.
Ah yes the mark of the Canadian libshit shill: thinking the US MSM is right wing and pro-Trump
>>
>>1288999
>he's quoting the discredited chud polling site again
We've already been over this. No one takes RCP seriously since they still include Rassmussen polls after everyone else shunned them for lying.
>>
>>1289001
>discredited
Mmm no sorry, it's valid and doesn't go away simply because you don't like it. Further complaints will be ignored unless you can prove why it's not a valid site, with non editorial/blog sources.

>We've already been over this.
You're right we have, and you lost. You refuse to accept this and keep whining about it because you think you have ownership over /news/.

You don't. You control nothing. You have no authority here. You can't downvote facts you don't like. This isn't reddit. Cope.

> No one takes RCP seriously since they still include Rassmussen polls
Plenty of people take RCP seriously, this doesn't stop being true because you don't like it.
Rassmussen is a valid poll, this doesn't stop being true because you don't like it.

>after everyone else shunned them for lying.
Facts aren't lies simply because you don't like them. Cope.
>>
>>1289006
Read the thread, jackass, it doesn't help when you rehash the same argument which already got BTFO 10-15 posts ago
>>
>>1289009
>RCP ISN'T VALID CAUSE I SAY SO
>I MADE POSTSSSSSS
>STOOOOOP ITTTTTTT

So you have nothing to prove RCP isn't a valid source and can't link to anything proving otherwise outside of your own whiney posts, gotcha.
>>
>>1289009
Oh now I see, 538 was whining about Rassmussen and you think that means Rassmussen isn't valid anymore because you think Nate Tantalum didn't get exposed as a hack in 2016.

A polling site shit talking a rival polling site and talking itself up during an election year? Surely thats empirical and not a thinly veiled advertisement, lmao
>>
>>1289027
Good point
>>
>>1289027
Remember when Romney won the popular vote in 2012 by 5 points like Rasmussen showed the day before the election?
Totally legit organization, definitely don't just exist to skew aggregates.
>>
>>1288697
>Not him
Surely this is true and not a lie.
>>
>>1288706
>Nate Bronze
>WaPo
Lmao the fakest.
>>
Sure is a lot of panicking ITT
>>
Man, I wish neither of these clowns were the mainstream options
>>
>>1289842
t. RFK Jr. supporter



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