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prev: >>537876347

Day: 117 of the Lebanon War ©
51 days until Final Peace Deal ™

▶RECENT
>Clashes between Lebanese army and protestors in Beirut have erupted after preliminary agreement between Israel and Lebanon which excludes Hezbollah
>CENTCOM: U.S. forces conducted airstrikes on Iranian missile and drone storage sites and coastal radar positions on June 26. Strikes still ongoing right now.
>Oil tanker has been hit while trying to cross the Strait of Hormuz through the Omani side
>The temporary corridor in Omani waters is suspended following the attack
>Iran targets a ship while it was sailing in the "forbidden" corridor in Omani waters

▶WARNING:
>Do not trust any "happenings" or Tгump posts without link/proof
>Uкraine / Яussia discussions belong in uнg or cнug
>Do not engage with off-topic Hasbara blogposters

▶History of the 2026 War:
>The 4-day "Special Military Operation® to decapitate Iran", lasted 111 days.
>The 14-day Ceasefire™ with Iran was "extended indefinitely" unilaterally by the USA, and lasted 72 days.
>The 10-day Ceasefire™ with Lebanon was later extended and lasted 67 days. Israeli attacks continued despite ceasefire.
>The "second phase of the war" Operation Project Freedom©, lasted 1 day. Before it was "paused" by the USA, for 47 days.

▶Oil Price:
https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/

▶Kino:
https://rentry.org/pig-kino

▶X Accounts:
https://rentry.org/irxacc

▶Iranian News
https://rentry.org/irnews

▶Telegram Channels:
https://rentry.org/tgnews

▶Israel Rocket Alerts:
https://www.tzevaadom.co.il/en/

▶Live Lebanon attack map
https://lebanon.liveuamap.com/

▶Air Traffic:
https://www.flightradar24.com/
https://flightaware.com/live
https://globe.adsbexchange.com/

▶Maritime Traffic
https://www.marinetraffic.com/
https://www.vesselfinder.com/
>>
>>
It’s obvious now, Iran has been gelded
>>
So Iran actually took the strikes and did literally nothing to respond?
>>
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>>537882363
Iran wants to be a normal nation with a thriving economy. They're going to make a deal to do that. All the leftist retards who thought they'd own le drumpf are just cranky.
>>537882406
they were in the wrong to attack that ship, I think they know that and told the IRGC retard to settle down
>>
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>>537882406
>>
i dont keep track of shit but...

because iran did bad thing u.s. responded in kind immediately to tell them "fuck around and find out"?
>>
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>>537882406
miggers are too powerful

its time to concede
>>
A new round of migger cope I see.
>>
>>537882497
just a love tap.
>>
marco rubio the instigator of the lebanese civil war, the famine of havana, the colonial lord of caracas
>>
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>>537882513
>>
Iran should've never negotiated and just kept the war going. Make Israel collapse and destroy the US economy
>>
>>537882363
Seems like it. I think iran made a mistake by not escalating even more at the very beginning of the wat (hitting strategic pipelines for example), and they seem unable or unwilling to sink us destroyers.
The us is still in a huge mess with no solution tho.
>>
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>>537882542
You should go to ptg. They're not okay
>>
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>>537882566
Besides Vance, he's had the biggest rise in the 2nd Trump admin. Noem had a chance but she was retarded. And fwiw Markwayne Mullin has a chance to rise. Oh and Karoline Leavitt has done well.
>>
the US does have a direct communication line to tehran, this is through two groups staying behind in switzerland

the world looked away but the reason why iran isn't firing back right now, why aoun in lebanon is still alive is likely because
of those "non" delegations being there
>>
>>537882676
rubio is the adelson man anon, he didn't have a rise
>>
>>537882497
> because iran did bad thing u.s. responded in kind immediately
Yes which is dumb because iran didn’t attack the us. They have all excuses to pull off the agreement now. But they won't because they don't want the blockade back.
>>
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>>
WOW
I wonder how many short contracts Scotty Bussy will unleash on sunday night. Doubled with a David Axios ''Pakistani source'' news telling everything is holding up.
And you know the best part? It will fucking work. Again.
Oil at negative prices this monday. Screencap this.
>>
>>537882685
the point is, if Iran had a problem with something about the strait, they should've used to established deconfliction channels to resolve the dispute. We do this with China and Russia all the time. If they want to be treated like a respectable nation they should do the same, not throw a tantrum with some drones when they get pissy.
>>
>>537882779
>talks to us
>gets more schoolchildren bombed
no we are zog controlled by jewish freaks who are not respectable at all.
>>
>>537882779
you can't talk with the US or Israel
what the fuck are you drinking? reflect on the behavior of your country for a milisecond, jesus fucking christ
>>
>>537882839
>>537882872
Iran can either act like a respectable nation and rejoin the world economy, or chimp out at random commercial vessels everytime they get cranky.
It's up to them.
>>
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>>537881723
Why does Lebanon even have a military if they wont do anything?
>>
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>>537882284
MAGA!
>>
>>537882933
>Iran can either act like a respectable nation and rejoin the world economy
is that why they have been sanctioned into the fucking ground and their diplomats killed over and over because of a phantom nuclear program that has never manifested?
>>
>>537882750
Are there actually people who think the blockade was effective? it was such a failure i assumed people evoking it were joking.
>>537882933
they should keep letting satanist trump bomb schoolchildren? because trump bragged about doing that last time they talked.
>>
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>>
>>537883098
He legitimately said it was a tragic mistake
>>537883019
They have really a once in a life time chance to NOT continue this. That's what Araghchi and Ghalibaf see actually.
>>
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Trump no1
>>
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the migger memes won

it was a good run fellow piggers
>>
>>537883198
Oh he said he was sowwy after using perfidy to kill a hundred school children. well then osama should have just apologized after 911 there buddy.
>>
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>>537883106
>>537883239
>>
>>537883260
>perfidy
Discord buzzword of the month. Anyway ok keep me posted.
>>
>>537882933
>Iran can either act like a respectable nation
what would assassinating miriam adelson on yom kippur do? just to be as respectable as you?

staging terrorism in her macau casinos?
genuinely that is what an iranian hacker group could do, make terror threats to the macau casinos to highlight the connection and hurt her finances to buy the US GOP (israel would find another bagman, besides the point)
>>
>>537883098
> Are there actually people who think the blockade was effective?
Iran wanted the blockade removed so i asume it was having some effect
>>
>>537883343
>what would assassinating miriam adelson on yom kippur do?
probably cause a lot of kvetching, other than that not much lol
>>
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>>537883279
This is a strayan war
>>
>>537882274 #
>searching some dusty corner of the anals of the agreement to try and find retroactive casus beli
Its point five of irans 14 point plan. They fucking wrote it lol
>>
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>>537883279
Australia is rightful MAGA clay
>>
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>>537883239
Get fucked
>>
>>537883388
israel aligned macau casinos are the main finacial backer of the US republican party

if I was iran I would send them terror threats. (not to deliver on them but to highlight the connection)
>>
>>537882459
No one gives a fuck about the orange golem you paint sniffing retard. We hate ZOG and want it to fail.
>>
>>537883446
I'm a nationalist. I don't really care what Iran or Israel do, but I genuinely think this is a once in a lifetime opportunity for Iran to fundamentally change its relations with the US and rejoin the world economy. It will also give us the once in a generation opportunity to finally not give a FUCK what happens in these desert shitholes.
>>537883545
>We
no one cares weird little gay kids think lmfao. go larp somewhere else you fucking freaks
>>
>>537880300
Told you niggers this is just Yid propaganda slop to excuse their eventual retreat out of Lebanon.
>>
>>537883328
lying about negotiating to kill diplomats is textbook perfidy. im sorry you find historical definitions woke
>>
>>537883605
Hezbollah have been chimping about it, some protests and riots. I'm not sure it's fake
>>
>>537883595
>no one cares
>10 posts out of 50 are his
lol
>>
>>537883605
People have such short memories.
Israel JUST withdrew from Lebanon in early 2025. This time they didn't even get as far as they did last time. They'll oy vey and stuff then withdraw again for fucks sake.
>>
>>537883605
They're not going to retreat though
They're going to let the people there kill each other and stay for "security reasons" and then settle the vacated lands.
>>
>>537883595
as a nationalist do you think leo frank had it coming?
can you say that mr nationalist?
>>
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>>537882619
Yupp. You cannot 'negotiate' with jews
>>
>>537883398
jews will always try and find a way to warp agreements, iran did not in fact agree to just let oman supply babykillers with infinite oil. "they had half ownership!" with the understanding they wouldnt abuse that to let iran have more of their children or water supplies bombed. also we havent reigned in israel so we arent even following the agreement we are beating our chests over being a just cause to continue killing kids for yids.
>>
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>>537883737
I'm discussing the current geopolitical situation in the middle east, not seething about orange man bloompf. There's countless other threads these absurd faggots can do that in.
>>537883780
>this shit again
yes, germantard, he had it coming. the same answer you got the last 10 times you've done this
>>
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I'm confused... why the fuck did lebanon gave up land, they could have just sat back and chilled...
what the fuck?
>>
>>537883857
based, just doing it for 100 years more and it is even
>>
>>537883605
Retreat like they did from Syria?
>>
>>537883715
Those are just Hezbo supporters. Actual leaders of Hezbollah told them to calm the fuck down and go home.

>>537883752
No one in Lebanon has the means or willpower to die for Israel. They already tried to advance during the memefire and got FPV droned. Hezbollah can fly FPV drones into Israel itself, no one is gonna be settling in Lebanon lol.
>>
>>537883857
But you literally seethed at a guy for saying he doesn't care about drumpf.
>>
>>537883805
Youre AI Anon. Why do come here when you get btfo constantly? Reading your posts gives me a headache.
>>
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> — WATCH: U.S. Central Command has released footage from one of the recent strikes on southern Iran.
>>
>>537883943
have another migraine yid
>>
>>537882497
Basically. It's not clear whether a group within Iran acted independently, or whether the attack was a premeditated attempt to test the waters but it was a blatant violation of the terms of the memorandum.

Now things will either escalate because Iran wanted out of the deal and will take this as a pretense, or de-escalate because Iran wants the deal and it was just a prank bro.
>>
>>537883980
That's just some guy starting his truck
>>
>>537883980
why does this one look so shit?
>>
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>>537883937
Anyone who unironically says shit like orange man and drumpf or any insane liberal shit like that is dismissed immediately and just laughed at, no matter what they're larping as. The people who do that still seem to be confused by it.
>>537883980
btw, this seems like it's the same weapons system we use for the cartel boat shit; and to my knowledge they've never revealed what exactly it is. Of course it's probably a drone but idk if they've confirmed it.
>>
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>>537883937
He is jealous of trump
>>
>>537883980
Did they bomb empty dunes? can't see shit
No wonder Iran didn't even bother to respond
>>
>>537883980
What did they hit?
>>
>>537884021
They clearly want the deal otherwise they would have retaliated against Israel regarding lebanon a long time ago.
>>
>>537883980
what is the purpose of that? they want to test irans bottomline?
iran didn't respond properly to that, footage is fine for domestic propaganda but this should it proliferate will force iran to make hard decisions

maybe this is the aim, to push irans redlines further a "shit test"
if they do not respond well another transgression is normalized

after misjudging irans capeabillity in both wars and their resolve especially with the ramadan/39 day war it is a bit foolish from my perspective

this will end badly due to lack of risk aversion
get the cowboys out of the drivers seat
>>
Stallion turned back btw, dunno what that means tho
>>
>>537883898
They did it to get America off their back and prevent Lebanon from going under sanctions or being blockaded. All they're gonna do is wag their finger at Hezbollah while Israel retreats due to their "victory in negotiations" and their delusions that Lebanon is gonna enter another civil war. Once they actually leave the treaty will be ignored. Hezbollah are fully in on the scam so they aren't gonna do anything other than strongly worded letters.
>>
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>>537884069
>>537884160
>>537884171
>>537884192
>What did they hit?
"drone storage facility and radar sites", apparently

>>537884078
>and to my knowledge they've never revealed what exactly it is. Of course it's probably a drone but idk if they've confirmed it.
Eh, I think it's standard hellfire missiles.
>>
Every time the kikes strike first you retards say Iran won't do shit and then they do and you scatter like the roaches you are kek
>>
>>537884339
>Eh, I think it's standard hellfire missiles.
I think so too, but I find it odd they've never just said it lol
>>
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>>537882284
if you understand the split between tehran and IRGC
then you understand why IRGC does not set off in full scale coordinated assault
the orders are not coming
hence the attacks are uncontrolled and uncoordinated
>>
>>537883595
>rejoin the (((world economy)))
Said the increasingly irrelevant zog-shill for the 20th time today.
>>
>>537884343
this is what happens, jubilation for crumps of operational success
oil inventories are not recovered by happy headlines and the strait doesn't open by shooting it up

project freedom 4.0 it is
we are regressing in this so called ceasefire and the memorandum might as well not exist
>>
>>537884339
>next time will be much more intense trust me bro
Kek sortor is such a delusional migger
>>
>>537883697
Miggers are mutts. They can't read beyond a 5th grade level. Expecting them to know basic words like "perfidy" is absurd.
>>
>>537884461
But I want Iran to be treated fairly and normally and for them to act the same way, you know why? So we don't have to pretend Iran is some boogey man just because the kikes in Israel are whining.
Also, Iran should make a deal because it's exactly the OPPOSITE of what Israel wants.
>>
>>537883898
>>537884306

yeah, the jews/jewsa have a million ways to crush a little poor government like Lebanon's.

It's entirely possible that privately, the Lebanon government is cheering for Hezbollah, sorta like how this week Oman had to go along with helping the Jews sneak ships through the Strait of Hormuz, until Iran blew up one of the ships.

Oman was cheering that ship strike by Iran, and they could just tell the Jews that Oman tried their hardest.

But I never trust Sunnis to support their own best interests when they could hurt the Shiites more than themselves by sucking jewish cock.
Same goes for the Lebanese Christians.
>>
>>537883697
>>537884594
you zoomers all watch the same slop of youtube or telegram or wherever then all parrot the same shit at the same time and think no one notices. you need to go outside more.
>>
>>537884729
Some retard on 4chan doesn't have greater than a middle school vocabulary doesn't get to talk shit about going outside. Get off your furry hentai games and read a book for your own sake.
>>
>>537884631
Zog will never treat any nation fairly, it's a delusion.
>>
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It's just hard to post in this general these days with miggers constantly winning all the time now
>>
>>537884797
>>537884806
>>537884863
remember, /pig/ isn't your seethe space. you can do that in your discord
>>
>>537884863
iran never had a chance against a super power, its best to accept that and move on
>>
>>537884925
n-no they took down drumpf ok?
>>
>>537884863
And after the destroyer gets droned, there come the pallets of cash even larger than Obunga's.
>>
>>537884895
Cool narrative Langley, tell us another. You beating China yet?
>>
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I think this is the only man who could open the strait of hormuz for good.
Has anybody seen him?
>>
>>537884925
True, if only vietnam knew that, baka.
>>
>>537885036
not langley, Tampa, Florida by pattern
>>
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>>537885036
It's not a narrative, it's a fact. This is a general to talk about Iran and the geopolitics of the region, not for you leftist commie freaks to seethe about Trump. Go make a general for all of you that came to shill the 2024 election but stayed to seethe that you lost to seethe in.
and inb4 some heckin quirky reply that's irrelevant, you lost troon LOL
>>
>>537885060
Last I saw was a grainy Motorola razr video of him acking.
>>
>>537885151
Holy 2016
>>
Not sure if this news reached /pig/ but the U.S. deliberately chose Iran's match today with Egypt as the World Cup's designated "LGBT Pride Match" out of spite.
The stadium in Seattle is already cloaked with fag colours. Not sure what they'll force the players/fans to do, but it might get ugly
>>
>>537885250
miggers made one meme and have been repeating it ad infinitum
>>
>>537885060
>sent children to war over nothing and lost award
>died in a 3 day smo hanging like a dog award
>>
>>537885258
>gay ayatollah
this is FIFA enabling their tournament as a military and psychological warfare operation
>>
>>537885258
Getting pretty fucking hard to continue to larp as the good guys desu.
>>
>>537885151
>> seethe about Trump
> Search for the word trump in the thread
> only found six times
> two of those are by faggots who are in love with him
I think you are obsessed
>>
>>537885258
but youre a leftist tranny for not helping homo yids spread gay sex across the world at gunpoint.
>>
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>>537885295
being an enemy of the US is stupid, being a fren of the US gets your ass sodomized with a bayonet or get you hanged

moral of the story is to enrich not just your culture but your uranium like kim did
>>
>>537885404
>homo yids
denounce roy kohn
>>
https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/2070615487642247369

Barak Ravid claims this is the text of the Lebanon-Israel agreement. I don't see anyone claiming he's lying, but I also see suspiciously little discussion about such an important document.

It's too long to copy paste here but I'll copy a bit of it, point 4 is the main one about Hezbollah

>4. The Government of Lebanon reaffirms its resolute and irreversible commitment to restoring and exercising full sovereignty over all its territory. The Government of Lebanon will rebuild the State's monopoly on the use of force, achieve the complete and verified disarmament of all non-state armed groups, and ensure that such groups will have no military or security role and no armed capabilities anywhere in Lebanon. The Government of Lebanon herewith requests the support of international and particularly Arab partners, under the leadership of the United States, to achieve this outcome.
>>
>>537882685
This is misinformed.
>>
>>537885258

Just another humiliating loss to the miggers they are just rubbing it in now damn those migger trolls
>>
>>537885405
>redditard take about saddam being a us ally because he got some american gibs 20 years before his hanging
>>
>>537885472
huge if true. total iranny surrender
>>
>>537885478
Vance claimed a "red phone", iran denied it
the delegation left switzerland

deconfliction cell is where? technical experts are by public information still in switzerland low level?

so by inference this is the vector of communication
depending on who told the untruth it could be 100% wrong
>>
>>537885442
the jew? i hope he burns forever in hell.
>>
>>537885151
The President isn't even the president. Who cares about some fucker with a title? This is about commodities.
>>
>>537885526
denounce the perfidious incubator lie, kuwait must pay a thousand generations reparations for it
>>
>>537885250
>>537885279
>foreigners
It still works because liberals are still mind broken because of it LOL
>>
>>537885592
why do you think trumps mentor who taught him everything is in hell?
>>
>>537885060
Imagine being so much of an obnoxious nigger you convince Iran and Israel to leave aside their differences and tag team against you.

>>537885472
>I also see suspiciously little discussion about such an important document.
For real. As I said above, this is Lebanon's Oslo accords. They've just given south Lebanon essentially the same legal status as the West Bank.
>>
>>537885472
>>537885542

The "deal" is worthless, just like the "cease-fire" between Israel and Lebanon, when those two governments were not even fighting.

It's like if you two faggots made a deal to split Elon Musk's net worth 50/50 between the two of you.
You could celebrate your deal all you want, but everybody else would just laugh at you for being so retarded and desperate for a "win".
>>
>>537885651
>Imagine being so much of an obnoxious nigger you convince Iran and Israel to leave aside their differences and tag team against you.
kuwait slant drilled and stole iraqs oil, the casus belli was correct
>>
>>537885569
It's not in Switzerland.
>>
How many times is Iran going to win this war?
>>
>>537885731
I'm talking about the Iran-Iraq war.
>>
>>537885731
They drank Iraq's milkshake
>>
>>537885472
I mean Iran would never agree to that. Even when cucking they wouldn't. Ravid as we know is just a mouth piece for the white house, I'm sure that's what Rubio told him it said.
>>
>>537885625
I dont care about it lol. The very fact that Kuwait was a civilized pro-western petrostate and Iraq was (and is) a dirt poor shithole gassing its own citizens is enough to pick a side. Saddam lost, Baath lost, BWC won.
>>
>>537885472
if Hezbollah and the Lebanese army joined forces, how powerful would it be?
>>
>>537885781
where then? I was too lazy to check
genuinely curious
>>537885821
Complicated words for a butcher.
>>
>>537885651
>>537885060
I miss saddam. Things would be real different if he was still around.
>>
RIP LEBANON
>https://www.youtube.com/shorts/CudA5yJyBNg
>>
>>537885472
This part here maybe even more important

>Two initial zones have been agreed to by the IDF and the LAF, and future pilot zones will also be agreed upon by mutual consent. Upon the confirmation of successful disarmament of non-state armed groups and dismantlement of their infrastructure in these zones, the LAF will assume full and effective security responsibility in these zones, internationally supported reconstruction efforts will begin, and Lebanese civilians will be able to safely return to these areas under the exclusive control of Lebanese state authorities.
This is explicitly stating that control of the southern territories will be given to Lebanon only AFTER Hezbollah is dismantled, meaning Israel has legitimate territorial and military rights in the interim???
>>
>>537885908
it is only a casus belli to get others involved and give them diplomatic cover
and increase the cost by iran to intervene as well as rug pulling the actionable concessions by the US in the MoU
>>
>>537885089
now vietnam are slaves that make us clothing, who you do you think actually won that war?
>>
>>537884306
>israel will leave
I've got a bridge to sell you
>>
>>537885987
that's fucking retarded. why would lebanon agree to that? I get that they are taking back some of the territory, but that's an insane condition.
>>537885990
ok but that didn't answer the question
>>
>>537886001
not you
>>
>>537886064
the most outstanding aspect of you is your age, you are far too old to be here and to be doing this
I'm here because I'm mentally ill

what is your condition soldier? shouldn't you be in retirement?
>>
>>537885797
there is no more winning only miggers now
>>
>>537884457
where is the supreme leader?
>>
>>537886017
Strait can only be closed for so long bro.

>>537886064
>that's fucking retarded. why would lebanon agree to that?
Because they aren't gonna do anything lol. This all just propaganda for the Yids by giving them delusions of a civil war in Lebanon to make of for their humiliating retreat. Hezbollah have already refused to abide by it.
>>
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>>537886116
I think you're retarded, but I like you german schizo.
>>
>>537886017
israel is already low on manpower and interception capabilities, they cannot start a new conflict with iran and use up what little they have. i wouldn't be surprised if they just up and left under that sort of guise. of course, this is all conjecture and theorizing-- israel's hardliners are genuinely retarded and believe god will keep iran's missiles from hitting them once they run out of THAADs lol
>>
>>537886098
Maybe you should go work in a vietnam sweatshop and come back and tell me that.
>>
>>537886176
I like you as well mr nationalist. Consider relinquishing your public incitement of genocide under 18 U.S. Code § 1091
>>
>>537885651
>For real. As I said above, this is Lebanon's Oslo accords. They've just given south Lebanon essentially the same legal status as the West Bank.
Thank you for making me feel less insane. Unless this deal is just some kind of lie theyre going to walk back in a minute this seems like a crazy development.
>>
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>>537886286
idk what that means but best of luck with that
>>
>>537886343
following orders and ignorance of the law doesn't protect your actions

here
https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/1091
consider not violating this law by inciting the genocide of shia muslims in lebanon in this public forum
>>
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STRAIT'S CLOSED
>>
>>537886176
>>537886286
Get a room you two already

>>537886306
Lebanon is somewhat desensitized to legal calls to disarm Hezbollah (they've been doing it since 2006). The crucial part is that this is the first time that a Lebanese government officially legally accepted Israeli presence in south Lebanon. And indefinite presence at that with no stated timeline for withdrawal.
It's absolutely insane, they've given Israel a perfect legal claim to justify perpetually occupying south Lebanon exactly as they do Palestine.
>>
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>>537886596
had Ai make you a bahrain song in arabic yesterday
https://files.catbox.moe/hh2f1m.mp3
>>
>>537886596
>And indefinite presence at that with no stated timeline for withdrawal
If the Ravid post is accurate then it's contingent on the disarmament of Hezbollah and any other non state militia.

>Upon the confirmation of successful disarmament of non-state armed groups and dismantlement of their infrastructure in these zones, the LAF will assume full and effective security responsibility in these zones
>>
>>537886710
Aww
>>
>>537886596
its a win win for israel, either hezbollah stands down and accepts the annexation or a civil war starts which israel would love anyways. Basically checkmate
>>
Egypt vs Iran Soccer Game in Seattle (LGBTQ+ Pride event) starting now!
>>
>>537886857
it is risky for israel, a risk they didn't need to take
breaking a 50 yearish long running stable equilibrium in a time of
technological paradigm shifts and shifting sands of public support in their former iron clad patron
is reckless in my book
>>
>>537886901
thanks going to watch it for the heterosexual players not for the homosexual US regime

FIFA being used as prop for the "ayatollah" is gay US state deparment psychological warfare is
breaking their agreeements (as normal for the right bribe)
>>
Man this is boring. Something happen already!
>>
>2056
>The last of the Hormuz IRGC have finally been found after 3 decades of trade distribution using firecrackers and slingshots from a canoe
>>
>>537886857
there is literally zero will among the lebanese army or people to oppose hezbollah and the shias. all this did was give israel a headline victory and put their western-friendly/neutral lebanese government at risk of being couped and replaced by a hostile government.
>>
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>>537886710
Only about 10% of the lyrics are actual arabic but for the effort alone I'll forgive it.
Also sorry if you posted this already lol, didn't notice.

>>537886794
>it's contingent on the disarmament of Hezbollah and any other non state militia.
Exactly, something which is never going to happen without a civil war, and Israel knows that.
It's a pretext to occupy south Lebanon as long as a "non-state armed group" or any of its "infrastructure" exists, which could literally be anything.
>>
>>537886857
>civil war starts
Read about the 2008 crisis. This won’t go the way you think
>>
>>537882284
Just saying, one low yield nuclear mine at an undisclosed location in the strait and Iran would never have drama over who controls the strait again.
>>
>>537887140
that would be an insanely giant mine
>>
>>537887089
No problem. I didn't post it. What I was invested in was the idea in general.
As in how would you defend bahrain or sell it in times of crisis. Your photo of the shore is what it is based on and your talk of hiraeth for the springs.

Maybe it did not work. I can try it in english again and a more western canon..
>>
>>537886945
whats the downside? their enemy (hezbollah) in a worst case scenario has to fight on two fronts while cut off from Iranian support since Iran doesn't want to retaliate
>>
>>537887089
>It's a pretext to occupy south Lebanon as long as a "non-state armed group" or any of its "infrastructure" exists, which could literally be anything.
That's been their excuse for literal years. It means less than nothing. Hezbollah aren't gonna disarm, aren't gonna let Israel stay, and Iran isn't gonna accept it and open up Hormuz in response. It's all kayfabe to appease the Israeli populace.
>>
>>537887140
iran would send the nuclear dust TM above kinerret lake
israel would be forced to engage in a fatalistic water war just to stay viable then (should iran take down the desalination)

either with syria, lebanon or iraq
>>
>>537887175
Googling it suggests they could be about the same size as conventional naval mines and can be deployed by sub, boat, or air.
>>
>>537887195
murphys law, you destroy complex systems and everything goes fubar
like iran suddenly took over the middle east because the US thought bombs good create liberal democracies
>>
>>537887285
I actually have no idea how big a naval mine is or if Iran can make a nuke small enough to fit in one.
>>
>>537887236
Yes the decision to stay in lebanon is purely politcal and opposite of the military reality. it's not going to last. Israel retreated from lebanon all the other times without any of the pressure that exists now so there's no way they're staying
>>
>>537887296
If you can't even come up with a positive scenario for hezbollah then I just don't think its realistic to expect some black swan event for Israel.
>>
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Why did Lebanon fucking betray Iran wtf?!
>>
>>537887434
my positive hez scenario ends with turkish tanks in damascus after jolani gets his ass handled to him
so an israeli loss case, lebanon is unlikely to remain as a proxy of iran since assad fell

this is ground truth mechanical game theory of it and over a medium time horizon
>>
>>537887461
They're tired of war and probably are getting offered life changing money behind the scenes.
>>
>>537887461
The lebanese government have always been good goys. They would have taken out hezbollah long ago if they could but they know they'll all die in the attempt.
IIrc the father or grandfather of the current president was a literal traitor selling out lebanon to the jews.
>>
>>537887195
>>537887434
Your worst case scenario is a non-starter. There will be no civil war. Hezbollah runs Lebanon
>>
>>537887461
aoun wants to get rid of shia muslims by genocide and so do the GCC
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZpV1PNYHG_Q

the entire region is too pissed with the proxy strategy to be rational
>>
>>537887580
christcucks and sunniggers: the perfect goyim
>>
>>537885472
That's just the same as the ceasefire agreement they had like a month ago which also didn't include hezbollah, and surprise... didn't amount to anything because of that.
>>
>>537883741
No? They're further in this time.
>>
>>537887461
Hezbollah dragged all of lebanon into this war. A lot of lebanese have died as a result. I don’t think iran pushed hezbollah into attacking israel but it was still a bad idea.
>>
>>537887863
>a lot of Lebanese died because of Israel and thats Hezbollah's fault
>>
>>537887863
Denounce the Talmud.
>>
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>>537883980
Makes you miss the Hezbo drone kino ngl
>>
>>537887574
If you're right then hezbollah is going to have to fight back against Israel or accept the annexation. So far they're accepting it.
>>
>>537887863
why the fuck is israel even in lebanon in tanks? this was about confronting iran
>>
1-1 in Egypt vs Iran 21'
>>
>>537887461
To be fair, Lebanon was always America's bitch. They're just usually powerless to have a say in the matter between Israel's and Hezbollah.
I think the reality is the government wishes to not be apart of any of this shit, but that'll obviously never happened.
>>
>>537888010
>Hezbollah is going to have to fight back against Israel
What do you think they’ve been doing for the last 3 months, and on and off for the last 40 years?
>>
>>537887863
Judío
>>
>>537883980
they just bombed a sandcasttle? KEK
>>
>>537888057
C'mon Iran
>>
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>>537888038
if mexican cartels were shooting rockets into texas, you bet your ass we’d overcompensate like assholes in a way that inconveniences the local population

i mean, fuck, trump raped and gaped every boat leaving venezuala for a bit

israeli military doctrine has become american domestic policing and foreign pressure doctrine - i doubt we’d level skyscrapers in Mexico City, but I’m biased i s’pose
>>
HAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHHA
*breathes*
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHA
>>
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>>537888225
>doubt we’d level skyscrapers in Mexico City,

I think we would
>>
>>537885946
It might not even exist.
>>
>>537888280
and it begins , the revolution has begun. rise up Iran civies
>>
>>537888280
>(((WarMonitor)))
I’ll wait for an actual source
>>
>>537888280
>Ukraine flag
>Uk flag
he isn't a mythomaniac kike, isn't he?
>>
>>537888347
The source is another xitter account from an iraqi kike, don't bother
>>
>>537888225
israel voluntary opened the lebanon front without direct necessity to do it now and during this conflict while the iran and hormuz threat were still running
the US foreign policy should not run on the time table of the israeli election calendar, it is a perversion
>>
>>537888280
That was hours ago, a couple reported dead but nothing since
>>
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If the Iranian regime was intelligent they would be playing nice to try and drive a wedge between Israel and the USA. Fortunately for Israel the Iranian regime is dumb as fuck apparently. Just because the Trump admin doesn’t want a forever war does not mean they won’t do a forever war.
>>
>>537888529
good good... 2 dead irannys
>>
>>537888057
Just realized Iran isn't responding because of the game
>>
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>>537885799
Khomenei hated Saddam and wanted him to be overthrown through uprisings by shiites and kurds, not totally his fault
>israelis and iranians in the same team
tha was a move made by kikekistan in a point were Iraq was an ally of the west, americans should've realized how uncontrollable and treacherous the kikes are
>>
>1pbtid concern troll
you’re telling me this for the first time
>>
>>537888558
If they played nice they would just be handing lebanon (and the entire region) over to the kikes, but you already knew that
>>
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>>537888565
YOU ARE RIGHT!
>>
>>537888562
we got a migger here , look everyone this is a migger
>>
>>537888565
G-d damnit
>>
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>>537888677
hope and despair are clashing and you choose the losing side



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