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Anita Max Wynn edition
NBA playoofs soon
also post your losing soccer bets here
>>
is lakers and warriors ML too obvious? refs should give them at least 15 points each
>>
>>140121210
Depends what they’re paying for the parlay
I think the pelicans have a chance to pull it out
>>
>>140121470
its around +225. nobody gives a shit about the pelicans and kings but maybe im missing something.
>>
>>140121576
>nobody gives a shit about the pelicans and kings
weird, how many points do they get for people caring about them?
>>
>>140121726
this is the NBA not a legitimate competition. only reason the lakers and warriors made it this far is because the league wants the old stars in the playoffs. hard to believe they would stop now
>>
what's the point of -0.5 handicap
>>
half a hand innit paolo
>>
Any UCL bets for tomorrow?
>>
>>140130827
man or draw & arsenal or draw 1.8
>>
Today its a good day to make a sure bet
>Go to barcelona psg
>bet on psg to be classified
>bet on barcelona dc draw + some useless shit if you want to make more money
Thx me later
>>
>page 8 in 2.5 hours
?
>>
>>140135562
Janny cant into betting
>>
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>when you want to cash out but the bookmaker will not let you
>>
>>140124935
That's just a standard Win-Draw-Win market
>>
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cash out or nah?
>>
>bet on draw or athletico
>get a free live bet
>dont spend the free live bet
>dortmund goes up 2-0
>hooooold
>atletico ties 2-2
>spend the free bet on dortmund
>dortmund scores two more
>>
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>>140133848
when will thirdies learn to not bet on soccer
>>
Lebron at least 25 points and lakers to win @3.5
>>
>>140141928
yes
>>
A few tennis bets for tomorrow:

Humbert to beat Lajovic @1.5

Seyboth Wild to beat Navone @1.8

Trevisan to beat Osaka @2.8

Jabeur to beat Alexandrova @2.1
>>
>>140146826
>Osaka
the blasian? i forgot i don't watch much tennis, who's trevisan
might chuck a tenner on each of these
>>
>>140143728
Dude PSG classified the bet its won
You would only be able to lose the bet if PSG win by a score of 1 and somehow lose to barça in the penalties
>>
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>>140153322
>>140143728
This was the gains if you did what i told you to do
>>
feeling like i get too greedy and go for 100% ROI bets and parlays too much
>>
>>140151634
Yes, she is back after pregnancy. It's an irrelevant clay tournament and she doesn't like clay so I think the odds are off even if it's already baked into the odds to begin with. Now watch her dominate after I said this.
>>
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>>140154861
>clay
>baked
>>
>>140154883
Osala predictably looked careless and pretty much got destroyed. Not sure why she even bothered entering this but at least it provided a rare opportunity to fade her on clay.
>>
rest easy bet bros. the nba just banned the one and only player who was rigging prop bets
>>
I got 76ers and over 221.5 @1.76 in the hawks bulls game. Also small on Acuna over 1.5 total bases, Reds ML, St. Louis Blues under 2.5 team total.
>>
Bayern to score 2 @ 2.10 is huge wtf
Of course there's a chance Upamecano will make his double double pen + red card with 15 min in but still
>>
>>140159191
i think sixers spread is better value. win easy if they dont choke.
>>
>>140159639
thats facts just don't know how healthy embiid is
>>
>>140159802
i think he rested longer than he needed to and is the healiest he has ever been in the playoffs.
>>
>>140153322
>classified
learn english you monkey
>>
>>140146826
Seyboth Wild and Navone will play tomorrow. 2-1 with the bets so far. Humbert decided to shit the bed but I guess he was due for a shitty performance at some point. Has been too consistent lately. Not too bothered since the 2 underdogs won. Will probably share some bets for tomorrow later.
>>
>>140163911
Bautista-Agut to beat Norrie @2.2

Etcheverry to beat Nakashima @1.7

Over 2.5 sets in Carballes-Baena - Tsitsipas @3.25

Jabeur to beat Paolini @2

Vondrousova to win 2-0 against Potapova @2.25
>>
>>140168031
Also think Rybakina wins 2-0 but don't quite like the odds enough. Maybe if they rise a bit I'll consider it.
>>
>>140118762
bet
>>
>>140153350
I don’t know what kind of favela jenkem you’re huffing, but the Barcelona/draw double chance was 1.4
not 3.7 or 2.0
>>
Rosario central to win @1.75
>>
>>140171958
Psg to go to the semis 3.7
Barcelona dc 1.4 but if you put something like more than 2.5 goals for barcelona or goal kick or whatever you could easily turn it into 2
>>
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>>140168031
RBA on clay vs a brit sounds good to me
>>
>>140172558
> if you put something like more than 2.5 goals for barcelona or goal kick or whatever you could easily turn it into 2
you are a poor favela monkey
>>
>>140173375
I'm 10 dollars richer because of that game
Thank you very much
>>
>>140173718
10 american dollars or brazilian reals?
lmao
>>
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I'm happy :)
>>
>>140172655
don't you have another tea party to throw guv?
>>
>>140172655
Looking rough, think this is a quick 2-0 for Norrie sadly.
>>
>>140182812
i wouldn't mind a quickie rn iykwim haha
>>
>>140182812
Bautista was top 10 consistent performer then just hit a wall in his career. I don't want to see him fade so soon.
>>
>>140168031
2 wins and 3 losses. Etcheverry and Vondrousova bets worked. Also Seyboth Wild and Navone got postponed again so still have to wait for that to be settled.
>>
>>140189338
For tomorrow:

Arnaldi to win a set against Ruud @1.8

Fritz to beat Draper @1.6

Rybakina to beat Paolini 2-0 @2.1
>>
>>140194079
Also adding a stupid longshot: Over 0.5 tiebreaks in Swiatek - Raducanu @5

Usually never bet on Raducanu and I don't feel comfortable with a more "serious" bet so going with this because I suspect this might be closer than expected.
>>
LIVE Ducks vs Golden Knights Under 5.5

Vegas wants to play Dallas let's go goalies and tanking.
>>
NEED nhl and nba playoff series bets
>>
swiatek -1.5 sets vs raducanu
>>
>>140205744
sixers should be able to take care of the knicks in 5 or 6. basically a bet on embiids health. odds are going to move a lot after we see how he looks game 1
>>
>>140194079
Fritz won. Rybakina should have definitely won 2-0 but decided to throw the second set just to ruin the 2-0 bet. Arnaldi lost pretty convincingly so that was a bad call. Seyboth Wild lost to Navone after days of waiting. Not too happy with the "main" bets today but at least the tiebreak longshot with Raducanu worked. >>140195333
Raducanu is playing her best tennis in ages, possibly even since her US Open win. Something to look out for in upcoming tournaments where she is likely to be the underdog since she usually sucks and loses in early rounds.

Also think Vondrousova will beat the winner of Kostyuk - Gauff, so probably Gauff. If she's anything more than a @2.5 underdog against Gauff I'm betting on her.
>>
can someone explain to be the difference between these three bets?
>garcia to be knocked down @+105
>haney to score a knockdown @+100
>haney total knockdowns 1+ @+125
aren’t they all the same bet with 3 different odds?
>>
>bet 7 bucks on cagliari
>2 penalties to them
>retire with 21 bucks

Its THAT easy. Betting on upsets and retiring.
But also make sure to correctly identify them.
I won with crystal palace because of liverpool's low morale and the cursed date (hillsborough and crystanbul lol)
I predicted west ham because leverkusen outside of germany struggle a lot but end up winning or drawing at the end (like with qarabag)
I now predicted cagliari's upset because they are decently strong at home, and juventus are low on morale.
Of course, the half time break can change everything, so i often cash out winning around 2x or 3x the amount.
>>
>>140211260
If you insist on doing something like this regularly you should hedge rather than cash out. You're very likely leaving money on the table by using the cashout option instead of calculating the proper hedge yourself.
>>
>>140210865
garcia is fat
>>
>>140124935
Draw is a loss for the favorite and a win for the underdog
>>
>>140210865
Yeah that looks like the same bet with three different payouts. Take the +125
>>
>>140143728
It’s their only sport. They literally can’t help it
>>
>Mariners ML over Colorado
Ms swept the Reds last series. Rockies are the worst team in baseball. I’d take anything up to -160 with Seattle. Grab the run line if you’re feeling spicy
>>
>>140212435
game was called off cuz it’s snowing in denver. playing 2 tomorrow
>>
I have Kings and Bulls spread buying a bunch of points at a bad price and feel horrible about it. Also took the cardinals run line for no reason other than theyre at home.
>>
>>140212544
Should be same pitchers tomorrow. Make the same bet
>>
>>140213813
What about them wanting to stick it to the federal airline association? They've shown they can slug at home and one of their coaches is under investigation for doing nothing wrong.
>>
>>140209314
For tomorrow I only have 2 bets:

Rybakina to beat Swiatek @4.3 even if Swiatek realistically wins this on clay. But I disagree with Rybakina being this much of an underdog. Don't truly believe it will hit but have to bet it out of principle with odds like that.

Vondrousova to beat Kostyuk 2-0 @2. Kostyuk has spent a lot of time on court in the last few matches. Surprised she even had the energy left for the match against Gauff but I think she should be starting to run on fumes now. Depending on the how the other semi-finals match goes I think Vondrousova might even win the final if Swiatek and Rybakina tire each other out.
>>
I picked the bulls because I wanted to be right more than I wanted money. The flashiest conclusion of a lowly team catching the right form to knockoff a real playoff team was easier to back for some reason. I get burned on these ultimatum games all the time thinking they can finally not be losers when they have the chance to be winners.
>>
>>140215967
bet against what you want to happen and you cant lose
>>
>Bet 2k against the Crows
>Win
>Give it all back
>Bet 2k against the Crows
>Win

Looking forward to Collingwood coming back and the rest of my bets losing. Geelong +12.5 and GWS to win if you want to counter me
>>
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the most bullshit parlay I’ve ever hit. Was absolutely wasted when I hit submit
>>
any good /bets/ in the next hour?
>>
Lakers are gonna beat Nuggets right?
>>
>>140226774
No bet on
Cavs,Suns,Knicks and Nuggets
>>
Royals moneyline is free money boys. They've got an easy win against Baldimore. I live in KC & am watching the morning batting practice & baldy looks like absolute shit + KC has the #3 in the Cy Young standings pitching tonight.
>>
>>140227633
Orioles are throwing Burnes. He’s looked damn near unhittable this year. Royals would have to win a low scoring game
>>
>>140226774
Nuggets are -310 for the series. Implied odds of 76%. It’s more likely Denver sweeps them than the Lakers win the series
>>
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>>140220189
Come back they did
>>
My bet for Brasileirão

>Fluminense Vasco
Draw
>Grêmio Cuiabá
Grêmio
>Red bull Corinthians
Redbull
>Atlético Cruzeiro
Draw
>>
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>>140227633
>>140227868
That was a hard fought game last night on both sides. I'd think the orioles tie the series up with Burnes going. But if that anon feels a certain way I'll listen to him. Total is 7.5 what do?
>>
>>140230506
I don't touch baseball totals, sorry king. even the elite pitchers have blow up games & sometimes the bats are just cold - totals are too unpredictable tbqhwyf imvho
>>
>>140232588
Okay but sometimes you just know depending on the spot like any other total in a sport. Like white sox Michael Soroka vs a high homerun hitting but strikeout prone lineup who just blew the team out yesterday and now with their ace going there's not much incentive for them to do what it takes to score a lot of runs because the Phillies can be lazy at the plate sometimes. Meanwhile soroka is finally situated on his new team and its a good time for him to get back to ace level like he used to be years ago. Thats when Under 7.5 is a good bet and I've taken it. Also Cubs day games on a weekday in the middle of summer with the wind blowing in. There's just certain spots and exploitable numbers. You can use totals as a hedge too. You can take the Phillies RL but also the under because if the White Sox are going to win its going to be low scoring. If the royals win the total probably goes over so you can take the royals ML and under 7.5 and hope they somehow both go through but mitigate risk anyway. I know it's still luckkswing but it's a good way to watch a game if all else fails.
>>
>>140214120
Rybakina did end up beating Swiatek. Very disrespectful odds. No way even on clay she deserved to be a @4.3 underdog. Think closing line was even @4.5 but I assume bookies learned their lesson now and next time they play on clay she won't be this much of an underdog again. On the other hand Vondrousova shat the bed after even making a comeback in the first set just to lose in a tiebreaker and more or less give up on the match anyway. But not too bothered when a 4.3 bet hits,

For tomorrow I like Struff to beat Fritz @2.1 in Munich. Have a couple of other leans but nothing I'm betting. Also expect Rybakina to beat Kostyuk but don't see anything that looks worth it to me odds-wise.

In about 2 hours Walton will play Mpetshi Perricard in Acapulco. Haven't paid too close attention to this tournament but I think Walton should win this. Will throw half a unit on him @1.8
>>
>>140227633
>>140227633
welp what a retarded fucking pick I made today
>>
Only need Lakers to win to hit this acca
Maybe it would be wiser to just cash out
>>
>>140240491
Walton got completely destroyed. My fault for betting on a tournament I didn't really follow. Need to stop with these careless bets out of boredom so I have something to follow.
>>
Come on leafs act like you've been here before
>>
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are dead heat rules a jewish mind trick?
>>
AB/CTESPN posted that the Chargers are looking to trade Herbert to the Vikings
Odds are pretty long for Chargers 1st draft pick to be a QB
DK sportsbook let me bet 20 on +5000 (was +15000 earlier)
Fanatics sportsbook is still +15000 but only let me bet 5 on it
Is this legit or just books protecting there asses from a surprise
>>
>>140249093
that bet looks like a bad value
>>
>>140250286
Chargers to draft a QB is now +2500 on DK
>>
>>140250286
Harbaugh turned down the Falcons and Raiders jobs just because of their bad quarterback situation. The idea was that he'd help Herbert who's still young make that next step because he's already a franchise qb who just needs guidance. It wouldn't make sense to trade him unless you think Harbaugh really wants Michael Penix Jr. for some reason. The smart thing is draft a wr for Herbert and use the later rounds to your advantage because Harbaugh knows all the college players in this years draft. I dont think he'd waste one if those on McCarthy because Michigan didn't even let him throw the ball at times. I think Penix could be a good starting QB but its too much risk when you have one already.
>>
>>140250602
i think profiting is good value
>>
>>140250602
whats a good value bet, eggsplain
>>
Slavia
Cobenhavn
Panathinaikos
Manure to qf
RB Salzburg
Galatasaray
FC Porto
7 leg accy ~5.00
>>
>>140257274
dead heat rules mean you lose your original bet and you only win half of what the pay is, so if you bet with dead heat rules on odds less than +200 or 3.0 you end up worse than a push on tie
>>
>>140257647
would like the teams theyre facing as those names belong to teams across many sports and divisions
>>
>>140257900
Sure
>>
>>140257826
Now im even more confused.
>>
>>140257826
look at how much i got back for betting at +130 and explain how that is worse than a push
fucking retard
>>
>>140257647
In KHL I think Loko wins tomorrow at home down 0-2 in the series. Game 1 could've gone either way and game 2 they had a last second goal disallowed that looks like it gave them momentum anyway. It's at 1.50 for the 60 minute line. You might want to look into it.
>>
>>140259377
he is a retard but that was poor value because ties are likely so a +130 is really more like a -250. its not a complete waste but youre paying a little extra vs just betting player o/u.
>>
white sox ML. you dont like your wife anyway
>>
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idk why I did this
>>
>>140260108
I can't bet KHL anymore cause i blocked all my accounts after this past month's meltdown and the only bookie i'm with now doesn't have russian sports
>>
>>140261192
I haven't been betting KHL much at all since the early rounds. It's unknown territory for me right now. Once I bust out the small amount I put in since last year I'm going to reevaluate this thing and go to different bookies myself so I can start line shopping and taking it serious. My point is I don't think a change of scenery is bad. Sorry about your bad luck but I think you'll be fine with just the one.
>>
>>140261024
because you want an excuse to follow the race
>>
>>140240491
Struff beat Fritz 2-0 so that worked perfectly. Think I did pretty well in these late rounds of tournaments this time. Still need to be less careless with certain calls and also need to stop underestimating certain players.

For tomorrow there's only Madrid qualification and a couple of challengers. Will take a closer look and might post a few bets later tonight.
>>
fade all gypsy bets
>>
>>140261762
>going to reevaluate this thing and go to different bookies myself so I can start line shopping and taking it serious
I hope you do well
>>
>>140267389
You mean this? It was so fucking unfair. Still you could've rebacked them to score when they were down, but whatever
>>
I am hype
Hoping for Celtics - Nuggets final
>>
>>140262305
True. I'm not stressing. Maybe this is my sport. But it's like the fun of talladega made me want to get involved. I never wanted to bet based on those feelings no matter how much money it was. Another part of me thinks the drivers can be good here. But usually i just take a few win bets. If anyone wants to get involved the Corey Lajoies' Erik Jones' and Noah Gragson's are the way to go. Just fading HMS, JGR, and Penske.
>>
What in the fuck?
@2.00 ?
For Internacional who finished scoreless the first 2 games in the group ( perhaps unfortunate)? And winning after that away at Palmeiras. Is the stadium in Malta at altitude? Nah, 6m above sea level, according to wikipedia.
"Delfin"
You f kidding me? This is a difference in class
>>
Im thinking real and inter
>>
Im thinking I'm back
*loses my gains all on the footy this weekend*
>>
>>140269556
Inter should win. Delfin is a parking bus kind of team tho. I'll consider unders.
>>
>>140251129
Now at +900
+15000 to +900 in about 24 hours
>>
>>140273990
When does it get officially announced?
>>
Briscoe a lap down
>>
>>140274429
Draft is Thursday night
>>
>>140273990
They're not taking a qb when Harbaugh knows who all the hidden defensive backs and sneaky good o-linemen are.
>>140274429
Thursday- Saturday i think
>>
>>140275153
If they can use pick 5 to take a QB and get 3 top 100 picks out of the Vikings this year to take those sneaky good players then it is worth it
>>
>bet on deportivo alaves @4.1

Kek
It seems like towards the end of the seasons everything becomes shaky.
>>
>>140267267
Late calls since early qualification matches have already started:

Vacherot to beat Rodionov @2.5

Sasnovich to beat Dart @1.4

Danilovic to beat Osorio @3.1

Sramkova to beat Tauson @2.8
>>
>>140280890
Was tempted by patetico desu if i wouldn't have learned the hard way to stay away when they're not playing at home
>>
What's even the point of VAR if this shit happens? Chelsea didn't get a corner from this also.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7c_LHJKEOU
>>
>>140291010
Fuming
>>
Gems to put the money on this week
>Salzburg
Can't drop points in the title race
>>
>Shitty
Poop's side to commit fully to get another PL after the early CL exit, which is infurating considering they failed to beat Chelsea twice, and played Liverpoop for the draw
>>
When i betted 1.000 euros on Leipzig to score, it ended 0-0, the ball simply refusing to go in. The next game they scored 4. Also lost a big bet on Liverpool to score at home against Nigger Palace, when Jones missed that 1 v 1 with the keeper and Jota and Salah with those other clear impossible to miss chances. And there's 20 consecutive games now since AEK Larnaka have managed to find the back of the net at least once since their 0-0 with Othelleos Athienou when i've lost 2.200 euros on over 0.5
>>
Puebla, awful team. Can't defend
Club America: can attack
prediction: 0-3
>>
Previous game ending 1-1 here Dinamo had lots of big chances in first half, and then as always, the poor scumfucks you're betting against score on the only counter they got. Eventually dinamo equalized in the last minute of extra time
>>
Both win again, yes. Sigma Olomouc showed nothing in their fluke draw this last game so will likely be put to the sword, and Hradec Kralove another NPC team, won't be wasting anybody's time with too much tactical analysis except if you guys need it just simply reply to this post with "request full preview hradec kralove". Title race, can't afford to drop points, etc etc
>>
And you already know: Celtic can't afford to drop points on this ground, as Rangers did last round in the title race

Thank you. This is everything for the bronze version of hunch® magazine. To purchase any of the premium packages (silver, gold, platinum, diamond, diamond elite, diamond vip) , simply reply to this post using the code : "purchase [enter package name] package"
>>
the gypsy is trying to steal your money
do not listen to him
>>
NHL bets considering tonight
>all home teams to win @6.54
>all home teams +1.5 @2.04
>more home goals than away goals @1.42
>>
>>140292166
give me a 4 leg same game
>>
>>140292166
there's a universe where all road teams win
>leafs stop pissing their pants and start testing swayman
>isles show the reason why most games between the 2 teams are decided by 1 goal and even the series
>knights show why they're champs and out defend dallas while their rookie leading scorer chokes and game 1 is stolen from them
>oilers can't get McDavid and Draisatl going early against a solid defensive team who can control puck possession.
It's the stanley cup playoffs nothing goes how people think it's going to.
>>
>>140293822
Canes ML -245
Martin Necas over 0.5 points -115
Andrei Schnetnikov over 0.5 points -125
Canes team total over 2.5 -225

idk how sgp's work. can they feed into each other?
>>
Bruins ML @1.71 - not so confident because leafs found something at the start of the 3rd but take it anyway
Isles vs Canes over 5.5 @2.10 - Went under 1st game time to open up scoring. Need help from Islanders because Canes struggle against this type of team. Isles +1.5 @1.76 wouldn't be a bad bet.
Golden Knights team total over 2.5 @1.71 - A safer way to ride the Knights than PL or ML. I'm thinking otter let's in a few to their top guys.
Oilers ML @1.59 - Just gotta do it. I'm betting they bring their A-game and it's too much for the Kings who have a tough challenge this series travelling to Edmonton against that group.
>>
>>140260111
The game easily could have ended with Jokic as leading scorer with under 30 points so its not that simple
>>
>>140294409
you didn’t watch game 1s did you?
>>
>>140289479
After losing the first set Tauson retired so that's a push. Would have likely been a win because I suspect Tauson retired because she was low on energy which was the main reason for the bet. Danilovic won 2-0 and Vacherot won 2-1 so the other 2 underdog bets won. Only thing that didn't work was Sasnovich who somehow managed to lose after winning the first set 6-0. Well, 2 underdogs won and another was a push so can't complain too much. Pretty good day overall.

Hope anybody saw this in time because I posted it way later than intended. Going to take a closer look at any matches tomorrow and share some more stuff later.
>>
>>140297247
I missed the Canes game but I've been watching them all season and there's no way Anderson saves 33 out of 34 shots again. There going to need the Aho and Guentzal line to score highlight goals because Varlamov for the Isles is going to be on his game to try and steal one on the road because it's their only chance. Toronto had 56% puck possession despite committing 6 penalties which killed them so the first 2 games could kill your home team goals prop with the now having Mark Stone Knights lurking. Adding leafs goalie Samsanov over 25.5 saves @1.83.
>>
>>140297247
oh I get it you're saying Home teams are 6-0 in game 1 just do Stars Oilers parlay then.
>>
>>140297399
Not much I like for tomorrow. Only two bets:

Bagnis to beat Zeppieri @2.1

Vickery to beat Bouzas Maneiro @2
>>
Scott Forster on Denver/LA game tonight. So betting on Lakers is literally free money.
>>
>>140301178
They're calling in the big guns I see
>>
never trust third world country flag bets
they ALWAYS lose
>>
>$30 trillion in debt
>not third world
?
>>
now look up our global aid contribution
aidcuck
>>
I won +7.5 handicap Lakers. Nigger-ridden country should never call other countries third world btw.
>>
>>140307721
how many pesos did you win, Miguel?
>>
now look up how jewed your cabinet is shlomo
>>
>>140267693
This is literally why you should never bet on soccer. There is no other sport in which teams frequently dominate and fail to get a result
>>
>>140307193
Just ignore everything except North American bets and the tennis German
>>
>>140308282
But I agree with you, b. You should never bet big prematch on soccer teams to win their games and then hope for the best. Instead go small on the win prematch, and big live on them to score. In this particular scenario the way to wager was this:
say 100 on the win @1.20, but that's an easy one cause you'll just reback 1000 on them to score when it reaches ... 1.18 ;
let's say you made it 1000 on the win @1.20 from the get-go, assuming it would've been a smooth sail, which should've been, but at half time it's still 0-0. Slavia was 1.18 to score here. You don't take it (cause you're riding the win), but Olomouc scores out of nowhere min 50 and makes it 0-1 . Slavia to score is now 1.24 and you throw another k. (1000 @1.24) and then another @1.30 . Sigma Olomouc gets gifted another goal and makes it 0-2. Watching the game (!!!) , and knowing this club, you realize Slavia can't go without scoring in this match. They can create chances, and they know what they're doing. + athmosphere is favourable (home ground, fans pushing them) . and you can reback Slavia over 1.5 team goals @2.20 also, OR over 3.5 total goals in match @1.87 to cover for a possible other Olomouc fluke goal. Say you take Slavia 1.5+ @2.20 for ... 500 . And ANOTHER reback on their 0.5+ @1.35 for 1k before... they score . And then ANOTHER one on slavia 1.5+ (at 1-2) now @1.50 for 1k . (key is always the next goal. always aim the next goal for big stakes, not 2 more)
2-2
And now ANOTHER reback at 2-2 on ... over 4.5 goals @2.30 in the 85th min , and you wait at this point with the 1k on slavia win @1.20 and this humble reback of ... 400 on over 4.5 goals @2.30
6 minutes of extra time, 2 or 3 huuge chances missed as always. ends 2-2. fluke result. still let's do the math , shall we?
-1000 slavia win -400 over 4.5 = -1400
+240 +300+350+600+500 = 1990

1990-1400 = 590

590 profit on a fluke result
>>
In this picture it looks like the old man is trying to insert his cock inside a cow, but he's actually helping an inexperienced calf who got his head stuck in a tree
>>
>>140309018
>what are you doing, stepdad?
>>
>>140299155
Adding Podoroska to win the first set against Siniakova @2.1 and Potapova to beat Shnaider @1.8
>>
>>140310991
You see Tsurenko just lost to someone ranked 170? These upsets are about to come pouring in.
>>
>>140311611
Didn't really follow the match but yeah, Eala winning wasn't really on my radar. I was eyeing Arango and Maria odds but thought it would be too greedy. Of course Arango won and Maria has an early lead.
>>
>>140311611
I'm also heavily considering Bogdan to beat Wang and Sramkova to beat Baptiste. Might pull the trigger on them soon but I'm still not fully decided.
>>
>>140311797
I just had it on in the background. Looked like Tsurenko was going to cruise then Eala refused to go easy and they started trading service games and Tsurenko lost the important ones at the end of the last 2 sets. Just WTA things.
>>
>>140311946
Wang sucks you should do it. She hit slow on hard I can't imagine her shots here.
>>
Just bet on Maria. Stearns is a paper tiger.
>>
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nooooooo come on
>>
>>140312026
I'll probably regret being too greedy as usual but fuck, I'm doing it.

>>140310991
Adding 2 more bets for today:

Bogdan to beat Wang @2

Sramkova to beat Baptiste @2.1
>>
>>140312069
>>140312162
What odds did you get live? Not trying to jinx it but still think she wins from here.
>>
>>140312344
Nice. I bet it too. I like the dogs in this tournament for some reason.
>>140312413
2.06 before Maria made it 6-5 then Stearns makes a barrage of unforced errors facing set point and goes back to blasting winners. Stearn goes on runs where she's dominating or spraying it everywhere. Maria just has to keep returning basically. Hopefully Peyton crashes herself out in the 3rd because Maria is so neutral.
>>
Stearns just doesn't want to fly back home after 1 round. That's the motivation. Understandable.
>>
>>140207340
Kek
>>
Dallas ML against clippers
>>
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Thank you Tatjana Mertens
>>
>>140312534
>>140313307
I knew she would win. But was too dumb to bet it myself. Nice livebet.
>>
How the fuck did Bogdan win this first set? Would be fuming if I was on Wang
>>
>>140299155
>>140310991
>>140312344
3 wins: Bagnis, Podorska and Potapova

3 losses: Vickery, Bogdan and Sramkova

Basically broke even for the day. Would have been a nice profit if I weren't such a greedy dumbass adding bet after bet for no reason. Even said in advance I'll probably regret it and I did of course.

More Madrid picks for tomorrow later tonight probably.
>>
Put a €1 free bet on Ben White anytime at 9/1. Yay.
>>
shit just forgot a bookie gave me a $10 free bet but i had to use it on the day
>>
fucking bullshit faggot sport. how hard is it to get a corner kick
>>
>>140319338
should have tailed the germ
>>
>>140317327
Over 2.5 sets in Coric - Hassan @2.65

Over 2.5 sets in Bouzas Maneiro - Badosa @2.4

Pera to beat Sorribes Tormo @1.8

Bucsa to beat Dart @1.5

Minnen to win a set against Osaka @2.1 and sprinkle on ML @4

Also going for a dumb longshot: Zhang to beat Rogers @5.5 since I get the impression that Zhang is due for a win. She has lost 19 matches in a row since the beginning of 2023 but she has shown some signs of life in her last few matches. Maybe she finally gets a win against a washed up Rogers. Think it's matter of time now for the first win so I'm fine with these taking odds.
>>
>>140321550
I just have Sloane in a parlay she won the last tournament and said she's ready for clay. I suppose she could win 2-0 as well. Odds are 1.90.
>>
Suns +4 @1.76
Kyrie over 4.5 assists @1.87
Predators Canucks under 6 @1.80
>>
>>140321950
Stephens is the kind of player who just loses motivation and phones it in a lot of times so I question how motivated she is to immediately go back to grinding in Madrid after just having won a tournament. Especially since Trevisan isn't that bad on clay. Think she still wins this match regardless so I didn't fade her but I'm always cautious about players who just won a tournament unless they're used to doing so.

Looking for opportunities to fade Struff and Fucsovics since they just won tournaments as well and they usually don't win stuff. Especially Struff who just won his first ATP title ever so he was probably busy celebrating that instead of preparing for Madrid. Will probably bet against him when he faces the winner of Munar - Borges in a few days.
>>
page 9 bump
>>
>>140322050
Suns aren't using KD right at all letting booker and beal run the offense. Then they don't pass it to him in the 2nd half until 3 minutes left down by a lot. and apparently Kyrie's job is to walk it up past half court and not have a chance of getting Luka going off the ball.
>>
>>140322125
Alright I'll keep that in mind. I'm glad Struff finally won one but whoever gets out of the Munar Borges match will be battle tested.
>>
free roll update
>fanduel
occassional deposit bonuses & free spins, and the reward machine are good for $5-10 a month. arbible odds boosts and no sweats add another $5-25 if roll is large enough. theor daily boosted bet also hits a lot more than odds suggest. no loyalty program
>Draft Kings
no sweats and arbible boosts good for $5-25 a month. no free casino play, playthroughs are outrageous. DK rewards rebate is ok value for traditional players
>fanatics
initial promos are great but has dried up almost entirely. ocassional free spins and arbible boosts worth maybe $2 a month. fancash rebate is fantastic value for traditional players 1% on straight bets. 5% on sgp
>ESPN Bet
absolute gem. starting to slow down but still good for at least $20 a week in casino and bet & get promos. wild shit like $5 free bets for placing a 0.10 first basket bet. loyalty program is decent for traditional players. only negative is they have zero arbible boosts

hit some bets along the way and mix in a fair amount of martigale in the casino and soon enough youre making real money. ive pocketed over $200 on the month with $0 real risk.
>>
>>140329478
durant is a lazy and iriving has never not been a bad.
>>
Stephens won but that was a struggle. Probably going to bet on Mertens against her next round.
>>
orioles redsox phillies blue jays +1.5 at +300
all 4 are decent teams with winning records and lost yesterday
>>
Arango keeps winning match after match and I'm too hesitant to bet on it. If she's the large underdog again I'll have to go with it and likely lose.
>>
Newfag on /bet/.
Which betting sites are best for EU?
I want to bet on yellow cards in Football but can't find any betting sites for it...
>>
>>140336110
I don't think any of the official bookies in Germany allow you to bet on shit like cards or corners. You probably have to try offshore ones or do some VPN fuckery.
>>
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This must be the most tempting line lel. Zero chance it hits though. I've never seen a team winning in soccer +2500
>>
Lost my bankroll again
>>
>"VAR check"
3 minutes later
>VAR decision: No Penalty
I want them dead. I want them skinned alive (in front of their crying mothers)
>>
I'm fucking cursed man cause i said i'd be clean and i'm hammered 24/7 for the past 3 months or so
Lol
>>
How my downfall started
>betted 2k @1.28 on AEK away at Panserraikos
>0-1 1-1 1-2
>Panseraikkos, new promoted shitters with apartment blocks behind the stadium, get a red card
>In 90+ AEK cocksucking goalkepper, Athanasiadis, drops the ball from his hands and get equalized by 10 men Panserraikos
That was the peak of my bankroll, in the middle of December when I should've already been on vacation
>>
>>140333064
Seeing that scoreline cools me off on Sloane and of all opponents she draws Mertens who's game can expose her flaws. But I don't think she'll lay down when she's down like she has in the past because she's trying to make up for lost time in a stretch of the season where she's 8-1. Half a unit on Mertens at plus money then Half on over 21.5 at EV is the way to play it.
>>
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>70% possession
>30 crosses
>21 shots
>down 2-0
Lmao. Don’t bet soccer
>>
>>140340214
That system doesn't work. You'd have to have a seperate judge away from the match to rule on the footage. But to have refs who also have egos walk to a little screen on the sideline and watch replays so they can see whatever they want is just a psychological torture for everyone watching.
>>
>>140341662
unless players start getting million dollar fines and season long bans for suspsected dives things will only get worse. dont bet soccer.
>>
>>140341749
>dont bet soccer
What the fuck is your problem man? Do you want attention? You know you're not gonna change anything and you killed this general with the anti soccer posts a couple years ago when you pissed off all of us "soccer" bettors. If you're a gambler, you can wager anything from NHL to eurovision
>>
>>140341749
I haven't seen diving be a problem since neymar left the sport. Now it's refereeing which the overly dramatic and self important vibe in soccer that made diving okay seems to have been adopted by refs now. There needs to be an element of players policing themselves so you have to make less calls. But there's a problem in every sport right now because the world is being overrun by greed. I think your problem was betting a top EPL/rigged match imo.
>>
>>140291068
This game lost. 4-3 for klagenfurt. But it was 0-2 inside 20 minutes. If i or you would've bet with a bookie that offers 2 goals advantage early payout the bet would've won. Do you want that romanian you know nothing about to be wrong just for the sake of it? Ok, Salzburg hasn't won and my "prediction" lost, but i clearly said if you wanna bet straight wins in "soccer", make sure you bet with a bookie that will pay when your team leads by 2 goals. And most of them do now. Bet365 does now. Most romanian bookies do. And guess what? The best bookie out there is Superbet. Romanian bookie. You get 1.36 on something, we get 1.40 . Betano is also ok. Betfair (exchange) is also ok. Pinnacle would be best but not available in our shithole. But you get superbet with best odds on the favourites than everywhere in the world, with daily fortune wheel spin that gets you free bets or slots spins etc
I mean i'm saying salzburg wins , and instead of getting paid this american is showing you stats of how your team has "dominated" the stats and haven't won the game. AND more than that, i've already wrote ESSAYS on how stats don't show the full picture in soccer,and you can only tell how dangerous a team has been by watching the game
>>
YOU'RE NOT BEING FAIR!!!
YOU'RE NOT BEING FAIR TO PEOPLE WHO ARE ON THE SAME FUCKING SIDE
>>
We're not fortune telling. We're trying to get paid. Just like you judged that costs rican on the lakers game. And he got on the handicap
>>
Like the german said. Player lost, but won the first set 6-0
Guess what? In RO-MANIA you get paid if a player wins a set 6-0 (as the 2 goals advantage in "soccer")
>>
>>140321550
Nice, didn't take Osaka/Minnen but liked and took the rest. Shame about Pera.
>>
Bruins vs. Maple Leafs under 6 @1.85
Stars ML @1.6
Kings vs. Oilers over 6 @1.85
>>
>>140321550
Wins: Both over 2.5 sets bets and Bucsa

Losses: Pera, Minnen and Zhang

Went too overboard with the greedy longshots. In retrospect I regret the bets against Osaka. These faster clay conditions in Madrid suit her much more. Still think the odds looked a little wide for clay but should have known better. Also still believe that Zhang has to be due for a win pretty soon. Think she will get one within the next 3 or 4 matches she plays but it depends on the opponents of course. Overall a small profit thanks to the over 2.5 sets bets.
Long list of potentially interesting matches tomorrow. Tried to narrow it down to a reasonable amount:

Over 2.5 sets in Nishioka - Auger-Aliassime @2.7

Mertens to beat Stephens @2.3

Arango to win the first set against Yastremska @2.8

Over 2.5 sets in Osaka - Samsonova @2.3

Ostapenko to beat Bouzas Maneiro @1.5


Have a bunch of other leans but not going to write anymore unless someone specifically asks.
>>
Collingwood v Essendon ANZAC day - either team to win by less than 24.5 @ 1.88

This game usually delivers a classic, betting on another close(ish) one, 5 of the last 6 have had margins <24.5
>>
>>140341749
>dont bet on soccer
Dont bet on Premier League or any b(r)ig(ged) match*
>>
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Brothers I just won thousands of dollars on this heat game. Pelicans will win by 3.
>>
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>>140347848
This is just a tiny portion of it. I mean this. Every poorfag betting on soccer. Pelicans will win by 3. Bet the spread and moneyline
>>
>>140347848
>>140347997
Brothers its going to be 110-107 Pelicans and they have +7.5
>>
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>>140348273
These are my bets. They are two you can't see. I should've bet more desu. I will have made thousands by the end of tonight.
>>
>>140348411
lets go pelicans!
>>
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>>140348411
>>140349223
>>
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>>140341491
Owned retard
>>
>>140347848
Nice
>>
>>140118762
This guy looks more jewish as he gets older
>>
>>140349642
that is a very nice win
>>
>>140348411
looking good mate kwab
>>
The team I bet on was winning 3-0, and they ended up losing 3-4, how could this happen? I am cursed, I shouldn't bet anymore.
>>
Stars will play better down 1-2. Lots of nervous energy at 1-1 closing out the 2nd. Hanifan scores after you failed to convert your chances. Who cares. The goal is clear. No more goals and you need 2. Test that Stone and Hertl connection. Force OT and win in your own arena.
LIVE Dallas Stars +210
>>
nope
>>
>>140344427
Draw kek. Was a little worried it wouldn't be paid out.
>>
>>140348411
>>140349242
cant win em all
>>
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post jai alai bets
>>
>>140356715

phenomenal beer
>>
>>140347848
>>140349642
I wonder what's the loss to win ratio of these guys. If you bet big, you can always lose big too.
>>
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>til and tillman both score 2 goals each and psv is beating herenveen in the first 30 mins of the game
glitch in the matrix? whoever programmed this league is just lazy
>>
>>140359545
they all refuse to post stats because they are losers. at least the romanian admits he busts out all the time
>>
>>140343790
4 out of 5 wins. Almost everything worked perfectly with the exception of the Mertens bet. Even avoided the Arango collapse with the first set instead of the whole match bet. Didn't bother but good call with the split on the over. >>140341207

A little more hesitant about the next 2 days of matches but will probably end up posting some stuff later.
>>
Is that time of the year:
>Championship Round
>Relegation Round

I hate these stupid tournament systems. Just make a proper league.
>>
>>140349642
K now post the 25 £50 multis you lost lmao
>>
>>140361492
Im happy you got some Arango exposure. 6-0 in the first just to win your bet. All the picks made sense now let's see how the later rounds shake out.
>>
draftkings boosting judge over 0.5 rbi to +200.
under 0.5 RBI is at -135.
>>
>>140363442
Yeah, glad I finally got in a good bet before she finally got eliminated. Even kept it close despite starting to limp in the third set.


>>140361492
Over 2.5 sets in Munar - Struff @2.2
Think Struff wins the first set before running out of steam. Too much steam on Munar's odds so I'm getting paranoid and taking this instead of the Munar bet.

Over 0.5 tiebreaks in Hurkacz - Draper @1.7

Etcheverry to beat Shapovalov @1.6

Over 2.5 sets in Humbert - Van de Zandschulp @2.3

Sherif to win a set against Kostyuk @2.25

Also making making a rare exception and trying a favourites parlay for once since I don't feel like betting any of these individually: Rybakina to beat Bronzetti @1.07 + Collins to beat Danilovic @1.17 + Vondrousova to beat Rogers @1.17 + Alexandrova to beat Krueger @1.35 for combined odds of 1.98
Let's see who ends up shitting the bed here.
>>
>>140365003
They like Struff off his tournament. Ok whatever that make over 2.5 a better deal. Shapos going down too.
>>
>>140365395
But the odds have lowered for Munar quite a bit. Or what do you mean?
>>
No big names, looks like a fun card tho

UFC Fight Night 4/27

>Maheshate vs Benitez under 1.5 rounds +120
Both guys need a win to avoid getting cut. I think this is a war and someone goes to sleep in the first 7 minutes

>Machado -120 vs Mayes
Mayes is awful. Not high on Machado either, taking near even money fading Mayes every time. Likely to be a boring decision or sub win for Machado. Lots of clinching and grappling

>Figlak -175 vs Hubbard
Ring rust worries me a bit, Figlak has not been active since making the UFC roster. This is a pick against Hubbard, dude is a punching bag and not particularly good at anything. Five year age advantage for Figlak

>Henry by KO +175
Yahya is old as shit and slow. His only chance is to win by sub. Henry is too well rounded to get caught in a guillotine or some dumb choke. He'll drop Yahya and finish him with GnP while Yahya tries to grab an arm

>Means vs Medic under 1.5 rounds
Should be a firefight. Medic has never gone to decison. Means is old as fuck and has taken a ton of damage, this is likely his retirement fight and he either wins by stoppage or gets KO'd early

>Onama +130 vs Pearce
Striker vs grappler, generally I'd take the grappler in Pearce. In this fight I like Onama's power to be the difference. Pearce is one of those guys who gets rocked in every fight but stays on his feet. I think Onama hurts him badly enough in a couple rounds to win a decision despite a bunch of control time for Pearce

>Guskov vs Spann over 1.5 rounds
Everyone expects a first round KO, i'll go the other way. +215 is a rare number for over 1.5, worth a small bet.

>Nicolau -180 vs Perez
Just don't believe in Perez. Simple as. Hasn't won a fight in 4 years. Don't think he wins again in UFC.
>>
>>140365526
I'm saying maybe they have good reason to believe Munar is going to lose. Maybe to a fault I usually listen to them.
I think we both thought Munar's odds should've been set lower, apparently others did too. But if they're going to say Struff has a higher chance of winning in straights because they like him that much overall then I'm saying Munar at plus money to win a set is probably better than Munar ML. My book has him at 2.5. I guess if Munar wins in straights to over doesn't hit but Struff is solid fatigue or not.
>>
Tampa finna wreck Florida. Cap this.
>>
>>140359545
A 4-leg parlay has basically a 1/16 chance of hitting. The parlay that guy hit with two large underdogs had something like a 1/38 chance of hitting and paid 18-1 lol. Parlayfags literally keep bookies in business
>>
bump
>>
>>140361245
I dont know how to track my stats i just look at my bookies payouts to me and they hid that feature recently lol, last time i checked i was like 4k up, I'm probably like 3.5k up right now
>>
Last night i made a small bet on over 0.5 goals in Cerro Porteno - Fluminense. Without watching the game, big mistake, after i tuned in i quickly realized there are no chances and won't be any. Wide pitch, all balls lost in midfield. And somehow at a set piece ball gets deflected here and there and eventually Fluminense scored. And instead of celebrating, they're surronding the referee. The pig is saying it's not a goal. They show the replays as there's a VAR check for handball. An eternity later they disallow it for handball but what made me lose my shit were the remarks the TV commentators were making: "i don't think they're checking for a handball there, Mike, they're checking whether the official (referee) had blown the whistle BEFORE the ball was struck into the net" . And he repeated that 3 times. It was wrong but think of the idea that for a perfectly legal goal at a normal, ordinary play in the game you have to wait to see if the fucking referee had blown the whistle? Whaaat? Exactly like valencia - real madrid. In our league last round, a black dude scores a blooter into the top corner from outside the box and then they showed that a VAR check was ongoing. Replays showed nothing until the official VAR footage: a handball in their own half 35 seconds before. There's no need to make a case here about how VAR ruined the sport, as there's dozens of examples like this and everyone knows it. But just thinking that for an undisciplined degen bettor, who makes life or death bets all of time, that one time when you could actually finally make it, and you think you did, until the VAR check pops up on the screen. What are you gonna do then? Falling asleep every night thinking about torturing referees to death? How do we protect ourselves from this? Because it will happen again. This week, every week. Every day. Legit, is it even possible to make profit predicting the ball will cross that line as long as these incompetent scums repeatedly take it out of the net?
>>
And this will happen. You'll have ... 2.000 euros on a team to score. You'll think it never arrives anymore cause it's the 83' min. You don't have a stream either. Soon the animation on the bookies app shows your team scored. A full minute later: VAR check. And in that moment you know it can't end right for you. Because it doesn't. And you'll see "VAR decision: goal disallowed"

In Portugal: Sporting - Porto. Pepe tries to throw a quick throw in, one Sporting player stands in front of him. Pepe pushes him: red card. Sporting player's unpunished. Estoril - Porto, exactly the same scenario. Conceicao Jr tries to hurry a throw in, guy stands in front of him with his hands wide up. Our player gets sent off, Estoril player goes unpunished.
Also in Portuguese league there was that thread that a team was losing 1-2, fans ran on the field and started messing with the opposing goalkepper, who got sent off (and another defender) . Visitors left playing with 9 men, they got equalized in 90+10 . Which is cool only cause that team is Estoril. But why wouldn't everybody abuse this bug then? Real losing at home to Bayern? Just ran on the pitch and start pinching Neuer's nipples until he fights back (he'd probably like it thou given he's a closeted fag) . It's ridiculous, these morons ruined the sport completely for betting. Not to mention the worst: there's no rhythm. Any player can just drop to the ground and grab the ball in his arms and get a foul. A foul every 3 minutes. With another minute wasted to put the ball back into play. I'm seriously concerned of that one day when they will take like... 3.000 euros from my pocket with a var bullshit
>>
Good morning Sirs

Based Rommy
>>
Just wanted to say thanks Draper for perfectly holding serve 5 times in a row in the second set just to get broken from 40-30 and prevent a tiebreak.
>>
>>140365861
who the fuck are these guys? thought i knew ufc fairly well and i dont know 8 of the names here
>>
Fade all gypsy bets
fade all soccer bets
especially those posted by third world countries
>>
Capitals
Over 5.5 canucks preds
Avs
Kings
>>
Based Arda Güler
>>
>>140365003
1 win and 5 losses. Only bet that worked was Sherif to win a set. Was due for a brutal day like this after the past few wins. Parlay would have worked if Alexandrova hadn't lost, that was a shitty inclusion in retrospect. Might have to stop disrespecting Krueger so much. Also still mad about the lack of a tiebreak in Hurkacz - Draper when it was basically one point away from reaching it. Don't think my read was completely off for the Munar match either. Struff cruised through the first set and then Munar kept it competitive in the second but it was too little and too late. If Struff keeps playing like this he might make another deep run.

Need to stop being obsessed with trying to fade or softfade recent tournament winners all over the place. Still think there's some merit too it but I've been overdoing it. Also seriously need to stop placing serious bets on Van de Zandschulp. I don't quite buy into complete blacklisting anymore save for a few hardcore exceptions but he has turned into the kind of player that always makes you regret your bet even if it wins. Best to mostly stay away.


Slightly smaller list for tomorrow:

Medvedev to win 2-0 against Arnaldi @2.2

Over 2.5 sets in De Minaur - Nadal @2.2

Under 2.5 sets in Bublik - Carballes Baena @1.6
Yes, rare under 2.5 sets pick. Like it for Bublik matches like this. If he loses the first set I assume he will likely give up in the second one.

Jabeur to beat Fernandez @1.85
>>
Bulldogs to beat Fremantle @ 1.95

Sure, it's in WA but Freo are just trash. Dogs have an average record but they've played some great football, and Freo have been their bitches in recent years.
>>
Should I Yolo on Paris Hilton's brother in law scoring a goal next weekend? Kek
>>
New to this board, anybody got any good bets going on?
>>
>>140398015
Or anything for tomorrow?
>>
>>140398015
>>140398076
tennis germ has been pretty good lately.>>140391885
dont bet soccer
im thinking about blind betting NBA under total points or maybe martingaling overs. something is fucky for the past 6 weeks but i cant figure it out
>>
I have no clue what I'm doing
>>
>>140399643
then you need to lurk.
>>
>>140397258
yes, but only 3 units
>>
Indeed.com ML @1.37
Careerbuilder + Ziprecruiter @2.0
Monster.com ML @1.89
Amazon.careers over 2.5 @1.55
>>
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imagine losing
i cannot even
>>
Getting tired of watching these Nordic cavemen smash their shots into the boards after making sure they make a dozen useless passes in the "offensive zone" just to smash into the defenders shinpad and turn it over for the other hacking team do the same for 60 minutes. Whoever wins the game does the most smashing and its always the worst goal you've ever seen that tips the scale against your poverty bet because you had the nerve to believe in a group of drunk figure skaters vs the soviet all star team. I'm crashing out. I'm done here. /bet/ blacklisted.
>>
Hey /bet/ do you like easy money? You should bet a months salary on UFC Lane vs Diniz under 1.5 rounds -270/1.37 odds

I mean it. A months salary. You’re welcome for the free money.
>>
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dont believe the losers who say you cant win.
>>
don’t bet on soccer
>>
>13 fights
this doesn't seem normal
>>
>>140118762
is there any sort of free ai option that is like dailygrind? i want something to check the best player props each night but not pay the jew 60 dollars a month fee to dailygrind. thanks ahead of time.
>>
>>140400702
lol retard
>>
>>140158369
kek. i was on the tok the other day maybe it was IG. AI fed me one of the bet rigging videos. guy showed this scrub nobody bench player with an over under of 5 for the night. he was at 4. he literally gave up a highlight reel dunk for his own mixtape and passed it up. why? vegas paid him before the game. it was so obvious. literally gave up an open dunk baseline cut to the hoop, gets int he paint and just passes it out instead of going of for an uncontested slam. shit 100% confirmed it for me. i try to not pay attention to the rigging but no doubt some are in on it. refs players coaches. all of those niggers/.
>>
>>140403515
I’ll do it if you post slip
>>
>>140389890
made a 3 way round robin on you getting 3 out of 4 wrong
thanks for the easy money
>>
Took Stuttgart @4.30 and cashed out with a profit before Bayer got the first goal kek
>>
ufc is live, anyone got something?
>>
>>140365861
tailed maheshate. fuck you
>>
>>140418347
Make a live bet on Petrovic after round 1 ends. Liang has no gas tank
>>
>>140418849
i wish i could livebet on mma, our bookies wont ever have us have that, Americans are living life on easymode
>>
>>140418849
Based. Got her at -115 live
>>
>>140419163
It’s a pain in the ass honestly. Works best for sports with longer breaks like NFL, NBA. Trying to make a live bet between UFC rounds is maybe a 30% chance you’ll get the bet submitted without odds changing or the bet being taken down. Live action is at least 10-15 seconds ahead of the broadcast and bookies all operate on some kind of live feed so they’re always ahead of you
>>
>>140391885
Jabeur won and the rest lost. Bublik of course made a comeback after convincingly losing the first set and Medvedev needed a set to wake up before winning. Starting to piss away recent profits. If next 2 days suck too I'll probably take a break for the rest of Madrid.


Barely like anything for the next round tomorrow so only going with this:

Davidovich-Fokina to beat Rublev @2.75

Over 0.5 tiebreaks in Seyboth Wild - Alcaraz @3.4

Have a few other leans but not trying to force too much.
>>
>>140420147
Can’t win them all krautbro. Keep at it
>>
>>140419237
>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kvT_yIVI2Qw
Total Bookie Death
>>
>>140420268
Thanks, I know a whine/blogpost a bit too much so not sure if people are annoyed with my posts.
>>
>>140421285
Nah bro you’re one of the only good euros here and you post a lot of winners
>>
>>140365861
Going to seethe if Hubbard gets this decision. Would be a 0-3 start with two close decision losses
>>
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>>140422196
fucking robbery
>>
>>140420147
i only bet Jabeur so thanks
>>
>>140403515
i bet 2 days salary on this. better hit anon
>>
>>140365861
Based Medic under 1.5 +116. Back to back plus money winners after a SHIT decision to rob Figlak
>>
>>140423315
three straight plus odds now. luck has turned around
>>
>>140403515
holy fuck that was lucky. 19 seconds before it lost
>>
It's comical how UFC Chads stay winning and 90% of this board refuse to bet MMA despite winners being handed to them for free every week
>>
>>140425046
what are your bets, i don’t watch much of mma
>>
Toronto is about to ruin my night
>>
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What to do bros?
>>
>>140425504
they’re literally in the thread
Scroll up you fucking retard
>>
>>140425699
You had a $500 bet and can cash out for literally 600x? Fucking cash out
>>
>>140365861
>4 winning picks at + odds
I kneel UFCbro
>>
>>140365861
>>Guskov vs Spann over 1.5 rounds
>Everyone expects a first round KO, i'll go the other way. +215 is a rare number for over 1.5, worth a small bet.

kek great call, shadowed this one, didn't think it would be Guskov finishing it in the second for me though!!
>>
>>140365861
ufcGOD please let us have your predictions for may 4th
>>
>>140426798
Over 1.5 rounds at plus money is one of my favorite bets in MMA. Something like 70% of fights go past 1.5 rounds
>>
>>140427119
My prediction is i'm going to stop picking main events lol. I've done well this year overall on UFC but keep losing main events
>>
>>140365861
4-4 with one robbery loss and all winners being plus odds including a +215. Not a bad day
>>
Chasing low odds here but I think this value. Swans to beat Hawks by at least 7.5. They’re 1.25 favorites and should pump them. Swans are strong. Disclaimer, I shat the bed with Bulldogs vs Fremantle and may be chasing but this looks too good.
>>
>>140434227
Paying 1.40 alternate handicap btw. Also a small bet on Raiders to beat sharks @ 2.80, though mostly into the former.
>>
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>>
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>>140438210
>>
>>140438239
US books are cowards
>>
>>140438210
>>140438239
What even is this shit?
>>
>>140438849
Remember during covid bookies were so desperate for sport they started offering odds on obviously rigged eastern european amateur table tennis being played in school gyms? This is the next level of that.
>>
>>140438984
for me, it was marble races
>>
>>140438849
Money laundering most likely
>>
>>140438210
kek
>>
>>140438239
Lmao I thought it was virtual the first two times I clicked on the image
>>
>>140420147
Both lost. Davidovich-Fokina had an absolutely infuriating choke in the first set where he had a huge lead in the tiebreak. Obviously the match was over for him after that. Ridiculous throw. Going to share my 3 picks I already decided on then I'm done with Madrid for now. Unless I see something I completely disagree with.


Over 2.5 sets in Norrie - Ruud @2.5

Korda to beat Medvedev @2.8

Keys to win a set against Gauff @1.9
>>
>>140450420
Also have the impression that odds have drifted too far for Bublik to beat Shelton. It looks pretty tempting but I've vowed to basically never place serious bets on him again.
>>
>>140450420
holy shit i managed to catch a tennis german post on time, i’ll be following you on these. best of luck fren
>>
Of course my Bublik read was correct and he did end up beating Shelton. Been burned too many times by Bublik in the past to bet on it however.
>>
>>140462798
I got on, but pussied out and cashed in after he broke in the third.
>>
>>140462824
Aren't there still weird rulings around livebets in Australia? I guess cashouts aren't affected.
>>
>>140462844
Betfair vpn
>>
>>140462844
And yeah there are (at least last time I checked— been using exchanges with a VPN rather than softs work for years) laws against live betting (online banned I believe, can only do done via phone)
>>
>>140462879
Phone fagging, I can speak English.
>>
>>140462879
Yeah, that's what I had in mind. If you can you should hedge instead of cashing out. After Bublik broke in the third set I assume you would have left less money on the table if you had placed a small bet on Shelton live instead of cashing out but maybe I'm overlooking something with betfair.
>>
Finally Korda breaks after like 20 attempts.
>>
>>140332149
withdrew another $25 today. rolls up to $175 combined. this is when i usually get bored and fuck up in the casino so i would appreciate some WINNING NBA picks to keep the momentum going.
>>
>>140464727
Celtics+thunder tonight to win their series has to be a safe bet
>>
>>140118762
NHL bets?
>>
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Take a break due to tilt, bet on ADO to draw/win and the game to have two goals (free bet farming bet) and on ADO to win. Feels good to be back.
>>
>>140464838
need to place 5 $1 live bets for a $5 bonus so I'll probably bet those games. but NO and MIA have a bad habit of playing well when they have no reason to try so Im not very confident
>>
thinking about live betting icelandic soccer
>>
>>140450420
Keys won the whole match and not just a set so that worked perfectly. Korda had his chances to beat Medvedev after winning the first set but didn't capitalize on some important points in the second set. Could have definitely been a 2-0 win for him but of course he was done after losing the second set. Over 2.5 sets in Norrie - Ruud wasn't even that far off since Norrie actually had a lead in the second set but then just fell apart. Probably not a good call in retrospect anyway.

As I said I think I'm more or less done with Madrid for now unless I see something truly off. Time to stop the bleeding of the recent days. Bublik looks tempting against Medvedev but he will probably just lose to him again like usual. Might try to focus on some of the smaller tournaments this week.
>>
>>140469741
One more thing I'll mention if you're greedy: Over 0.5 tiebreaks in Swiatek - Haddad Maia @5 looks interesting. Not going to bet it myself but if you have some money burning a hole into your pocket then that's something to consider.
>>
>>140469741
bublik for the lulz
>>
Yeah, I'm gonna need some UFC 301 bets
>>
>>140480708
I'm on Erceg to win. He was +175 the other day and now he's +160. Pantoja gets hit too much.
>>
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>>140438210
>>140438239
What booker?
>>
>>140484147
no, boober
>>
>>140484176
I WANT TO BET ON SEXO
>>
Why are real underdogs? Is it free money again?
>>
>>140484147
I don't know but the colour scheme looks like Stake and it seems like that sort of thing they'd do
>>
>>140484435
stake wants you to deposit CIA coins i don't support scams and i don't support stake
>>
>>140484498
No sexo betting for you then
>>
Fierceness / Sierra Leone exacta
>>
>>140484346
$10 on Real Madrid DNB @2.20
>>
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what's a good place to get pro tips to help me decide what to bet on?
>>
Whos taking Nuggets over Timberwolves for the series? Feel like you gotta go with jokic because ant is still young.
>>
>>140487828
here
>>
>>140487828
just ask me.
>>
>>140490296
nigga you a blue kirby
you the bluest and the kirbest
aint nobody taking advice from you
>>
>>140487885
final is celtics nuggets.
>>
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2 corners off I’m seething
>>
Seattle Mariners (baseball) has a really good pitching staff and a really bad offense. Bet the Mariners games to finish under 7.5 every time. 11 of the last 12 games have had 7 or fewer runs
>>
>>140487885
Nuggets will win in 5. They're a lot better than Minnesota. Towns or Gobert can't stop Jokic
>>
>>140495131
Tailing
>>
you can get above even odds to take all 4 favorites tonight in nhl +1.5 goals
>>
>>140496386
Vancouver-Nashville
Winnipeg-Colorado

Both have pretty even odds, who're the favorites?
>>
>>140496633
Colorado and Vancouver
if you don’t trust +1.5 on those, take the +2.5
It’s a little worse odds, but damn near even
>>
>>140496679
Thanks, will do
>>
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>>140496702
This could be the night
wouldn’t surprise me, because I’m talking about it on the internet
but, favorites have not gotten blowout in the nhl playoffs
yet
>>
>>140496780
Hope they all win
>>
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>>140496836
me too, portu-anon
have had good luck this season
>>
>>140496899
Nice!
>>
>>140480708
I'm UFCanon. I'll be watching 301 but I do not like this card for betting. Might post a couple picks
>>140481070
Agree as long as it's +150 or shorter. +150 is implied 40% chance, which I think is accurate. If it goes 5 rounds you know hometown champ Pantoja will get the benefit of a close decision. Erceg needs to put him away or really batter him, which is possible
>>
>>140425046
Most people don't like combat sports, it is what it is. I've tried to get my degenerate friends to bet UFC with me...they're never interested unless Conor or Jones or someone huge is fighting. Buddies will bet on horse racing in UAE but not UFC ha
>>
>>140495131
>3-2 final
cheers anon. didn't realize seattle had such good pitching
>>
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>>140496836
They didn’t all win, but I sure did
>>
>>140505715
Nice. Won more than I lost, thanks
>>
Based Portubro betting American sports and winning
>>
>>140494474
as a corner grandmaster, i always bet the under when "good teams" are playing, i recon the asian line was over 10.5 or under and you got really greedy here
>>
>>140495156
Minnesota will clog the paint and force outside shots because those 2 can actually stop joker who feasts on smaller teams. I think there's a finals hangover at play here and at -215 there's no value if it goes 7 games. Go wolves desu.
>>
eyeing the pacers bruins canucks to close out after pathetic desperation wins from their "opponents"
>>
Said I'm done with Madrid but if Sabalenka beats Andreeva I would take Rybakina to win if she's anything above @2. Already sharing this in advance because I predict a lot of line movement for both players.
>>
>>140508890
Lad. They either have to put Towns on Jokic which will be a disaster, or they put Gobert on Jokic and there’s no rim protection cuz Gobert is 22 feet from the rim. It’s a nightmare matchup for Minnesota. Their best chance is Edwards going for 40 every night
>>
Oh boy I wonder if PSG-Dortmund leg 1 will be a draw like 97% of all UCL first legs
>>
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Av gone mental
>>
Real (to qf 1.45) - PSG (to qf 1.44) is this year's final. Pretty obvious to anyone, with Real winning it again. Roma (3.75 qf) isn't afraid of Leverkusen so i'd say there's definetly value there, and Atalanta qfs for sure (1.45) as Marseille fan said they can't play away games and the return leg will be in Bergamo. Aston Villa showed what a shit team they have when they should've lost to Chelsea if not for the ref robbery but Olympiakos is at a different level of shite, so Villa to the final (1.30) should be another given. Fiorentina - Club Brugge anyone's game

Also for the tonight i reckon it'll have lots of goals as the last game in group stage could've easily been a 4-4, instead ended 1-1 with impossible to miss chances, like the Sule clearence off the line that is now in youtube compilation's of best saves, or Mbappe disallowed goal (i remember because i had him anytime goalscorer- he would score 14 goals in the next 9 games)
>>
>>140513446
If Joker wants to run around beyond the 3 point line that's on him. He's going to try and get those jump hooks in. So what if he does. There's a lot to be said about their size disrupting other parts of the nuggets offense. The real issue is the nuggets defense. They can attack from all directions. They have a leader in Mike Conley who's like the marcus smart, iguodala, udonis haslem of the Twolves who every deep playoff team has. A lot of teams say they want to repeat, but don't have what it takes to try even harder than they did that first time. This is AROD's team. I think that'd be a great story. Former baseball star turned successful NBA owner. I bet Silver has already called it in because they need new superstars fast so it's Edwards vs SGA next round. Please at least bet them game 1.
>>
fade all soccer bets
especially those posted by third world countries
they ALWAYS lose
>>
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this mariners under boutta hit again
>>
>ask girl for number
>she only gives social
>i dont do socials
bets for this feel?
>>
>>140512572
Rybakina opened as a 1.65 favourite and is now around 1.8. Think some more money might come in on Sabalenka to flip the odds.
>>
>>140517417
Golden Knights ML
>>
>>140518443
5 units
>>
2 small challenger bets for tomorrow:

Vacherot to beat Meligeni Alves @1.8

Sherif to beat Bogdan @2.3

Keys to win a set against Swiatek also looks tempting but probably won't bet anything
>>
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>>140495131
Mariners last 9 games pic rel
You'll prob have to pay -150 for under 7.5 but it's worth it. Keep betting it until they start to score more than 3 runs consistently
>>
>>140513446
You know they play each other in the regular season right?
>>
>>140519768
Strongly advise you to put ZERO stock in NBA regular season matchups. Playoffs are a different world. Denver is vastly better in the postseason than regular season and Jokic is the best player on earth.



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