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deal edition

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com

>Financial TV Streams:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/

>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://etfdb.com/

>Gambling:
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Calendars:
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
https://www.sec.gov/search-filings

>Misc:
https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates

>prev
>>62362043
>>
I thought for sure I would make $600 on spcx and I only made $200 I hate being a dumb goy
>>
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>>62363640
I lost $100
>>
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> futures
>>
How's that deal coming along? Is the deal done? Do we have a deal? Hands Shaken? T's & I's dotted? No takesy-backsies? Printed & Xeroxed?
>>
1 more day!
>>
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>>
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been looking at reddit's response to the IPO and found this
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1u3wonh/spacex_ipo_is_literally_free_money_if_you_know/
he bet that SpaceX would be a success but then tried to larp as a quant and lost 160k lmao
>>
>>62363640
Made $2k. Would been $30k if they assigned what I wanted. Easiest $ of my life.
>>
>been looking at reddit
You have to go back.
>>
>>62363649
damn what a boring week
>>
Why does Chuck still work at the store? Why the change in ownership?
>>
I might buy ORLY
>>
>>62363655
dont worry about it, just laugh at the guy who lost all his money
>>
>>62363651
holy FUCK
how do you even lose this much money on a rigged IPO
>sports betting addict
of course of course
some people are destined to stay poor even when opportunity falls onto their laps
I wonder how he's gonna pay for that loss lmfao
this shit is just absolutely hilarious
>line goes up
>loses money, somehow
>>
>>62363662
Sneed transitioned into memory.
>>
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i am thinking of building a position in GPRO.

my thesis? its never been lower, so it must surely go up - right?
>>
>>62363682
This is my quant
>>
>>62363640
I bought a handful of SPCX for the lols and sold them a few hours later. Made $100. Felt good. No more space adventures for me.
>>
>>62363682
It's dead from my point of view. Phones become tougher and tougher, and have such good cams, mounts made for them, etc. GoPro has no innovation left.
>>
>>62363687
also, i read somewhere that the nasdaq delists stocks that trade in under $1 - surely the american public will not let such a beloved and memorable name fall off?
>>
>>62363694
ngl i was lowkey hoping they would ape into robotics vision or something, apparently they taped out some new silicon to do high-res high-fps image processing on-device, they even teamed up with some company to do it from taiwan (basically a SoC shop that does semi-custom designs for small customers), ngl let me find it in my search history

guys no joke i want to ape this so badly, i know its retarded but fuck
>>
>>62363694
GoPro's mistake was trying to convert to a social network and cloud video storage company rather than a company that makes cameras. Nobody wanted this because YT already exists. They lost focus on the hardware and got overtaken by lowbudget chinkshit and that company that makes the 360 cameras.
>>
>>62363682
>up
>down
There's actually a third way it can go.
>>
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Chart of the week: SPX
very neutral finish within a wide range, likely positioning going into fomc, looks like it could melt up some without much trouble

Honorable mention chart of the week: copper
still looking good, just didn't want to repeat it
>>
>>62363694
Plus the extreme sport market isn't huge and most videos these days are whores waving their fingers and saying something retarded. MAYBE Apple could acquire them for pennies on the dollar but if there were truly a market for it, it'd probably be cheaper for Apple to manufacture a similar product in house.
>>
>>62363700
i think they are aiming for a DoD pivot to save themselves, its what caused the pump to $1.73 in april

https://investor.gopro.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/GoPro-to-Explore-Defense-and-Aerospace-Market-Opportunities/default.aspx
>>
>>62363640
the real fun starts next week with options and leveraged etfs
>>
im just thinking, imagine they get some contract with that dork at anduril. i could totally imagine it. gopro was part of luckey's generation. it would be a turbopump on a literal news headline.

its a company that everyone recognizes as quintessentially american, has had the same CEO since inception, etc. its very "legitimate" in that way. the parallels to Jensen, who also stuck with nvidia as a lifelong career.
>>
>He didn't slurp the generational GRRR bottom
>>
>>62363710
Retarded, anyone with a webcam and a binder clip can compete with them
>>
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I pray that the AI data centers look into SMR's, specifically by Rolls-Royce
>>
FACT: AI is a tech revolution with massive industry consequences
FACT: There is no bubble
FACT: Bobos are on suicide watch as they continue seeing Bulls winning, even more than usual
>>
ah i see you also dabble in the dark arts
>>
I am all in on Adobe.
>>
>>62363710
shame. it's always hardware companies that try to "diversify" into useless service shit and completely lose track of making actually good hardware.
didn't qcom also try to do this with their server rack shit? owning & operating a bunch of arm64 racks and renting out compute or something. maybe i'm confusing it with another second-rate hardware company.
>>
>>62363723
im not sure its *that* easy

linus tech tips has a vid where they go through a grab-bag of dash cams, theyre all dogshit.

having video thats high rez, high dynamic range, high fps, is a lot of bandwidth. especially in a power-contrained form factor, you invariably have to start doing custom silicon thats designed to work with specific formats, essentially a custom hardware video codec.

it took intel many years of gradually expanding their hardware codec capabilities in their igpus. same for amd, same for nvidia, and they have much wider power margins.

something else worth considering is the drone fpv cam footage from ukraine. notice its still analogue signal - because the digital signal has too much latency for them.

...but to be honest, i just want an excuse to ape a penny stock and claim a 10X against everyones better judgement...
>>
>>62363735
>didn't qcom also try to do this with their server rack shit
there was a lot of talk about something along these lines but im not sure if they exist.
however, june 20th is qcom investor day, and they have been talking up their snapdragon chips being capable for server deployment.

infact the qcom story is quite sad - long story short, they aquire nuvia, who designed a server-oriented ARM64 chip for them. management then decides to gimp it and put it into laptops, the nuvia team gets fed up and leaves (to form nuvacore, this is happening as i speak: on twitter, not a week goes by without a nuvia cpu designer oldhead announcing his departure from qcom)

ofcourse right as the snapdragon laptop chips hit the market, nobody gives a fuck about consumer anymore, everyone wants server & DC - so qcom are now scrambling to re-deploy the snapdragon chip back into the server - the very thing they were *originally* designed for!
>>
You know, it's kinda like the hiccups. It was annoying at the time but now that the hormussy is gaped open I miss the closure.

>You don't have the cards.
>Tonight, a civilization dies.
>Open the fuckin strait you goddamn crazy bastards.

All these memories will be lost, like tears in the rain.

Until the Cuba invasion provides us with more entertainment, I think they will anoint Rubio to be their king.
>>
>>62363754
>so qcom are now scrambling to re-deploy the snapdragon chip back into the server
how many times have they tried and cancelled this now?
can't they just admit that they are too retarded to do this and stick to server networking shit? or is broadcom too strong in that market?
>>
Thoughts on DRMP vs DRAM ?
>>
>>62363774
im not sure if qcom was ever in server networking, i know their original business was modems and wireless, but im not very knowledgeable in that company (beyond the cpu lore)
>>
I'M TRYING TO TALK TO /POL/ ABOUT SOCIAL SECURITY BUT THEY ARE JUST IGNORING ME SO THEY CAN HATE ON BLACK PEOPLE OR SOMETHING

WHY CAN'T WE JUST END SOCIAL SECURITY AND FORCE 5% FROM EVERY PAYCHECK INTO A GOVERNMENT MANAGED BROKERAGE ACCOUNT FOR EVERY AMERICAN
>>
>>62363791
>why cant we just end social security and (proceeds to describe social security)
>>
>>62363797
No, I don't want my money to be thrown into a massive pot that everyone shares. I want the money that is taxed from me, to DIRECTLY be owed to me, and not be drained by poor fuckers and boomers, and not subsidized by the next generation
>>
Death to Bogleheads
Immediate IPO index inclusions forever

Take it. TAKE ALL OF THE BAGS
>>
>>62363791
why
>>
japanese companies trading below book value, with growing revenues, debt to equity below .5, purchasable on us exchanges.

nap was good.
>>
>>62363808
because I'm mad that social security is going to get cut in 7 years after I've had a whole career of contributing, while boomers are having orgies and paying for syphilis meds with their full benefits.
>>
>>62363805
so like mandatory IRA?
would be more fair honestly.
>>
>>62363817
The actual answer, is that we should just completely cut social security because it's just another layer on the boomer ponzi scheme.
>>
Yaaaasss Sar plz buy PLTR sarrrrrrr
>>
>>62363807
If the s&p ever does this I eat the tax bill and move everything into SCHD and REITs
>>
>>62363809
BA$ED & JAP PILLED
>>
>>62363791
Pretty sure after the boondoggle on the boggles with SpaceX, OpenAI, etc. the next step is getting literally everyone as exit liquidity for your bags
Synthetic IPOs designed to drain these market accounts.
Literally getting a series 7 license will become the end of any work a hedgie needs since there will be so much automatic vampirism of the Boggles
>>
>>62363817
Don't worry, AI will solve everything. (not)
But really, while the current system will collapse due to demographic changes and you're likely going to get fucked in the ass, who the fuck actually knows how will things end up unfolding?
>>
>>62363822
I get the purpose. Stupid fucking people with no financial responsibility won't save money and then cry and complain how they are too old to work and you can't just let an old person starve. They will guilt the rest of the country so they can die with dignity, and then as a last resort, start shoplifting to either get free stuff or happily get arrested because it's either starve on the streets or get free room/food on tax payers.

most of the country is too retarded to not force them to save something. But if we are going to be forced to save, I don't want my social security getting blended into a big pot

Does disability and shit also come out of social security?
>>
I'm looking for a youtube channel to subscribe to
My go tos are Jordi Visser, and CiovaccoCapital

what's a good third name that's at least as insightful as these guys?
>>
>>62363817
Frankly you shouldn't be forced to pay into a pension fund if you have a net worth past say $100,000. If you can actually save up money you have proven capable of being trusted to plan for your own retirement with out the state babying you The founding fathers wanted to larp like Rome, but they didnt properly implement the class system in which more wealth came with more privileges and responsibilities (outside of muh landowners getting to vote).
>>
>>62363850
she only does 1 a month but in the know is a really good one and you stay bricked up the whole time. other ark videos are decent too.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z2M8sxjxxgE
>>
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revenge of the SaaS wen?
>>
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>>62363860
cheekie fucker.
>>
>>62363791
lol
if social security was privatised from the beginning and parked into an index fund
it would have so much money right now they wouldn't even know what to do with it.
>>
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The deal is a setup to make this coming weak a bloodbath
>Deal announced Sunday, falls through on news sometime early-mid market Monday
>Markets flip from neon green to blood red
>Tuesday fomc meeting, everything is worse than expected, huge rate hike, market crashes
>Continuation Wednesday and Thursday
>Friday OPEX day bloodbath
>>
>>62363791
Social security should literally just be a 401k to each individual, and it can be pulled out of for medical issues, emergencies, or borred against to buy important milestones like a house or some shit, you still need to work for it, but even a shit job like mcdonalds you worked at for like 4 months will net you like 50k in 6 years.
>>
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>>62363850
I only recommend Ciovacco and Arete
>>
>>62363876
>>62363850
**Arete Trading, that is.
>>
>>62363632
>>
>>62363879
>>62363876
>Arete
looking at the titles of his videos looks like a permabear
>>
>>62363850
And honestly I recommend finding a token idiot or two, to understand what retarded ideas people have out there. Sometimes, it can provide beautiful perspectives on terrible trades and short opportunities. For this, I use Robschild.
>>
>>62363880
ah, no end in sight for TACO pumps
i wonder how much money he's making off of this
>>
>>62363886
He shorts a lot, but is also long on great names. He just plays the market and tries to share knowledge of institutional plays.
>>
>>62363791
>BLACK PEOPLE
first off, we say NIGGER here. now to answer your question, if they did that, they wouldn't be able to siphon off funds to send to Israel.
>>
DRAM holders, do you have a planned price (or % return) for it to reach before you sell?
>>
>>62363880
To be fair, this time it seems to be confirmed from Iran's side too and there's a definite pre-market open deadline. I think it's going to happen, but if it won't, then I wouldn't be shocked either and it wouldn't really matter all that much as it's outside of market hours.
>>
>>62363897
I just plan on bagholding for 7 years desu
>>
>>62363893
lmaoooooooooooooooo
rofl
>we say nigger here
>>
I don't
>>
You...don't?
>>
It's crazy to imagine that by the time nvidia is able to deliver all the chip backlog all the gpus they sold will be entering retirement age and every company will need to buy new ones. Will nvidia ever stop making so much money?
>>
really really don't
>>
I mean is he wrong?
>>
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>>62363946
Elon is going to find an asteroid sized alien garbage pod full of half-expired alien GPUs that will crash the local GPU market
>>
So after tomorrow's peace deal is signed, all of our stocks are going through the roof forever and ever and we will all be wealthy, right?
>>
wheres that faggot i was arguing with yesterday
>>
>>62363965
Yes. Same goes if it isn't signed.
>>
I'm buying farm related stocks because I'm too much of a goyim and need to deal in the real world

Is there a way to get rid of my goyness?
>>
>>62363965
No, because there's no chance for another one. It's the peace deal to end all peace deals.
>>
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>>62363965
Its just the usual programming, expect israel fucking up the "greatest deal in the history of great deals" by wednesday
>>
Ukraine also simultaneously declares victory as Iran USA deal is signed. Then warsh cuts rates and American supremacy continues for another century.
>>
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I'm sitting on about 270k right now mostly in CD's and bonds. I kind of want to get into the market with the gains going on right now but it seems ever day that we're on the brink of disaster.

I mostly just do my IRA right now.
>>
>>62363965
I can see it triggering a decent rally, though a lot of it is already priced in and should impact markets outside of US way more (Europe/Asia/Australia). Either way Monday should be green, unless something drastic happens.
>>
>>62363984
Could start moving 10-20k into the market every month, that way you dont risk getting immediately dumped on when you move everything, but you also start picking up the market gains.
That or just try and time the trump cycle shown in >>62363980
>>
Anyone into day trading much?
Feel like I can never make it work.
>>
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/06/12/upshot/kalshi-polymarket-prediction-markets-arbitrage.html
interesting article about "Prediction market" arbitrage.
no archive.today link, it can't seem to parse this one properly.
>>
>>62363965
>>62363989
Do you guys think Trump kneecaping Claude will have any affect on the market? The government getting involved with restricting AI development seems pretty bearish for a market fully fueled by AI hype
>>
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i need a good #2 broker compared to ibkr. they don't always have enough shares to short fo great setups.
i've been trying schwab but think or swim is ass
1. bad executions
2. few 24hr options
3. does some retarded shit when wanting to place orders
>>
As someone who got conned into working trades I'm content with my lot in life I was able to finance a house in my twenties and my wife can work part time with a child but I really should have tried to be a lawyer/government official
Things are only so fucked in this country (USA only country that matters sorry) cause everyone in positions of power in this country is a cucked little faggot willing to bend over to kikes and nigger sympathy and lgbtq bullshit.
It's not about working white collar to make more money I'm fine with the money I make but just reinforcing the anti-intellectual thesis of the right wing makes us all retarded and is why everything gets kiked over and ov r again.
Joos use their retirement accounts to send their spawn to law school I'm gonna try and do the same
Also, buy VOO or something.
>>
>>62363791
That's what we have in Australia, it's called super annuation. It sucks if you actually wanted to invest it yourself because labour union super funds scam you with mandatory high fees and you can't pick the investments you want without paying outrageous high costs.
>>
>>62363980
how many more of these cycles until it simply gets priced in? surely the market has been fooled enough times by now.
>>
Are you ready for the next AMD 5x, /smg/?
>>
>>62363993
Ive been experimenting with a option scalping strategy all week. Buying at reversal points and selling within 30 seconds utilizing the volatility at those points. If it reverses or not doesn't matter cause on the 1m chart qqq has a ton of up down volatility you just have to pull out once the trend is confirmed. I lost a ton the first couple days but ended up coming out positive by the end of the week. It's all pointless though cause I can only do this shit when I'm not working.
>>
>>62364013
Not 5x, but I'm most bullish on AMD out of all the current AI-related stocks.
>>
>>62364018
Why
>>
>>62364013
those milkers look 5x larger than expected wtf i thought she was a flattie
>>
>>62364013
Would be shocked if it went 5x desu, would expect the full money destroyer and money distributor cycle
>>
>he thinks a deal will be signed
>>
At what point do you consider someone crossing the line from investing to just gambling?
>>
>>62364021
They're supplying both GPU and CPU compute and from what I've gathered they fully haven't embraced the AI craze yet, at least compared to a lot of other stocks that mooned already, so their margins and profits should only increase from now onwards. Also seems a bit more resilient compared to memory that's the current highest bottleneck as that's more model dependant and may shift the dependency eventually, while base compute will always be there, which is what AMD can provide.

Not too deep into the topic, but that's somewhat the thesis I'm operating under. Other AI companies just seem to have been squeezed much more compared to AMD.
>>
>>62364013
I didn't know AMD was into mammaries
>>
>>62363632
>AI bet wins
>lose job
>AI bet loses
>lose retirement
hmmmm very interesting
>>
>>62364054
that's why I'm all in on AI
if I lose it all
it means I can keep making an income and I can start building a new investment portfolio

And if AI bet wins, I'm a millionaire before all the jobs are gone.
>>
>>62364036
Gambling versus investment comes down to risk, and the variables of risk are quantity and certainty.
For instance if you were to bet that something you dropped would fall down is that gambling? No, because the certainty is 100% or close barring some anomaly.
Now consider the same scenario except you bet everything you own, your life and the lives of your family on the same bet. Is that gambling? I would say yes just given that so much is jeopardized if there is even the smallest fraction of a percent that it doesn't work or whatever reason.
And so with these two variables of quantity and certainty you can evaluate what is gambling and what is investing. 100% wager 50% certainty is gambling. This is basically YOLO. 30% wager on a 80% certainty is investing. This is for instance putting 30% of your portfolio in a company that has only gone up for its entire history
>>
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>>62363632
To be honesss which’oo I don’t like how thuh spy be lookin this weeken on hyper
>>
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Instead of wasting countless hours grinding swingtrading Im just going to place parlays on random stuffs for easy 3x and place half of my winnings in etfs
It aint gambling if youre winning ;)
>note: I havnt won anything yet
>>
>>62364036
Leverage is one metric. If you are leveraged with something you can't directly control yourself it's gambling, or able to outright buy then control it yourself. But if you're leveraged building your own business, something you directly control, then it's not usually gambling.

Extreme concentration is another way to gamble. If you go all in on, I don't know, quantum computers then it's gambling. When you over concentrate, often times, if the trade ends, you're trapped unless you sell at massive losses. Even if you're not leveraged at all, it's still gambling. You can lose similar amounts of money with over concentration as you could with leverage, and recovery may never come.

Options for anything other than hedging or income generation for your longs is gambling
>>
>Before Trump's comments, Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei expressed caution over the timeline, saying: "We will have to wait and see about the exact date of the signing of the memorandum of understanding
>although it will not be tomorrow."
You fuckers, sign this shit before open
>>
Space may be the final frontier but it was made in a Hollywood station
>>
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>>62364083
Only gone up is very scary. No more than 5% on these.
I'm more confident to trade long, in the shade of higher highs, chasing momentum, on a quality stock I'm happy owning long-term if it doesn't go the way I want. That's what I consider investing.
>>
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>Might makes right
>Believe all baggies
>>
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all my buddies at SpaceX are millionairs now. I could have went to work for them 10 years ago but refused because of the low pay and insane hours.
>>
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According to my spreadsheet I'm +34% ytd after taxes...
This can't be sustainable, last year I did a +28% but the dollar lost 12% so it made more sense.
The IPOs must be the peak of this cycle, right?
>>
>>62364119
can they sell yet?
if yes, LMAO at you
if not, LMAO at them
>>
>>62364036
It's somewhat arbitrary and it's kind of two sides of the same scale, but it's more about thesis, intention, conviction and depth of understanding. Investing is about having some sort of coherent reasonable plan to gain profit by putting money in an asset. It tends to be longer-term with lower amount of risk/loss and gains expectations. Gambling is way more volatile with much higher short term gains/losses. Investing is buying VOO, hoping to get 10% p.a. return. Gambling is shorting 10x leveraged WTI, hoping Trump will post a tweet to lie about a deal with Iran to open the strait of Hormuz.

The line itself is very blurry, but it's probably mostly about the risk factor and speed. Honestly as far as you stay away from CFD's and leveraged stocks, it's pretty tough to cross. Like, you can still gamble with penny stocks or highly volatile options.
>>
>>62364121
everything cost more to buy
>>
Did you guys know openai and palantir are queer owned businesses so they're basically LGBTQ?
>>
>>62364009
About 40 more times of getting fooled.
>>
>>62364149
wtf I love openai now, IPO when?
>>
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gambling is awesome, it takes courage and skill, and the money is just as green. and weirdly if i had made my money playing poker everyone would hail me as some kind of genius, but i made my money being right and investing long term and everyone calls me lucky.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9FjHQ9oT9Kc
>>
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Yeah — this version is more natural for /biz/: a little blunt, casual, but still readable.

ADBE reversal play / picrel

Been looking at Adobe after the dump and I think the market might be overreacting here.

Stock is sitting around $204 after getting nuked. The funny part is the actual earnings weren’t even disaster-tier. Revenue was still solid, guidance got raised, cash flow is still strong, and they’re still buying back shares. The selloff seems more like a mix of AI panic, CFO/leadership worries, and everyone deciding Adobe is suddenly dead.

I don’t really buy that.

Not saying ADBE is going back to $300 next week or anything, but I think a bounce back into the low $220s by August is pretty realistic if the panic cools off. This thing doesn’t need a miracle, just a partial mean reversion.

My play:

ADBE 8/21 $220/$225 call debit spread
6 contracts
Trying to fill around $0.50
Risk: about $300
Max profit: about $2,700
Breakeven: $220.50
Max profit if ADBE is $225+ by 8/21

Basically betting Adobe can recover around 8–10% in the next two months after getting dumped this hard.

I like this better than buying naked calls because the risk is defined and the target isn’t insane. If ADBE chops under $210 forever or breaks under $200 and keeps bleeding, this probably dies. But if it even gets back to $222–225, the spread pays nicely.

Could be wrong, obviously. But this looks like one of those “everyone hates it at the exact wrong time” setups.

Not financial advice, I’m just taking a defined-risk shot while sentiment is in the gutter.
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>he invests in a shitty pdf app
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>>62364158
As long as it prints money?
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>>62364156
Interesting setup. Pretty good risk reward.
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>>62364117
Wtf is with these little wiggers. I sort of like them. Are they based? Are they buysignal?
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is rklb/pl/asts/fly buys at these current prices?
or will they bleed more
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>>62364006
Get government trade jobs and security clearance. Law isnt better per se, youll be with the other side of the spectrum of retards.


Or specialize into something depending on your trade. Higher IQ
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>>62364156
wait - are you the guy who made this thread on reddit, that got removed by mods?

https://www.reddit.com/r/smallstreetbets/comments/1u3zqn6
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>>62364163
it's ok my entire portfolio is xerox and reddit
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Is there like a free way to estimate my retirement horizon? I don't want to pay a financial advisor, but I want to fucking retire in like 4 years
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>>62363632
/smg/, it's not too late to make a ton of money on SpaceX.

First of all, stop thinking about the "trillion dollar" valuation. No one who is currently buying cares about valuation, and they're not going to randomly start caring. They're either retards buying purely on hype(future baggies), people trying to make a quick buck off of the hype, or the people who really know what's going on. And now I'm going to explain what's going on.

There are two reasons why SpaceX is valuable right now. One is that the rest of the shares are locked up with a specified time period. Meaning new investors are currently safe from being the exit liquidity of early investors. The second reason is arguably more important. It's not really talked about much because it's a new scam that's never been done before, and so it's going to blindside a lot of people despite the signs being really obvious. It's the early inclusion of SpaceX into index funds like the NASDAQ-100, FTSE Russel, CRSP, and MSCI.

Basically, index funds are going to be forced to buy SpaceX at it's current inflated price. That's pretty bad already, but once you dig deeper it gets even more nefarious. Indexes need to buy a certain amount of shares so they can properly benchmark a stock. Originally, there were rules in place about float percentages. This rule existed for safety. If a company's float is too small, and a massive index fund is suddenly forced to buy billions of dollars of a stock with very few available shares... you can imagine what will happen. For some ungodly reason they have now removed those safety limits. Not only that, but the NASDAQ-100 has weighed SpaceX's small float to be THREE FUCKING TIMES higher in valuation. They will now buy THREE TIMES more stock under these new calcuations. According to my research, FTSE Russel and NASDAQ-100 alone will buy 30% of the available float, and with CRSP and MSCI, it may reach as high as 50%. This will all happen after 2 weeks.
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>>62364156
>catching falling knives
I don't think that market sentiment on Adobe will change anytime soon, but I can see a rotation into SAAS soon that should take Adobe with it. With everyone starting to feel the price of tokens and cost of using AI models, I can see sentiment shifting into the idea that maybe AI can't kill software so easily and cheaply, at least not anytime soon, pumping some capital back into the sector.
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cont.

This entire IPO has been one huge backroom deal. Elon raises 75 billion for SpaceX and becomes the world's first """trillionaire""", while institutions make guaranteed billions of dollars by selling the shares they bought for multiple times its worth. I mean, front-running indexes is nothing new, but doing it on these levels is of biblical proportion. Index funds and Retail are their guaranteed exit liquidity before the share lockup is over.

Still, we're not here to complain about how unfair the world is. If you're smart about it, then you can earn some money too. For now I'm planning to buy on Monday with leverage and wait 2 weeks. My plan may change because I also expect more dumping to shake out retailers. Good luck.

https://www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/261956945-spacex-spcx-ipo-index-fund-buying-nasdaq100-fast-risk-self-sp500-etf-alternative-tradingkey
https://www.cmegroup.com/articles/2026/the-spacex-mega-ipo-why-index-choice-matters.html
https://machine-learning-made-simple.medium.com/your-retirement-account-is-about-to-buy-spacex-nobody-asked-you-d15df1f31e5a
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/spacex-lockup-period-know-potential-163000985.html
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eating a bacon cheeseburger
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>>62364194
all ipo's/spacs have lock up periods
what do you mean?
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>>62364181
No, I havent made a post on wall street bets yet, but I have made some pretty risky 0DTE bets, yesterday I did a debit spread on tesla after the dip, my target was like 200.5-202.5 or something, I got spooked when it started dancing at 202.5 an hour before close and sold for $200 profit, I’m still in the hole for blowing most of my portfolio on Tesla falls on the dreadful Jun 10 drop.
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>>62364193
Thats why I’m not planning on buying it for market price, which my previous posted contract would have been like $600 if I paid yesterdays price, I’m going to watch and see if it keeps dropping further, makes it riskier, but all options are risky
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>>62364194
makes sense it would pump and then dump. the lockup is like 7% a month until December when the rest of it dumps.
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>>62364192
I understand this but I need one further explanation. If spacex goes up or down, doesn't that cause indexes to buy or sell to maintain their exposure. Price increase would cause a sale and a price decrease would cause a purchase. Am I wrong?
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reminder smg is wrong
https://strawpoll.com/7rnzVXODLnO
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big peace deal, biggest. don't buy oil guys. don't do it
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>>62364211
I full ported UCO before close
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>>62363700
the last time i got a gopro camera i was so anmoyed by its app and all the bullshit i returned it for chinkshit
i just wanted it to shit out video files i could transfer to my pc with a cable not make an account and present my anus
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>>62364212
it's over
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>>62364121
>tfw you'll never be as cool as chow yun fat
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>>62364208
Yes but it's all mechanical. Basically because of the low float they can force the indexes to buy the top and sell the bottom.
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>>62364195
Based
>>62364171
Aliens
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Watched the entire first season of Kaiji today. Now at season 2.
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>>62364240
We need to do an fx senshi watch party
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>>62364240
Based, Kaiji was part of what got me to finally stop hording my cash and actually start investing. I need to read the post-anime parts of the manga one of these days
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>>62364192
So basically what youre saying is we should just buy and then sell before we become exit liquidity
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How many of you guys who’ve “made it” actually do any consistent work? Or do you just go with etf’s and the occasional options trade for income and making sure you don’t lose it all?
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>>62363666
don't be like me anon, when i was very early on i thought buying ORLY was a good safe bet but i only ever lost money on it
it's not only a slow boring business, but i lost a bit on it, something like 14% since september
maybe it could be a good time to buy the dip but in terms of the long term, idk i got better stuff now, probably not the worst thing in the world, just recently has been bad these past few months



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