I think this belongs here.
>>6265669550%
>>6265669575%
>>62656703Remind me to never take financial advice from you.
>>62656695We know one is a boy, so that's 50%. We don't know the other so it's 50/50. >Total: 75%
>>62656695BB (50%)BG (50%)50%
>>62656695~55%, generally more boys are born than girls, and the tuesday thing is fucking irrelevant.
>>62656718And no, GB is not any different from BG and is not a third option. That is objectively retarded.
>>62656695The probability of Mr Smith's children both being male is ~25%. I deserve to make $650K/yr
>>6265669550% boy 50% boy/girl0.5×0.5 =0.2525%
100%(Tuesday is the tell)
2/3
>>62656695>100% probability you're all gay retards
Plot twist, they’re trans and it’s a 0% chance
Folks lets lee if we can do better than /pol/, you are embraassing me here.
>>626566951/3It’s like that famous probability problem with the prize behind one of the doors or something
33% because there's 3 different possibilities.
>>62656695P(BB)=25+25+2525=33.3%Gib me a job now pls
Oh now you wanna fuck me. Smh. I dont give up easily. You going to have to work for this dark force lady.
the child could be genderfluidthis is a test to see if you are an anti semitic bigot
two boys: .25at least one boy: .75two boys and at least one boy: .25two boys given that you know at least on is a boy:0.25/0.75=1/3.
>>62656695The probability is equal to the chance of the second child being born male, which is 50%.The first child is guaranteed to be male.The second child has a 50% chance of being born male.The probability is 50%.You can also do it like this:Flip two coins.The first coin is always heads.What are is the probability that both coins are heads?The second coin can only be heads or tails, which means there's a 50% chance that the second coin is heads.It becomes a 25% chance if the first child can be born female, but he cannot. "At least one male is born on Tuesday." There's a 100% chance that at least one of the two children are male.You can also do it like thisM - FM - MThese are the two possible configurations of the births. In one configuration, it's M-F the other is M-M. Half of the configurations are M-M, which is a 50% chance.Or you can say the male being born on Tuesday is the second child and it goesM-MF-MWhich is 50% again.You can also add this to the first configuration to the first and getM - FM - MF - M M - MAnd see that half of the configurations are M - MIt's 50%.
>>62656736>>62656761it's 51.8pct to be a boyit's also like that stupid door contest on tvcombine both and you get 32.5pct, the real answerfuck citadel I will keep NEETing in SEA fucking SEAmonkeys
>>62656810Wrong, it doesn't say the first child is male. It says at least one of them is male.
>>62656818Continue reading. Either the first child is male, or the second child is male.Either way it's 50%.
>>62656818The order does not matter. BG and GB are identical sets based on the question's constraints. 50% is correct.
>>62656803/thread
>>6265683355% anon is correct It's not binaryProbability that you become a billionaire is not 50% even if the attribute is either yes/no
Impressive that no one got the awser right yet.Maybe this place is not as smart as i thought.Real eye opener desu.
>HOLY SHITTTTT IM GONNA PLAY WITH DATAFRAMES AND SECOND LEVEL GREEKS ALL DAY EEEEEEEEEHHUUHHHHAHAHAHAHA FUCK OUTTA MY WAY PEONS
>>62656864You bring the late early 2000's surfer white boy in me bitch got damn.
>>62656833Wrong. Out 100 (gazillion) cases, 75 will have at least one boy of which 25 will be two boy families.Now pick any of the 75, what are the odds to be in the 25 group? 1/3I'll take the job thanks
>>62656853Outcomes:BBBGGBGGLet A = both kids are boys (1/4=>0.25)Let B = at least one of the 2 kids is a boy (3/4 =>0.75)P(A|B) = P(AnB)/P(B)= 0.25/0.75 = 0.333 ~33.3%
>>62656879>arbitrarily changes the constraints to prove i'm wrong>"What's 1+1? And don't tell me 2, because the question could actually be what's 100+100"
>>62656853M-FM-MNumber of favorable outcomes = 1Total number of outcomes = 21/2 = 0.5M-MM-FF-MM-MNumber of favorable outcomes = 2Total number of outcomes = 42/4 = 0.5Retard.
>>62656888IT CANNOT BE GGONE OF THE TWO CHILDREN IS BORN MALE ON TUESDAY.It literally says it in the picture.
>>62656888BG=GBGG is precluded based on the question.It's 50%.>BG = GB>BB
>>62656853You can look it up with AI in 2 seconds. It's another retarded question that doesn't belong anywhere near a mathematics profession, because it taints it with pseudoscientific philosophy/psychology bullshit and linguistic games.The expected proportion is 75%The probability is 50%>B-but it's actually 48.1% because the boy was born on Tuesday!!! And the days in the week limit the BG combination!!!Except the Tuesday is literally irrelevant because we don't know when the 2nd child was born. Little Jimmy could've been born a year later, which means the 7 days week is irrelevant.
>>62656896So why the brother wnd sister have different last name
>>62656896>>62656897>t. retardsLearn what the symbols mean. Literally research what P(A|B) means.
>>62656913BG = GB cope and seethe, mathnigger.
>>62656902It's a question to filter tards who don't get conditional probability, nothing mystical about it, just a knowledge check.
OK I CHANGED MY MIND.I ignored the Tuesday part but actually Tuesday means 'this Tuesday' meaning the second child and not any child is a boy. So it is 50/50
>>62656920> having an elder son and a young daughter is the same as having an elder daughter and a younger sonYou're retarded
>>6265685348.15%. everyone is forgetting the condition of at least one bit being a boy born on a Tuesday
>>62656913The gender of one child doesn't influence the gender of the next.If you flip a coin and it lands on heads, that doesn't change the chances of the next one. It's still 50%.Retard. That only matters in things like counting cards, where pulling a card changes the size of the deck and the amount of a specific card within the deck.Peak pseud behavior in this thread.
>>62656935What are the two events retardbro? I even labeled them for you. I never said or implied the gender of one of the kids affects the other.
He doesnt know the hoefax poor fella.
>>62656921Actually, it's a question for people who want to seem intelligent, while pushing pseudoscientific garbage.Data isn't collected this way. It has a sampling flaw, Probability requires knowing how information is gathered. In professional mathematics, a problem must define its conditioning mechanism. Without it, the question taints math with vague semantics.The Machine Scenario: A computer scans families. It only prints names if a Tuesday boy exists. The probability is 48.1%.The Human Scenario: You meet Mr. Smith. He randomly chooses one child to talk about. He mentions his Tuesday boy. The other child is independent. The probability is 50%.
>>62656952The two children being born are the two events. Or one event is the child who already exist, or would be born. And the other event is "both being male". Either way, it's 50%. Because one of the two children is guaranteed to be male.
>>62656922ACTUALLY ON SECOND THOUGHT I TAKE IT BACK.just because one son is born on Tuesday (so recently) doesn't mean he's the youngest. This brings back ambiguity, meaning Tuesday is meaningless without extra detail. Because they could have different mothers. You actually have to account for these probabilities as well.It's a lot more complicated than initially thought
Actually you need to consider all 26 possible gender identities your child can be to accurately assess this question, this question is simply there to filter out bigots who think there's only 2 genders
>>62656976/thread
>>62656752no idiot.One is already a boy for sure
>>62656962Exactly. This only demonstrates how evil money is. The prospect of $650k forces all the midwit normies to do mental gymnastics, trying to recall what some YouTube video said about that one game show than actually crunching numbers, all so they can argue for some impractical answer to a dumb question.
>>62656962>waaah waaaaah Bayes isn't real because it filters meHope you get well soon anon
>>62656969>The two children being born are the two events. Wrong. Read again. They're literally labeled.
>>62656695It either is or is not.50/50
Does the compensation go down for each incorrect answer provided?
>>62657001>I didn't explain how the data was collected, therefore leaving the answer open to interpretation. I was on my high-horse until Anon called me out on it. I don't have a good rebuttal, so I'll just make baby noises instead.You really thought you cooked, huh?
>>62656993/thread
>>62657042It's a textbook question on conditional probability, you crying about real world data doesn't change that. You're basically the retard who replies "but nobody needs 80 apples" at a basic math problem because they never learned how to add and substract.
>has 2 children>atleast one is a boy born on tuesday>thus we can confirm one of them is a boyTaking out one of the children whos guaranteed to be a boy from the equation the left over unknown factor is the gender of the second child. There is a 50/50 chance the gender of the second child is a boy.With known factors taken out of the equation, there is a 50/50 chance the second child is a boy thus making it a 50/50 chance both children are boys.Am I fucking crazy or is everyone else retarded?
>>62657097Born a boy=\= is a boy
>>62657114oh right sorry I forget your son could turn trans like you fagget
>>62656703> wut are independent eventsanon is right
>>62656752you will never WAGMI
>>62657126the average woman in america is effectively a tranny. stop hating on the tiny percentage M2F trannies while ignoring the 50 percent of the population that is F2M tranny. M2F trannies are actually pretty cool. they do nothing wrong for society while the average woman is a ruinator
Funny to see Jewish math probability nerds pilpuling pretending that the probability of the set does not depend on constraint conditions. I guess this is why the goyim let them run the financial industry and print the money to bail them out when they fail while dealing with the real world where boundary conditions matter.
>>62656736This cant be right. Theres way more girls born.
>>62656695It's a trick question. Boys born on Tuesdays have a 1.3% chance of transitioning by the age of 40. So we actually have to factor in a variable (x, in years) that goes to 0.013 as time approaches 40 years. Then we have to factor in the 50% chance that it's also another boy and a 22% change that hes born on Tuesday too and factor that same rate of gender dysphoria into the equation.
>>62656695Theoretically you're correct, but assuming the pregnancy happens in the US, the likelihood that a random pregnancy will produce a boy is 51.1%, therefore the answer is 51.1%
>>62657150what makes you think I DONT hate women?
>>62657186Meant to answer to >>62657097
since we know there is one boy, the question is really "what are the odds that the other kid is a boy?" given no other conditions, the probability is 50%
>>62656921Crazy how far I had to scroll to see this. They literally just want to see how your thought process works from a fresh slate and how you arrived at certain theses, the final answer is irrelevant. >All the retards saying you can just whip out ChatGPT mid interviewSHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
>>62656853I looked it up and don’t get it13/27 but why does the day matter
>>62656717That's irrelevant information.All you care about is whether one unknown child is a boy or a girl and that's 50/50.
>>62656695100%
>>62656695It’s 2/3 for a retarded faggot gotcha reason. Behead all statisticians
>>62657457so is there some kind of trick or is it just 50%
>>62657270I was wrong to dismiss the day of the week on >>62656888 it does change the scenario, so basically this increases our outcomes.Take all combinations of BG possible with all the days of the week so we have 4 sets of 49 possibilities.Set 1 is G(Mon-Sun)G(Mon-Sun) Set 2 is G(Mon-Sun)B(Mon-Sun)Set 3 is B(Mon-Sun)B(Mon-Sun)Set 4 is B(Mon-Sun)G(Mon-Sun)In set 1 there are 0 pairs with a Boy born on TuesdayIn set 2 there are 7 pairs with a Boy born on tuesdayIn set 3 there are 13 pairs with a Boy born on TuesdayIn set 4 there are 7 pairs with a Boy born on TuesdayP(A|B) = P(AnB)/P(B)P(B) probability that at least one boy was born on a tuesday = 0+7+13+7=27/196P(AnB)=intersection of both being boys and the probability of one being born om a Tuesday, we already have that for set 3, so 13/196.P(A|B) = (13/196)/(27/196) = 13/27 ~48.14%
The correct answer is:Completely irrelevant since no one cares, you are not supposed to waste your working time with trash like this
>>62657486What it boils down to is that the problem gives us additional information, this modify our base odds. 25% would be the probability for a pair of kids being both boys. Considering we know one is a boy, it reduces the "outcomes" possible. >>62656888 here I explain that scenario.The full scenario considering that one of the kids is a boy born on a Tuesday is explained here >>62657480
>>62657481This. Knowing the answer only means that you are autistic and replaceable by AI.
>>62657486No, because there are more males born per year than females. Males outnumber females.Statistically that pushes the odds higher than 25%.
its fucking 13/27 retards
>>62657270Apparently because the day can be used as a way to distinguish the children probabilistically.
HOLY SHIT YOURE ALL SO FUCKIG DUMB
>>62657562>>62657567Is that why you asked chatgpt?
>>62657583I WORK ATA FUCKINH UNIVERSITYCHATGPTY A FUCKIN DOG COULDANSWER IT
>>62657583CONDITIONALS IS YEAR 1 STATISTICS
>>62656703Slightly more than 50%; sperm cells carrying an XY chromosome pair are slightly lighter than the ones carrying XX, so travel faster, so result in more boys. This is offset by the higher rate of genetic defects caused by having only one X chromosome.
>>62657600 THIS GOES A BIT BEYOD YR1 TO BEFAIR
>>62657608no it doesn't this is statistics 101 and this thread is proof that /biz/ hasn't completed one year of higher educationt. computer syens
>>62657480CHICKEN DINNER WINNER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
>>62657614YEAH IT DEPENDS WHICH MAJOR I GYESS. Y KEYBARDS BROKEN SORRY FOR CAPS
>>62657592>>62657600Sure you do. That's why you type in capitals with lots of grammatical mistakes, a sign of a distinguished and well educated professor.
>>62657618IM NOT A PHD Y KEYBOARDS BROKEN SORRY
"At least one is a boy"Universe is: BG GB BBProb both are boys is 1 in 3
CANT UNCAPS LOL
>>62656695the real answer is YOU ASK MR. SMITH
>>62656962The interesting thing about this answer is that, while you're correct, I imagine more and more people will become this guy: >>62657001 because they're literal NPCs who just rely on LLMs to tell them answers/information and then accept it as Gospel truth.
>>62656710>>6265669550%, we already know that one child is a boy so the question is really what's the probability that the next child is a boy, retard.
>>62657614I took stats 101 and 102 and I’m still not sure why the day matters
>>62657667 "At least one was a Tuesday boy" limits you to being in this space:Bt G x7G Bt x7B Bt x6Bt B x6Bt BtAnd 13 of those are boy boy
>>62657651>they're literal NPCs who rely on LLMsHoly projection
>>62656695The answer is................ OVER 9000!!!!!!!!! % chance of both children being boys
oh and anyone that thinks tuesday is relevant is a dumbass lmao
Ummm, doesn’t that depend on whether the mother agrees that it is actually a boy?
In order for both children to be boys his second child needs to be a boy and the chance of that is 50%
>Tuesday
>>62657614Statistics taught you how to misuse random data criteria? Tell me more.>um yeah a boy born on Tuesday is actually different than a boy born on Wednesday>Let me tell you have this changes your probability (it doesn't)>TIME TO LE PEE PEE HACK!!! LOL
>>62657718It's called conditioning, mathlet. This is why you're poor.
>>62657817Everyone knows that Tuesdays have magical powers that make it statistically less likely for a boy to be born. That's girlpower day, 82% of all births are female. It's maffs.
>>62656810>The probability is equal to the chance of the second child being born male, which is 50%.This. Every information in the problem statement, is basically to divert your attention than basically, there is a 50% change that any child born is a boy. So there is a 50% change that the second child is a girl, and a 50% chance that the second child is a boy. Which would give two boys. So 50%.
>>62656717>>62656703>>62656695It's a trick quesion the gender ratio varies by country if we assume Mr. Smith lives in the US it's about 51.2% male.>Globally and nationally, the 0-4 age group has a higher population of males than females due to a natural biological sex ratio at birth of about 105 boys for every 100 girls
Oh the answer is 33%, I just used aiI win
>>62658007this only applies if a man is having children with just one woman. the chance of a WOMAN having two sons consecutively is lower than 50%. only if a man impregnates two women is there two equal chances of 50% son.i win the prize.
Let's make this question more interesting.Mr. Smith's wife is white and liberal. What is the probability that she strangles Mr. Smith's children?
>>62657496No. Imagine you flip a coin ten times, and ten times it hits on head. You flip it an eleventh time. What is the probability that it lands on head? Still 50%. Landing eleven times on head, it's an extraordinary low probability. But before it lands, the probability it lands on head is still 50%.
>>62658031No. See my post here. >>62658035
>>62658043reproduction isn't something as simple as a coin toss, nincompoop.there is actual data to show that a woman's chances of having two sons consecutively is lower than having a girl and a boy. we're getting in to complex hormonal and epigenetic factors that determine fetal sex in the womb.i'm right and you're wrong. deal with it.
Okay it's actually 48.15% i think. Chatbot help. I think it's a problem to separate the illogicals, who will answer 25%, 33%, 75%, from the rationals, who would answer 50%, from the genius level or actual mathematicians who are actually good at maths, who would answer 48.15%. The tuesday stuff actually matters.
>>62656935>The gender of one child doesn't influence the gender of the next.
>>62656786Monty hall iirc
>>62658360WowIf my wife sees this, she'll never agree to have a third child
>>62656695>Mr.Male, more likely to talk about a son than daughter>SmithLikely white, not more likely to abort a daughter>odds are not 50:50 slit for gendersWould need to know birth ratio>2026More than two "genders", odds of second son go down. But women also transition more, odds of "son" goes up>Tells you son is born on tuesdayThis tuesday? Maybe he is talking about twins, odds of identical twins ups odds of 2 sons.If not a recent tuesday, then he is likely highly autistic. Likely aborted and second sons or daughters to keep an even distribution of children>TuesdayWait, of course Tuesday is his wife's name, that would change everything. A stripper name if I ever heard one, the odds of the mans second son being male are 0%, because the man has no children that are actually he is and he merely pretends to cope. The man is a cuckold!
>>62658023except the reason there are more girls than boys is because boys die younger
>>62657128this is why i hate the monty hall problemthe "correct" answer, i think, is 33% because the cases are>bb>bg>gband only one of these is bbbut i think that's horseshit and the answer is really 50% because really it's>b (b)>g (b)and that's it
>>62658067>The tuesday stuff actually matters.Wrong. The day of the week is completely irrelevant. Gender is determined at conception, not at birth. It's not like a child is conceived as a female, then they're born on Tuesday and now they're male!Retarded.Peak retardation.>>62659954There's two children, each which could be male or female.Child A = AChild B = BA = M - B = MA = M - B = FA = F - B = MA = F- B = F50%.
>>62659966>A = F- B = Fis not valid because we know one child is a boyleaving just>A = M - B = M>A = M - B = F>A = F - B = Mall equally probable
>>62656695Got the AI to explain it to me..>at least on is on TuesdayI was going to complain that this is such an autistic thing to make the question contingent on, but I guess its a good autism test if your looking to hire an overpaid quant
>>62659954Bg and gb is the same thing, we already know that one of the kids is a boy, the likelihood that the other one is a boy is 50%
>a child born on tuesday can be a different gender on wednesday>a boy and a girl is different from a girl and a boyNo wonder you retards are so fucking poor.
>>62657718I agree and suspect this is the intention of the question, to bait out giga autists and cheatersA right answer is a wrong answer
>>62659992>Flip coin>It lands on heads>Flip coin>It lands on tails>Flip coins>It lands on heads but the coin is pointing slightly more northIT'S A DIFFERENT OUTCOME!! THE PROBABILITY OF TAILS IS 33%!
The correct answer is 66%. Since we know one is a boy, our remaining possiblities are BBG. Thus there's a 2/3rds chance that the remaining child picked is a boy. While this may not initially make sense, consider that the probability the boy picked comes from a 2 boy family is higher than the probability that he comes from a boy girl family.
>>62660002Hmmm but did you flip the coin on Tuesday? *le toucan thinking hat*>I went to college for this btwedit: thanks for the gold!
>>62660023Don't forget to consult the astrological chart, too! Was it a Tuesday in December, or a Tuesday in April? Everyone knows Aries are 98% men.
>>62659990i agree because i think they are independent events but i don't think the question agreesif we were told>the first child is a boythen you would be rightbut since we aren't you are supposed to recognize that there are 3 possible casesremember, the question has a 3% success rate and the immediately obvious answer is 50%clearly whomever wrote the question does not think the answer is 50%
>>62656810>>62656827You're wrong.There are 4 equally likely outcomes:GGGBBGBBThe statement "at least 1 is a boy" eliminates the GG case. Of the remaining outcomes 1 is BB so the answer is 1/3.You start branching into sub-worlds without first ensuring your cases are mutually exclusive. The case "child 1 is male" or "child 2 is male" have overlap and causes you to double-count the BB case later on.You could make these cases mutually exclusive with some re-framing. We observe child 1, then we observe child 2, then me make the statement. So we could say 1 of 2 things happened: child 1's observation made the statement true or child 2's observation made the statement true. But it cannot be both because a statement known to be true cannot be "made true".P("child 1's observation made the statement true") is simply the probability child 1 is a boy. Which, importantly, is not 1/2. This child comes from a special set of children, of which 1 is known to be male, so his gender is heavily biased towards male. There are 3 possible cases: GB BG and BB and here 2/3 of the time child 1 is going to be a boy. What about his sibling? After fixing child 1's gender we're left with 2 cases BG and BB, so his sibling is male 1/2 making the probability both children are male also 1/2.NextP("child 2's observation made the statement true") requires we first observed a girl, then a boy. Of possible cases GB BG and BB only 1 case has a girl followed by a boy and so we have 1/3. But here we have a girl in the mix so the chance both children are male is exactly 0.So we have 2/3*1/2 + 1/3*0 = 1/3
>>62660340There are two children, child A and child B.If child A is the male born on Tuesday, what is the % chance that child B is male?If child B is the male born on Tuesday, what is the % chance that child A is male?Situation A:Child A = male = 100%Child B = male = 50%100/50=50%Situation B:Child B = male = 100%Child A = male = 50%100/50=50%Situation A:MFMM50%.Situation B:FMMM50%The two double-male options don't cancel each other out. There are not four equally likely outcomes, there are TWO equally likely outcomes inside of two possible situations. Inside of the two situations MM equals exactly half and FM/MF equally exactly half.Take a coin, put it heads up. Flip another coin, what is the probability that BOTH coins are heads?50%.Take a coin, flip it. DO NOT LOOK AT IT.Take a second coin, put it heads up.What is the probability that BOTH coins are heads?50%.
>>62656695>pass rate ~3%grim
One box has a chocolate and vanilla cupcake. The other box has a chocolate and penis flavored cupcake. You pick a box at random and pull out a chocolate cupcake. What's the chance that the next cupcake you pull is also chocolate?
>>62658023THIS IS THE CORRECT ANSWER
>>62657707winrar xD
>>62660018I looked it up and I'm wrong because there's 4 choices shit. BB BG GB GG
>>62656787No there aren't, one is given as a boy, so the question is basically "what are the odds that someone's child is male or female".Those odds are for all intents and purposes 50%.Even if you have 10 boys already, the odds of your 11th child being a boy again are always 50/50.
>>62660000>copeThis question has been around far longer than any LLM, and is very similar to the Monty Hall problem. The real issue is /biz/ not only lacks education in mathematics, most also fail to interpret the question properly.
>>62660405>Take a coin, put it heads up. Flip another coin, what is the probability that BOTH coins are heads?>50%.Yes.>Take a coin, flip it. DO NOT LOOK AT IT.>Take a second coin, put it heads up.>What is the probability that BOTH coins are heads?>50%.Yes.Neither accurately describes the situation involving children. An analogous coin experiment would be tossing 2 coins into a dark room. Your friend enters the room, turns the light on, and simply nods if he observes at least 1 head. After your friend gives a nod the chance the room contains 2 heads is 1/3, not 1/2.
>>62660018it's the monty hall problem. anyone tryna work in finance should immediately recognize that lol.
>>62661776One child is a boy, the other child is unknown and the odds of it being a boy or girl are always 50/50.Even if Mr. Smith had 100 children who are all boys, the odds of his 101st child being a boy are still 50/50.>>62661791>>62661140This is nothing like the monty hall problem.The Monty Hall problem involves three doors, two choices, and the removal of one door.This problem only has one "door" and there is only one choice.
>>62660998>>62660018There are only two possibilities: BG or BB.Now flip a coin.
>>62662048>This problem only has one "door"To be precise: there are two doors but one is already open and shows the outcome.
>>62656695I'm assuming this is one of those ones where people overthink themselves out of the right answer?>bb>bg = gb>gg (can't be this)"both boys" means order isn't relevant for the question, which is why bg and gb are the same.So it's just a 50/50 shot.But my assumption is people don't go into a $650,000 job assuming the questions are simple.
>>62662048>This is nothing like the monty hall problem.Both questions are Bertrand's probability paradox asked in different ways. They are basically the same.
>>62662059>>bg = gbTo be fair; there are twice as many "mixed sex" pairings in real-world statistics.Out of all two-child families on earth, the distribution is:BB: 25%GG: 25%BG: 25%GB: 25%I may have to revise my answer.HOWEVER, there is the Tuesday, and if both are boys the odds of one of them being born on a Tuesday are much greater than if there were only one boy.You know what, I'm sticking with 50/50 because fuck you that's why.
>>62662051Nah BG and GB are both valid outcomes since the question doesn't explicitly exclude either of those pairings. So you have BB, BG, and GB, of which there's a 2/4 chance the boy observed comes from the BB family and a 1/4+1/4 chance he comes from a BG or GB family. I guess to make this like betrands box you would have to say something explicitly like "there are three family's, a GB, GG, and BB family." That would increase the chance to 66%.
There’s only a certain percent of boys born on a Tuesday compared to girls. Every day would have its own ratio of how many girls and how many boys were born. Every day of the year, every day of the week, and so on. It’s not the same as a coin flip. You have to take every single variable into account.
Assuming that the probably of a random child being born as a boy is 50% (which it isn't, but makes sense for simplification), the answer is 13/27.Without the Tuesday informaiton, it would be 1/3, but the tuesday makes the boy/boy scenario more likely, which makes sense because the boys could be born on different days.It took me around 15 mins, almost impossible to calculate it in 90 seconds like in the test.wow and it took me 5 mins solve captchas thanks satoshi
>>62656695isn't this too simple?BB BG GG GBat least one is a boy so GG vanishes as a probabilityso it is 1/333.3%so this earns me 650k? kek
>>62662163Now consider Tuesday.Do the odds of a boy being born on that day go up or down if the other child is a girl or boy?
What does this mean I’m confused
The answer is 1/3rd. Once you see past the tricky phrasing it's quite obvious
>>62656695Depends, did the wife receive a D-Mail?
>>62662225see >>62662184
>>62662153> it took me 5 mins solve captchas thanks satoshiThis board is so low IQ...
>>62661140Your app went in the trash with the other cheaters
