What would a democrat sweep mean for the stock market? It has been pumping well so far under Republican control.Are we going to go into a bear market after elections?
>>62703054lame duck trump in the cuck cage
>>62703088He's clearly demonstrated he and his masters Te intent to burn it all down and destroy the entire world before they lose power
>>62703054kinda sick of orange man
>>62703054The market has been pumping since 2023 solely because of AI. Once the chickens come home to roost from the ridiculous government you have now, who are seemingly disassembling all remaining American advantages as quickly as they can - you are fucked. The world is fucked, then, China (note: led by the tactically minded, not complete retards) will naturally take their place at the top. I don't love China, just my opinions based on what I see. The US is pissing off trading partners, joining in Israel's wars against their interests, arguing over the fucking puddle you have in the Capitol. And then there's China: starting to dominate global car markets, now a place of innovation, not just manufacturing, and recently held those humanoid Olympics.Which horse would you back long-term? The AI gods in America are only starting to talk about regulation because they're running out of steam and not sure where to turn - they want to regulate China from overtaking them, as I see it. The market as a whole has so much in them not only gaining ground, but MAKING MONEY, something nobody is doing right now.
just hold bitcoin it's immune to all this fake&gay background noise
>>62703092you people live in such a made up fantasy world it's absolutely insane. What exactly makes you think that Trump is AT ALL willing to burn down or destroy anything whatsoever considering how pathetically meek his second term has been so far? He's conceded literally every single thing his opposition strongly disagrees with. He couldn't even continue his core promise of deporting the millions of illegals because a couple of protests completely took his balls away.
>>62703118He is much stronger president than Biden. Trump went to war with courts multiple times, Biden just cucked out when courts struck down his loan forgiveness
>>62703054Why would anyone use Kalshi over Polymarket? You literally have to provide so much information just to be allowed to use it. Such a glowie ass platform.An ID would be already too much, but these subhumans want to know your ADDRESS?!
>>62703135>Such a glowie ass platformPolymarket is literally a darpa project.
>>62703140and yet I can use it with only an email. what gives?btw, Tor is also a military project
>>62703054It means that the primary mechanism to lower long dated yields will be lost - government able to talk big and then apply widespread spending cuts. The inability to do this essentially ensures a global sovereign debt crisis starting in the US and then happening across the world.
probably going to bet on a republican sweep even though they are worthless faggots and trump is a huge disappointment lately. I feel like this "dems are going to win the midterms" shit lately is astroturfed BS. they are actually less favorable now than ever among all voters and haven't proposed they will do literally anything different or better, its just "we arent Republicans!", which i dont think is going to work anymore after the 2008-2024 era
>>62703054There's usually a small pump after elections regardless of outcome. Probably a pump for a few days then back down by the end of the month, followed by intense crabbing.
ITT: stupid niggers who still pay attention to Masonic theatre. Imagine voting in 2026
>>62703285Its bizarre for sureI held out some tiny hope trump was sincere about fixing shit, but I've resigned myself to just checking out entirely anymore. Its all uniparty bullshit all the way down. There's no sane leadership, and after importing millions of abominations that for some reason I have to pretend and call human, there's no hope of ever turning it around in the era of 'vote as much as you want! we'll never take voter fraud seriously!'
>>62703088not really its not like congress passes any laws anyway
There is basically 0% chance they take the Senate. That is pure Kalshi/Poly delusion. And they've been incredibly wrong this primary season so no need to pretend these are sharp markets.The polling is usually terrible around late summer and it's fueling a lot of this. Look at history and it usually heavily overrates Dems in battleground states. They're expecting a miracle 20% of the population that didn't vote in 2024 to come out and flip the margins.They want us to believe that Dems are playing defense in MI and NH, but also TX and IA are on the table. Not possible. There is no such thing as a Reagan era swing voter anymore, everyone is firmly on their team and their camp.I'm putting like $20k on TX and IA to go red because they're basically selling dollars for 55 cents. It's as insane as saying NY is a coin flip too.
>>62703608My running theory now on why they push "Blue Texas" as a coordinated meme and propaganda campaign every election cycle despite usually getting btfo R+12, is that it diverts Republican attention to a huge, expensive state that is already safe for them. Texas is THE money sink on the red side, and if you pretend it's competitive Republicans have to dump a lot of money there while you focus on low population marginal states and upsets there.Talarico has never had a chance and they know it, he's the next Beto. They've reserved $0 in future ad campaigns to the GOP $100m. In the meantime, look at the sneaky places Dems are trying to pull off upsets. Alaska in particular is an incredible joke, they've found people with the exact same name as the Republican incumbent to try to confuse the ballot. They are rotating candidates in ME trying to find one that sticks with their internal polling. They would have you believe that Platner was a +10 favorite and yet they forced him to drop? Yeah right lmao.
>>62703630That's pretty clever, but the real question is why are they trying to subvert SO FUCKING HARD instead of just lying to the public and bait/switching their campaign for their actual agenda like they have done since losing the civil war?It tells me their aims are so fucking corrupt and off the mark that being honest would have them hung from lampposts. I just want out of clown world desu
>>62703054I'm voting blue no matter who
>>62703828They are the more corrupt side. Look at their history. They financed/backed the rank choice voting push in Alaska to turn a naturally red state into purple chaos. Wherever there are Green candidates on the ballot they will litigate to get them taken off the ballot so they don't siphon votes, but leave the Libertarians so they do (from reds). They insist on 0 voter regulations or oversight so that they can ballot stuff via mail. It's just the way it is, gamification is their thing.Funniest thing is when they rig within their own primary and piss off their own votership. Francesca Hong was the far and away favorite to win the candidacy in Wisconsin and priced at like 97% in the betting markets, but they didn't want a potentially non competitive socialist Chinese woman so they ballot stuffed the fuck out of the primary and rocketed a guy who had almost dropped out a week before to a slight 1% win. They tried to do the same thing to El-Sayed in Michigan because he's also DSA + anti Jew.I don't think there's any path to organic victory until they hit the reset button and totally reform as a party again, which has happened. They tripled down on a platform of black American worship + foreigner importation and that has serious diminishing returns. The voting maps now are bizarrely stark, everything but the most core inner city areas are red to blood red, it didn't used to be this way, this materialized in the past 10 years and polling hasn't been able to catch back up. The old "shifting middle" is gone and we have something that looks more like the American south, but nationally.
>>62703608>They're expecting a miracle 20% of the population that didn't vote in 2024 to come out and flip the margins.The point is not that, the point is how many of the people who voted trump in 2024 bailed now.And those will be way more than 20%.Is always about the economy and the economy (inflation) is going to shit.Democrats may not surge but alot of republicans will stay at home.
>>62703054What happens with the payout if senate goes 50-50?
>>62703921Whatever maximum pain is from the perspective of the betting pool, and maximum payout from the perspective of the pool operator.>>62703876Your analysis has a hopeful sentiment in it, which would be comforting if those inner city areas were not (unnatural) major population hubs, whilst being ever increasingly, and aggressively, anti human in nature. Every now and again I swear I see devolution in practice at some of these modern 'protests.'. It legit just looks like apes in fancy clothes, rotoscoped in post to look like humans.But anyway, what are your estimations for that reform vs quadrupling down on spite just to instigate another (losing) civil war?(I say losing so early simply because they're fighting on the side of being anti nature, which comes with constant overhead and disadvantage; its not possible to overcome such a handicap against a committed foe)
>>62703054Didn't the other party win every time except 9/11
>>62703118He’s proven willing to destroy the East Wing, the Rose Garden, the Reflecting Pool, the Kennedy Center, and countless intangibles, Oh yeah, and a school full of children.
>>62704152>so what>so what>so what>so what>100% mossad
>>62703054I think even if Dems end up winning 57 Senate seats, they'll still be short of convicting Trump.
>>62703285All groypers will vote democrat
>>62703092Whoa fucking fault trump is it that was a better option than Democrats?
>>62703307you might be the dumbest person on this board if you ever thought Trump would fix anything. He is all about enrichment of himself over anything.
>>62703876>I don't think there's any path to organic victory until they hit the reset button...You cannot win a corrupt game while operating within its corrupt parameters. It was always a "rebuilding from the ashes" operation.
>>62703608You’re retarded or just plain delusional if you think $5 gas and $8 diesel (which fucks truckers/farmers, 85% of whom voted trump) has no swing influence. You’re retarded if you even think most people give a fuck about red or blue, they just vote based on how they feel
