Is all it takes to blow up your entire portfolio. Imagine that. Yields go up on days that crude and gasoline are down 5% imagine Iran preemptively strikes and we get a 120 crude day and +15% gasolineThe bond market would literally break This risk is what you are holding. Trillions of dollars are in the hands of brown people in the desert
There is literally no room for error. The bond VIX is already at the Iran war peak. Anything happens and you get a good old correlation 1 limit down
>>62742139>>62742150Its the opposite, one agreement could send it to the moon. Bad things are already priced in.
>>62742139Thousands of Iranian missiles haven't dampened my portfolio though, but your concern is noted and chuckled at.
>>62742155The “agreements” just drive crack spreads higher. Diesel crack spread is like $110. We had a “peace deal” literally yesterday where crude dumped 5%. Crude itself doesn’t matter, it’s the structural and real physical deficit of products. Gasoline, jet fuel, diesel, these drive up yields.And honestly, I don’t think the bond market even gives a shit about any more “deals”, they are not literal 85 IQ retards and they have heard countless times from Trump the the will resume bombing after midterms. So??? Price in the energy crisis now, because if Iran is bombed after midterms, it’s game over for everybody
>>62742172i mean a real deal not just some trump schizobabbling. Dont tell me you still listen to what trump says every day
>>62742172>Diesel crack spread
>>62742139XMR is immune. If anything, we'd pump if Iran hit the US significantly (again)