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File: 1777329383140573.png (730 KB, 800x798)
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previous: >>536152214

Day 1,559 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>Saratov refinery + other oil pumping stations droned
>Japan joins PURL
>SBS drones destroyed two russian Tu-142 strategic bombers in Tahanrih
>It's official, russia has lost ground during their Spring copefensive, instead of gaining ground.
>Amid growing economic disparity, the russian state duma has now banned for sale/going out of business/for rent/closed signs in city centres.
>Berlin high court rules that mogilized puccians in Germany can be extradited to monke, overruling a previous 2023 verdict
>Sweden is transferring 16 Jas 39 Gripen C/D fighter jets to Ukraine
>Three pidor tankers reportedly attacked by naval drones in Black Sea
>russia Signs Military Cooperation Agreement With Taliban
>Ukraine Uses Storm Shadow Missiles to Strike Airbases in Voronezh and Taganrog
>russia to task bankers with shooting down Ukrainian drones
>russia is now begging china for yuan based loans
>Ukraine preparing for 2-3 more years of war t. The Economist
>Ukrainian SOF Drones Destroy russian Buyan-M Missile Corvette
>Ukraine Strikes russian Black Sea Fleet Air Force Headquarters in Crimea with Storm Shadow Missiles
>After geolocating the oreshnik missile impacts, one was found to have failed and dropped in the donbass, while the other ruined a shed 50km from kyiv

▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateEN
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
▶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: files.catbox.moe/mpcw7p.zip
▶russian confirmed KIA updated daily: https://hochuvernut.com/
▶12 min of TZD in one ditch (Pokrovsk area) - 28 killed
files.catbox.moe/sxbxfb.mp4
>>
tzd, etc
>>
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>>536166299

The russians are making slow but steady progress. How long until the eastern Ukrainian pocket collapses?
>>
>>536166299
https://youtu.be/AX-jUuCopvk?si=MLOrbf6qUlAIwA0W
Heh hoedina
>>
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>>536166299
TOTAL ZIGGER DEATH
then /rcwg/
>>
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>>536166299
TZD and YEBAAAAAT
>>
>>
>>536166326
>The russians are making slow but steady progress
>2022
Too slow.
Anyway to speed that up?
>>
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>le worried guy
For real i'm kinda worried that ziggers have 16 starlink-style satellites in testing right now. It could allow them to do similar drone operations to what the Ukrainians are currently pulling off. They were are actually getting close to doing just that last year before starlink was cut off. Shaheds with starlink terminals and thermal cameras were starting to do some real damage including SEAD missions.
>>
>>536166299
Ugh this war is soooo boring

Can we wrap it up pls
>>
>>536166299

When will my shift end?
>>
>>536166515
>ziggers have 16 starlink-style satellites in testing right now
You expect them to work?
>>
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TZD
>>
>>536166665
>You expect them to work?
Not sure. But underestimating them would be silly. No matter how retarded Ziggers are
>>
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>>536166299
You aren't gonna win any wars while you don't acknowledge or know who the enemy is.

Jews are the big elephant in the room.

There are also many traitors and willing enablers.
>>
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>>536166552
>we
your bug chasing master wills
TOTAL ZIGGER DEATH
>>
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>>536166515
They have a ways to go yet, makker
>>
>>536166800
It's too little, too late anyway. With their supply chain getting btfo now it's only a matter of time until the front crumbles.
They can't turn this around.
>>
150km behind the lines, comfy ziggers are getting clapped.
>>
>>536166299
You guys lost 4 more citys this month
>>
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>mobile fire team had 1 job
>>
>>536166800
Just 16 sats means the coverage will be extremely spotty and last minutes at best. Also it will be much easier to jam from the ground since targeting one or two satellites in view is no problem, unlike swarm of starlinks.
Russian R&D is quite fucked and developing things like flat phased array antennas for drones is hard. Even worse, any fuckups in satellite design can't be fixed now they are up there and being first generation, I expect many.
>>
>>536166299
If I hate Jews, should I support Ukraine or Russia? Thanks
>>
>>536167239
i heard there was a bunch of petrol stations there
>>
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>>536167060
>>536167356
Hope you anons are right. TZD
>>
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hmmm
>>
>>536167610
>Zelensky's Ukikeine
>Shelomov's Rusisrael
Neither
>>
>>536166515
16 you say? Only need 5000 more for a viable swarm
>>
>>536167610
>>536167824
>thinly veiled BoTh SiDeS
At least use a different proxy when you reply to yourself, ffs.
>>
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the russia lost lmao
>>
>>536168362
I'd like to see the chart of their oil infrastructure repair costs.
>>
>>536168237
Not the same person, retard. Take your meds
>>
Comfy zigger hive way far back in the safe zone gets clapped.
>>
Zigger supply lines and comfy places getting hit.
Total Zigger Death means TOTAL
>>
>>536167239
4 whole cities? Wow?

Or is it 3 bus shelters and a shed?
>>
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ACK-mat UAV base/workshops getting the plap
>>
russcunt ships blow up nicely
TOTAL ZIGGER DEATH
/rcwg/
>>
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>>536169696
these little fellas are going to be very happy
>>
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>>536169708
>russcunt ships blow up nicely
They do be like that!
>>
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>>536169762
Plenty for all from this strike lmao
>>
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AZOV is SUPER, SUPER!
/rcwg/ soon
>>
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>/rcwg/ soon
>>
>Russian Spring Offensive has transitioned into...
>Russian Spring Unoffensive
Imagine losing ground during an offensive against a neighbor 1/4 your size in year 5 of a 3-day special military operation LMAO
>>
Ziggers tried pontooning again.
>>
>>536166515
>>536166800
sure its not a good sign if they manage to get a bare minimum of them up there for continues communication, but I doubt these are anything but a rebranded version of the previous data communication satellites they built in the 2010's.
and if that is the case, we are looking at a 3G performance, on a good day, which will be good for communication between command units in the field and HQ but too slow and unreliable to actively steer a drone.
I also believe the dish you need is like three times bigger in size compared to starlink, so its harder to mount on a drone and send it flying, and its easier to locate and destroy.
but I doubt it will make much difference, they have replaced starlink with fiber cables in most places already, its mostly front line units who need mobile internet.

if my guess is wrong tho, it is entirely possible that this is chinese hardware they are using for these satelites, and those are capable of matching starlink performance, in which case I say we have reason to worry.
but that would also mean they are sinking tons of money in to a system that is heavily compromised, and making themselves more dependent on chinese technology, and it also means that any drone equipped with a communication relay is costing them a lot of money per unit.
>>
Russia is winning the war, Ukraine stands no chance.
>>
Can someone give me a QRD why russia started losing so badly this year?
>>
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>one of the few countries whose population is celebrating territorial gains
>isn’t incompetent enough to do it
so can we agree that landgrabbing covetousness is correlated with low IQ ?
>>
>>536172479
isn’t competent*
hate proofreading
>>
>>536172475
starlink cut off and telegram ban seems to have done a number on their ability to respond quickly to localized offensives but according to ISW its mostly ukraine having drone tech dominance right now
>>
>>536172475
Their loss of starlink and telegram. Uki drone range increase crushing logistics.
>>
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>>536172475
it turns out that in fact russia does not possess more industrial capacity than than all of nato+wider western allies
>>
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>>536172257
You are doing important work anon. Your constant denial of reality is enough to fool more ziggers into joining the war and then the cube. Some (too few) of the more interesting russcattle deaths wind up here. We are all in Total Zigger Death entertainment together. /rcwg/
>>
>>536172040
I am sure it would totally never ever cross the mind of the Ukies to hit the single launch site the ziggers have.
>>
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>russia is winning r/reddit told me so
>>
How's the credibility in the reports that a few Chechens defected to the Chechen Volunteer units on Ukraine's side?
>>
>>536172475
Ukraine are ahead on the technology curve + benefitting from growing industrial output because of endless western money
Russia are getting their shit pushed because they are slow to react to change in battlefield dynamics + they are running low cash which they are dependent on since this is a war of technology at scale and 99% of that is imported and China is refusing to lower prices or give out favorable loans to fund such purchases

>>536174078
Vostochny is so far east, its probably easier to send a submarine out from Odessa and have it surface and launch a drone from the sea of Japan than it is to try and lob a missile directly at it from Ukraine.
>>
>>536166515
They would need like ~200 minimum, and to maintain that number, to have something vaguely usable.
Moreover low orbit satellites like Starlink have SHIT longevity (~5 years), which is why Elon has to continually launch new constellations. And those are the best-of-the-best.

I do not believe the entire state apparatus of Russia, in its current state, is able to run and finance that tempo of enough launches to do that.
>>
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>>536172475
Ukraine figured out that while killing ziggers on the front is good and all, killing what allows them to exist in the first place is even better.

It should be noted that we probably won't see Ukraine hit its apex with mid-range strikes until Q1 2027. The southern axis only has a few groups dedicated to it, eastern has only like 2, and there aren't any currently running Hornets to Kursk/Belgorod. There is still a massive amount of staffing and build-out to be done.
You haven't see anything yet.
>>
>>536172475
I think average Russians figured out that the promise of easy payment by doing behind the frontlines work is a lie and they don’t want to take payments.
>>
>>536166515
The US should put up a brilliant pebbles constellation and shoot down all zigger and chink launches.
>>
>>536168643
It’s A Lot
>>
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>>536172475
Unlimited Drone Works vs Gate of Pidoria.
Mobiks are not in fact infinite, just a high number. Against a trully infinite force they will lose, eventually.
>>
Why isn't the Jewlenskike afraid of the Oresneed????????????????
>>
>>536172475
constant crippling of their infrastructure and air defenses started taking its toll and will continue to do so exponentially
pyccia will experience death by a thousand cuts
>>
>>536176238
>Gate of Pidoria
More like Gay of Pidoria
>>
>>536176248
>oresneed
It was like a fucking dud.
Didn't do much damage and one crash before it could reach it's target.
>>
You guys won't be laughing when Kyiv get's nuked.
>>
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>>536166299
TZD
>>
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>>
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>>
>>536172475
Combination of lots things previously mention.
But I also like to say that Zelensky had success making the EU and also Trump to help Ukraine in a way.
>>
>>536172475
Because it's a poor shithole that has never won a war without outside help.
>>
>>536176763
I'll be laughing, cause that will end with russia being obliterated
>>
>>536176763
Then Russia has lost, the moment that nuke button goes off, bye bye Moscow
>>
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Putin no1
>>
When will pidors become straight?
>>
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>>536177434
>>536176849
Absolute state.
>>
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>the straightest russian
>>
Prigozhin was a beautiful angel, rest in peace.
>>
>>536177777
Putin will beat you no matter how many digits you have
>>
>>536166299

When will the pigkraine stop losing?
>>
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>>536177777
lucky quint
>>536177894
why are you brown?
>>
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meanwhile, milk truck just arrive...
and since hohli is not gay, he taps that
>>
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1410
>>
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Whats new sistas
>>
>>536178071
https://streamable.com/ogyytk
>>
>>536178036
Just an insane amount of death the last 3 days, what the fuck is happening
>>
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>>
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>>536172475
new funny drones that kill them way harder than in '24/25 and before
>>
>>536177777
checked, shills are in shambles
>>
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kill all ziggers and zigger shills
>>
>>536166515
>16 satellites
>in testing
Anon, the Sfera constellation was supposed to be 640 satellites by 2030. Putin announced it in 2018 after confusing the name with Efir on live TV. Budget went from 1.5 trillion rubles --- 800 billion --- 180 billion --- 40 billion actually allocated. Every single sub-program (Efir, Skif, Marathon IoT) is dead. Skif launched ONE test satellite in 2022 and nothing since. Marathon IoT got cut from the national Space project entirely last year.

Those 16 satellites you're worried about are Rassvet, built by Bureau 1440 - a company spun off from sanctioned Megafon into IKS Holding, which makes internet blocking equipment for the FSB. Ukrainian intel says billions were diverted from the project. They were supposed to launch end of 2025, couldn't because they hadn't even finished assembling them. Deputy Minister Ugnivenko was publicly claiming all 16 were complete in December while industry sources said otherwise. Rumored to have used stolen OneWeb parts from satellites Roscosmos seized at Baikonur in 2022.

As of literally yesterday, the 16 are still in test mode with zero confirmed military use. You need 200-250 minimum for stable continuous coverage. Their own roadmap says 156 in 2026, 292 in 2027 - they managed 16 in March and haven't launched another batch since. Under sanctions they can't source the microelectronics for serial production. Starlink has 10,000+.

Meanwhile the cosmodrome they launched from (Vostochny) had $172 million embezzled during construction, 17,000 violations found by prosecutors, 140+ criminal cases, 58 people jailed. Roscosmos as an institution had 760 billion rubles in financial irregularities in a single year (2017). This is the organization backing the project.

tl;dr they announced a Starlink killer 8 years ago and have 16 test satellites in orbit. Relax.
>>
>>536174971
I wouldn't be surprised if materiel production was the bottleneck right now
>>
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>>536178036
>>
>>536178165
Total logi death has a good chance at killing the driver + whoever is riding in the vehicle with him when applicable.
>>
>>536178036
14:1 you say?
>>
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>>536178737
Based Donald spittin' TROOF
>>
>>536166299
Pokrovsk status? Kursk status?
>>
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today's the 1sty anniversary of operation spiderweb
>>
>>536178174
Why did Rich do it bros? I understand not licking nuTrek, but going around blowing people up seems excessive.
>>
Why aren't ukies hitting the crimean bridge anymore? It appears they have more than enough capability to do so and it would make the growing zigger logistics crisis even worse
>>
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>>536179000
what, thats only been a year ago?
>>
send patriots and tomahawks to Kyiv orange nigger
stop making me call you a traitor
take Kamchatka and Magadan from the puccians as payment, total Alaska expansion
kill all katsaps and traitors
>>
>>536179270
they took the TZD pill
>>
>>536178478
Holy based educated post. I kneel
>>
>>536178427
Sexo Marin
>>
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>>536178104
Bomb ALL Bombass children
cлaвa yкpaiнi
>>
>>536179270
their resources are still quite limited and the bridge isn't that big of a problem. it's a drip feed. the ratmea is doomed without the land bridge, so that's where the resources for a 100% shutdown should go.
>>
>>536166299
TZD
>>
>>536177998
I am white
>>
>>536179534
Sure you are, Chang Pingpong.
>>
>>536179456
What, even me?
>>
>>536179575
better hope the palantir doesn't figure out how to build time-traveling hornets
>>
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for some reason, truck drivers are refusing to work in the hobopuccia
>>
>>536179797
I have an idea!
>>
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>>536179575
What else can we do with our 90 billion rockets specifically calibrated to kill donetsk children
>>
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>>536179797
>hobopuccia
>>
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>>536179909
:(

But I'm fren.
>>
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>>536180016
Sorry but TOTAL means TOTAL
>>
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>>536179901
India and Russia are synonymous same people other than tourists who will be ACKed
>>
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>>536180048
You do know that the person behind mearshpidor/Dane/Croat will use this exchange to cook up some HS drama, right?
>>
>>536179797
Issue penal legions for truck drivers
>>
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>>536179909
Let it rain
>>
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>>536180134
If only I havn't made that joke, literal paid indian shills would have finally see the light and embraced ukrainian nationalism
>>
>>536180069
>India and Russia are synonymous same people other than tourists who will be ACKed


You've been indoctrinated with filthy jew propaganda and will remain a dullard well beyond any hope of cure.
>>
>>536180187
Kek.
>>
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>>536179797
>for some reason, truck drivers are refusing to work in the hobopuccia

Its not really a career, its like playing Russian roulette every shift for slightly more rubles
>>
>>536180274
your daily reminder snownigger
>>
>>536180635
>>
>daily reminder that an extinct entity did something
you're gonna show us depictions of dinosaurs taking a shit, afterwards?
>>
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>>536180274
So, coffee status?
>>
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>>536180794
I always wondered how that is an own in his mind
the USSRY got fucked hard by finn's and if you celebrate that little land taken when the initial plan was total takeover or subjugation of finland
>then you're straightup retarded
but I guess that checks out with our serbnigger
>>
any copes about the facts?
>>
>>536181065
USSR kept the gloves on because they viewed fins are their brothers
>>
>>536181360
the gloves were kept on meme is almost as funny as their initial expectation of total finland subjugation in
>two more weeks
>>
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>>536181360
When a soviet tells you that you're his brother, it means exactly that he will spare neither expense nor effort to kill you and destroy everything you own or is related to you.
Just finished reading Homage to Catalogna from Orson Wells. Fuck them, fuck who they are, fuck what they do. They are only servile toward those of their enemies who can return fire.
>>
>>536180635
How's the weather in Krajna-oblast pidor?
>>
>>536169938
is akhmat mostly staffed by chechens or is it just a name?
>>
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>>536180635
Absolute state of zisters
>>
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>>536180814
Injecting it into my veins after two days without it. Kek. You?
>>
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>>536181793
It's currently brewing. I love those lazy mornings like you have no idea. Only thing missing to my happiness right now is a gentle rain on the veranda's roof, and maybe a couple more new russian cubing videos
>>
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>>536180723
>>536180794
>>536181513
>>536181786
seethe nafo trannies
>>
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>>536181590
it's the chechens known for their "disciplining" of russian subhuman



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