Many countries are running out of their strategic oil reserves right now, and most of them will hit rock bottom by July. The US is no exception. When that happens, all forms of trade, including raw materials, will be completely cut off. Factories won't be able to manufacture goods, and logistics will stop, leading to a total collapse of the global economy. At that point, the US will have no choice but to surrender to Iran. In other words, if Iran just sits tight, the US will crumble under its own weight. Instead of gaining just one or two concessions through negotiations, Iran can extract a full surrender and get everything they want, whether it is full nuclear recognition or massive reparations. The US will have to hand over everything just to secure freedom of navigation in the strait like before.
>>536787817The reason negotiations are completely stalled right now is because that Trump didn't know when to stop. He went ahead and destroyed both military and civilian infrastructure. Obviously, Iran is furious. Unless the US covers 100% of the reconstruction costs, Iran has absolutely no reason to talk. What Trump did to subdue Iran actually became the ultimate obstacle to negotiation, because the reconstruction cost is so massive that the US simply cannot afford to pay it.Iran is saying that if the US won’t pay the reparations, they will collect tolls in the strait to fund it themselves. But the world will protest, and the US can't tolerate that, which is why negotiations are currently stuck on parallel lines. Furthermore, Trump cannot afford to make any concessions in these negotiations. He has been bragging all this time that he is winning. If he backs down now on the nuclear program or reparations, it will be a catastrophic political burden for him. In a democracy, a leader who humiliatingly negotiates with the enemy or loses a war cannot keep his seat.The only solution is to impeach Trump, who has effectively destroyed his own ability to negotiate, and have a new president surrender to Iran and reach a settlement. Otherwise, the moment people hear that gas stations are running dry in July, the regime change won't happen in Iran, it will happen in Washington.
>>536787817They'd have more reason to negotiate if Trump didn't constantly pussy out of his threatshttps://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/3-times-trump-has-given-iran-deadlines-and-then-delayed-them
>>536787817Iran will collapse in three months time, screenshot this
>>536787933
>>536787817The USA is a net energy exporter, just conquered the country with the largest oil reserves (venezeula) and Obama slipped into the 2015 omnibus bill the power of the president, with the stroke of a pen, to block all oil exports. We will be fine, the rest of the world is fucked. The best move is to keep the blockade and watch every other country deindustialize and them become the factory of the world again
>>536787933Not two weeks?
>>536787990You are stupid and brown.
>>536788037Shut your mouth, Abdul
>>536788035Even if you have the crude, you don't have the supply chains to move it. What good is having oil under the ground when you can't refine it into gasoline fast enough to stop the domestic panic?
>>536788448What good is it? We have oil. What do you mean. We can just build the infrastructure. We have the resource. Plus I bet we do have the infrastructure and you're just trying to make it seem like your so smart and wise and above it all. Go choke on some kimchi, you slant eyed faggot.
>>536788624Do you think a multi-billion dollar heavy crude refinery with complex hydrocrackers magically spawns overnight like a video game? It takes 5~7 years and tens of billions of dollars to build a single major refinery. Your strategic reserves will be empty in less than 50 days. You don't have years, you have weeks lol
>>536787817>>536787882>>536788448sweety none of that is happening. you really think the world is going to sit by and watch their economies collapse. gulf accounts for 20% of energy and oil. its been a year. other sellers are busy inking supply contracts. its over for iran.
>>536787817>leading to a total collapse of the global economy.That's a good thing. That is the economic power of the "globalism" everyone here opposes. This is actually what Trump is supposed to be delivering. "The global economy" provides mechanisms of control, punishment that allows cabals of creeps to de-facto govern the world in the way that Epstein was describing to some extent in his bannon tapes. It also provides a pretext for military action and more hostile takeovers. This is something Iran should be mindful of.A similar thing occurred with the Nordstream II getting blown up. If the intention was to more readily prepare and build popular support for an all out popular war against Russia, it didn't backfire because Europeans and basically everyone that thinks about things was like "that was probably the USA". It affected things and lots of theatrical "economic hardships" came as a consequence of it, but popular sentiment didn't really budge. Alternative fuel sources are a thing to consider as well as considerably more advanced technologies being in existence than we find on the civilian market. So controlling the "problem - solution" narrative is tricky as some like, autistic types will actually start looking for game changing solutions that totally fuck up the war pretext.White male Westerners have become quite stoic or "sulky" in response to propaganda.It's entirely possible similar things are happening in the East/Near East. Iran in a sense is post-global economy hardened and that "solution" is probably the most popular one among thinking people. That said, if it looks too malevolent, that can scare people into escalation compliance but from whom exactly? India? India is on the level of Israel in terms of popularity.This could be the GREATEST "defeat" for the USA if it ends globalism and the middle managent class.
>>536789106It has barely been 100 days since the war started, what do you mean it's been a year?And asia isn't just consuming that oil; it is the refining and manufacturing engine of the planet. If poor raw-material-exporting countries can't get fuel, they cannot mine or transport raw materials. So, without Asian manufacturing and third-world raw materials, global supply chains totally snap
iran should bunker down at this point and expand the war to cyprus, british indian ocean island and any other us bases.
>>536789502> This is actually what Trump is supposed to be delivering.he ran on no new wars and economic collapse leads to working class getting fucked
