>Worlds Oil Reserves about to run out>US Forced to make a deal>$300 billion conditional payout "Maybe">Israel still out of control. >Status quo as before the war best case.The Iranian leadership demonstrated a profound lack of strategic foresight by agreeing to terms before the full weight of the oil crisis could be leveraged. Had they maintained their position for merely a few more weeks, the United States economic disruption would have been forced to offer terms far more favourable to Tehran. The $300 billion figure would have likely increased exponentially, and Israel's security guarantees would have been even more severely compromised. Terrible deal all round!
It's not that simple. You think others didn't put pressure on them? If they overplay their hand they'll also be seen as the guilty party, on the other hand if they act reasonable they can make friends, something that they sorely lack.Furthermore it has wider consequences, beyond just Iran itself, which also begs the question: does Iran have an obligation to sacrifice their own people for something like "intensify oil crisis to mildly irritate Donald Trump".
>>537277728World Peak oil was 2006, population was 6 billion with fewer engines. Population is about 9 billion, perhaps 10 billion. Engines everywhere. All projections were made on 6 billion. Oil ends faster. That's the long and short of it. Head count is very high and EROIE goes right out the window.Let it happen and roll when it hits. It'll be rough.
>>537277728Wtf are you talking about? They're driving an irreparable wedge between Israel and USA. If they succeed in USA and Israel severing ties then that means Israel is a pariah state worse off than Best Korea.
>>537277728Yeah, Israel is going to keep raping its neighbors and Iran is going simp for juBux and blockade relief. America will end up not honoring the agreement, and Iran will be fucked from both ends.
>>537278092Nuclear could close this gap and might do so successfully.
>>537278028Agreed, if they refused to agree to a generous deal the rest of the world would not be looking at them as favorably as they are now.
>>537277728or they're simply not avaricious mammon cult capitalists?
>>537277728There's no signed deal yet, just this MOU bullshit, and beyond the basics no one really knows what terms are being demanded by either side anyway. Regardless, Israel will likely shit it all up by attacking lebanon, so there won't even be a deal at all, then the whole process will start again.Iran is likely aware of this, could easily be stalling for time and advantage - given that their leadership was wiped out when they were in the middle of negotiations months ago you can't blame them for this at all.
>>537278150>Driving an irreparable wedge between Israel and USA.Mate Jews are still in full control in the US, Israel money train is not ending anytime soon.>>537278092The energy crisis is indeed more severe than most people realise, which makes Iran's strategic miscalculation even more glaring. They had the world over a barrel (literally) and didn't squeeze hard enough.>>537278028You're partially correct about diplomatic considerations, but you're missing the fundamental point: Iran was in a position of overwhelming leverage. The global oil crisis wasn't a minor irritation it was an existential threat to Western economies. The US wasn't just irritated they were desperate. Iran's leadership failed to recognise the magnitude of this leverage and capitalised on it.>>537278182You're right that trust between the US and Iran is non-existent, which is precisely why Iran should have held out. A deal signed under duress by a desperate opponent is fundamentally weaker than one negotiated from a position of strength.Same as you I doubt they'll see any of that $300billion.>>537278575We'll see, might be just another stock-market scam.
>>537278212No it couldnt. There is straight up not enough nuclear fuel to match the energy output of oil and the imvestment needed to build reactors is so high thats the reason why governments the world over dont imvest in it.More over we just got done fighting war over a country pursuing nuclear energy. What do you think will happen if every country tries to transition to nuclear energy? Nuclear weapons proliferation will skyrocket.Anyway read the book in pic related to better understand the issue.
>>537279020>Israel money train is not ending anytime soon.You'd be surprised. It's a major issue for voters if someone takes money from AIPAC or not.
>>537277728Israel is just going to sabotage the deal anyway
>>537279020>>Mate Jews are still in full control in the US, Israel money train is not ending anytime soon.You're not paying close enough attention. This is now a wedge issue within both parties. The Overton Window has shifted since the parasailing minihitlers holocausted the ravers
>>537279020It's important to keep a lid on the severity. That's only important thing.
Is it really 300? The 3 again? It's all fake. Theater. Iran has been compromised for a long time now. This money is going to Israel
