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File: HMAK2GOWMAATeZZ.jpg (76 KB, 680x454)
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Previous: >>538065279

Day: 119 of the Lebanon War ©
49 days until Final Peace Deal ™

▶RECENT
>Small amount of tankers using Oman route, Iran demands they stop
>Israel bombs Lebanon and Gaza
>Iraqi PM makes 20+ arrests of politicians tied to corruption
>CENTCOM officer Brad Cooper overseeing Lebanese army operations in contested zones of southern Lebanon following deal with Israel which seeks to dismantle Hezbollah

▶WARNING:
>Do not trust any "happenings" or Tгump posts without link/proof
>Uкraine / Яussia discussions belong in uнg or cнug
>Do not engage with off-topic Hasbara blogposters

▶History of the 2026 War:
>The 4-day "Special Military Operation® to decapitate Iran", lasted 111 days.
>The 14-day Ceasefire™ with Iran was "extended indefinitely" unilaterally by the USA, and lasted 72 days.
>The 10-day Ceasefire™ with Lebanon was later extended and lasted 67 days. Israeli attacks continued despite ceasefire.
>The "second phase of the war" Operation Project Freedom©, lasted 1 day. Before it was "paused" by the USA, for 47 days.

▶Oil Price:
https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/

▶Kino:
https://rentry.org/pig-kino

▶X Accounts:
https://rentry.org/irxacc

▶Iranian News
https://rentry.org/irnews

▶Telegram Channels:
https://rentry.org/tgnews

▶Israel Rocket Alerts:
https://www.tzevaadom.co.il/en/

▶Live Lebanon attack map
https://lebanon.liveuamap.com/

▶Air Traffic:
https://www.flightradar24.com/
https://flightaware.com/live
https://globe.adsbexchange.com/

▶Maritime Traffic
https://www.marinetraffic.com/
https://www.vesselfinder.com/
>>
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Tick tock miggers.take the current value -9.8 million sour barrels to get where you are at now.
>>
>>538072554
Enyasu means I can buy more gunpla since it jumped from 162 from 161 :)
>>
Praying for more eurofags to die in the heatwaves.
>>
>>538072618
clank clank mufugga
>>
>>538072618
that sound on schedule. did you get that number from the same graph or is it a new measurement
>>
>>538072732
>Current
That is the date of when it was made
>>
>>538072618
This is so goofy I can't believe it's really how they do it
>>
>>538072825
Missing the water injector lines where they have to pump water at the bottom to push the oil up into a vacuum pump.
>>
>>538072859
Guar bean oil and gel these days :)
>>
>>538072859
>>
>>538072618
It says 325 million here tho
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-stocks-us-strategic-petroleum-reserve-fall-by-55-million-lowest-level-since-2026-06-29/
>>
>>538072618
>>538072825
I bet only a dozen or so engineers have enough experience and knowledge to know the real risk zone of the SPR.

Everyone else is just guessing.
>>
>>538072940
Yeah that's more accurate since water and oil remain separated it's why they can do that problem is salt is water soluble
>>
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>>
>>538072951
Salt caverns are well understood. It's not rocket science.
>>
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>>
q1xT9OkH
9H34bqXJ
The two muggers for the thread so far. You'll notice neither understand sweet and sour differences.
>>
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>>538072951
This Trump post is surely an ominous signal
>>
>>538073003
Water leaching into cavern walls and deformation was not understood when made. When one cavern collapsed is when began studies on it and no their accuracy is still questionable
>>
>>538073003
I don't think anyone has ever seen or studied a salt cavern in this situation before

fluid dynamics can get tricky really quickly
>>
>>538073043
One day he will understand paper isn't actual inventory.
>>
Is Trump gonna blame Biden or Obama when everything gets worse in July?
>>
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>>538073031
https://www.spr.doe.gov/dir/dir.html
>>
>>538073070
It's not the 1940s, these things are pretty easy to figure out.
>>
>>538073070
Guess they made a lot of assumptions then and it could collapse sooner than expected since it did before.
>>
>>538073193
This specifically the butthurt one that posts a bunch of links that have no definitive for arguments. Even hiding behind a meme flag they always do the same stupid shit.
>>
>>538073065
Seems like they fucked up building these.
>>
>>538073287
Well there were not many things that separate from oil so well that can be injected. Brine is a sign that the water is leaching the salt. There are also not many things you'd want to shoot into here that could possibly break out and leak into water supplies. The oil on its own is fine
>>
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>>538073349
Why can't you just build a big barrel for it
>>
>>538073349
Again, not rocket science they just didn't do the engineering correctly and made a lot of assumptions cause they were in a rush to just pump oil into it and never intended it to ever be drawn down it looks. Just an oil price pump scheme at the time.
>>
>>538073152
source on arbitrageurs worldwide all conspiring to voluntarily give up trillions in gains?
>>
>>538073523
>at the time
And now, apparently
>>
>>538072988
>having money is bad
>>
>>538073568
No now they're having to draw down the stock and realizing they might have trouble doing it. Before they wanted to drive up oil prices and make government the a buyer for the oil to help them do that. Now the government is using the SPR to keep oil prices down, which is funny cause the oil execs only wanted the government to keep buying and have the prices stay up.
>>
>>538073523
They likely could have easily built a support system for the cavern walls so you are correct.
>>
>>538073648
Oh, I see
>>
>>538073648
I mean the result is poor design the water and brine make sludge so the actual barrels that are usable is not the entire cavern the recent one in Oklahoma had 20 million barrels of gunk shit they couldn't use....yet they still claim it as part of the inventory.
>>
>>538073152
Honestly he probably will never have to know. This shit will not ever effect him personally.
>>
>i24 News claims Israel is preparing for the immediate resumption of military operations against Iran.

I never know what to make of these Israeli networks saying this stuff.
>>
>>538073463
because it was quicker to do it this way
>>
>>538073715
If gas prices go up it hurts his image and his ego can't handle that
>>
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>>538073043
>gauging

jfc
>>
>>538073713
Yikes. That was some bad engineering.
>>
>>538073743
You make nothing out of it that you haven't already been thinking. They say this shit all the time.
>>
>>538072945
>It says 325 million here tho
There is a difference between Sweet and Sour crude buddy.
>>
>>538073743
As a rule it is best to believe the opposite of what kikes say, but when it comes to things like this I tend to believe them
>>
>>538073755
Trump said high gas prices were good though
>>
>>538073743
they really really really want to cajole America back to war
>>
>>538073790
I saw it put best recently here, some anon said we've gotten the mentalities of the Govt and Businesses reversed
Govt: slipshod patchwork solutions for problems
Businesses: longterm policymaking
>>
>>538073172
na, he's gonna blame commies and DUMBocrats then proceed to intact trumpian state capitalist policies such as price controls on gas......

critical support for comrade trump
>>
>>538073743
They have been saying this for the past 1-2 days, they REALLY want to restart the war
Did anyone save the screenshot of an Israeli minister or congressman saying that in three days they would be fully ready to fight Iran again?
>>
>>538072825
how did they dig out caverns in the salt deposit
>>
>>538073559
Supposedly 4 traders represent 2/5s of all the WTI short interest, and something like 10 are 2/3s of it. The entire market is just governments and institutions conspiring to keep prices low. The whole thing is probably like that painting of Turks fucking each other in a circle but with the US, Japan, EU, etc loaning each other cash and barrels to cover the contracts.
>>
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>>538073884
the israeli position is constant war, if they stray from this, their stock exchange collapses

they were near parabolic since 10/7, which means that defense exploded, individual investors can’t do that kind of movement outside of legislative action

now the tase has been collapsing up until this recent posture cycle against islam with this arm & hammer citizen vigilante IDF jizzflick kek

look up HIAS and JCORE, they bust ass to get muslims into europe, using WWII shit as usual about marginalized shit and smuggling people for the good of mankind when it’s just to give europe a reason to support flattening the Middle East as a moral imperative
>>
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>>538074109
That's certainly part of it, but not the entire reason. It serves two functions
>>
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>>538073924
>DUMBocrats
IT'S HIM
EVERY
FUCKING
TIME
TDD (Total Dumbo Death)
>>
>>538074044
of course, they want the US to send a ground invasion
>>
>>538073743
Fireworks before July 4th, no holidays for Americans, no funeral for Iranians, please Jew!
>>
>>538074268
If Bibi had any balls he wouldn't wait until his orange golem was comfy and show his people he holds the reins
>>
>>538073804
Yes I misread, here's the actual chart
https://www.spr.doe.gov/dir/dir.html
>>
>>538072825
>>538072940
Imagine if someone bombarded one of these things, the pumps, pipes or both
>>
If Israel strikes Iran it would be a massive unforced error on their part. It would immediately give Iran a pretext to go ape shitt in the Hormuz and ruin the US's whole soft landing plan. That being said the US and Israel seem like they're the most fractious they've been in a generation so it may well happen
>>
>>538074490
They are like 3000 ft deep.a better design would likely be the withdrawal line from the bottom and some bored horizontal enclosed pipes to a hollowed out elevator mine.like cavern where the vertical head will be used to push it out. Inert gases on top to maintain pressure on the roof. I likely maybe am overlooking some stuff but that's just a likely better design as water is retarded and damages the enclosure and product.
>>
>>538074177
I don't remember China being ruled by jews despite being Asian. They've just recently shut down several zog churches.
>>
>>538074183
>that nose
>>
>>538074562
Stfu, the US soft landing plan is already ruined by its own actions
>>
>>538074048
By eroding it with water, then vacuuming the salt water out.
>>
>>538074562
There is no "soft landing" by the US, only surrender to Iran. The fuck is this milquetoast bullshit.
>>
>>538074103
that just means the arbitrageurs stand to make even more money, why wouldn't any of them defect? any trader with enough leverage could blow the whole thing up and retire richer than elon musk.
>governments
treasury sells calls as insurance, that's net short for treasury but wouldn't affect the price (someone's buying their derivatives on the other end)
evryone else (japan, china, india) is buying calls like mad, that would cause a short squeeze if big traders were overleveraged in shorts
it doesn't check out
are you sure it's not a simple matter of demand dropping along with supply? hundreds of millions of asians and jeets have been on forced rationing since this started. the shortage was mitigated by increased production too, remember all those EOs and licenses trump released in early 2025?
>>
>>538074685
>surrender to Iran
don't you think we'd try using the other 98% of our conventional force projection first
>>
>>538074775
Trump is too scared to. He'd rather give them everything they asked for and hundreds of billions like he signed in the MOU.
>>
>>538074646
we'll see. Anons may be underestimating the world economy's ability to weather an oil shock; none of us are oil trade logistics experts and there are many tricks the Epstein Entente might pull to smother oil prices further. That being said I genuinely hope this causes the petrodollar system to collapse
>>
>>538074589
>They are like 3000 ft deep
Sure, but I guess having one of these be destroyed these days would cause a big shitstorm, wouldn't it?
>>
do you think Israel will get pissy enough to start lobbing its nukes at Iran?
>>
>>538074932
They pretty much will be destroyed from these withdrawals all you'll have left is sludge
>>
>>538074562
Anon the US isn't currently airlifting the most military supplies since the Gulf War for shits and giggles. We're very clearly in on it, and probably intend to do another decapitation strike during Khamenei's funeral (since that's when Mojtaba and other government ministers have to come out into the public eye).
>>
>>538074978
I think kike nukes are fake and gay.
>>
This migga is really trying to argue that crude prices reflect reality LMAOOOOOO
>>
>>538075000
Any anon that thinks that Iran is successfully driving a wedge between the US and Israel is just coping hard. There is almost no chance Trump and the US will turn on Israel to side with Iran.
>>
>>538075082
Oh they are. With the populace. A lot of non aipac accepting candidates have won.nobody likes some foreign government running them.
>>
>>538074827
giving them a huge development deal was his first offer, not a fallback
it's israel that wants to genocide them all and keeps sabotaging it
>>
>>538075000
first part is right
if we were going to take out junior we would have done it when he was in the ambulance to qom
>>
>>538075133
>the populace
No, you're mixing up people tired of Israel with support for Iran. Most people do not support one because they hate the other. Muslim Americans might cause they're Muslim, but that's a small niche. Most people don't. They don't want Iran to have nukes or get a huge payout just cause Israel
>>
>>538075000
Well yeah but they're telegraphing it. If /pig/ knows then surely the fucking quds is aware. Either way if usrael instigates again it just makes them look even worse internationally, not least because that would be seen by the world as giving Iran the justification to continue its assault on the world economy.
>>
>>538075338
>muslim americans
Most of which are sunniggers and have no love for Iran. Most Americans don't know anything about Iran or care and of those that do, they either root for them or don't give a shit if they have a nuke. Not our war, but you knew all of this already
>>
>>538075082
>to side with iran
Now who said they would do that
>>
>>538075398
Iran is literally the "death to America" country lol, of course Americans know what it is
>>
Krautland and lowland are out.
>>
>>538075524
But is Gambia in, that's all that matters
>>
>>538075340
>it just makes them look even worse
people see iran acting like pirate niggers
"but america is the proximate cause of iran acting like pirate niggers" requires second order thinking, so it'll only become consensus if mediajews make it the consensus.
>>
>>538075633
This same tired argument again, give it a rest kike
>>
>>538075540
>Gambia
THE Gambia, anon
don't let them win
>>
>>538075678
you've never heard that argument before, and you can't rebut it
>>
>>538075338
It's the same thing bud. if you hate Israel you obviously don't support them.
>>
>>538075340
>If /pig/ knows then surely the fucking quds is aware
They know but will keep cucking themselves to death. Lebanon is being bombed and they do nothing, tankers go to through and out the strait with the Oman route. IRGC fanboys are delusional thinking they'll do anything about it.
>>
>>538075760
show flag, chaim
>>
>>538075744
you're expecting a lot from the people who avenged 9/11 by killing a million iraqis
>>
>Trump still bending over for Israel
>Yet set up a weapons deal for Turkey
????
>>
>>538075806
Can't rely on boomers forever pal. Their age of reckoning is coming it's bright as the sun.
>>
>>538075000
>(since that's when Mojtaba and other government ministers have to come out into the public eye)
Not going to happen. The supreme leader will not be seen until next year I think.
>>
>>538075760
It's odd because Iran did strike one of the vessels in the Oman route last week, and then there was the series of exchanges between them and the US. But that quieted down and now more vessels are going through and they're not doing anything other than issuing statements.

Why would they change up the protocol?
>>
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>>538075868
zoomers don't give a shit about shia fundamentalism
or gas prices
>>
>>538075890
Because they know they will never win. For all the izzat boasting they're doing, Iran's only strength was through asymmetric warfare and the US not protecting their vassals that aren't Israel. Iran can't even do any missile barrages on Israel without informing the US army about it. If Iran actually attacks Israel, America will launch a ground invasion and Iran will lose everything.
>>
>>538075000
>Anon the US isn't currently airlifting the most military supplies since the Gulf War for shits and giggles
Is that happening?
>>
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>>538076090
>America will launch a ground invasion and Iran will lose everything.
kek
>>
>>538076008
look at that date migger
most americans don't even know where iran is let alone who or what an ayatollah is, all they get told is America killed a bad guy and that's a good thing.
>>
>>538076008
the represent well how retarded are most people
zoomers get a pass for lack of experience, but the rest remember Iraq and all the middle east shit
boomers need to be culled
>>
>>538076090
They could literally just keep droning the ships. Idgi
>>
>>538076145
The terrain cope doesn't explain anything when Iran keeps acting like a bunch of pussies.
>>
>>538076190
You are arguing with a kike.
>>
>>538076145
you replied to the sunnoid who lives in canada
>>
This war will only end in complete and UNCONDITIONAL surrender of the rogue terrorist state of the great satan!
>>
>>538076190
They either sold out or are scared of escalation which is a big mistake.
>>538076210
Kikes don't get disappointed that Iran isn't doing anything. Even that IRGC fanboy Arya Yadeghaar is constantly frustrated that Iran lost all it's momentum.
>>
>>538075890
Maybe because they anticipate closing the strait fully again soon?
>>
>>538076008
This just tells you how retarded the average american is. But honestly it also tells you how drenched our country is in propaganda.
>>
>>538072988
So during this ceasefire
> Iran lost its influence on irak
> pro iran politicians getting jailed
> Pro iran iraki militias getting dismantled
> Hezbollah got btfo in Lebanon
> Israel de facto annexed like 10 percent of Lebanon
> the us has taken a tighter grip on irak and moving a lot of shit for the next round
> The lebanese government and military have agreed to dismantle whats left of Hezbollah
> iran still doesn't have nukes
>>
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>>538076202
>The terrain cope
LMAOOOOOOO. This thread has had some bangers before but this phrase is gold

>>538076274
Memeflag suggests a much more dishonorable origin.
That and using the word "izzat" without prompting.... Yep
>>
>>538076286
Iran needs to get it's shit together then and go back on the offensive then.
>>
>>538076385
Iranian fanboys will ignore this and then pretend that Iran is winning by the way.
>>
>>538076385
But Iran sold some oil to China so that makes it all worth it.
>>
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>>
>>538075023
nah they're just inflating the numbers they have but they do have some but no way to deliver them internationally.
>>
>>538076148
that's what I said
>>538076169
"the rest" is a small slice of people who were traumatized in their youth by iraq and afghanistan
none of them connect iran to israel or know what a lebanon is, they just don't want orange man quagmire IEDs hurt locker freedom fries veteran suicides
>>
I just realized the massive funeral basically makes attacking Iran an automatic genocide war crime, and that sinking a carrier on July 4th would be the ultimate humiliation after having made Trump sign his terms of surrender on his own birthday.
>>
>>538076504
you're saying israel will definitely do it?
>>
>>538076504
Nice fantasy, but nothing ever happens
>>
>>538076504
depends on intent and proportionality, it wouldn't be automatic
>>
>>538076436
The US has yet to unveil its secret energy tech
>>
thought you muzzies might appreciate this new dating style from a trump proclamation, does it sound familiar?
>IN WITNESS WHEREOF, I have hereunto set my hand this twenty-ninth day of June, in the year of our Lord two thousand twenty-six, and of the Independence of the United States of America the two hundred and fiftieth.
>>
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Strait of Hormuz over the last 24 hours.
No idea why people pretend Iran "gave up its leverage" when the hormussy is still mostly closed
>>
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>>538072568
Fun map I found made by this guy on xitter using geolocation from OSINT sources. It's more detailed than the LiveMap which is nice, so enjoy it.
>Red: areas Israel considers part of its "Yellow Line" occupation zone
>Blue: areas militarily occupied by Israel before the April ceasefire
>Purple: areas militarily occupied by Israel after the April ceasefire
>Yellow: areas currently being contested militarily by Israel and Hezbollah
>Green: proposed "pilot zones" where the Lebanese Army is supposed to try and disarm Hezbollah in the coming days
Honestly when this war starts back up again proper, Hezbollah's gonna have a lot of angles to ambush Israel from. I mean just look at how juicy those exposed lines are, they're practically begging for it.
>>
The projected turnout for Ayatollah Khamenei's funeral is currently: 40-50 million in Iran + an additional 5-15 million in Iraq = 45-65 million people.

The largest funeral in human history, fittingly for one of the greatest men who have ever lived.



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