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File: net&yahoo.png (13 KB, 1058x404)
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>>538137782

Day: 122 of the Lebanon War ©
47 days until Final Peace Deal ™

▶RECENT
>Israel bombing Lebanon and Gaza
>Heavy military presence, gunfire, arrests of politicians in Baghdad (apparently for corruption). The number of high-profile arrestees has reached 15, including a sitting minister, several senior advisors, chairmen of state-linked corporations and members of parliament.
>Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait. US claims no damage or casualties
>US strikes Sirik and other sites in southern Iran
>Iran droned Bahrain in response last night
>Clashes between Lebanese army and protestors in Beirut have erupted after preliminary agreement between Israel and Lebanon which allows Israel to remain in southern Lebanon until Hezbollah is dismantled

▶WARNING:
>Do not trust any "happenings" or Tгump posts without link/proof
>Uкraine / Яussia discussions belong in uнg or cнug
>Do not engage with off-topic Hasbara blogposters

▶History of the 2026 War:
>The 4-day "Special Military Operation® to decapitate Iran", lasted 111 days.
>The 14-day Ceasefire™ with Iran was "extended indefinitely" unilaterally by the USA, and lasted 72 days.
>The 10-day Ceasefire™ with Lebanon was later extended and lasted 67 days. Israeli attacks continued despite ceasefire.
>The "second phase of the war" Operation Project Freedom©, lasted 1 day. Before it was "paused" by the USA, for 47 days.

▶Oil Price:
https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/

▶Kino:
https://rentry.org/pig-kino

▶X Accounts:
https://rentry.org/irxacc

▶Iranian News
https://rentry.org/irnews

▶Telegram Channels:
https://rentry.org/tgnews

▶Israel Rocket Alerts:
https://www.tzevaadom.co.il/en/

▶Live Lebanon attack map
https://lebanon.liveuamap.com/

▶Air Traffic:
https://www.flightradar24.com/
https://flightaware.com/live
https://globe.adsbexchange.com/

▶Maritime Traffic
https://www.marinetraffic.com/
https://www.vesselfinder.com/
>>
Nick posted this on tg a few hours ago. Pretty wild if true, surely Trump knew about this plot? This nigga might get expelled from the white house.
>>
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Trump no1
>>
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>>538159654
>>
iran grounded a container ship in the strait today
>>
>>538159758
>I literally said this is what they're planning
I think what he's referring to by "what they're planning" is the media sanitizing Vance as this based anti-war nationalist to prop him up for the 2028 zoomer vote when he's just as much of a kikeslave as the rest of them.
>>
>>538159758
Have you considered that this is retarded and that e-celebs are grifter fags not content
>>
>>538159912
That is true and has been an ongoing thing, but the source for this is Israeli news, not some Thiel aligned publisher. Israeli news critical of the US's handling of Iran tends to be pretty accurate.
>>
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/pcg/ status?
knight mommy status?
>>
>>538159758
Fake news from jews that hate JD Vance and want him out of the way, obviously the story has been planted and will be picked up by Levin and Loomer. Its bullshit.
>>
>>538159861
the circus has come to town
>>
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>>
Very unusual aggressive tone by Araghchi, maybe red meat for his people that are increasingly doubting the MoU or hes really pissed about Israels behavior espcially in Lebanon
>>
>>538160359
lol based
>>
Any bets on what’s going to happen during Ali’s funeral?
>>
>>538160359
Interesting
Will they shoot at the tankers that are currently trying to cross the southern corridor though?
>>
>>538160006
Have you considered that fuentes isn’t the source and you’re a retard
>>
>>538159654
Blumpf said this war will only end with an unconditional surrender. He didn't say exactly who would surrender.
>>
>>538160486
is this real? I have so many questions, like when is iran going to muzzle its pets the IRGC and hezbollah, why threaten "immediate retaliation" only to reveal a threat from katz that went immediately unanswered, and most importantly, when did aragchi start Trump Capitalizing important Words?
>>
>>538160587
stampedey but mostly peaceful
>>
>>538160736
Incomprehebsible migger chimpout
>>
>>538160599
Iran won't do shit until their precious funerals happen.
>>
I believe him. Iran has already repaired all the bridges that were destroyed during the war just a month later, and 80% of its petrochemical industry has been restored.
>>
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>>538159815
I heard pajeets get like 16 Dollars US a month to post slop like this. You've probably posted this shit at least 1000 times on these threads.
This is a statement not a question.
>>
“Israel’s long-term force buildup is dangerously lagging behind”
Defense Ministry Director General Amir Baram argues Israel cannot afford delays in defense investment.
>>
>>
>>538160950
>thinking it’s a person doing this
Anon, it’s an AI agent.
>>
>>538161023
not ransom, they disrupted the traffic and caused damages and risk to other ships this increases the costs obviously
>>
>>538160783
>Incomprehebsible
pathetic
>>
Anyone inside Iran still pushing for the MoU must be considered a traitor and promptly dealt with, no other way to explain it. Also, why would the fatso say that so openly in the public?
>>
>>538160359
Name?
>>
>>538159815
Based and patriot pilled
>>
>>538161023
Too bad it wasn't an oil ship.
>>
I thought jews were supposed to be "high IQ."

It's crazy how much AI slop all Israeli accounts post
>>
>>538160034
Wtf is /pcg/
>>
>>538161236
The MOU has been shown to be a fraud. If they keep ignoring the articles and lose control over the strait, Iran will be in a worse position than before the MOU. They can't rely on payments from the US.
>>
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Meanwhile in BeB, a ship boarding was attempted. Houthis?
4 in a small craft armed with RPGs.
>>538161235
Heb for Hebrew, most people don't know incomprehensible has an N. A chimpout so brazen one can't fathom the audacity.
>>
>>538160359
fake and gay, if it was real the irannys could easily reveal the name and location of the ship to gain credibility. otherwise this is about as believable as when they said they sunk a destroyer.
>>
>>538161445
discord trannies (most of the thread) signaling to each other
>>
>>538161496
If Houthis mined the Red Sea crossing lol
>>
>>538161246
couldn't find it so far
>>538161554
this just happened just recently, give them three month and respect their privacy before you spin up some crazy conspiracy theories about an uranium heist
>>
>>538161236
>Also, why would the fatso say that so openly in the public?
Overconfidence. He thinks they'll be able to strike thrice as hard next time and assumes Iran's relative restraint is going to be the new normal.
>>
>>538161554
May we see the pilot?
>>
>>538161236
>shows the entire world that iran is dedicated to peace and diplomacy while the usa is untrustworthy due to their repeated violations
>there is an actual chance they may get some of their frozen funds back
>gives them more time to bring in new defensive military equipment from countries like china
>more time to further drain the spr
There are some benefits to playing along with this.
>>
>>538160034
>>
>>538161816
Also the fact that Hormuz is not open because Kikkery in Lebanon and most of the tankers leaving are Iranian tankers heading to China lol.
>>
Another high ranking official will attend the funeral
>>
>>538161790
neither pilot nor ayatollah will be revealed because nothing ever happened
>>
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>>538161721
>uranium heist
May we see the destroyed heavy excavation equipment?
>>
>>538160055
This
>>
>>538161884
that makes US idiocy harder but not impossible
>>
>>538161884
Oooooooh so that's their play.
They'll keep the funeral safe by inviting someone Trump likes
>>
>>538162022
erdogan?
>>
>>538160620
Explain how Israeli media would know if Vance leaked info to Erdogon. Explain how that even matters given Iran told Erdogon the same info days before he took action on it. It's fake news gossip from jews.
>>
>>538161884
Maybe he'll bring nukes.
>>
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>>538161884
Not even worthy of pootin's personal appearance. Russia sends a literal who instead.
>>
>>538161236
Nick said Vance and Rubio are possibly in a civil war with each other and deliberately sabotaging each others plans. I wonder if this is part of that. Whoever comes out of this Iran situation looking better will basically be the nominee for 28.
>>
>>538161790
he's still digging
it's a long way down and we only sent little helicopters instead of excavators
>>
>>538162022
That’s not enough to stop the israelis from trying something.
>>
>>538160736
>muh hezbullar

Uhhh maybe just don't assassinate Iranian leaders one day for no reason at all then maybe Lebos won't fire missiles at you?
>>
>>538162089
>Nick said
absolute state
>>
>>538162077
>Explain how Israeli media would know if Vance leaked info to Erdogon
because Rubio through a staffer ratted to them?
>>
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Convoys going through as easy as you please. Iran has no more than an hour or two to shoot.
>>
>>538162149
mutual breach it is then, aragchi should stop crying
>>
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>>538162187
cmon iran, do something
>>
something to use whenever some yid says iran's missiles did no damage
>>
I agree with this take. Makes no sense why Vance would say that they will just relieve the global oil market when they are still drawing it down every week
>>
>>538162208
After usrael breached it, the only way to try to enforce it is breaching it back. One-way concessions are just surrender.
>>
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>>
>>538162166
For what, to inform the Israeli public so they'll vote Rubio in 28 instead of Vance?
>>
>>538162059
Medvedev.
Erdogan works OFC.
>>
>>538161884
It's Medevdev.
>>
>>538162208
>Israel bombing shit for no reason at all
>mutual
>>
>>538162291
>>538162208
>>
>>538159758
Everyone with 2 braincells to rub together can figure out that was the plan. America's first step to destabilize and balkanize middle eastern states is activating their kurdish golems. PJAK killed 2 IRGC officers yesterday so washington gave the terror cells the green light to begin military operations which is a sign the war will escalate soon
>>
>>538162287
It's not about refilling the SPR, it's about slowing down its drawdown too.
>>
>>538162366
yes it's mutual, this anon confirmed that iran can't control hezbollah and is in breach of the MOU article 1 >>538162149
>>
>>538162187
Seems like Iran has been deterred
>>
>>538162364
>>538162315
never saw trump praise this mevdevev
>>
>>538162431
If you want Hezbollah to be controlled, you must obviously first adhere to the agreement to withdraw lmao
>>
>>
>>538162496
Maybe Hezbollah is the one that should withdraw back to Iran! Lol
>>
>>538162411
Imagine being born a Kurd.
Seriously.
Miggers have N O T H I N G on that.
>>
Trump is "leaking" all that info about Vance, so the Mossad is reluctant to kill him (Trump).
>>
>>538162562
So true Mike, g-d promised that land to Israel 3000 years ago!
>>
>>538162431
hezbollah hasn't claimed any attacks for a couple days now
>>
>>
Why is iran not shooting at the tankers after announcing that they would
They are losing crucial leverage
>>
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if Trump goes back to war, this would need to end either in total victory for USA (occupation of Iran), or total victory for Iran (exit of USA from the region). No?
There would be no trust left to try and make another deal after the USA breaks the MOU
>>
>>538162672
he was raped?
>>
>>538162496
read paragraph one, you have the order of operations reversed
>>
>>538162837
Just going to say it. We can’t defeat Iran militarily and it’s delusional to believe otherwise. Their country is an impenetrable fortress.
>>
>>538163105
according to iran it would just take a few more months of blockade
>>
>>538160486
>if they ignore their master
kek
>>
>>538163103
>and ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon
>>
>>538162156
When your catty homosexual who hunts for cum stains with a UV light you just assume everyone else is like that
>>
These wars are so stupid and gay

We could be curing cancer or something with all this money
>>
>>538163246
Shut up antisemite.
>>
>>538162287
Threadly reminder that Biden had already drawn down the spr by half before Trump got into office. Trump was then in office for a year and a month before this. Any guesses how much he refilled it before starting this war? If you guessed 0 you'd be right. I voted for him 3 times and can only think he's a demented boom boom at this point. No one over social security age should be able to work in government that age is 68.
>>
>>538162089
This is such a gay reading.
Rubio wants to be the big man conquering Cuba.
Vance wants to not be tied to this debacle.
They might not like each other but they both need this whole thing to be over ASAP.
>>
Minoan glory and finland prosperity going in from yesterday. Also a third ship, could be dark or a ship that I forgot the name of.
>>
>>538163478
>No one over social security age should be able to work in government that age is 68.
The problem is that this just gives people incentive to raise retirement age further
But yeah honestly I doubt Trump even knew the SPR's capacity or location or even its existence.
>>
Crude -3.775mil lowest since September 2018.
Gasoline -2.333mil
Distillates +2.483mil

SPR: -5.5mil (lowest since May 1983)
Cushing: +0.709mil

Total crude draw: -9.275mil barrels
>>
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>>538160359
Based! Pay the fee, zog niggers.
>>
1000 days of fighting - a campaign across the country demands Netanyahu to reveal protocols from the war! "Cabinet discussions, objectives, and achievements - put everything on the table, so we know why hundreds of soldiers died."
>>
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>>538160359
>>
3 boys were swept away at an unguarded beach near Palmachim, 2 were rescued - searches continue for the third boy
>>
>>538160587
Israel will initially agree to not do anything due to the PR disaster of bombing a man's funeral to kill civilians.
However, the outpour of tens of millions of Iranians to show their love for Khamenei will be so intense (and so destructive to their propaganda that Iranians are two more weeks from regime change) that they will impulsively launch a last minute attack on some "terrorist cells" in Iraq near the procession out of pure seethe. At least, if anything happens, that's what I bet will happen
>>
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>>538164301
based h0rmoozer
>>
>>538160587
(((isis))) khorasan suicide bombings
>>
>>538163215
>tries to discuss order of operations
>oh yeah? well just wait until I repeat the substance of one of the operations
I refuse to have a battle of wits with an unarmed man
>>
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Reminder that the US is now officially and unironically but 2 WEEKS away from energy Armageddon (per Satanyahu's dumbest golem)
>>
>>538164398
I wonder if Mojtaba will actually appear in public. If he does then the israelis may see this as their only opportunity to take him out and carry out an assassination attempt.
>>
>>538164573
kek. what a life, I’m jelly. I’ve also thought about how comfy it must be to live in one of those underground missile factories
>>
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So, why do we have a dedicated group of jews spamming AI gay porn exactly?
>>
>>538159758
this retarded, didn't trump just truth out to kurds they should arm up and attack ?
>>
>>538162085
Calling the former Prime Minister and also former President of Russia a nobody shows how retarded you are.
>>
>>538164730
>their only opportunity
do you think the ambulance he took to qom shook off the satellites with some tactical zigzags
>>
>>538164933
demoralization by attrition
>>
>>538164730
He will probably mix with the crowd his head covered with a black robe
>>
>>538165148
Quiet miggy
>>
>>538164695
If there's 320 million barrels and we use 10 million a week why are there only 4 weeks left instead of 32 weeks left?
>>
>>538165177
I'm trying to think of the kind of mental disorder that would be required to spam that and then think
>"This won't make me seem like I'm ironically coping at all!"
>>
>>538165268
pathetic
>>
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Iran has surrendered. The strait is completely open and free, no charge, no restrictions, no silly rules!
>>
>>538165283
because they can't be drained to zero. also, it takes time for the released oil to get into the system. the tankers don't magically travel across the globe and instantly get turned into usable petroleum products. we wouldn't be completely out of oil in 4 weeks, we just wouldn't have enough for the economy to operate at 100%. which would be catastrophic for an economy as overleveraged as ours.

also there's a level at which it can't be sold to civilians and has to be used for the military(without congressional approval).
>>
>>538165382
They will be more serious after the funeral
>>
>>538164730
A little background on Shia funerals:
The burial actually occurs almost immediately after death, preceded only by a salat al-janazah (funeral prayer) after which the body is immediately carried to the grave. For normal people, the procession to the grave is a very quick process and consists of just the immediate family of the dead carrying the shrouded body.
For Khamenei, obviously, that's the part that will be prolonged and publicly visible.
The actual funeral (fatha) comes after burial, and consists of family friends and other mourners coming in a private setting to console the dead's family. This lasts three days, and concludes with a gathering around the grave where the mourners recite the entire Qur'an over the dead (divided into parts among them).
The only part of this where Mojtaba is religiously obliged to be present is the funeral prayer. He is expected to lead it, in fact, so I suspect that Ali's body will be clandestinely brought to wherever Mojtaba currently is so he could pray over it.
As to the procession (what western media will refer to as the "funeral") he does not have to be there at all. And given that the later mourning period is private, it does not oblige him to come out in public either.
>>
>>538165283
1. You can't fully utilize all barrels due to a miriad of logistical issues.
2. Presumably you would want to start to ration its use instead of consuming it at the same rate until you are literally out.
2.1. Rationing would still cause very significant and quite sudden price and supply issues (but nevertheless would be the preferable option)
>>
>>538165528
Why not? The kikes see this as the last chance for greater "israel" so they'll be throwing everything they have to this war. No reason not to even if the emergency supply is depleted.
>>
>>538165649
i have no doubt that they do not care if the entire world's economy experiences the greatest economic disaster of all time so they can conquer 5 miles of lebanon.
>>
>>538165553
Just 2 more weeks!
>>
>>538165649
It took about two months to draw down the SPR 100k barrels, so if we have about 300k barrels left right now it'll take about six months to get all the way down to zero assuming we don't put any stop to the drawdown and the rate of drawdown is constant. That puts SPR hitting rock bottom at November assuming our government is dumb enough to draw that threshold for the military, and when we have nothing left we'll be naked and afraid.

https://www.spr.doe.gov/dir/dir.html
>>
>>538165382
Im counting 7 or 8 tankers
So how much oil just slipped through?
>>
>>538165283
https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/us-releases-strategic-oil-reserves-to-foreign-1778547056.html
>US releases strategic oil reserves to foreign allies for first time ever
They're not releasing it to us that are releasing it to everyone else so the 10 million barrels a day is probably bullshit.
>>
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>>538165852
read
>>
>>538164677
>"and"
>b-b-but there is an order of operations!!

That's not how you write out a sequence of events little buddy.
>>
>>538160359
>could lead to irreparable incidents
That they cause??
>>
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>>538165870
It keeps happening. This was on Monday.
>>
>>538161110
>not a ransom
>irgc explicitly says ransom
You shills are so dumb
>>
>>538160359
When did Oman switch sides?

>>538161236
>why
US wants to escalate.
Who is betting on 4th of July fireworks in Iran?
>>
>>538166982
Israel will start it and the us will have no option but to follow
>>
>>538167079
Israel's 250th anniversary gift to their greatest ally.
>>
>>538166380
you saw the word sovereignty but you haven't gotten to the part about the withdrawal
in b4 you embarrass yourself a third time instead of just asking
>little buddy
kek pathetic
>>
>>538166762
Wait, mentally ill schizos itt told me the strait is 100% closed
>>
>>538163215
>ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon
What about the territorial integrity of Oman?
>>
>>538159758
TRULY, OUR GREATEST ALLY
DEATH TO THE JEET FUCKER
DEATH TO MUTTMERICA
>>
>>538167280
Oman said they want the strait open. Cope
>>
>>538165870
I see five already out and two about to try it with this guy doing some funky weird shit just outside the mouth of the strait
>>
the meaning of the last sentence of paragraph 1 is agreed by iran, hezbollah, and everyone except a handful of obstinate retards here
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/hezbollah-says-israel-has-60-days-to-withdraw-from-lebanon/3971407
>>
>>538165283
If you drain the caverns too much they collapse and other issues occur. Lowest projected amount is around ~100 million gallons that they can drain to before this happens. However, it’s not one single cavern, it’s dozens. And as you drawdown, pumping becomes less effective and slows. Recent weeks were -10 million barrels / week but this should be slowing now as physical limits are reached.
>>
>refuses to use xitter like a normal person
>uses that shitty site he has that nobody else uses
>5 ad posts, 1 ad pop up every time it's opened
I hate the orange nigger so much its unreal
>>
>>538166982
>>538167079
Surely not even pissrahellis nor their amerigolems are retarded enough to kill the religious leader of Iran (+ an uncertain number of civilians and possibly some foreign officials) during a funeral and while negotiations are ongoing.
>>
>>538167299
digits of truth confirm
>>
>>538159654
Hezbelkufar is so pathetic. They really gave up without putting any challenge to israel whatsoever. These retards are only good at killing syrian children
>>
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>lol
>>
>>538166762
Looks like Iran's grip on the strait isn't as firm as initially assumed. It's also making their threats lose credibility, as they're either unable to hit ships or unwilling to do so.
>>
>>538167566
Me thinks Israel just wants to create enough chaos for them to grab more land
They’ve stirred up Lebanon Syria and Iraq, antagonized turkey and is going to throw Americans at Iran, maybe Jews will try to take Beirut while shit is going down
>>
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>...
>>
>>538166193
>>538167688
>Walls of text
tl;dr?
>>
>>538167549
I assumed the slowdown was due to supply strain being eased
>>
>>538167306
Of course. Irgc is usurping their territorial waters in their extortion scheme
>>
>>538167750
kys zoomer
>>
>>538167719
>maybe Jews will try to take Beirut while shit is going down
they can barely advance 10km from the border, their ground troops are too inept
>>
> Iran will completely close its airspace during the funeral ceremony of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

IAF will bust it open
>>
>>538167863
Coping as if 10 km is nothing. Shit's rough for mutahtards
>>
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>>
>>538167810
slowdown is expected around ~300m barrels I believe. Also, didn’t cushing just run out?
>>
>>538167933
You are that sunnoid subhuman from canada
>>
>>538167905
bust it open with what? stand off munitions? they never dared to enter it during the last two wars
>>
>>538168053
a based sunni that doesn't buy into the sunni-shia cuckoldry on /pig/? where can i find him
>>
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why are goyim like this?
>>
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https://x.com/ShadowofEzra/status/2072341556002979861
>>
>>538166762
another big group heading out
>>
>>538160486
>jew merchants telling other people they're good merchants
Pretty good compliment desu
>>
>>538168443
Dis shit is not looking good tbdesu
>>
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>>538167856
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>>538168537
Iranians want to have their Khamenei funeral and not rock the boat right now. Shit is going hot after that on all sides, I'm pretty sure.
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>>538168443
Mutah monkeys watching this happen and coming to the realization that iran is a pathetic regime with no capability to mount a threat, only good at killing at its own people, is pretty satisfying. Next objective for the mutah monkeys in iran is to buy american pagers.
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https://x.com/i/status/2072049550395662347 not sure if this was posted yet
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>>538168443
What is the free market price of a barrel of Kuwaiti sweet crude if it was hand escorted by dozens of war planes?
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>>538168726

?
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>>538168537
>>538168623
the US correctly bet on Iran not wanting to escalate during the funeral period so they are trying to get as many ships out as possible. big mistake by iran obviously, but thats my read.
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>>538168724
Last night. US is running out of phosphate and phosphate accessories.
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iran thinks war israel will restart war before october
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>>538159758
How desperate are jews to make Fuentes expose himself to taddle rumors on Vance. 'America First' Nick is very concerned Vance might have thrown a wrench in the treasonous jewish lobbies attempt to draw our nation into another war? The poor jews!
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What color flag is Iran flying right now? Is it pink for being gay and letting the US safely escort ships through the forbidden zone?
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>>538168623
Last time the Iranians held a massive funeral when Soleimani died, more than 50 Iranians died and a thousand were severely injured.

I can't imagine how many mutah monkeys will die out of this. It's reported that millions will show up. The death toll will have to be somewhere in the triple or potentially quadruple digits.
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>>538166135
> oil is going to Turkey, Italy, and Netherlands
Ah yes hmm I see yes yes very normal eveything is fine good
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>>538168906
They are flying the flag of draining the mutt's oil reserves at a record pace
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>>538168791
Actually how much fuel is the US is burning to get fuel out?
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>>538168906
White flag. They surrendered south lebanon and the strait. Shi'ites losing since ali's inception
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damn jeetfucker just taunting irannies at this point
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>>538168801
Yep, not much to be done and it's still a drop in the bucket, but yeah it does represent a lessening of tensions for now. The thing is that expecting Iran not to come out swinging after experiencing that kind of treachery is dumb. I fully expect missile kino by the end of the month.

Did you see trump declared an agricultural emergency due to fertilizer shortages? The pressure is on and the financial games can only go so far.
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>>538168623
>>538168801
Eh, it was obviously a little strange to think the Iranians would be able to export their own oil freely while restricting others from so doing unless they went on an indiscriminate droning campaign in the strait which risks bringing the blockade back and hot war and that defeats the point of them being able to get their own oil out
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>>538168956
The drain is over. The Iranians surrendered. They got nothing. And no, they won't re-close the strait after the funeral. That's just the usual 2 more weeks cope.
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>>538169073
Yes that's part as well, recall the ships need weeks to reach port and get paid so that is probably one of the key details here. They don't want the US or India trying to interdict tankers before they reach their destinations.
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>>538168443
all are asian bound ships so who cares. iran only dings the hard west ones like iraq. for 60 days eastern countries can run it and nobody cares. which is why your pump prices arent lowering.
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Trump used the MOU to buy time, and has no intention of honoring it. Iran fell for it. Either they escalate or its over.

1.Lebanon, still under Israeli attack , Israel now attacking syria
2.Ships exiting the strait outside of Iranian control
3.On off warfare, which hurts iran more than the US.
4. Iranian influence in Iraq and now being purged. making it more difficult for Iran to maintain a buffer against Israel.

on all of these points, Iran is losing, bc they are unwilling to escalate.
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>>538169119
>And no, they won't re-close the strait after the funeral. That's just the usual 2 more weeks cope.
I will agree once that happens, and I will stop coming to these threads. I just don't see any sign of them giving up yet. Traffic is still very much choked, at only about 30% of its pre-war level. But I will say that if the US manages to get a dozen tankers out every night, then Iran will eventually have to act or they lose to much
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>>538169022
>what I NOTICED about the people who attack the negotiations, they are the very same people who
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>>538168890
Vance married a walking poo. He must be destroyed.
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>>538169188
Iran's strategy from the beginning was to let America and Israel attack them then retaliate with a nilly willy ballistic attack that causes no damage. Fucking hell, we have satellite images showing they only had a few precise strikes on Israel. Everything else either getting intercepted or missing and hitting the pavement. Irannies will never free Palestine. They come from the devil these deceivers.
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>>538169180
And Iran is, I imagine, somewhat strapped for cash right meow
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Here comes the standard migger shilling and concern trolling. Even when they're disproven every single time they still come back like cucks
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>>538160736
>like when is iran going to muzzle its pets the IRGC and hezbollah
Don't be silly, this only goes one way
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>>538169358
you seen yesterday's match?
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>>538169209
There was already a convoy crossing both ways a few hours ago, and now another one is going out.

You may be right about the funeral, but "2 more weeks" always might be right, until the day comes and passes and the thing doesn't happen. Then usually there's another excuse for "2 more weeks," and so on. As long as the thing is in the future, anybody can say anything they want about it and turn it into a fantasy.

That's what the funeral story feels like to me.
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>>538169188
buy time to what? do the same thing and fail? the decades long reserves dont jsut refill over night and really they arent refilling none of those ships are from the west.
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>>538169502
pic related, new convoy going out
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>>538169422
You iraqi mutahtards are fucking lolcows. Iraqi militias didn't do shit after making a dozen threats about how they will launch an offensive against american bases if the ayatollah was ever killed. They launched a few shahed drones and called it a day. Absolute lolcows kek
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>>538168882
and then bibi will have the perfect excuse to cancel elections
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>>538167299
Shut up fatass
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>>538169487
I tuned in yeah, but honestly Ecuador was never going to beat anyone, not even Mexico, those niggas r too retarded
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>>538169562
bibi is a good new, no idea why you jews are trying to jew him
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>>538169502
Look im not disagreeing, but what I wanna know is the actual number of oil the US manages to slip through the strait and at what montary cost. The ships wont arrive for another one or two months so I doubt it will mitigate the oil crisis that much.
Iran did close its airspace for July 4-9 though so thats an honest signal that they are taking it seriously
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>>538169541
rotterdam energy and antola B are not real ships. you can literslly see 2 x rotterdam energy ships lmao. the others are kuwati. navig8 precision is a real one with its goal being india.
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>>538169562
You should have an excuse to stop eating fatass
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>>538169677
Bibi chugs haredi cum
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Meanwhile as tankers cross the strait, drone strikes continue in Lebanon. What does anyone in Iran have to say for themselves?
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>>538169744
Marinetraffic gets kinda fucky if you zoom in too much
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>BREAKING: Iran and the United States have Agreed to avoid any Confrontation in the Strait of Hormuz for at least One week - Axios

As i said, the US is trying to get as many vessels out as possible without Iran firing a single drone or missile. In return, Iran gets to sail its oil and a calm funeral period
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>>538169813
its not a real ship bud. its literally 2 x ships and 2x spoof ships they literally follow each other going to different locations. you are getting tricked by simple things.
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>>538169818
These niggas stacking peace deals lol
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>>538169810
They lie to themselves. Simple.
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>>538169818
no american vessels have left though. iraqs vessels are locked down which are owned by chevron and other american companies.
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>>538169803
And you chug oils into your nasty throat
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>>538169810
scream where’s muh frozen funds!!!
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>>538169871
Angola B was waiting in the big cluster of ships yesterday night and so was Rotterdam Energy
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US tries to talk Iran out of Hormuz tolls as Doha talks resume.

US and Iranian negotiators are in Doha for talks focused primarily on the Strait of Hormuz, with Washington arguing Iran stands to gain far more from a nuclear deal than from charging tolls on shipping.

"The US message to Iran was 'Think bigger,'" a US official said — arguing that lifting sanctions under a broader deal would be "100 times more valuable" than "using a gangster tactic to try and charge a toll."
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>>538169871
>>538169744
retarded cope
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>>538170118
the tolls are better than sanctions relief and would crowbar iran into the global economy, that is why the US will never permit it
taking the tolls is the biggest way iran could think

further it would enable them to prevent new US naval build up in the GCC which the US needs and wants
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>>538169818
>have Agreed to avoid any Confrontation in the Strait of Hormuz for at least One week - Axios

Updated June 28
>The U.S. and Iran agreed to stop attacking each other, according to a senior U.S. official, as the two sides plan to hold talks this week in Qatar's capital to work out their dispute over the Strait of Hormuz.
https://www.axios.com/2026/06/28/us-and-iran-agree-to-halt-strikes-and-meet-this-week-us-official-says

This was before the talks that were supposed to take place on Tuesday and did not happen because Iran did not attend. So the ceasefire continues without the meeting.
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>>538169995
so jsut for kicks to show you that you are wrong i looked up its treks for antola B it has wonky speeds that reach nearly 50 kn/hr. you are absolutely insane if you think a tanker gets that. speed boats dont even get that. i mean you can ocontinueu to bew ignorant if you want but we are done here as you literally cant explain the physics of that.
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>>538170118
I thought Iran wasn't showing up to the talks. I guess they cucked and slinked back to the table in shame.
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>>538160736
When TKD is achieved........ fingers crossed...
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migger tag identified please be aware when engagiung retasrds of this level.

id:
Xwh/8cUd

there are likely 2 more but that is one of them.
>>
I'm keeping a diary. It started out about Ukraine, but now it's about Iran. It goes back to June 2024, but with lots of missing details.

Saturday, June 27, 2026

I’m thinking about the oil situation. The US oil level has changed from 878 to 743 million barrels. That’s just 135 million barrels. The deficit is something like 1,400 million barrels. Even if all other countries are draining their SPR at the same rate as the US, it only makes up less than 400 mb, leaving 1,000 mb unaccounted for, or 10 million barrels per day, or a 10% reduction in supply, which has accumulated over 100 days.

Monday, June 29, 2026

Trump said Iran wants a meeting tomorrow in Doha.

If the meeting does not take place, oil might go up. It’s so low. It seems like nothing can save it except an exceptional event. It was an exceptional event that made it go up, but now that it’s fallen, another one is needed. Basically Iran needs to close the strait almost completely.

What I am seeing today is that several tankers went through in convoys of 3–4. This was just a couple of hours ago, and it is 4 PM here, 12:30 AM Iran time. So maybe the US escorted ships between 8 and 10 PM. It was about 4 ships. Iran may have let 4 ships out too. So that would be 8, and it wouldn’t surprise me if the number tomorrow is over 10. But that is what Iran is trying to prevent. And it’s what they are going to try to talk about tomorrow. Today Iran did not shoot at the ships going through. After the meeting tomorrow, we will see. We need that to happen.

Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Yesterday there was a US convoy that went through around 4 PM local time. Last week there were two convoys that went through Wednesday and Thursday. Today I did not see a convoy. It’s 6:30 PM. The US may be skipping days on their convoys. Or there may not be any ships that are willing to cross.

Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Several convoys went through, possibly 6–7 tankers.
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the guys who assassinated the ayatollah during negotiations now telling Iran that them using tolls to win sanctions relief for good would make them barbarians
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niggerfaggot detected

id:
68Affokh

68Affokh loves guzzling cock be sure to give him some when he posts.
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>>538170364
name the us convoy ships cause i want to laugh at you.
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>>538170411
retarded niggerfaggot doesn't believe in osint, only believes official unofficial iranian news outlets
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>>538170385
always do the opposite of what the perfidious ZOG allies tell you
if iran somehow agrees to no tolls, then they deserve everything coming to them
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>>538170573
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>>538159815
>Trump no1

Trump is Israels greatest ally and savior. With out him, Israel would still be floundering in 2026. But he gave them a free pass to exterminate Gazza under the false pretense that they attacked Israel first. He allowed a war to happen with Iran for Israel. Not even Obama was capable of that. Trump truly is the new messiah.
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>>538168223
welp guess that proves paletinians are the real jews, beetr go back to Ukraine tranny
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>>538170574
this is true, tolls are a way towards permanent sanctions relief
sanctions relief is pie in the sky

the US goal is regime change this didn't change and for that Iran can not be allowed to impose a tll regime

if no tolls would be a guranteed path to US ended hostilities and sanctions relief then that would be fine
but it is the opposite
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>>538170676
jeffrey misses this
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>>538170736
its basically happening everybody knows it the us has no method to stop it
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>>538170734
But if Iran just lets ships through, the plan doesn't work.
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>>538170867
lol
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>>538170734
buy time for another attack wont fix a single thing for the US because theres nothing more they can do.july will reveal a lot as the US runs out of options and begins buckling to all demands.
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>>538170979
Depends on how many
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>>538170979
if you think every ship goes west you are are not capable of understanding anything remotely complex.
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>>538171054
about tree fiddy
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>>538171125
The oil price is global, so for that it doesn't matter where the oil goes once it gets out of the strait.
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>JUST IN: Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi gives pro-Iran militias until September 30th to fully disarm or face the law.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/iraq-gives-pro-iran-militias-until-sept-30-to-dissolve/
is this true? iran fucked up if real
TKD
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>>538171320
oil price is not linked to what you have genius.good job proving the point.
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>>538171171
Damn you, loch Hormuz monsta!
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>>538171376
What is it linked to?
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>>538171331
the bahrain anon explained that they are integrated with the military (but this eliminates direct strikes on the US so it should still reduce irans hold on iraq)

since the US didn't complain about the purges I smell a rat
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>>538171477
axios
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>>538171509
That, but also maybe flows, rather than inventories, whatever that means.
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>>538169422
It's true. I think Iran made a misstep with the MOU but they've proven time and time again this year they aren't afraid to go hot and fuck shit up so until proven otherwise, I'm confident they'll figure it out. In the meantime they get cash and to bury their equivalent to the pope.
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>>538171477
we arent arguing anymore. i cant argue with somebody who doesnt know what hes talknigf about and will double down. why do you think with such low oil pump prices are still going up? could it be? maybe its physical inventory? woah. anyways food for ythought to you but im sure it will go over your head.
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>>538171331
good job on negotiations, iran. guess we didnt wanna destroy israel and american influence that badly
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Axios Network Report:

Washington and Tehran reached an understanding during the talks in Doha regarding the first payment (6 billion dollars for food purchases) from Iran's frozen funds.
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>>538171502
i worked with a guy who built the plant there. on top of being a corrupt shithole where cops would grab you and force you to pay them to leave he cracked jokes that the radioactive gypsum that we have to treat and store they jsut pump the shit into the ocean. you can even see it on google earth. that stuff is disgustingly toxic.
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>>538171747
talk with an american who did oil work in russia (way before the war) on a gaming forum
he explained they had a dedicated corruption budget and how fucked everything there was
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>>538171689
so americans gonna sell 6 billion dollars worth of burgers to iran?
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>>538159815
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>>538171838
i mean saudi does it to. i made a shitload working there since they dont work fridays and you got hazard pay for the region and overtime. fucking mad money. cops were a little more restrained there but if they felt like it they would hold your ass for random reasons and you had to just pay them to let you go. usually it was whatever was in your pocket.


the companies on the projects are hilarious though because no matter how incompetent the person was if one fired them theyd go next door to another contractor and just link with them to avoid getting someone new there. it was a wheel of retardation.
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>>538171932
grain and soi, so the prices in the US rise more
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We're back on the "iran lost" migger cope and propaganda spam cycle again until the next attack.
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>>538172064
it is gonna be a boring week until the funeral is finished isn't it?
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>>538171689
With the fertilizer shortage I imagine Iran won't be able to buy much American corn and beef lmao
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>>538172064
i will be joining the miggers if iran doesnt get more aggressive once the funeral is over
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>>538172010
>grain and soi
yikes, I'd rather they sell me burgers instead
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So the US gets about half of the pre-war level of oil through the strait. That tracks with the reported number of tankers being escorted every day
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>>538172300
if the saudi bypass is rolling it is 70% restored I think+

remember pre war total was 21 or so
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>>538172300
no it doesnt. thats is a very broad wrong stroke over it and doesnt even come close.
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>>538172364
saudi bypass at absolute max capacity is nowhere near 70% oif what transits. other stuff has no bypass. on top of that those pumps break down daily its a 750 mile run you get days where you dont run shit till a group finds it and restores it.
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>>538172430
10mbpd through the strait + 6/7mbpd from the bypass
and together were are nearly at pre war levels
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>>538172300
never trust a kike, anon
is the golden rule
>Michael Bloomberg is Jewish. Born to a Jewish family in Massachusetts, his heritage includes Polish and Lithuanian roots, and his paternal grandfather was a rabbi. He maintains active ties to the Jewish community, including membership at Temple Emanu-El in Manhattan and significant philanthropic giving to Jewish causes.
pic rel is more proof
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>>538172198
The US lost as long as Iran controls the strait. Iran's aggression is for the sake of its allies because Iran has already proven Israel can't win against them. It's a matter of whether Iran is willing to let their allies twist. I don't believe that's true just because they haven't retaliated immediately.
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>>538171331
i told you guys those iraqi militias are all talk. no one's dying for iran besides the mutahtards in lebanon, well most of those tards are already maimed or killed already
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>>538172480
thats theoretical pull not what it pulls.
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we're back to the "control is when you make insurance expensive" iranny cope and propaganda spam cycle again until the next attack.
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>538173012
>>
migger tag identified please be aware when engagiung retasrds of this level.

id:
Xwh/8cUd
iOpFLxp3

there is likely 1 more of them. threads close to over though.
>>
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I've been jotting down Windward's daily count of tankers going out of the strait.
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Has there been more happenings of this tier since then?

I just love it when american assets worth bilions of dollars go up in smoke.
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>>538173197
I wish.
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>>538172646
>>538171331
The headline is a fantasy. Pro-Iranian militias are already integrated into the Iraqi state. These new regulations are targeting Kurdish militias.
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tranny tag identified please be aware when engagiung faggots of this level.

id:
68Affokh

there is likely just one of them.



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