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File: benis_journey.png (1.03 MB, 1024x991)
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Previous: >>538221201

Breaking: Iran has not budged on their commitments to the original MoU

Day: 122 of the Lebanon War ©
47 days until Final Peace Deal ™

▶RECENT
>Preparations are underway for the funeral of the late Ayatollah Khamenei, several nations are sending dignitaries.

▶WARNING:
>Do not trust any "happenings" or Tгump posts without link/proof
>Uкraine / Яussia discussions belong in uнg or cнug
>Do not engage with off-topic Hasbara blogposters

▶History of the 2026 War:
>The 4-day "Special Military Operation® to decapitate Iran", lasted 111 days.
>The 14-day Ceasefire™ with Iran was "extended indefinitely" unilaterally by the USA, and lasted 72 days.
>The 10-day Ceasefire™ with Lebanon was later extended and lasted 67 days. Israeli attacks continued despite ceasefire.
>The "second phase of the war" Operation Project Freedom©, lasted 1 day. Before it was "paused" by the USA, for 47 days.

▶Oil Price:
https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/

▶Kino:
https://rentry.org/pig-kino

▶X Accounts:
https://rentry.org/irxacc

▶Iranian News
https://rentry.org/irnews

▶Telegram Channels:
https://rentry.org/tgnews

▶Israel Rocket Alerts:
https://www.tzevaadom.co.il/en/

▶Live Lebanon attack map
https://lebanon.liveuamap.com/

▶Air Traffic:
https://www.flightradar24.com/
https://flightaware.com/live
https://globe.adsbexchange.com/

▶Maritime Traffic
https://www.marinetraffic.com/
https://www.vesselfinder.com/
>>
>>538238635
I’m gay and fat
>>
>>538238720
khazarian kween? is that you?
>>
>>538238635
I always found it funny that this meme's screencap is in Spanish for some reason.
>>
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>>
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europe bends the knee and accepts the ayaTOLLah
>>
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>>
>>538238635
yooo wtf happened to da catalogg
>>
>>538238878
It's always funny seeing this powerless old German bitch pretend she's going to force anybody in Europe to do anything
>>
>U.S. officials believed Israel may have been plotting to kill Iran’s top negotiators, FM Abbas Araghchi and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, during U.S.-Iran talks, prompting Washington to ask regional states to warn Tehran. - NYT
>>
>>538238973
wdym
>>
>>538238983
we send her to the EU because she fucked up every single job she had in germany
>>
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>>
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>>
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depression is actually gone but im still empty thank you for your attention to this matter
>>
>>538238973
grim state
>>
NGL, I hope Israel bombs the shit out of the funeral
>>
any info on the bombing today in damascus?
>>
>>538239390
>>538238973
what happened
>>
>>538239451
just astro turf slop and agitprop
>>
>>538239195
I bet ZOG is seething, how dare the goyim gather in defiance
>>
>>538239314
progress
>>
>>538239497
israel and monarcucks especially are seething because it will once and for all crush their "muh iranians will rise up in two weeks, nobody likes the regime" propaganda slop
>>
>>538239450
Yeah, it was you guys
>>
>>538239494
looks the same as ever desu
>>
>>538239497
internet freedom just got signed away in the israel empowering law packages
pentagon is now a backdoor to the IDF and an all you can eat buffet

the entire western elite is irrepentent all they do is weaken the natural defense and people
against whatever the immigrant commie bunch are cooking up

I for one will be fine guarding a gulag to sniff out counter revolutionary elements
>>
>>538239621
zoomer
>>
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>>
>>538239594
hopefully these become more common by the day, seeing these arape animals slaughter each other is always kino.
>>
>>538239695
/pol/ hasnt been browsable in years, there was always slop in the catalogue
>>
uh oh, Israel is in trouble!
>>
>>538239700
all in all the diplomatic brinkmanship by iran is the most worry some from an american perspective
almost as much as the gained military power
>>
>>538239791
what happened? are they no longer allowed to read torah?
>>
>>538239859
yeah i agree, they are completing the diplomatic circuit with galibaf's visit to china soon all while preparing that gigantic funeral
>>
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wonder what they're talking about
>>
HAPPENING
HEBREW INSIDER
VERY RELIABLE

"Number of (idf) casualties in an incident in southern Lebanon."
>>
No blatant US convoy today.
>>
>>538239736
I somehow only use generals. Last one I was active in was

https://archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/457428198/
>>
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Trump no1
>>
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>all in all the diplomatic brinkmanship by iran is the most worry some from an american perspective
>>
>>538240054
>Si, senor Araghchi, I understand, but mossad has a bomb in my phone and pictures of me fucking a 10 yr old, so I have to do their bidding! I know, I know... what was that? Did you hear that click? Oh no, I have to go-
>>
>>538240054
SeKSY G Viet Cong
>>
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If the jews try something during the funeral, the whole worlds gonna flip on em.
>>
>>538240203
The resistance rises
>>
>>538240332
Unfortunately they are still cunning enough to use a proxy like ISIS/AQ
>>
>>538240439
normally mossad places the bomb and ISIS plays patsy and claims responsibility
>>
>>538240332
Nobody cares about a funeral for the muslim pope besides people who already cared about the muslim pope being killed. No, the main thing that's gonna turn the world against Israel is the upcoming food crisis that rests entirely on their shoulders. Let's see if jeetopia and ungabungaland have such high opinions on kikes when all their children start starving.
>>
>>538240523
support for israel is nigger black indian coded?
>>
>>538240060
Israel's violating the ceasefire in Lebanon, so Hezbollah has the right to respond.
>>
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>>538240717
>>
>>538240060
is that a separate from the other incident where they claimed some were wounded?
>>
>>538240751
then it is no wonder america supports israel
>>
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TOTAL TRUMP VICTORY
>>
>>
this guy sounds the same as mamdani
third worldism with jewish characteristics
>>
The hatred towards circumcision is alarming and unfounded.

There is actually a very beautiful and holy reason for circumcision which any defenders of Western Civilization should embrace. Circumcision is about resistance against lust. It prevents men from lusting after sex and reinforces the fact sex is for the act of procration and mutual pleasure between loving partners. It is because our modern society is ruled by lust that we see vast amounts of moral decay. Moral relativism is everywhere. Secularism has destroyed any sense of virtue. Desire to take from others sexually has made these things almost impossible to fight against.

I do believe with all honesty that circumcision is an act of scaling back a society dominated by sexual lust. Sex is about giving to the other person, not taking.

Many great minds of Western Civilization have also said this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0AK_EUsIBlw

There is also no logical reason to oppose metzitzah b'peh. MBP is done for reasons of hygiene and for kabbalistic reasons involving the correcting of Adam's sin and revealing the holiness of the soul. There is no evidence MBP is anything nefarious. Remember: Jesus underwent metzitzah b'peh.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vLZvEelu7IA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KU2Sr1l4Ifw

There is also physical and spiritual beauty in metzitzah b'peh. And it is NOT pedophilia but done for HEALTH REASONS (and mystical reasons):

https://youtu.be/M4Tazlv3Tuo?si=64G8tsO60Lxf2baF&t=7516
>>
>>538241101
doha meeting was risky
>>
>>538241127
can't wait for the bloodbath the midterms are going to be
>>
Alright. Stock market is closed here, and we have a long weekend. USreal better fucking hit themselves in the face with a pie before Monday. I will also accept them making a move on the funeral for the sake of either wrecking our economy. Fully closing the strait again too will work. Please do not allow any outbound for Asia or India so we drain SPR to collapse Clock is ticking
>>
>>538238878
They know that if burgers failed, europe has no chance. They know that if burger defenses can't deal with iranian attacks, they have no hope. It's smart for them to accept the inevitable
>>
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>>
>>538241261
Same desu. Trump needs a full blown collapse if he wants to suspended elections. Short of that, the dems are gonna wipe the floor with repubs. Fuck both parties though. 422 AIPAC seats
>>
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>>538240156
no1 cuck lmao
>>
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>>538239314
Find something big and hard to fill your emptynussy
>>
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>>538239913
>>538239859
And people were C wording around....
>>
>>538241127
It warms my heart that this retard spent his life shilling zionism to credulous boomers and in his final years he gets to watch it all collapse, powerless
>>
>>538238878
>I-i-it's n-not fair russia and china should pay too
pathetic
>>
>>538238635
>>Preparations are underway for the funeral of the late Ayatollah Khamenei
Which one
>>
>>538240332
The world is already flipping on them. There is a reason why the kikes are trying so hard to crack down on the internet. Even the most normies of normies are aware of the kikes and their ways. It's just burger boomers who they can still control and the random faggot who would literally sell their soul to satan for shekels and fame
>>
>>538238878
>one European official
Give me a break
>>
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>>
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So how fucked are the mid terms going to be?
>>
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>Dr. Araghchi receives the Secretary-General of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Nurlan Yermekbayev who has come to Tehran for the funeral procession of Ayatollah Khamenei...
>>
>>538239859
>diplomatic brinkmanship
This is them accepting defeat and assimilating
>>
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>>538241944
>>
Iran lost the war they started in 1979
>>
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>>538241513
things need to get a lot more spicy anyway
>>
>>538241127
This is why we need a real oil crisis, gas at $40 per gallon, so everyone will blame the Jews and will start scalping them.
>>
>>538242031
>here's how iran can still lose in two weeks
give it a rest already, clown
>>
>>538239554
I didn't even do anything it can come back at any time randomly

>>538241598
im not gay
>>
>>538241998
>>
something tells me danny danon does not want to denounce baruch goldstein and the terrorist hiding in the IDF

https://nitter.net/dannydanon/status/2072460378060292597#m
>>
>>538242089
All iran so called allies got actually ruined with the strait closed but not America
>>
>>538241893
I hate both parties, but dems will sweep. The repubs has nothing going for them, and the dems have muh feels going hard so yeah…
>>
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while Iran is preparing for what is potentially the largest funeral in history, the stage is falling apart in muttland during a rehearsal

https://xcancel.com/AaronParnas/status/2072761972303737212
>>
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>>538242166
>>
>>538242297
that was a near fatal accident
>>
>>538238635
Why do Eglinfags think up-is-down lying can work in the age of the internet?
>>
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Mat Nuclear ARRESTED for making terroristic threats. Mateus Pereira was arrested by Jacksonville Sheriff’s Office after threatening to “shoot up” San Marco daycare facilities. Pereira recently signed a deal with Ben Shapiro’s Daily Wire
>>
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>>538242148
Never said anything about homosexuality, nigga. It was you who thought of that.
It could be anything really.
Get a boat, probably
>>
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>>538242297
>>
>>538238878
I expect chancellor Merz to ask for a preferential treatment of Germany by Iran, to honour our historical efforts against the Jews.
>>
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>>538240060
>>538239708
hopefully these become more common by the day, seeing these kike(r)ape animals slaughtered is always kino
>>
>>538242432
they would work in the private sector if they had skill
>>
>>538242307
You've been working on your meme
>>
>>538240836
>is that a separate from the other incident where they claimed some were wounded?

maybe. it's from 2.5 hours ago in hebrew, so resistance telegram channels/twitter probably saw news of the incident and published it.
>>
>>538242479
I'm not rich either.
Also what would you even do with a boat? Go to hormuz? :DDDD

>>538238909
They know they can't shoot a missile out of the air even with millions of troops right?
>>
>>538238720
>I’m gay
cringe
>and fat
based
>>
>>538242759
no I didn't, some other anon made this
>>
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>>538241101
kikes will try to massacre a lot of people on july 4th
you're aware now
the iranian response will be the biggest in history
Judea will burn
>>
>>538240836

in that hebrew news channel, "casualties" usually means very seriously wounded (or dead), not just lightly wounded (which means 'likely to not die', generally)

So in reality 4+ kikes just got blasted very hard, regardless of any future official statements of '2 lightly wounded'
>>
Open Source Intel @Osint613
Thu, 02 Jul 2026 19:19:31 UTC

Iran took extraordinary measures this spring to protect Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, assigning military escorts and making last-minute travel changes, the NYT reports.

The steps followed warnings the U.S. relayed through regional states that Israel might assassinate the two officials in the middle of negotiations.

https://x.com/Osint613/status/2072762106915463342

In one incident, Ghalibaf's plane made an emergency landing in Mashhad after Iranian security forces flagged intelligence that Israel intended to attack the aircraft. According to the warning, two Israeli fighter jets had crossed into Iranian airspace near the border with Iraq.
>>
>>538241940
The way Chinese finesses Iran is a masterclass for any state that wants to understand the relationship between master and slave.
>>
>>538241654
every time i see this image his eyes get bigger and bigger, scary
>>
>>538241261
Why though? What will that accomplish?
>>
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https://xcancel.com/Parodyjeffx/status/2072733191274631451
>>
>>538242955
Chinksects did the same thing to Irannies when their houthi monkeys closed the red sea, and were disrupting chink commerce a lot more, they forced them to make peace with America
>>
>>538242880
that was my understanding as well
>>538242955
china ripped off russia so hard with energy contracts that putin got sour over that relation this year I think
>>
>>538242920
Pakistani fighter jets escorted the Iranian delegation's aircraft—carrying more than 70 Iranian officials—between the Iranian border and Islamabad.

On the return flight, Iranian security services warned of intelligence that Israel planned to strike the plane and that two Israeli fighter jets had entered Iranian airspace from the Iraqi border. The aircraft made an emergency landing in Mashhad, and the delegation traveled the remaining eight hours by road to Tehran.

https://t.me/tabzlive/91610
>>
>>538242989
have you noticed the chicken yet?
>>
>>538242876
Israel did a fly-over with F-16 planes on Beirut at Nasrallah's funeral. They killed nobody. The crowd was not even scared.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S1tizHhTHUw
If the pull it off again on Teheran, maybe this time with F-35s, without dropping bombs and without getting shot at, it will signal that peace in the Middle East is near.
>>
>>538242920
>The steps followed warnings the U.S. relayed through regional states that Israel might assassinate the two officials in the middle of negotiations.

The USA the cuck nation.
Israel constantly tries to undermine our interests, we just take it and send more money.
>>
>>538240060
>538240060▶>>538240726 >>538240836 >>538242598

Senior officials in the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) are warning: Without the necessary steps, the fighting force is on the verge of collapse. "We need more fighters, not longer mandatory service," the IDF reportedly instructed some media outlets, including Walla. While criticism is being voiced within the security establishment, suggesting that the IDF needs to present complete data on the decline of reserve units and define a critical operational threshold for the readiness of forces, military officials are warning against linking the extension of mandatory service to the conscription law. "It's a strategic mistake that puts the country's security at risk."
>>
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>>538243083
Now there is no fuel in Russia either. And they can only thank shitranians no one will sell them any because they are all hoarding it all for themelves because the strait is closed
>>
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>>538242031
>BUT WHAT ABOUT 1979?
none of the hostages died, fucking retard
now tell us about the Iran Air Flight 655
it's funny that ZOG still can't accept to this day that he lost a vassal
>>
>>538243157
>If the pull it off again on Teheran, maybe this time with F-35s
they cant. they are too scared to get hit by Iran's AD. even during the hot war, they never dared to enter iranian airspace and just lobbed standoff munitions
>>
>>538242031
shi'ite are such massive retards. they should've waited another year for the new american fighter jet shipments. they had a big batch coming in but it got cancelled when they overthrew the shah. bunch of retards
>>
>>538238878
russia and china already paid for over a decade, in weapons and ressources during the embargo
>>
>>538243133
I had not, I had not...
>>
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>>
>>538243083
>china ripped off russia so hard with energy contracts that putin got sour over that relation this year I think
80% of Russian trade is done with China now, China is not ripping Russia off, China is elevating Russia to new heights.
>>
Linnoy Pitro, a 17-year-old from Ra'anana, tragically took her own life after a toxic relationship with a 22-year-old. This morning, the family gathered at the cemetery in Ra'anana with family and friends. Additionally, they will be holding a motorcycle memorial ride this evening. The family is not yet ready to reveal all the details, but they claim that the term "toxic relationship" is too mild to describe what happened, and they plan to disclose everything after the shiva (period of mourning). From the complaints filed with the police to the lack of response she received, we will continue to provide updates. May her memory be a blessing.
>>
why did hezbollah apologize to israel after launching a rocket attack? they used to make fun of isis for it
>>
>>538243083
>china ripped off russia so hard with energy contracts that putin got sour over that relation this year I think
same shit is happening to irannies. one iranian minister admitted they have to sell oil at a 40% discount to china or else they would starve
>>
>>538243323
Iran is a sad story because the shah was not a good ruler either, and theocrats taking over just made things worse
>>
>>538243406
She doesn't look jewish
>>
>>538243487
China is the only country willing to evade US sanctions and buy Iranian oil. Without China Iran would be fucked. With China, Iran is a super power.
>>
>>538243590
good on them for ripping off irannies. not that iran has any other choice but to take this humiliation seeing their current global situation
>>
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>>538243133
i hadn't seen it before lol
it's even funnier now
>>538243422
>>538243498
memeflag kikejeet and sunnigger ISIS-refugee shilling at the same time....
/pig/ should expect an attack on iran in the coming hours or minutes
>>
demoralization shills are backi, USrael is taking losses somewhere again
>>
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>>538241567
No1 patriot
>>
>>538243646
China isn't ripping Iran off, China is providing Iran with everything it needs because Iran isn't allowed to trade with anyone, and in exchange for this China is taking oil which it doesn't even need, that's why China has billions of barrels in reserve.
>>
NEW: One European official reportedly said ‘if we must pay, then China and Russia have to pay too’
>>
>>538243768
an obligatory 40% discount to do trade is a ripoff. only reason it works is because irannies have a shitty global reputation and china is fully exploiting that fact
>>
>>538243844
You lost, tranny.
>>
>>538243910
strait is open and south lebanon is conquered by israel. ouch!
>>
>>538243768
you are talking to a butthurt sunnoid diasporid who still cant accept that iran now represents the muslims while the world rightfully sees sunnis as the slaves of ZOG
>>
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>>538243979
>>
>>538243817
Chinks are hoarding everything or they will starve, while Russia ran out of fuel and continues to lose a 3 days operation they started. They are paying a lot
>>
>>538244042
who gives a fuck about what the world think? i care more about victory than your faggy egoistical self-obsession. you shi'ite cunts have been dominated in syria, next will be lebanon and yemen
>>
>>538243708
They've been posting for a few days now since we've hit a lull.
>>
>>538244042
and on top of all of that he's a literal retard
>>
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>>538243000
Nothing. It won't even be as big of a deal as they think it will be. The goyim have gone insane
>>
>>538244049
cope and seethe, mutahtard
>>
>Trump to CNBC: Iran will buy corn, wheat, and other goods from America with the frozen funds
Iran lost
>>
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Dems bending the knee to Mamdani.
>>
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KWAB
https://xcancel.com/atrupar/status/2072798530838655189
>>
>>538242920
>Amerigolems warning their enemies about potential assassinassins
I don't like this, they probably had the go ahead to "warn" the iranians just so they could observe how the iranians operate and change their flight course on an emergency situation.
>>
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>>538244276
>>
>>538244327
>6 days ago
>already denied by Iran
Yesteryear's fake news are the last refuge of the leaf shill
>>
>>538241795
Everything you post from his is dumber than the last thing, incredible
>>
>>538244346
>The savage hordes are not at the gates, but inside already
>>
>>538244396
i aggregate news from various sources, dont like it? then leave my thread
>>
>>538244391
Trump just said this, coping thirdie
>>
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>>538244276
you seem mad, what's the problem?
>>
>>538244367
it is more so the US can play kayfabe that they are not the same team (which they are)

israeli jets don't fly that far without centcope
>>
>>538244438
trump has dementia
>>
>>538244366
very cool
>>
>>538244445
>posts a dead guy
>>
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>>538243979
You're paying the fee either way, migger tranny.
>>
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>>538244482
>>
>>538244391
>>538244462
Did Ghalibaf say something similar when he was cut off on TV?
>>
>>538244482
i suppose his presence or not at his father's funeral will be telling
>>
>>538244346
No they won't. They are going to get more desperate come November though. Right now they still think the anti-Israel new comers can be kicked out with enough money and fear mongering.
>>
>>538244572
yes
>>
>>538244494
your tax dollars goes directly toward dead irannies. thank you anon for your fine work

>>538244541
not a single appearance since he was killed
>>
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>>538244129
ISISrats got raped by Iran and the survivors had to flee to AFRICA LOL
you're one of those widows (or bacha troons) living off canadian welfare, what does it feel like to be a failure?
>>
>>538244638
>ISISrats got rap-ACK
>>
>>538244572
No, the full video was released and he said that would not happen.
>>
Iran is miscalculating the number through the strait I think.
They have to add the saudi bypass to it.

If the traffic in the strait is 1/3 but saudi reroute 1/4 of the normal traffic then total flow is about half.
>>
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>>538244432
>my thread
>>
hannibal directive tapes leaked. Ben Gvir present that is when they send the apache helicopter that killed the majority of hostages.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qi5mKiZXhTU
>>
>>538244638
They couldnt stop syrian rebels from taking damascus over in just one week
>>
>>538244600
They already said he won't be in attendance. Which is smart because israel will definitely try and assassinate him
>>
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>>538244895
this is a german thread, you are just posting in it
not so easy without the russian on your side this time?
>>
>Brent crude reaches pre-war levels
https://hormuzstraitmonitor.com/

Irannies lost
>>
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— President Trump on Iran:
We blew up Iran’s radar. They had no radar. They still don’t.

We blew it up again the other night. They had a nice new radar. They were all set to go, and we blew it up.

https://t.me/tabzlive/91632

Guys, they destroyed THE radar
>>
>>538238635
>Preparations are underway for the funeral of the late Ayatollah Khamenei, several nations are sending dignitaries
What are the chances of Israel bombing the funeral, setting off WW3?
>>
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>>538244762
>ZOG proxy got defeated and drumpf ordered the assasination of the man who defeated them after a tantrum
kike behaviour
now show us a pic of your mutilated-hero al-gayhdadi KEK
>>
>>538244949
Is this how Poland felt?
>>
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BEN GVIR ON TAPE! THE BUTCHER OF OCTOBER 7 HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED! IT WAS THE NATIONAL SECURITY MINISTER!
>>
>>538244987
non-zero
>>
>>538244984
Which is funny because Iran blew up all of ours and we can't make more unless Xi grants us permission to buy Galium.
>>
>>538244958
>Irannies only leverage doesn't work anymore
>Russia running out of fuel and getting bombed by a country they invaded first
>Chinksects hoarding fuel for themelves and demanding Irannies to sell them cheap oil
Multipolarbros.....
>>
>>538244988
that was very very jew.
Only those fuckers would be proud of such a backstab.
>>
>>538245042
it all went to shit when china made it obvious they aint backing russia or iran in any military conflict

that was their only hope and it got crushed like a bug
>>
>>538245131
Chinksects care more about doing commerce with the civilized western world, and debt trap niggers in Africa rather than backing failed shitholes. Even Mao knew being friends with the USA was better than being close to the soviets
>>
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>hehe what if we attack le funeral
>what if we attack the delegations of 4 nuclear states
The funny part is you just know if Khomeini Jr or sufficient number of iranian officials were there, kikes, being the bloodthirsty fiends they are, will 100% try to assassinate them lmao
>>
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>>538242880
Also for the record, Smotrich's son was classified as "lightly wounded" because the shrapnel wasn't immediately life threatening, and he was in thr ICU for 2 weeks and has been in rehab since (that was 4 months ago).
>>
>>538244987
imo if they dont do something, they will suffer a major blow to their propaganda efforts about how iran was two weeks away from being toppled
>>
>>538244910
>>538244996
will anything come of this? dont think so, maybe im too blackpilled
>>
>>538245299
we can mock them, nothing is going to happen
ben gvir and that room there was responsible for the majority of causality on october 7

the ben gvir massacre of october 7 shall never be forgotten
>>
>>538244988
How do you eat with that thing next to you? More importantly, how come this bitch looks completely different in every single picture? It's like she has new plastic surgery fuck ups everyday
>>
— President Trump on Iran:
They have 300% inflation. They're making no money — so we're going to take some of the money.

We're going to have, exclusively, our American farmers provide [food], assuming we get to the position where we should get to.

https://t.me/tabzlive/91636
>>
>>538245495
Irannies can take the offer America is giving them, or succumb
>>
>>538245427
It's photoshopped you retarded sunnigger dog
>>
bazan is currently offline, israel is at this moment fuel important dependent from ashdod and eilat
>>
Lebanon just got bombed and Iran still won’t do shit. Hahaha what a loser country
>>
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what is if israel hit dahya on the day of the funeral?
that is the calibrated escalation I would do in israels place

if my goal was maximum malicious shit testing
>>
>>538245783
They are obviously going to do this. The question is whether Iran will respond during or after the funeral.
>>
>538245551
>538245714
>538245433
Paid tranny jeet shills.
>>
>>538245783
hitting beirut and trying to further advance into southern lebanon, yep
>>
>>538245783
but I'll make a prediction, after destroying the Haifa refinery in Op TP2, out of commission until 2028 at the earliest, Iran will take out the other big Israeli refinery in Ashdod (maybe that's the city, I don't remember)
>>
>>538245828
>They are obviously going to do this.
going through my simulation of israeli heuristic that is what they are likely to do

how did you come to this conclusion so we can corroborate the methodology
>it is the maximum transgressive act that is not interfering with the funeral, forcing the biggest dilemma on the iranian funeral planers
>if they respond Israel gets carte blanche to interrupt the celebration and assassinate the attendants
>>
>>538245828
You have to respond immediately and unfortunately that could get a ton of people killed. Which might even help Iran in a propaganda sense but that's a price that might exceed even what an average hardliner would find an acceptable trade.
>>
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>The occupation's air force launches an attack on the town of Saddiqin, in southern Lebanon.
>>
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>>538246027
> Two Israeli airstrikes targeted the area between the towns of Saddiqin and Jabal al-Batm in southern Lebanon.
>>
>>538246047
>>538246027
lol i literally predicted this >>538245860
>>
>>538245987
>how did you come to this conclusion so we can corroborate the methodology
I agree with what you said, I'll just add that it's a way for Israel to feel powerful and badass by ruining Iran's "party". Bibi would secure god status in bloodthirsty Israelis eyes, who could now tell themselves they're winning for a day.
Also it's stupid, which is perhaps a reason they won't do it, but Jews are unhinged and stupid right now. They're like a gambler that feels they lost everything so they have to keep gambling.
>>
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>>538246171
here is my heuristic put into a diagram by ai
>>538245987
>>
>>538245999
checked
yea which is why I think USreal will do it, they could kill many shia die hards
>>
>>538246220
so how to deter it in irans shoes, I tried to brain storm and so far only hitting dead ends

>telegraphing massive retaliation, only emboldens and justifies israel
>getting the US to restrain it, impossible on this day, the US would see a value in testing irans bottom line too then
>>
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>>538241766
>and the random faggot who would literally sell their soul to satan for shekels and fame
Or a krispy kreme.
>>
>>538238878
The Iran war was complete bullshit but god damn what was Trump thinking with his pussy footing around? Sorry but if you are going to war with a nation fucking put your back in it, and I don't even mean retarded shit like boots on the ground. Destroy their fucking infrastructure. Make it impossible for them to even retaliate. When they were laying out mines just bomb every fucking boat in the strait and actually show force. I just can't believe anyone can see how wearing the boxing gloves went for Vietnam and Iraq and thought, "hey third time's the charm!" I don't give a shit about foriegn backlash, show that when you intend on forcing your rule then just fucking go balls to the wall and reign hellfire down. Shit go nuclear. What's China and Russia gonna do? Complain? God damn what's the point of having the world's most poweful military if all we're gonna do is play nice when a war breaks out? Shit on HW Bush all you want but he went full force on Iraq during Desert Storm and that shit lasted all of 43 days and Iraq didn't invade another nation ever again.
>>
Why is not the multipolar world helping and buying shitranians oil?
>>
>>538246469
>so how to deter it in irans shoes
don't bomb any ships in the gulf, make the US think you are ready to cuck, plus all the typical security measures
>>
>>538246535
You're an absolute retard.
>>
>>538246559
>Why is not the multipolar world helping
ESL shitskin
>>
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>>538246559
I honestly think this is Cope.There is absolutely no way in hell they are having problems finding buyers
>>
>>538246171
>>538246227
They can just close Hormuz if Israel attacks Beirut+respond after the funeral is over.
>>
>>538246227
This is a pretty good flowchart, but I fail to see how Israel gains any real strategic initiative when they're already so drained in terms of interception capabilities. I think the count is somewhere in between 200-300 THAAD interceptors left? They could bomb Beirut again during the funeral and Iran could strike back with equal force, but that still puts them in a worse position militarily.
>>
>>538246261
Killing a bunch of innocents at a funeral will be another dagger in the back of Israel's standing in the world. Obviously that doesn't really matter in the short term but it helps make it impossible for it to ever recover. And it's a good way to ignite Shia jihad again. You might even see an Iraqi coup.
>>
>>538246578
so threaten to make ashdod and eilat inoperable
with haifa and bazan out officially this would put israel into acute fuel shortage

as it a hard limit but fixed strike package that is narrow, actionable and scary
if you telegraph it in advance that this would be the precise and limited cost you would inflict it might work
in comparison to general threats

the prior threat was dahya for the north, dahya for ashadod and eilat might not look like an attractive trade

not the best option but putting it out could create a sword of damokles effect or set the negotiation parameters where you want
>>
>>538239736

use filters
>>
>>538246658
You're the one coping.
Literally no one other than China is buying their oil

And China gets the preferential discounted oil rate plus no fees or tolls, so Iran in practicality is losing money on these shipments
>>
>>538246658
Yeah the reporting last week was that Asian nations are paying a 20%+ premium over spot for Iranian oil. These can't both be true. Given how India is making their gasoline like 20% water now, I'm inclined to think Bloomberg is just bullshit.
>>
>>538246584
Please explain why any nation should pull its punches in a military conflict.
>>
>>538246693
it is not a good plan but I can see israel taking the shot
israel got problems with a lack of US follow through

iran can't strike back during the funeral without paying a severe price
>>
>>538246841
>Strike Iran's power plants and refineries
>Iran retaliates and drone strikes every power plant and piece of oil infrastructure in the gulf nations.
It's very simple, moron.
>>
>>538246940
>Iran strikes back with all the military assets that would have been destroyed
How retarded are you?
>>
>>538246940
>Iran retaliates and drone strikes every power plant and piece of oil infrastructure in the gulf nations
This would only fuck their "allies" further
>>
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>>538244366
>How can anyone not hate the jews after the last 4 years is beyond me
>>
>>538246940
>>Iran retaliates and drone strikes every power plant and piece of oil infrastructure in the gulf nations.
Ok
And?

How does that affect the average America?

It wouldn't.

>inb4 muh gas prices will rise
No one cares
You only hear about that shit because it's election season
>>
>>538238635
Do not directly reply to self-defeating Eglin faggots.
>>
>>538247066
>How does that affect the average America?
global oil trade is over, petrodollar is finished
>>
>>538245234

>puts himself as the main focus of the image

fucking politicians man, just like women
>>
>>538245987
>how did you come to this conclusion
Nta but I think they'll do it because they are evil and that's what evil would do barring striking the funeral itself, which I don't think they'll do only because of all the foreign dignitaries
>>
>>538246987
>>538247010
>>538247066
Single digit IQ shitskin shills.
>>
>>538246841
critical infrastructure can be hit in return and that can lead to MAD with nukes taking effect if not properly managed, pulling punches is the optimal strategy

>>538246864
This may sound cold, but striking back during a funeral and taking the risk of an Israeli airstrike in the middle of a funeral may be the play for Iran. From a diplomatic POV Israel has very little legitimacy in regards to the invasion of Lebanon, and the fallout from innocents unnecessarily dying at a giant funeral procession shouldn't fall on Iran's hands. Taking this oppurtunity to strike at MOSSAD in Iraq or directly at Israel's bases could be worth the cost.
>>
>>538247193
Dont offend your multipolar allies
>>
>>538247213
>This may sound cold, but striking back during a funeral and taking the risk of an Israeli airstrike in the middle of a funeral may be the play for Iran.
You mean just fully restarting the war? That is when the thing has materialized already and they want to have their funeral in peace.

With the funeral potentially hit a shia deathball could form from iraq this time.
>>
>>538241127
>We will not allow this to become [...] modern Canada, Britain and France.
What did he mean by this?
>>
>>538246719
The thing is
Bibi is going full apeshit because of the trial thing

At this point even Normies here believe in conspiracy theories about what Hamas did because of just how much it benefited Bibi
>>
>>538247213
Oh no Iran will retaliate as a smoking pile of rubble by.... wait how? The furthest they'd be able to retaliate is the gulf nations which don't matter to the logistics of the US military apparatus. Also what is this MAD bullshit? Iran has nukes all of a sudden?
>>
>>538246662
This is what I think they will do
>>
>>538247331
ask danny finkelstein, barbara roche and chuck schumer
>>
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>>538246227
>>
No one is going to attack the funeral or Beirut you low IQ shills

America LITERALLY just saved Khalibaf and Aragchi from Israeli assassination and you think they're going to suddenly bomb them out of nowhere? fuckin kek

Whole thing will be a giant nothingburger
>>
>>538247316
The last time Iran struck Israel was breached Iran's red line in Beirut and we refused to do anything except sign an MOU about 1-2 weeks later. Restarting a war is untenable for us at the point as we literally don't have the munitions to conduct a serious war in the first place, and our bases with all their sophisticated radars/radomes in the region have been blown up, taking away our eyes. We won't do shit.

>>538247497
Seriously threatening Israel's infrastructure may be another good option for Tehran, but it's still reliant on an actual followup or they lose izzat. I still believe an actual strike is Iran's best choice in the matter given America's reluctance to rejoin the war effort.
>>
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>>538247663
>No one is going to attack Beirut you low IQ shills
I see no reason why israel wouldn't do it during the funeral.
>>
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>>538247663
>imagine believing this
>>
>>538247734
>I still believe an actual strike is Iran's best choice in the matter given America's reluctance to rejoin the war effort.
How to win the existential war that follows if israel do it. Draw up plans for a war and then hope the others will understand not to fuck with the event?
Should they get their hand on your secret plan?
>>
>>538245828
>>538247351
This migger cope that Trump doesn’t care if the gulf states get glassed is so funny. During the hot war every time Iran matched USrael’s escalations by bombing something critical in the gulf states trump immediately cucked. Why didn’t trump do power plant and bridge day? Because he cucked.
>>
>>538241101
Why do they keep falling for it?
>>
>>538247940
Nigger that's what we're lamenting. Trump was a fucking dumbass that didn't actually want to go all out in a military action while still getting involved in one. The last retard that should be starting a war is someone like Trump.
>>
>>538248057
>all out with military option
nuclear strikes or ground invasion? otherwise he did all he could
>>
>>538247995
Because it's that or Iran collapsing



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