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File: street shitter.jpg (213 KB, 1351x1164)
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Previous: >>538358576

Day 1,592 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>Strike on an industrial centre in Stavropol
>New strikes in Bilhorod and Pidorsburg
>Polish security sources and those close to Nawrocki claim to have been warned by the United States that russia is planning "armed provocations" ranging from simulated air raids causing air defence activations to drone attacks on key infrastructure facilities and a ground incursion of russian troops - The Telegraph
>Latest toll for July 1st/2nd chimpout: up to 27 dead, up to 90 injured.
>Occupation administrations of Kerch and Feodosia are preparing to evacuate documents by July 4th - ATESH
>Lines waiting for gas in russia extend for kilometres
>Ukraine received the first 3,9 billion of the 90 billion euros
>Ukrainian Defense Forces destroy road bridge on Donetsk–Mariupol highway
>Syrskyi: russia may be preparing an offensive on Chernihiv region from Bryansk region
>russia closed numerous checkpoints between Estonia, Latvia and Finland
>All of us here, but also everyone in Poland, everyone in Ukraine and in Europe, believe that Ukraine will withstand russian aggression and that our plans for rebuilding Ukraine are not a mirage - Polish PM Tusk


▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateEN
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
▶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: https://files.catbox.moe/19avc9.zip
▶russian confirmed KIA updated daily: https://hochuvernut.com/
>>
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tzd
Also happy 4th of July to all the non-ziggified Mutts!
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The puccia collapses this year
>>
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TZD
>>
https://streamable.com/snj4u3

We are entering real Mad Max hours.
>>
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is le monke really gonna chimp out in Poland or is this bong press as usual?
>>
>>538366874
>Blyat Max Fury Z
kek
>>
russia is a fake made up country/gas station
>>
>>538366899
Who can say? Monke has gone full retard. Maybe he thinks he can do this. I honestly have no clue.

I know for a fact though that Russia cannot afford a war with NATO on top of the war with Ukraine.

But maybe because Putin believes his own country's propaganda, that they're already fighting "all of NATO" in Ukraine, that this means Poland and the Baltic states are undefended.
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Hey American bros wanted to wish you a happy 4th. Not to get too sentimental but the ones in /uhg/ especially still know good from evil and that home invaders deserve to die. Bless you guys for having the American spirit despite miggers
>>
>>538366899
If he actually does it, which I doubt, he probably does it as some kind of exit strategy:
>Attack Poland and justify it with some retarded false flag
>Nato mobilizes troops
>Declare peace and an end of the glorious smo right after
>"See guys, we just didn't want this to escalate even further, NATO attacked us via Poland but we found peace, mighty Monke prevented WW3 urra!"
>>
>>538366794
Druid country
>oIyZUZ3f
Hi Dennis
>>
Zelensky here. We are in deep shit patriots. Tyrone was pounding me in the ass and my tranny guards rushed in and I am being evacuated to a safe location outside the city. Seems the Russians are going to nuke Kiev. Shit think I will just go to Honduras with my Tyrone`s and live in my hotel and casino paid for with American aid money. Stay safe Patriots and remember nigger dick is bestest dick. Z.
>>
>>538367096
kek, this is retarded but all Russians need is a moral victory.
>>
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>>538366709
Note for the next baker: this thread should be 19704. Next one of course will be 19705. Thank you and TZD.
>>
>>538367090
Thanks, Leafbro. I never realized Canada's independence day and America's independence day are only three days apart.
>>
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>>538367212
>>538367143
>>538367096
>>538367090
>>538367064
>>538367027
Have you seen my friend? He's been missing since June 14.
>>
>>538367346
Canada doesn't have an "independence day" because they didn't betray their motherland like American retards did.
>>
>>538366709
AI generated image. Lines are no longer that long and its morning still. Also
>UA
fuck hyhyls.
>>
>>538366806
There's nothing conspiratorial about it, retard. They literally said it in their own words. If I was at home I would happily give you the source for everything. And I don't mean some random website. I mean US military think-tanks, and the top geo-strategists in the world(see Brzezinski), let alone sources inside of Ukraine itself.

Regardless, all I stated was the strategy and why things happened. I didn't make a value judgement. You can accept everything I said and still support Ukraine.

https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html
>>
>>538367064
Christ.

Either way, stop killing eachother. You are dancing to their fiddle.
>>
>>538366899
>Russia would count on the fact that, instead of opening fire on Russian or Belarusian soldiers in such a situation, Poland would be forced by the US to negotiate with Russia or Belarus rather than respond forcefully

>A scenario in which the Russians would withdraw from Poland as a result of those negotiations, rather than because they were forced to do so by military means, would be seen as a win from Moscow’s perspective.

>An end to Western support for Ukraine could even be a central Russian demand of such talks in return for withdrawal from Poland.

This is just retarded, they raise their eyebrow by sending drunk pidors to occupy a border village unopposed, then Trump makes all of NATO understand everything and cut all aid in return for the Polish border village? Wtf
>>
>>538366709
Maybe Russians 'are' Indians...
>>
>>538367343
Fuck, sorry for fucking it up. I just blindly changed the last digit without checking the actual number.
Thanks for pointing it out, dunno if I will bake another one but if I do I will fix it.
>>
>>538367484
>and its morning still
This dumb nigger thinks pictures are some sort of magic live feed lmao
>>
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>>538367656
No worries -- we'll get it right next thread.
The guy before accidentally left off the last digit.
Also to whoever bakes next -- It is now day 1593 of the war.
But these are just numbers. The important thing is TZD.
>>
>>538367169
>blackedshit instead of macaron's baguette
go away faker
>>
Benzin status?
>>
>>538366709
Bitch should at least have the decency to use the designated shitting street.
>>
>538367422
>motherland
True American patriot from Arkansas Oblast.
>>
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>>538367380
Shut up nigger
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>>538367422
we have ondapeendance day instead
>>
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torment ziggers
>>
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>don't you feel demooooooralized by my fsb media folder, hoh-ACK
>>
Historians will spend centuries studying how Americans brainwashed Ukrainians into hating and killing their own brothers
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>>538366801
I remember that. It's from 4 years ago. You retards spammed that shit like it meant something, then rusia got overrun in Kherson.
Got no new material since rusia isn't actually advancing meaningfully anywhere, it looks like. Sad.
>>
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>>538369054
>memeflag
No they won't
>>
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>>538367570
In reality you would just light them up, village and all, until it's just a giant crater with thousands of russnigger corpses.
I hope they do it. I hope monke actually commits suicide by attacking a NATO country (or any other country at this point).
This whole "We will strike them once, and then they will be scared and beg for peace from mighty rascha!!!" is EXACTLY why they are losing in Ukraine and will vanish as a national entity before 2026 is over. And yet they don't learn. Like a Dodo.
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>>538367422
Just a heads up, anti-americanism is now illegal in the US and considered equal to terrorism.
I'm just gonna forward your communist sentiments to the FBI and see what they make of it.
>>
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>>538369403
That skip
>>
>>538367484
>Lines are no longer that long
Ahahahahahaha.
>Lines are no longer 20+miles and instead just 19.5! glorious victory for masa rasha!
>>
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>>538367570
I get the feeling that if Russia attacked Poland, Kaliningrad would not be called Kaliningrad anymore.
>>
>>538369515
Make Kaliningrad Königsberg again!
>>
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>>538367798
>But these are just numbers. The important thing is TZD.
Based.
After all, it's fuck ups like this that show which one is the natural general. Whenever stuff like that happens in chug, the troons there start screeching about imaginary hohol haxxors and how only "known" bakers are allowed to bake.
But here, every retard can bake and nobody cares as long as it isn't an obvious troll bake.
>>
>>538366709
2.4 Million Ukrainians died in a failed attempt to keep the people of Novorossiya under their control. But the people of Novorossiya do not consent to being ruled by the Kiev regime. 2.4 Million Ukrainian soldiers died because they refused to take "no" for an answer.
>>
>>538367090
>Not to get too sentimental but the ones in /uhg/ especially still know good from evil and that home invaders deserve to die.
That's most of us, Anon. 72% of Republicans are pro-Ukraine, 76% of Democrats are pro-Ukraine. The news media just loves to paint Republicans as Putin-suckers because it goes right in with their attempts to paint us as Nazis, racists, stupid, etc.
>>
>>538369807
odd, Ukraine still exists while DPR got vassalized then subsumed into Russia
>>
>>538369000
Is he ok? Looks tired.
>>
>>538369951
>The news media just loves to paint Republicans as Putin-suckers
Only partially, the issue is that a ton of the most vocal retards subscribe to "new media" a la Cucker and other online subhumans, who literally are on the ruslim payroll and feed them russian slop.
>>
>>538369807
2 4 millon? It's 24 million
>>
>>538369807
2 more weeks
>>
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hello
why does the pol retarded mods dont increase thread limit like in /g/ ?
that feel when browsing pcbg and it limits at like 600
>>
Anons, redpill me on the labor market crisis in Moscow, Russia. Apparently, the unemployment rate is 0.18%, setting a new world record.
What does it even mean? Is Russia about to collapse?
>>
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>>538370161
everything is going as planned, comrade. carry on
>>
>the "totally real American patriots that support Russia" 1ptbids come crawling out on the 4th of July
Noticed.
>>
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Anons, redpill me on the frontline situation.
I've been saying for years this war is a stalemate. I've been insulted left and right, by both sides.
However, it seems to me this war is indeed a stalemate. Last month, both sides captured about the same amount of territory.
Anons, what are your predictions for the rest of the year? Who will gain more ground?
>>
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You cannot have unemployment if your country doesn't have fuel left for any industry
>>
>>538370529
Ya sure stalemate as in there’s a large no go zone where you simply die by drones. What’s important is what’s happening behind those lines. Something tells me you don’t care however
>>
>>538366899
are they retarded? why the fuck poland out off all the countries if scatvia is just right there
>>
>>538370684
How many vatnigs live in your lands?
>>
>>538370035
Yes, he's fine!!

https://files.catbox.moe/euqpno.mp4
he can confirm this with a foot
>>
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>>538366794
There is no such thing as an american zigger
>>
>>538370927
too many
>>
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>>538368884
she's so sexy.
>>
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So are the russoids going to launch a ground incursion of poland or what
>>
>>538371151
They have no fuel to even take more ukrainian land
>>
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>>538369807
>DRP troops
>>
>>538371040
Why don’t you guys kick them out lmao
>>
>>538371151
more likely gonna launch a drone into a powerplant or some railway node near Ukraine, then try to lie it was a redirection from Ukraine EMW systems
>>
>>538371421
>Warwick Davis
>Jerry Seinfeld
>Male_07
>>
>>538371556
Male_07 is a nike wearing spy
>>
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>>538366709
>picrel
>be Russians
what they really are
>>
Kill ziggers by replacing their blood with root beer when they're not looking
>>
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Remember when rusnigs had fuel to do stuff like this?
>>
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why is the lying?
>>
ever noticed that even russian pepes are fucking disgusting. why are they so shit. was is truely the oprichniks mindfucking them
>>
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how else can anyone explain this level of stupidity in both militarily and Civilly
>>
>>538371151
no its dumb bait to distract ukrainian forces and diminish support you dumb nigger
>>
Kill ziggers by throwing them into a pit full of man eating gazelles
>>
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I can see why you guys are always spamming polymarket here.
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>>538371990
Dedovshchina of course.
>>
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>>538369807
From a certain angle we can agree this is a defensive war on Russia's part :3
>>
>>538371151
The Russian will have to fight wars the same way they did pre-1850.
>>
>>538370529
>Anons, redpill me on the frontline situation.
Nothing is appearing to be set to meaningfully change this year, expect Konstantinovka will probably be captured in some months. Prior to EoY 2026, definitely.

It should be noted though, Konstantinovka is in a ditch in terms of local elevation. Similar to Bakhmut, actually. Meaning that post-capture RU forces will have to fight "up-and-out", which as we've seen (again, Bakhmut) is much harder than fighting "down-and-in" into it. A bit odd nobody on either side talks about that. Shit area to defend, and a shit area to stage an offense out of.
>>
>>538371454
that would be russophobic, we would ruin their lives by sending them back
>>
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>>538371990
they fight just like their video game counter parts
In large meat waves that are easily duped into Rope-a-dope style traps and wasted away with a fucking literal toy and grenade. Not only that, but Pootin is going to make Russians even dumber by bringing in inbred Dalit street shitters and Goat fuckers from the Arab world and niggers from Africa. All to create his real life Uruks
>>
>>538372339
Maybe. I'd agree beforehand that Konstankinovka would fall but with the recent fuel shortages we might see a reversal.
>>
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>>538372371
YOU ARE FUCKED MY FRIEND
>>
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>>538372541
>YOU ARE FUCKED MY FRIEND
>>
Been gone for a while what is benzin?
>>
>>538372612
eastoid for fuel i believe.
>>
>>538372541
Russia's options:
1. Seethe impotently.
2. Start a hot war with NATO and get stomped.
3. There's no third option.
>>
>>538371556
>What's the deal with Donbas?
>>
>>538372612
gasoline
>>
>>538372178
the gulaghomo shit is only the tip of this mount doom
>>
>>538372612
Fuel, of which Russian civilians have none anymore.
>>
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>>538372631
Does option one include vague threats of using nuclear weapons?
>>
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Gulaghomo is losing
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>>538369807
>2.4 Million
>>
Russia lost unironically.
>>
>>538372612
>>
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>>538372953
Yup.
>>
>>538372541
moscow also had information that ukraine would be easy and ukranians would welcome them with open arms
>>
>>538372743
they literally got themselves into a reverse medieval siege.....fucking amazing.
I mean what else can you call it, an Embargo? They've fucked themselves sideways and inside out. But not surprised
>>
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>>538373033
Russia is gay and weak, everybody knows this.
>>
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>>538372541
>memeflag
>vague impotent threat



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