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previous => >>538590762

Day 1,596 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>Su-35 shot down
>Strikes on Saratov and nizhneCUMsk refineries, Ufa pipeline infrastructure.
>9 more oil tankers blown up in the Azov sea
>meatwave of fuel tankers speeding to Crimea attacked - 8 tankers, 1 bulk carrier and 1 ferry hit
>russian occupation authorities in Crimea say they cannot specify timeline for restoring power supply
>It is pitch dark in large parts of Bilhorod after a Ukrainian missile strike. Locals are reporting power outages, an airport was also hit
>You are likely to be eaten by a grue.
>For the first time, an air raid alert was declared in Novosibirsk
>Omsk oil refinery, the second farthest major refinery to Ukraine (3000 km), the largest in russia and previously one of the only two untouched by Ukraine, has been hit by Ukrainian drones
>Yaroslavl' SNIFFS again
>Blackouts in Crimea and occupied South of Ukraine
>Massive ballistic chimpout on Kyiv, residential buildings damaged, current toll: 15 dead, 56 injured
>russian Mi-24 helicopter shot down by Malian rebels
>Strike on an industrial centre in Stavropol
>New strikes in Bilhorod and Pidorsburg
>Polish security sources and those close to Nawrocki claim to have been warned by the United States that russia is planning "armed provocations" ranging from simulated air raids causing air defence activations to drone attacks on key infrastructure facilities and a ground incursion of russian troops - The Telegraph

▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateEN
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
▶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: https://files.catbox.moe/19avc9.zip
>>
danetroon is gay
>>
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lmao, great pic. gas crisis status?
>>
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MONKE AHUYET HAAAAALP
>>
>>538599560
One step closer to the oxcart of shit of legend
>>
>https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/07/08/european-parliament-condemns-zelenskyy-for-naming-military-unit-after-upa-heroes
oopsie

The European Parliament on Wednesday approved an amendment that criticised Volodymyr Zelenskyy's decision to rename an elite Ukrainian military unit after the World War II-era Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA), a move that has sparked a diplomatic dispute with Poland.

>A large majority of MEPs voted in favor of the amendment, which expressed regret over the "recent unnecessary and unprovoked escalation" by the Ukrainian president, while recalling Poland's steadfast support for Ukraine in its fight against Russia's invasion.

>Wide support for condemnation in the Parliament
>The Parliament’s text expresses regret over what it calls “the disregard for Polish sensitivities and grief linked to the UPA’s estimated tens of thousands of victims and their families” in Zelenskyy’s decision.

yes you're absolutely f u c k e d. don't be mistaken
>>
>>538599633
>>538599604
>>
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why cant the russia export diesel and gas anymore lmao
>>
Man, I don't want to see dead horses
>>
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Less benzin, more belly
>>
busification.org

status 09.07.2026

7466 videos
past 12 months 3774 videos
>>
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Good evening all and TZD
>>
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>>538599560
Tatars must SNIFF
>>
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>>538599560
Thank you for the service bakkker!
>>
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>The southern front is showing initial signs of disintegration.

>According to Major Robert Madyar,
AFU drone campaigns have succeeded
in isolating numerous units and thereby consistently cutting them off from supply lines
with weapons, ammunition, fuel,
and foodstuffs to such an extent that some Russians are already openly contemplating
surrender.

>Madyar speaks of 15,000 to 20,000 Russian soldiers.
>>
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>>538599560
>Konstantinovka = Kupyansk
>Phantom Control
>>
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THE GREAT WALL OF UKRAINE
>>
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>>538599662
I CAN'T REFUEL
>>
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>>538599888
corrrrr im chekin those digits
>>
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>>538599839
BREAK OUT THE POPCORN, THE GAS CRISIS IS PAYING DIVIDENDS!
>>
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>>538599736
Those piss jugs have no freshness seal!
>>
>>538599560
This is AI right?
>>
>>538599888
>I CAN'T REFUEL
checkd kekd and sevd
>>
>Putin ordered the construction of “mini-refineries” to cope with fuel shortages

>Vladimir Putin supported the proposal of the Governor of the Trans-Baikal Territory, Alexander Osipov, to create a network of mini-oil refineries in Russia to increase supply on the domestic market. At a meeting with government members, Osipov said that large refineries are constantly under threat of attacks, and suggested considering the possibility of building a network of small plants. Putin supported the initiative.“The involvement of small and medium-sized businesses in this area is also in demand and is also encouraged. We will work even more intensively in this regard. Of course, you are absolutely right: the wider the network, the more difficult it is to cause damage to it,” he replied to the head of the Trans-Baikal Territory.

>The idea came against the backdrop of an acute fuel crisis caused by a series of Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries. According to Energy Intelligence estimates, in June, oil refining volumes in Russia decreased by 25% in annual terms - to 3.91 million barrels per day, which was the lowest level in more than 20 years. As a result, according to Reuters, gasoline production also fell by 25% - to 85 thousand tons per day, with summer demand of about 110 thousand tons.
>>
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>>538599936
Why is it every time I see a video of russians, they're never White. Always a mixture of churkas, chinks and nigger jeets?
>>
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>>538599977
yes kek
>>
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>>538599949
>i want to play a game babulya
>>
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>>538599983
>>538599936
Couldn't decide if this version was better, thanks though.

>>538600009
AAA STOP NOOOOTICING
Most of the whites fled or are fertilising fields in ukraine, the concept of white russia literally died during this war.
>>
>>538599560
Legal Licensed Corporations (LLC's) are legally beholden to shareholder profit margins above *ALL* else.

the shareholders provide capital, the LLC is legally required to return increased share price or dividends.

Above all other concerns.

Morality? Ethics? Survivability of the civilization?

Above all other concerns.

Why are they trying to reduce quality of product or service to profit shareholders?

Why are they exporting jobs to slave wage countries?

Why are they trying to import slaves to displace native workers?

Why are they trying to buy politicians to pass laws that allow them to profit off of increased misery of our civilizations people?

Why are they trying to enslave the whole fucking world?

LLC's aren't capitalism.... they are literally communism.

No one is at fault, except the workers.

the workers are the ones who bear the brunt ot bad communist decisions, through taxes.

Corporations should never have been granted personhood.

because you can't execute a corporation, and end their malfeasance.... their malfeasance just grows. like cancer.

all of your retirement accounts and 401k's are dependent upon being cancer upon your children.
>>
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>>538600009
Is this what's considered White in russia? Holy grim. It's actually a multiracial nigger nation.
>>
jewish corporate greed is strong in Denmark and the reason we opened borders for mass immigration in the 1970s
back then political correctness / woketards dictated that the term 'foreign workers' is offensive and be replaced with 'guest workers'

then came refugee waves in 1980s not entitled to asylum status, so they got approval as 'de facto refugees'. in practice they became additional workslaves with government subsidies

I know all about the jewbabble pilpul newspeak and the degeneration of this country, yes its rooted in greed and mr.Shekelberg wanting slaves.....
>>
>>538599839
Me personally? Love that man
Hero of the pro-TZD movement
>>
>>538600011
kek
>>
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>>538600009
>Why is it every time I see a video of russians, they're never White.
That's a really good question anon, really get the noggin joggin!
>>
>>538600010
I shouldn't have had to ask but 1% of me felt it could actually be real
>>
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>>538599713
>busification.org
Wanna see some real busification!
>>
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>>538600066
Why is every video I see from russia filled with shitskins? Also, gas crisis?
>>
>>538600006
Ah, another way for an oligarch to steal money and produce nothing to show for it.
Nice to see that nothing changes in russia when it comes to classic practices.
>>
>>538600122
faggot
>>
>>538599560
>NATO is losing to this
Major league zozzle
>>
Friendship with Valdimir has ended
Now Volodymir is my best friend
>>
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>>538600107
zizters? Why are russians bussifying if they have a population 5x Ukraine and are winning?
>>
>>538599633
Noo
>Sensitivities
Kek. Russian logistical status?
>>
I'm starting to suspect that they wouldn't even kill Putin even though they could because they want him to see how his Russia gets BTFO'd for the next couple for decades.
>>
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>>538600076
Madyar is SUPER, SUPER!
>>
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>>538599839
what a chadissimus
>>
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>>538600150
Rough day for you huh? Holy grim, gas crisis status though?
>>
>>538599848
>Ukraine refusing to acknowledge lost fortresses
>>
>>538600006
But... but the wider it is the harder it is to defend it too? Am I actually taking crazy pills here how the fuck is that a solution? Ukraine launch hundreds of drones a night.
>>
>>538600150
uh oh, don't get uppity now, tranny
>>
>>538600208
EU status?
>>
>>538599604
beat you to it bum boy
>>538600150
>>
>>538600235
Anon, this is just theater to make it look like they are fixing it, they aren't going to do shit
>>
>>538600265
your tight little boypussy status?
>>
>>538600009
The actually jeety looking ones, especially on-site at refineries, makes me think guest workers.
However, unspecified brown or especially asian-y features almost certainly means they're from within the country.
>>
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>>538599662
We need to strike Primorsk
>>
>>538600172
LOL. not enough Churkas for the meatgrinder.
>>
>>538600273
I know it's Russia and I shouldn't expect more but does no-one even have the balls to push back on that? Really? Putin's just like "we build more refineries then da da" and everyone just nods along?
God damn.
>>
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is everyone in the russia brown or something lmao
>>
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>>538600009
there are no white rusnigs even their palest ones look 20% eskimo and 10% mongol with chinky eyes KEK

pic related famous young mischling recruit, victim (and eventual enjoyer) of homosexual rape like so many in the cursed pidorlandia
>>
>>538600273
Man you retards really drink the jew kool -aid and think a country that has nuclear power plants and an orbital space platform cant reformat some destroyed steel pipes from some random drone strikes on some fuel storage sites
>>
>>538600053
based post. mass immigration is basically corporate welfare
outsourcing contributed as well a ton to the overall decline
>>
>>538600436
read more than one post you fucking idiot, it isn't a solution, because it makes defending them worse, retarded subhuman nigger
>>
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I just discovered an amazing businessplan that involves killing Ziggers.

Basically there's a gigantic inefficiency in drones that nobody seems to care about or realize. I plan to capitalize on that by pocketing the difference and providing a more economic TZD to Ukraine.

If you see a drone company pop up in Poland circa 2027 with a new extremely cheap ass drone design, let it be known that I am killing r*ssians for fun AND profit.
>>
Imagine supporting a country that cant pay its own bills like niggers kek
>>
>>538600498
Yeah, I don't understand how could anybody support russia either
>>
>>538600498
Imagine being a faggot like you.
>>
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>be russian
>get taped to a tree and beaten with a rubber hose
lmao
>>
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>>538600265
Great, they're funding 90 billion EU this year, isn't it fantastic? Now gas crisis status?
>>
>>538600436
Please explain how building more refineries will make it harder for ukraine to hit them.
I'm genuinely curious.

>>538600472
How's your butthole little man? Ready to get gaped?
>>
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Imagine waiting for days in a gas line, stressing yourself out, posting videos of yourself sobbing on social media, and getting into fistfights with alcoholic ziggers and benzin-lipped bimbos, when you can simply just stay home and grill.
>>
Total zigger death
>>
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>>538600576
vodkabots need a lot of tape
>>
>>538599560
Piggers, strike Yamal and it's infrastructure so there will be no going to "business as usual with russians" after the war.
>>
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there is no crisis, and also fix it blyat
>>
>>538600235
It's hilarious that they think they can build and distribute said refineries when they've got no fuel.
>>
>>538600757
They're gonna try to convert their vehicles to run on ethanol (if they are even able to produce potato at this point), probably since it's fuel also with methanol, and wonder why their soldiers go blind.
>>
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>>538600757
>>
>>538600493
Are you planning to build the plastic frame parts out of Semtex because I'm way ahead of you.....
>>
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>>538600840
If that doesn't work, theres always Holzgas
>>
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>>538600493
Sounds splendid
>>
>>538600840
ngl inducing a famine in the name of fuel sounds like an amazing plan
>>
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>>538600235
>>538600838
The AI goblins spat this out, assuming an absolute best case scenario of what it would take to replace their lost capacity (depending on conservative vs maximalist estimations of their output losses).
Assuming this is right, especially given parts shortages, continuing attacks, and the sheer number of refineries needed and time it would take, they are beyond fucked.
>>
>>538600371
>does no-one even have the balls to push back on that
Well, the situation is following:
There is a demended fuck sitting in a bunker with a lot of other peoples money.
He is willing to give you some of that money if you pay some lipservice to his ramblings.
He is not going to leave from bunker to check if you actually did anything you promised.
Will you push back? Do note that the demended fuck has a gun and will shoot you if you do.
>>
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>>538600421
This is a Russian, but from Buryatia. some Mongol shithole from the far east of Russia
And this what you called a "Churka"?

Also, this pissed the shit out of me, he was just fucking THIRTEEN year old when the war started
He's probably been killed by "experienced/battle harden" Ukrainian/Colombian soldier that fought way longer with better equipment and gears then him.
>>
>>538600235
If they did it properly, which I doubt they will, instead of having a low number large high value targets that can be taken out by a single strike they would have a high volume of medium or low value targets that would require more strikes to hit the same amount of production. Yes it would require significantly more resources to defend every site, but the loss of one small site would be comparatively low if they hypothetically had like hundreds or thousands of such small sites.

However, the fact that they're even discussing this sort of loss mitigation strategy is a tacit admission that Russian losses are unavoidable. And again, I don't actually believe Russia could adequately construct enough mini refineries to make up for the damage Ukraine has done and will continue to do, if Russia could even construct any mini refineries at all. Actually, I'm not familiar with oil technology so I don't even know if it's even possible for anyone to be scale down a refinery to the point where this style of decentralized production would be economical.
>>
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>>538601122
The snow nigerians must learn from the Nigerians.
>>
>>538601122
Watch them try to use vodka distilleries to get benzin from crude.
>>
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>>538599627
It's the dinosaur of consequences.
>>
>>538600576
These aren't Russians, Russians are blonde
>>
You know you can make gasoline from [REDACTED]
>>
>>538601372
right?
>>
Just put vodka in your tank.
>>
>>538601190
your thirdie schizopost is too incomprehensible for anyone to figure out

if you think anyone is going to cry over lil chinky eye mongoloid retard in your pic you're out of your mind

churka is what the rusnigs call their own muslim overlords from the caucasus after they are raped by them
>>
>>538599662
Eh. Stupid AI told me rusia would not run out of diesel this year since they produced double the amount of their own domestic consumption before the war. Meaning they can cut all exports and have enough for many of their farm equipment.
But I guess the LLM forgot to adjust for the rampant corruption in poccnr and the fact that most diesel was only ever produced on paper to placate monke.
>>
>>538601412
Vodka is gone
>>
>>538601140
You've got it dead to rights, of course, there are just times when it's challenging to even believe.

>>538601212
>Actually, I'm not familiar with oil technology so I don't even know if it's even possible for anyone to be scale down a refinery to the point where this style of decentralized production would be economical.
Y'know it's funny, I have a background in that sort of industrial engineering and I hadn't even gotten to the point of considering that because just the basic point of it didn't really seem valid.
I don't know what the actual proportion of strikes to damage is, but I do know that many of the oil refineries we've seen hits on have taken multiple strikes either at the same time or over a longer period. So I don't wanna say I think you're completely off-base but I also think the strikes could be reasonably distributed barring some truly far-fetched numbers of oil refineries. Thanks for trying to explain it at least, I really was at a loss to even imagine how it could ever work.
>>
>>538600915
No but using rigid shells out of explosive material is a fun idea that I might consider for the drone+ models if the base concept works.
Better patent it.
>>
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>>538599762
I honestly can't even keep up with the refinery bombings anymore. Each day I come on here 3 to 5 more in unpronounceable names have been bombed and it all kinda just blurs together.
I love it though.
>>
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>>538601302
I once bought a car that I found out later was a flex fuel car (could run on E85 and below). Seemed kinda neat, but I never filled it with that since E85 wasn't even sold in my part of the US, being mainly sold in the Midwest where all the corn is grown.
It makes me wonder how useful a car like that would be in Russia right about now. Maybe with a car like that, if someone is really careful they can cut their gasoline ration with rectified spirits.
>>
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>>538601321
>Russians are blonde
doubt
>>
>>538599839
It's the finish pocketing and defeat-in-detail strategy, coupled with drone tech.
Terrible news for russnigeria all around today. But I guess they can bomb some commieblocks in Kyiv some more and pretend they're not knee-deep into a catastrophic spiral already.
>>
>>538601429
>if you think anyone is going to cry over lil chinky eye mongoloid retard in your pic you're out of your mind

Well at least they got a bag of cheetos for their worth
>>
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AAAAAAHHH MONKE AHUYET
>>
>>538600006
AHAHAHAHAHAHA
Literally Maoist backyard iron furnaces. russniggers will now begin their own long march.
>>
>>538599839
I'll actually blow my load if before konstantinovka there's some kind of mass surrender that turns it around. God I saved so many cope posts from Ziggers claiming it'd be any day now.
>>
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>>538601784
>>
Iran spamming missiles again.
I wonder where monke thinks he's going to get diesel and petrol now.
>>
>>538601412
>be Russian
>buy vodka for fueling your automocarski
>decide “fuck it, one shot for the road”
>pretty soon all vodka is gone and you are drunk in your driveway
>rinse and repeat every day so that approximately 0 drops of vodka go in your car
>>
>>538601812
>Maoist backyard iron furnaces
Elite ball knowledge
>>
>>538601479
>Y'know it's funny, I have a background in that sort of industrial engineering and I hadn't even gotten to the point of considering that because just the basic point of it didn't really seem valid.
You're not really wrong. No one in this thread who's serious thinks they can do it. If you have a background in engineering then it makes sense that you would just dismiss something so impractical as a motivating factor.

>I really was at a loss to even imagine how it could ever work.
I think the problem was your initial framing. You were looking at it as like, how does it prevent Russian losses, but the actual point of it is that they admit Russia will face some amount of unpreventable loss. Now they're looking at strategies where one successful Ukranian strike only deals an amount of damage they can safely absorb, as opposed to one strike taking out like 4% of their entire economy or whatever each of these major refineries are currently worth. Other anons have claimed, and I'm willing to believe, that strikes against these refineries will take them down for months if Russia even has the capability to bring them back online at all.
>>
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>We will help Ukraine strike deep into Russia so that it can end the war, stated Secretary of State Rubio.
BUT ANCHORAGE
>>
>>538602046
True, true. I suppose it additionally mitigates the fire risk. A lot of larger industrial sites like this wind up basically being the same 'template' copied multiple times in a cluster with the only differences being to suit the terrain, so even if the initial strike doesn't completely shut down one location there's always the risk of fires spreading to cripple more lines. Now that I've started thinking about the industrial side of things I can sit here all day and explain why decentralisation like that is rare and usually a bad idea but I think you've hit the nail on the head, it's just a desperate "well if we build enough we can't lose them all" situation.
>>
>>538602046
>if Russia even has the capability to bring them back online at all.
We seem to be far beyond these possibilities.
I remember reading about peak oil like 25 years ago.
It's amazing how fast life falls apart without fuel. It's everything failing, all at once.
Russia is not coming back from this.
There is zero chance of Russia importing probably even enough for subsistence emergency needs.
Nobody has any spare.
This shit is going to get real fucking serious, real fucking quick.
>>
>>538600006
Well, refineries can be built anywhere, even underground.
They can be built in trucks and trains, after all.
But oil mining equipment and oil pipelines are stationery.
>>
>>538602294
Tomohawks?
>>
>>538600493
At this point you can just tie some bombs to helium party balloons and send them over to rusia. They still wouldn't be able to shoot them down.
>>
Fuel comes from the ground so all we have to do is start digging holes duh
>>
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>>538602911
hope the cheetos don't run out
>>
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>>538602442
They're workin on it kek
>>
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>>538603009
Worth it 100%
>>
>>538602294
Rubio is a cuck, but he hates russniggers for what they did to Cuba.
>>
>>538603493
>what they did to Cuba.
What did Russians do to Cuba? I'm all ears, anon.
>>
>>538599560

Is this really what the oinkraine, with NATO and Europe's full support is losing to?
>>
>>538601110
Would you put it beyond them?

>>538601015
As if they'd be able to. One drone to the kettle and it's over.
>>
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>everyone emptied out of /uhg/ to go fuck with coconigger back in /PiG/gy
kek, I should do the same, coconigger is much more entertaining shill than the braindead danetroon
>>
Lmao. Coconigger trying to own /pig/ again.
I'm about to fuck his shit up royally.
>>
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>>538599560
>>
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>>538600522
I guess denying reality like this shitskin poster is the only way to do it
>>
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>>538604045
>>
Suddenly, the dishonest nigger has nothing to say lmao
>>
>>538599814
>Thank you for the service bakkker!
>he does it for free
>>
>>538603985
>>538604002
Is the monkey smearing his shit all over a thread again?
>>
>>538599814
Big titty goth girls (and Santa Claus for some reason)
>>
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>>538604614
If he starts kwetching, hit him with pozzian news about harvests.
>>
>>538604925
source:https://mercora.ru/news/urozhay-grechki-v-altae-upadet-na-2026-07-08
>>
>>538600006
>>538601812
>backyard iron furnaces
Fuck, that's exactly what I was going to comment. The stupid Chinkommies were destroying goddamn near everything they had -- tractors, plows, cars, anything metal they could find -- to turn it into shitty pig iron in their backyard forges, just to make Mao happy.

The only funnier thing was when they murdered ALL THE BIRDS because Mao saw one pecking at some spilled grain, and then they spent a few years starving because of the insect population explosion.
>>
do you recognize this voice?
https://files.catbox.moe/ndt15g.mp4
>>
>>538600056
No, there are actual white Russians. The Mongolian rape babies are usually called by their tribe -- Tuvans, a few dozen others I can't think of offhand and Google is being a dick right now. They mock Söygoo as a "reindeer herder". I forget whether "churka" is a slur toward them or if that's specific to the Dagestanis/Chechens.

There's a Russian recruiting video that gets posted here occasionally that has probably close to 20 different Russian-Asian "ethnics" stating their tribal affiliation and then saying they're all part of Russia or something. Wish I had it marked in my saved folder.
>>
>>538600076
>Love that man
You forgot to add "no homo". >.<
>>
>>538604925
>>538604976
>>538604614
>>538604002
>>538603320
>>538603314
>>538603009

Have you trannies read Zaloozknee's article yet?

The article where he describes how ukraine is losing, and that for ukraine to win, NATO has to engage in a full scale, great power war with Russia.

No one thinks ukraine is worth it.
>>
>>538600436
>and an orbital space platform
Really? Where?? Can we see it?
>>
>>538605555
>great power war with Russia.
śłaboruś is not a great power.
>>
>>538605560
>Can we see it?

do you support ukraine?
>>
27:1
>>
>>538600006
>oil refining volumes in Russia decreased by 25% in annual terms - to 3.91 million barrels per day, which was the lowest level in more than 20 years. As a result, according to Reuters, gasoline production also fell by 25% - to 85 thousand tons per day, with summer demand of about 110 thousand tons
the three-day operation continues with Russia getting nuked back to the Yeltsin era
kecque, lel even



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