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>>538682926

Day: 1007 of the Israeli 2-day "Limited Military Offensive" ® in Lebanon
Day: 132 of the American 4-day "Swift Regime Change" © in Iran

▶RECENT
>Sources in Iran claim the destruction of multiple backward US command centers this week
>IRGC possibly massing at the border of Iraqi kurdistan
>Gulfies bomb Iran
>Tгump at NATO Summit: "We had 111 missiles shot by Islamic Republic of Japan" (The Independent)
>USN 5th fleet base on fire
>Reports of Iranian attacks on Qatar, Kuwait, and Bahrain
>Reports of Iranian bridge near Capsian Sea hit
>Both Iran and USA have declared the MoU to be "over"
>Iranian media: Killing of 8 soldiers from the Iranian army in American attacks
>Tгump: I'll probably hit them hard again tonight. I'm giving them a warning.

▶WARNING:
>Do not trust any "happenings" or Tгump posts without link/proof
>Uкraine / Яussia discussions belong in uнg or cнug
>Do not engage with off-topic Hasbara blogposters

▶History of the 2026 War:
>The 14-day Ceasefire™ with Iran was "extended indefinitely" unilaterally by the USA, and lasted 72 days.
>The 10-day Ceasefire™ with Lebanon was later extended and lasted 67 days. Israeli attacks continued despite ceasefire.
>The "second phase of the war" Operation Project Freedom©, lasted 1 day. Before it was "paused" by the USA, for 47 days.

▶Oil Price:
https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/

▶Iranian News
https://rentry.org/irnews

▶Telegram Channels:
https://rentry.org/tgnews

▶Israel Rocket Alerts:
https://www.tzevaadom.co.il/en/

▶Live Lebanon attack map
https://lebanon.liveuamap.com/

▶Air Traffic:
https://www.flightradar24.com/
https://flightaware.com/live
https://globe.adsbexchange.com/

▶Maritime Traffic
https://www.marinetraffic.com/
https://www.vesselfinder.com/
>>
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Growing up

is realizing "the good guys" lost a long time ago.
>>
sik dir git, danke fürs backen
>>
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Israelis are extremely upset the F-22s have been withdrawn from the region.
>>
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Iran seems intent on keeping the traffic at around 1/3 of prewar average
>>
>>538694476
honest signal that the US no longer plans to bomb the interior of iran
>>
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>>538694448
~80 years isn't that long ago
>>
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it's probably the same as last time where they are talking through mediators but technically they arent directly talking to the us
>>
>>538694476
It should be noted that some Israelis are holding out hope that this is a diversion tactic to lull Iran into a false sense of security.
>>
>>538694574
marandi means who requested it, the US probably
>>
So, can Iran shove an ICBM on Trump now? C'mon don't leave mainland USA out of the firing lines.
>>
>>538694521
Realistically how many of those tankers that actually did cross are Iranian-aligned and heading towards China?
>>
If I don't see Iran strike once in an offensive manner that surprises the US then this war is truly fucked. You can't just keep letting the US have the first strike, prepare for the Iranian retaliation and then hit them. Trump is more than happy continuing like this.
>>
>>538694616
>It should be noted that some Israelis are holding out hope that this is a diversion tactic to lull Iran into a false sense of security.
didnt something similar happen back in june of last year during the midnight hammer attack? where they pulled back B-2s but then flew in from a different route
>>
>>538694666
ah yeah you are right, probably referring to that
>>
>>538694668
They don't have that capability unfortunately, but maybe mossad will decide he's no longer of any use and do the needful
>>
>>538694459
Constantinople fell 500 years ago
>>
>>538694708
Imagine if Iran actually comitted to supporting Gaza back in 2023 when they caught the Israelis and US with their pants down. Maximum escalation would've defeated us easily.
>>
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>>
>>538694525
They don't want to risk any more loss of izzat by their stealth meme planes being shot down. There is a reason burgers are only sending reapers and using whatever jizzmas long range shits
>>
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>>538694769
>caught the Israelis and US with their pants down
>>
>>538694748
They should be able to if they convert some of their satellite rockets into ICBMs, no idea how difficult it would be, but it can't be THAT bad.
>>
>>538694307
>from here austrians looks like bavarians
Is that good or bad? I have found Bavarians to be the friendliest amongst you (besides the new Germans that is)

>>538694421
>Do these mega corps just reduce everyone down to a number and draw a linear regression line out of their ass to make these predictions?
Pretty much, yes. You would be surprised how even mega financial institutions "refined" model's rely on precedent and vibes (due to a mix of pure corpo inertia, accidental perverse incentives and the byzantine bureaucracy one has to deal with just to make models more accurate; "ain't nobody got time for that I won't be here anyway in a year or two")
>>
>>538694710
the US flew from the mainland instead of from diego garcia if I remember correctly

can go either way
>>
>>538694525
don't fall for it, you're smarter than that
>>
>>538694749
Meant for
>>538694459
>>
>>538694687
To china and china aligned countries? Like 80%. China alone took more than 60% of it.
>>
>>538694769
In all likelihood October 7th was a Mossad-Hamas planned operation which Iran was not ready for and wasn't informed by Hamas.
>>
>>538694666
Meanwhile, the US has a carrier the closest it's ever been to the Iranian coast, well within range of some Iranian missiles. Like I said in the other thread, the US is escalating (moving ships closer to Iran and reinstating sanctions on Iranian oil) while Iran is de-escalating (vagueposting only, even if you don't believe they've requested new talks).
>>
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>>538694749
Sad.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B10ECkQXQtU
>>
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>>538694346
>>
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Posting lore accurate DJT pictures until Iran collapses
Day #1
>>
>>538694808
Probably. The US not using the closing market to strike seems unlikely.

Not trusting talks of negotiations.
>>
>>538694948
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xKOxIcfuzx0&list=RDxKOxIcfuzx0&start_radio=1
>>
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Iran is fucking pathetic
>>
>>538694901
the US requested the talks through a proxy, the entire game of the US is escalation management followed by sucker punch strikes
>>
>>538694521
Like I said a few threads ago, the number of tankers crossing is bottlenecked at precisely the number needed to induce oil production shut ins across the Gulf.

So even if the US suddenly withdraws and accepts Iran's management of the strait, Iran is still going to curtail the number of crossing tankers for the foreseeable future until considerable domestic pain is inflicted on the US and the West at large, while only allowing oil to reach its allies in the East.

That's why the US NEEDS to have the strait go back to pre-war status quo (logistically impossible to enforce for the US) or Donnie gets tied to a millstone and thrown down his reflecting pool once the SPR and other domestic energy inventories in the US run out.

In an alternative twist, I speculate that China may start supplying the US with their own strategic reserves once the SPR runs dangerously low. This obviously won't happen for free and China will use this favor to try and capture US institutions, although this more of a long-term thing.
>>
>>538694834
Any country that can put sats in space can also launch a rocket towards anywhere on the planet. The problem is that those shits are relatively slow and their trajectory is quite visible and relatively predictable.
If iran does this then this will 100% trigger nuke attack warnings even if the rocket is not carrying a nuke and thus would escalate things into a nuclear war.
There is a reason why nato is so fucking scared of the russian chesnut hypersonic mirv. That thing is effectively a hypersonic icbm that is hard to detect and the only moment they can actually detect it when it's climbing and only the initial parts, after that it's too fast and since it spreads then it's a problem to track down.
>>
Apparently, US military think that they bombed enough targets in 2-3 days; some IGRC bases, boats, nuclear power plant, oil train bridge to China etc and now they are going back to OIL SIEGE, which is Pentagon's Persian Gulf strategy, and it is distinct from Israel's strategy and Trump's no strategy. OIL SIEGE does not need coordination with Israel and it is consistent with the clear plan of cutting oil to China.

F22s have been pulled to UK; air attack phase of the war will reduce.

What we do not know is what is happening with ground attack plans, if anything?

Alternatively, both sides will wait, in full constipation mode, until global economy collapses (US will collapse less).
>>
>>538695031
>it was real in my head
>>
>>538695090
The nuclear power plant wasn't bombed just the air defense surrounding it
>>
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probably sabotage
>>
>>538694448
And realizing that we can never really win against them, it is futile. We are living in the worst timeline.
>>
>>538695062
So why does Iran keep falling for it? This must be, what, the fourth time?
>>
Jews have so much dirt on Trump and Trump is so much into Zionism that he's indirectly telling Jews to kill him and blame Iran for total war.
They also moved their navy ships close to Iran for "Gulf of Tonkin" type false flag.
Long the oil.
>>
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OilX estimates that Middle Eastern production remains down 7.1MM Bbl/d from pre-war levels. SPR releases and a Chinese buying strike have masked this production collapse...until now, as each of these headwinds are soon ending. What happens if inbound traffic does not recover???
>>
>>538695090
you think that the US thinks that
a) Iran got the message that they have to give up the strait (only reasonable if some backroom deal happened)
or
b) That Iran can no longer stop ships (false assumption by the US)
and that this is why the US withdrew the F-22?
>>
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>>538695237
>TWOOOOO WEEEEEEKS
You're as pathetic as little Iran is, T*rk.
>>
>>538695090
Burgers most likely will try to use whatever is left of the kurdniggers and whatever they managed to cook on turkekistan to try to split Iran's attention while trying to open the strait. Which will fail because the burgers can only fail miserably in everything they do eventually, specially because they have tried for decades to use the proxy approach and failed every single fucking time.
Burgers can only try to continue operation saving face ad infinitum nunbers until the oil reserves run out of the orange bitch dies from either a jewish cum over dose or from the weight of the L he refuces to accept yet he carries anyways.
>>
>>538695175
As i said, amerinigger are burning whatever remains of their glowies and terrorist proxies in the area to try to weaken iran. Something they tried for decades and failed in the end anyways
>>
>MoU is officially dead
>US will never get Iran's enriched uranium
>US will now have to permanently guard the strait from Iranian attacks
Just another American forever war in the Middle East
>>
>>538695083
Considering that other countries have said they'd retaliate nuclearly if the US used nukes against Iran, while everyone acknowledges Iran has no nukes it sounds like a win-win regardless of how the US responds. As striking the mainland USA is fair game in their defensive war.
>>
>>538695073
Like DUH this is so obviously true.

Coping Irannys like Mench keep saying that all the US needs to do is surrender then Iran is totally definitely going to open the strait. What kind of tards are actually believe that.
>>
>>538694834
There's no real benefit when they can hit israel totally conventionally
>>
>>538694476
Irannys are too scared to scramble their jets to defend their airspace.
>>
nth for weeb jihad
>>
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Trump and Zelensky looked very happy during the NATO summit in Ankara
>>
>>538695462
There is no coming back from that tho and nothing will be the same. There is a reason why nobody has ever tried to risk that and why it's a big nono for every nuclear power.
The only ones that dared to do something close was russia with their chestnut and just because it's "technically" not an intercontinental and thus skims the "legality" and "morality" of such attack on the hyhyls.
>>
>>538695535
The benefit is hitting Trump.
>>
>>538695497
fact is the strait opened every time the US and Israel stopped attacking
>>
>>538695587
Trump has been more energetic lately, I think they upped his meth dose.
>>
>>538694785
They will only get waivers and they will like it. Maybe don't fire at civilian ships if you want to keep your trade unsanctioned. It's fucking simple.
>>
>>538695458
feel great knowing we're using up our SPR for this too
https://www.spr.doe.gov/dir/dir.html
>>
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Can you even get jews out of power in america ever? It's literally the only path to world peace but everyone who has tried was swiftly assassinated.
>>
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Need moar tankers hit by IRGC.
>>
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After making passionate speeches about how NATO would defend every inch of its territory from Russia, Mark Rutte is reluctant to discuss the defence of Turkey in a conflict with Syria or Israel - "let me not eehhhh speculate on that
>>
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>>538695177
Stop being a doomer the goyim know and the future is bright. We’re 100 light years closer to victory than we were just 3 years ago. Cheer up and step up
>>
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>>538694970
mashallah
>>
>>538695175
I looked it up and I think that specific facility makes shit like solvents and octane enhancers.
So I could be inclined to believe sabotage or even an honest accident since there's been no airstrikes reported with it
>>
>>538695458
>Just another American forever war in the Middle East
It's amazing seeing the consistent deterioration of burger goals for this special military operation, lmao.
>we want to free the Iranian people from the Regime™ (failed)
>uhm, actually, we just want to obliterate Iran's air force (failed)
>uhm, actually, we just want to obliterate Iran's navy (failed)
>uhm, actually, we just want to obliterate Iran's missile program (failed)
>uhm, actually, we just want to extract concessions for future negotiations (failed)
>uhm, actually, we just want to get the uranium out of Iran (failed)
>uhm, actually, we just wanted to open Hormuz (failed)
>uhm... you lost tranny

At least Putin was pretty consistent after 2022 that he just wanted to free the 4 people's republics and that was it.
>>
>>538695681
The orange bitch is but a puppet that speaks on its own. Nothing else.
The fool can die at any moment because how fat and old he is. He talks much but he's not the actual issue.
A real target would be pissrael.
>>
>>538695751
the brown commie racial coalition is diminishing their power somewhat
it started out with new york city being 20% jewish last century at one point

then they used organized crime to get ahead and really never stopped operating like a tribal mafia
>>
>>538694521
>>538694687
75% of tankers that have left have gone to China, people use the total vessel traffic instead of focusing on tanker traffic, prewar tanker traffic was around 20 a day, this is the only number that matters and so far the tanker traffic is around prewar levels and even exceeding it at times, Saudi Arabia is selling their oil at a discount to Asia as China still has kept imports low, oil exporters are even doing ship-to-ship tranfers outside the strait near the US corridor which is saving nations on shipping related costs
>>
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>>538695751
Only through world wide shoah, which may actually happen because the world is too interconnected right now for good or bad and the entire world knows how the jews act thanks to it. Back in the day they could just escape to another country they have not hit with kikery before and would try to buy their way out into pity and shit.
Now they are right in the spotlight and literally their best bet is to flee to Patagonia and hope they can blend enough with the big nose argentinians because that's the only place in the world a juden can pass as a local
>>
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>>538694948
>>538695031
>sabaton
>>
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>>538695690
This but unironically. They legit have him on anti depressants and they just kicked in. Few weeks ago he was a husk of his former self and no matter what time of day or what the occasion was he was obviously clinically depressed and broken

They probably have the old fart on modafinil
>>
>>538695177
The truth always prevails in the end.
>>
>>538695790
That faggot should have said no just humiliate erdog
>>
>>538695790
Kike brain shortcircuit... LOL
>>
>>538695858
Yeah, but it would be a rightful payback for the ayatollah
>>
>>538695962
>this is the only number that matters and so far the tanker traffic is around prewar levels and even exceeding it at times
what about inbound traffic though? as far as i know, there havent been many empty tankers entering the strait over the past few months
>>
>>538696033
that's because everyone was mad at him on his birthday
>>
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The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is now ~19MM barrels away from estimated minimum operating levels. There very soon will no longer be a safety buffer to protect the world from further losses out of the Strait.
>>
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>>538696020
no
>>
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Coolest outfit of the funeral goes to the fellow left of the Georgian.
>>
>>538696225
Yes even his birthday he looked under enormous pressure. Maybe it’s because he’s a narc and has the memory of a goldfish when it comes to personal fuckups but it can’t be denied he has an extra pep in his step lately.
>>
>>538696306
unluckiest male pattern baldness goes to the man on the right of him
>>
>>538696132
Not quite. People actually liked the ayatollah and mourned him. People would celebrate the orange bitch croaking.
I don't think the entire west has anyone that would be equivalent that could be a payback target. Best that can be done as payback is to crash actually what the ameriniggers worship, their own made up fake economy, which is happening with the strait operating at these levels and all of the oil going to china effectively while china resells it in yuan. In truth this is not only emptying the burger oil reserves but is also crippling their economy through the killing of the petroshekels, the rise of the petroyuans, the countries dropping hundreds of billions of dollars to stabilize their markets and the burgers also shooting themselves in the dick manipulating the market in an attempt to make it look as if things aren't totally shit.
>>
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>>538696304
yes
>>
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>>538696012
>>538695960
They have too much on us though...
>>
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they really cant handle iran cucking them out of the omani corridor
>>
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>>538696563
>>
>>538696610
complex systems are inherently more fragile and it is all built on rotten credit
>>
— / NEW: The next round of U.S.-Iran negotiations will be held next week in Switzerland, according to (((Axios)))
>>
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>>538695760
I need a migger ship labeled as "uss liberty" getting hit with the awards.
>posting my lewdist vtubers to get it done
>>
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>>538696610
This 'war' is about Iran not having a rothschild bank aka not being under control of international jewry
>>
>>538696767
this is just to push the oil down before the market closes after which the strikes come?

not trusting this bullshit
>>
I wonder if the blockade is actually in the plans or if it's just supposed to be a warning for now
>>
>>538696689
>iran keeps breaking the basic rules
what rules? US tore up the sanctions waiver and israel refuses to leave lebanon, there are no rules that Iran is obligated to follow
>>
>>538696483
The miggers worship him enough, probably than the their own country at this point, so for the people who support what Trump did, this would be some good payback.
>>
>>538696844
not giving a concrete date or location makes it obvious
>>
>>538694346
>the way of the samurai is in desperateness
>>
>>538696844
— Iran’s Fars News Agency has denied reports that new Iran–U.S. negotiations are scheduled for next week.

Still I would consider the fact that Aragchi, Cuckzeshkian and Cuckbilaf are desperately pushing for negotiations. This has already happened before. Not like these negotiations will amount to anything
>>
>>538696844
The US is once again attempting to bait Iran into hitting a ship, they won't strike until Iran does that. This same gay song and dance will keep happening until the US runs out of oil and goes bankrupt since no amount of strikes will force Iran to give up the strait.
>>
>>538696992
Iran constantly lies or at least obfuscates their diplomatic efforts and meetings.

The US however always talks peace before markets close then bombs.

Between the two the second one is more reliable.
>>
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>>538696844
>>538696937
iran will attend to these talks. but don't worry because they wont be in the same room, it wont count.
>>
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>>538696992
>>
>>538697146
I trust the peace happy talk once the markets are closed for 12 hours.
>>
>>538697146
whether they attend the talks or not, ultimately doesnt change the fact they are keeping the southern corridor shut and the US is not going to talk itself out of this situation. escalation is inevitable
>>
>>538696992
to be fair Fars is also fake and gay, just like axios. is there a single media outlet that has not been fake and gay this entire conflict?
It would make sense for Iran to deny any negotiations to save face at home, since a lot of their population is in full death to trump mode since the funeral began and would riot if Iran told them they wanted a deal

More than likely though this is just another round of indirect talks through Pakistan mediators that will once again go nowhere because neither side wants to offer any sort of concessions and the US tore up its only concession, meaning offering sanctions relief is worthless to Iran.
>>
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>>538694564
I guess so

>>538695177
>>538695820
>>538696062
jews are hated by normalfags more than they have ever been since the world wars
things could turn around but we need to bring the gold standard back and take our money away from central banks first
>>
>>538697286
>is there a single media outlet that has not been fake and gay this entire conflict?
It's a war dude. There is no media, only propaganda.
>>
>Exclusive to Israeli Channel Kan:
>The United States has asked Israel not to carry out exceptional operations in southern Lebanon, and accordingly: the political level has frozen all sensitive operations in southern Lebanon.
>The directive to the Israeli army continues until further notice, and until it becomes clear where the current escalation between the United States and Iran and the negotiations between Israel and Lebanon are heading.
>The Americans, who have been preoccupied in recent days with their escalation with Iran, have expressed their fear in recent days that Israel will be drawn into the battle.
>>
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What happens in four, five years, if Israel simply doesn’t accept it? If it decides no regional solution, no two-state, no process—then what? “Everybody who’s under 30—support for Israel is in the low 20s, high teens.” “They’re only getting older, they’re not getting younger. They are going to be the most dominant factor in politics.” There is a generation, he says, that grew up with 1967 as the benchmark metaphor. “There is a generation that’s going to grow up with Gaza. That’s a fact.”

Then his tone shifts from salesman to prosecutor. “You think this is going to last another 22 years?” He doesn’t wait for an answer. The diplomatic route was tried and failed. The military route—the one Israel chose, the one four American presidents were asked to greenlight and refused, until one finally said yes—has also, in his accounting, failed. “You finally got what you wanted,” he says. “Now you’re weaker, they’re stronger.”

“You have a strengthened, confident Iran. Which you did not have before.” Before October 7, Iran was a regime hemorrhaging legitimacy from within. Now it is standing. “Iran never knew that they could take a punch from Israel and the United States. Now they’re standing,” telling every Gulf state the same thing: “We’re still alive. Not only are we alive, we own you. We told you they couldn’t protect you.”

“This is why I oppose what President Trump is doing,” he says. “You have taken our allies and you’ve thrown them away.” Allies, he adds, are “a force multiplier”—America is bigger and stronger for having them, and Trump has left the country alone. Trump has treated Israel not as a partner but as a possession, he claims. “You’ve got a president of the United States—saying, ‘I own Bibi, he’ll do what I want.’ No Democratic president has ever said that about a prime minister.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n8QMh9PZbiw
>>
>>538697390
>america has gone full good goy mode and successfully decoupled israel from the conflict so goycattle will eat all the bombs
Iran really needs to stop falling for this and just start hitting israel whenever trump chimps out. They treat Israel and the US one in the same in the MoU, why are they not doing the same when it comes to retaliatory strikes?
>>
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>>538696780
>>
>>538697488
so dahya stays off limits I guess
>>
>>538697415
Rahm Emanuel: Israel is a pariah, US alliance can't survive

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbTkgW1Idec

Israelis live in a bubble, Rahm Emanuel is popping it
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>>538694525
This withdrawal happened before the war kicked off btw, they are just moving their highest value assets out of range of iranian missiles. This is more likely pointing to an escalation.
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>>538697700
I tend towards escalation too. All this happy talk right now shortly before the markets close smell of sucker punch lay up.
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>>538696689
>a carrot in one hand a stick in the other
This is truthful, but the goal is and has always been to beat Iran to death with the stick. The carrot only ever serves as bait.
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>>538696215
Mainly Chinese tankers going through the strait but tankers are doing ship-to-ship transfers in the Gulf of Oman, this is now the preferred method as it eliminates risks for the importers tankers and reduces insurance and shipping costs
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>>538697689
rahm emanuel never tells you the crimes israel committed only how israel missed out of profit
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>>538697804
If traffic is back to prewar levels, or potentially even higher as you claim, then how do you explain the SPR still drawing down?
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>>538697758
I'm still not sure what the point of sucker punches are, Iran isn't letting their guard down while the US remains in the region, and they aren't taking their launchers out of the mountain bases until they are ready to fire. You won't catch them off guard like on day one of the conflict any longer.
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>>538697488
>why are they not doing the same when it comes to retaliatory strikes?
Because more than half of all the US' air defense missiles from Asia and Europe are now in Israel, so any attack on Israel would fail and show Iran to be weak.
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>>538696838
pretty sure they are aware of that
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>>538697958
sucker punch, escalation manage, lock in gains, repeat cycle
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>>538697488
I think trump genuinely doesn't want israel in the war at this stage because they're a terrible ally that doesn't listen to the US. trump is scared of escalation and only wants low level bombing of military targets around the strait and iran seems happy to oblige them, if israel gets involved everyone knows they'll chimpout and strike the oil facilities and desalination plants resulting in iran hitting israeli/gulfie oil and desalination plants in return. Iran is also probably fine with israel staying out for now because the US poured assloads of resources into bolstering israel's defenses, and if they're not involved that means all that air defense is sitting around doing nothing while Iran focuses on the US forces around the gulf.
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>>538697972
They failed during the early days of the war too, until Israel ran out of interceptors and they were getting through. Once Iran goes through Israel's current batch of interceptors there won't be any more places to pull from to refill them, and Iran can make missiles exponentially faster than Israel can restock interceptors
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>>538697183
Exactly. It's a war so both sides lie. Obviously fars can't present to its domestic population negotiations cuckoldry, and trump can't go full war mode everywhere because he's a coward, and he's seriously worried this will be the last straw that breaks the stock market.
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>>538698044
what gains have been locked in though? the SPR is still draining lower with every passing week, and hormuz traffic pretty much stops whenever the US chimps out.
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>>538697390
In other words: More good cop bad cop deception
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>>538698052
>I think trump genuinely doesn't want israel in the war at this stage
it is because the US can't protect israel from iranian strikes, their viability is threatened should this continue
iran took down their biggest refinery and who knows what else
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So now that the dust was settled, was Trump's decision to strike Iran the dumbest military blunder of all time, only matched by Hitler's decision to invade Russia before they finished off the UK?
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>>538698168
this time the US miscalculated, should they manage to reset the strait they would book it as an unvarnished good (dead ayatollah)
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>>538698239
>So now that the dust was settled, was Trump's decision to strike Iran the dumbest military blunder of all time
israel hit first anon
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>>538697895
It's to help keep the market stable and prices low, they announced a 170 million barrel drawn down and have only done a little over 90 million barrels, so far but the draw downs went from 9/8 million a week to 5.5-6.5 million for the last two weeks, that means the draw down can last even longer which will keep the market and prices stable for longer and allow production to pick up elsewhere, commercial crude inventories also rose in the US last week
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>>538698319
Israel would not have hit if Trump was not fully behind them, also US participated in the strikes as well.
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>>538698320
The drawdown only decreased because of the MoU. Theoretically now that said MoU is void the drawdown needs to be increased back to 8-9 million
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>>538698373
just don't forget that israel attacked iran first a country more than ten times their size
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>>538698239
Yes, it's probably worse than Hitler. We had the initiative and took millions of POWs for years. It was only really over with Kursk. I mean Stalingrad was a debacle but a defensive war would have bled out the Soviets into a stalemate and treaty. Instead he wasted the last good men and material on a doomed attack. Also Stalingrad was winnable they just didn't think it through. Flanks collapse lost that battle not the actual fighting. Secure the flanks and it's over really. Russians were at the point of jumping into the Wolga.
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"Planting Saplings, an Essential & Beautiful Activity"

>Planting trees is an investment. In fact, it benefits our future and generates wealth. In a short time, this sapling will grow into a tree. If it’s a fruit tree, that’s one type of wealth. If it’s a tree that’s used for its wood, that’s another form of wealth. By planting a sapling, you profit without incurring any loss.

>Trees, agricultural fields, and the greenery that Almighty God brings up from the earth are effective in improving the living environment and air quality. Thus, the environment also benefits from people planting saplings and trees. Our environment is extremely important.

>Trees and greenery bring freshness and purity to the living environment. Aside from health benefits, material gains, and the like, they are pleasing to the eye and comforting to the soul. If the living environment is green and filled with the greenery and growth that are a blessing from the Lord, this is naturally useful for people’s spiritual environment and people benefit from them.

Delivered by Ayatollah Khamenei, on this day five years ago
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>>538698320
Adding to what the other anon said: I feel that many are confusing exports for production: surge in exports from vessel exodus while production remains down 7.1MM Bbl/d. The last of the ships have left = TEMPORARY imbalance vs. 1 ship entered (vs. 50 normal) = ENDURING shut-ins.
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Whatever one's normative judgment of Iran's actions, hearing appeals to "international law" from many of the same people who championed an illegal war against Iran, continue to defend genocidal Israeli actions, and routinely dismiss even US laws restricting military aid over human rights abuses is difficult to take seriously.

The uncomfortable reality is that international law has always reflected power more than principle. That's obviously been true for America. It's true for everyone.

What's different today is that, for the first time in the modern Middle East, a regional power has amassed enough leverage through control of a global energy chokepoint to try to establish a new governing convention. Tehran's calculation is straightforward. Having concluded that US commitments are inherently reversible, it sees greater control over Hormuz as the most durable guarantee it can create for itself.

In Tehran's view, the struggle over Hormuz is not simply about shipping lanes. It is about embedding Iran's security and economic future in an arrangement that ensures any renewed effort to coerce, isolate, or attack it carries direct and enduring costs for its adversaries.

Decades of US policy have given Tehran every incentive to pursue exactly that. Whether one likes it or not, if Iran succeeds, the result will not simply be an exception to the existing rules but the emergence of a new governing norm. Call it the "Hormuz Convention of 2026" or whatever.

International orders evolve to reflect shifts in the balance of power. This has always been the case in history.
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>>538694346
why is /pig/ the only good thread on the entire board? everything else is just spam?
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>>538698601
kikes tend to get chased out of this general
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>>538698580
>hearing appeals to "international law" from many of the same people who championed an illegal war against Iran
I like to call them out for their Cuba blockade. How about those international waters and customary trade routes? Oh international law doesn't matter any more?

I just wish our media weren't cowardly suck ups and were able to call them out.
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>>538698482
>By planting a sapling, you profit without incurring any loss.
you are losing the water to water it and alternative uses for the land the tree is planted on
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>>538698446
Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar, Bahrain have no option but to cross the strait and do ship-to-ship transfers as their economy relies on it, so they will continue to do so
>>538698495
I am saying that the SPR release is to buy time with the hope that more production comes online elsewhere, Central Asia, Brazil and Venezuela have increased production, South Korea and Japan are now reliant on crude from the Central Asian nations like Kazakhstan
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>>538698671
the roots grows under the earth, trap water, prevent floods, the canopy throws shade preventing the earth from cracking, trapping moisture and reducing evaporation of precious water
this is the path of the earth, one the oath of fire can never understand and the broken promise of gold only shallow purchases as imitation
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>>538698759
why can goyim only do random babble and never address the actual point? is it their demonic deceiving nature?
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>>538698658
The US got a magical word that erases in their mind all laws, domestic and international. That word is "terrorism".
>>538698580
Your write up? Pretty good.
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fake war
fake genny
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>>538698827
the jew fears the metaphor
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>>538698827
we disagree about what the point is
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the US-Iran war did not take place
the Persia-Iran general is not taking place
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>>538698671
The water and the land still exist. The tree just employs them to bear fruit, produce oxygen, and beautify the environment with greenery and flowers.
To make you understand, imagine the water and land are loaned to the tree so it can produce those benefits. No interest and no payback schedule. :)
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>>538698239
Nah, Inalchuq attacking a mongol merchant caravan (and the subsequent refusal of Muhammad II of Khwarezm to punish him for it) still takes the 1st prize as most retarded decision ever, the region didn't recover to its pre-mongol invasion population level till 300 years later (Germoney took a couple of decades in comparison).
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>>538699004
thanks captain obvious
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>>538699115
this post did not take place
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>>538699025
>The water and the land still exist. The tree just employs them to bear fruit, produce oxygen, and beautify the environment with greenery and flowers.
you must be one of the niggers who absolutely megafailed farming at the chaz
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>>538699025
they defined the scenario maliciously down from the general universal good of planting a tree (which is free)
to narrowly plotting a tree on land that could be commercially exploited otherwise

all because the ayatollah stated a general holistic positive good
that is called nitpicking or pilpul and any time engaging with it in good faith is entertaining
what is rhetoric poison
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>>538698482
>>538698759
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>>538699029
I don't think germany could have avoided confrontation with the british empire after unification.
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>>538698601
>>538698656
/pol/ is just 1pbtid glowie spam by design.
Having a "general" prevents this as they cant just hijack the thread without being spotted by the schizos frequenting it and they get no (you)s anyway
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>>538694521
yeah, I'm sure thats it.
I'm sure its not at all that they are losing the ability to enforce control over the strait
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>>538694459
>>538694749
it's in good hands
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>>538696780
who are these semen demo0ns

>>538697527
I hate women so much its unreal love to Kazakhstan
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>>538699689
does he (or his relatives) own stock in the company that makes those?
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>>538699844
it's literally the national armory (MKE) so he practically owns it I suppose
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>>538699721
there is a chilean milei?
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>>538699907
thanks, that is not the same so he is not as bad as trump
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>>538699780
You shouldn't. Many women are great.
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>>538699911
it's an old video so you can ignore it
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>>538699971
Opposite day post.
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>>538699558
It could have, as long as it was content being a continental power instead of trying to chase the colonial meme, that and controlling the autistically jingoistic military that saw a colossal confrontation with Russia as inevitable (and thus pushed for war as soon as possible due to fearing that after completing industrialization - the ruskies would be too powerful to defeat; a war that Britain would always join on the side of the Russian Empire & France to prevent the rise of a single overwhelming continental power) plus keeping AH on a short leash. There is absolutely no reason the Balkan situation couldn't have been solved diplomatically.
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>>538700075
those are minor conflagration that germany could have speculative avoided, systemic I do not think so
the world wars had to happen because germany was stronger than britain on land but weaker on the oceans
and just a tiny channel away

britain allied against any power that threatened to unify europe since they lost the 100 year war and got kicked from the continent
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>>538694687
global market
chinese SPR releases made up for 50% of the "missing" oil flow and now iran is letting them refill to do it again
hilariously, the chinese buy both iranian and russian oil in dollars any time we let them (e.g. during sanctions waivers)
iranian oil can be traded in dollars until July 17th, then they'll switch back to bartering
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>>538698320
we have about 3 weeks tops before gas starts running out.
>>538698495
That production will be offline for years, even Pissrael had to admit their haifa refinery will be out of commission completely and repairs will take 2 years with maximum corner/regulations cutting.
>>538698671
planting trees and watering them is probably the best use of water anywhere, especially in arid and desert areas, also there's other ways to turn desert into forests than planting trees directly but none as effective.
>>538698827
he literally listed all the benefits from planting trees to gaining water, therefore illustrating how retarded your position is of "planting trees wastes water".
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>>538700298
>britain allied against any power that threatened to unify europe since they lost the 100 year war and got kicked from the continent
Well, yeah, the idea of my post was for Germany to avoid a war by both not trying to compete with British naval domination (something that the empire saw as an existential threat) and not starting serious shit against any of the other 2 powers on the continent (Russia and France) to not seem like it was trying to become the only one (just like Frogland a hundred years earlier).
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>>538697527
thank you!
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>>538700608
germany was overall correct in WWII, outside the british russia alliance and predicting the obvious american option of acting as backstop like in WWI
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>>538699384
Look up how by building a swell in Pissrael and planting a few trees they turned deserts into a forest, the Africans simply dig a crescent moon hole and it trapps water and turns desert into forests. Chinks are the best, they lay down a horizontally aligned row of straw however wide the straw is(2-3 feet) on top of a shallow line in the sand, and then use a flat shovel to drive it into the sand turning the straw into a small fence, combined into grids to trap water and moisture into the ground, turning sand desert into forest with minimal effort.
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>>538699971
fake kazakh
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>>538700989
you can make a scam jeet the governor of your birth state, that kind of asshole?
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Things are about to escalate on multiple fronts
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>>538694346
Guys I kind of missed what happened here, can I get a QRD? I thought there was a peace treaty and that Iran was preoccupied with a funeral. I did hear they attacked a few cargo ships in the strait and apparently that's what started the war back up. But, I feel like there had to be something else in there that I missed.
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>>538701102
why is it ok for saudi arabia to block yemens airspace and shoot on civilian aircrafts?

this violates peremptory norms
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>>538694948
I love when internet christian faggots try to honour byzantine like their ancestors didnt destroy the only semblance of civilisation in europe.. Fuck you faggot i was in thessalonika in the rotunda and it was like god was in the other room. Never got an ounce of that from the so called roman church
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>>538695073
>This obviously won't happen for free and China will use this favor to try and capture US institutions, although this more of a long-term thing.
...oh god they could ask for access to the gas stations and refineries themselves.
Like.
Imagine a Chinese holding company buying up every independent gas station and refinery"to ensure the fuel reaches its destination on time :)".
They could then use the earnings to scale up charging port access even in fuckwitville North Dakota and deliberately operate at a loss to bring up adoption.
They'd essentially become the market.
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>>538700726
War does not determine who is right, only who is left; and if you wanted to be on the winning side this time, you should have taken your own war games (that basically demonstrated what would happen if you invaded the nightmarish endless plains, forests and bogs of Eastern Europe) seriously and not attacked the USSR (hell, Stalin and co, and the Japanese too funnily enough, were actually taking your fake diplomatic approaches about joining the Axis seriously; so that was an, amusing, option too). But your general staff was high on its own farts by then due to the ease of their conquests and the low casualty rate.
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>>538694346



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