>be me watching a bunch of brainlet niggnerds seethe and dilate over a literal cardboard box like it's the holy grail of paradoxesListen up, you midwit pseud faggots. You've been circlejerking this 2/3 probability cope for a century while huffing your own farts about "microstates" and other reddit tier bullshit. NO. We are looking at the WHOLE BOX, you troons. Slap a basic YES/NO filter on this bitch and the math literally shits out 50/50. Cope. Seethe. Dilate.Here's the Bayes Theorem so simple even you niggers can follow without shitting your diapers:1. THE MACROSTATE (THE BOXES)Stop counting individual balls like a drooling toddler with a number book. There are 3 boxes. That's it.B00: The double zero chad box (two zeros)B10: The mixed mutt box (one zero, one one)B11: The double one trash box (two ones, worthless)Before you even touch your microdick, the chance of grabbing any specific box is a perfectly even 1/3 split. P(B00) = 1/3,P(B10) = 1/3,P(B11) = 1/3. Simple as.2. THE YES/NO FILTER (EVENT E)This is where you clowns keep fucking up harder than a migger tranny . We aren't doing some autistic blind ball draw. We're running a basic Boolean scan: "Does this box even have a fucking zero in it, yes or no?"0-0 Box: Has a zero? YES. 100%. P(E | B00) = 11-0 Box: Has a zero? YES. 100%. P(E | B10) = 11-1 Box: Has a zero? NO. KYS, get filtered. P(E | B11) = 03. THE BAYES THEOREM SMACKDOWNNow we want P(we're holding the 0-0 box | it passed the "has a zero" test). Plug it in, smoothbrains:P(B00 | E) = [P(E | B00) * P(B00)] / [P(E | B00)*P(B00) + P(E | B10)*P(B10) + P(E | B11)*P(B11)]Numbers:= [1 * 1/3] / [(11/3) + (11/3) + (0*1/3)]= (1/3) / (2/3)= 1/250%.Both surviving boxes aced the filter at 100%. The mixed box and the double zero are equal candidates, you fucking idiots. The 2/3 "paradox" is dead, buried, and pissing on your grave.
>>539307549What's the question?
And yet, if you carried out this as an actual experiment in your living room you would find that as you performed more replications the percentage of times you selected 00 after initially selecting a 0 approaches 66%Try posting this on /sci/, see how they react.
tl;dr
>>539307549Winning the lottery is 50/50.
>>539307549And I bet you think you were sneaky, making Grok write this for you and then adding in the swears afterwards
>>539307751>try posting this on /sci/Why do you think he’s here?
>>539307949I had to draw this myself too
>>539307549looking at the whole box is retardedthat is no longer the considerationwhat is the probability that you would be born Indian, OP?how many Indian dicks per hour is your momma creampie blasting?the probability of me being born Indian is ZERO because it would be absurd to say otherwiseUNLESS the GIVEN outset conditions...
>>539307751>try posting this on redditOk kid, so I should just go into a room of Rabbi and then when they tell me Christ is not the saviour they are right?How about you refute my fucking math you literal space age nigger
>>539308099Do I pick a box, or do I pick 1 of 6 coins? Once you answer, you can proceed to KYS for being such a brainlet.
>>539307925Depending on the population size, perhaps.
>>539307549it's not even a paradox; it should be expected that's it's more likely you pulled it from the box with two gold coins than the other
>>539308390its a Jewish paradox pushed by fags and niggers here on 4chan endlessly, When you proof it in their threads, they prune them Tongue my ANUS JANNIES
