We had so much fun the first thread, he's part 2Previous>>539284733
You have two balls.What are the odds that OP is a faggot?
>>53930797242
>>539307972This is just the monte hall problem.trash thread, go back to fb
>>539308212It's not. That proves what a dumb faggot you are
>>539308312You're right. However, you misspelled nigger.
>>539308445Dammit
Eliminate the two silver box.All that's left are two boxes, and the one you picked from either has a silver ball or a gold ball left.It's 50 percent.
>>539307972I AM NOT DOING THIS SHIT AGAINITS 50% 50% NO IFS BUTS OR TITS1/2 CHANCE IS DICTATED BY BOX PICKINGNO DEBATE
>>539308793Screaming doesn't make you any less wrong. Stop behaving like a nigger and think about it properly.
>>539308312It actually is. 66% chance or 2/3. Kill yourself
>>539307972Looks like I'm the only one who passed.
>>539308999snitches and stitches
>>539308685Yup. It doesn't get any easier than thisI don't think the 2/3rds crew actually read the question. Some think SILVER is an option for the first pick. It clearly says first pick is a GOLD ball. Some don't read that you have to pick from the same box with one ball left in it. They think you have an option of 3 balls to choose from. Some think you need code to simulate the results. Others find it helpful to change the question to a million balls.This has left me with little faith in the next generation.
>>539307972>what is the probability that the next box>prior set subsequent setthis is Bayes Theorem in essence right there you stupid faggot you cannot flatten the events and sets
>>539307972Write a simulation Randomize boxes Randomized balls in boxes Remove ball and ask if it's the same as the remainderCount how many times this happen and it will conver to 66% not 50%
>>539309069It would be easier to simply replicate the thought experiment in real life.Every time you randomly choose a gold ball first, just keep track of the times the second ball you choose happens to be silver.And vice versa I guess, silver as to silver.That way you get two data sets to compare.
>>539307972brain says 50 %conditional probabilityif 1st ball gold it was box A or B, so left ball is either gold or silverheart says jews already stolen all gold and changed for fake lead balls; remember wtc7
>>539307972There are 1 million boxes.Each box contains 2 balls One box contains 2 gold balls. One box contains one gold ball and one silver. The rest contain two silver.You grab ball and it's gold. What are odds the other ball is also gold?50/50 between your 1/1000000 being the two gold balls, and the gold ball + silver ball box. Therefore Any answer other than 50/50 is a jew lie.
>>539309069If you claim 50% then if you choose gold you will 50% of the time reveal silver as the last ball in the box right? However there's only 1 silver in both boxes so clearly this is impossible, more like 1/3 probability right?
>>539309069Or, rather, we know it is 2/3 because we studied basic probability theory and we read the question. The point about a million balls experiment and also the point about coding a simulation is just to try to demonstrate the truth to people who still mistakenly think it is 1/2.
>>539309316>Every time you randomly choose a gold ball firstThere is no dataset. The first ball is always GOLD per the instructions. It then says at the end "ALSO BE GOLD" It can never be SILVER.Once GOLD is locked for first there are two options. Was it drawn out of box A or box B. You then HAVE to pull from the same box again. There aren't 3 choices left, there is ONE ball in the box, either SILVER or GOLD. the 2/3rds'ers are trying to add to the question to make it more complex. It is very simple.
I'm OP of the last thread. like 3 people actually responded to my actual question so I 1pbtid'd it
>>539308867>>539309243>>539309647Posting a hint for the people with poor reading comprehension
>babby's first conditional probability question>always 400+ replies on any board>always full of angry idiots who can't understand a "given that" statement and think it's 50/50
>>539309025You won't do shit.
>>539309745>>539309736>British intelligenceThe keyword is "next"
>erm um aschually according to math principal xyzNo one cares fags. It can't be the two silver box so you have a 66% chance.
>>539308999>announcing or reporting a sageGOTCHA BITCH
>>539309736Yes but you are claiming 1/2 probability so if you run this experiment 100 tines you would expect roughly silver 50 times and gold 50 times. Right?However that's impossible as there's only 1 silver in both boxes ergo that should be an enormous clue you were wrong
>>539309814You can't ignore the probability that led up to the question. Any trial in which you picked the second box and the silver ball has already been eliminated, so it's half as likely that you're holding that box rather than the first box.
>>539309593You're retarded. 2 boxes with a gold ball. You took a gold ball from 1 box. So you have the gold gold box or the gold silver box. You are going to draw a gold ball or a silver ball. That 1/2 or 50%.
>>539309837>a fucking leafWrong again, fucko
>>539309593When you get a GOLD as the first ball you have chosen box A or box B. SILVER SILVER cannot be an option.You have already taken out one GOLD ball. So if it came from box A there would be another GOLD ball left. If the first pick came from box B, then there would be a SILVER left. You have to pick from the same box, there is only one ball left to pull. Don't need to simulate. Making it one million balls changes the whole question.
>>539307972not politicalthis shit stayswhen i post quality incel threads asking for a solution i get banned and thread gets nukedwhy jannies refuse to change their incel ways?is it really that important to moderate 4chan for free?
>>539310016There are 2 gold balls remaining and only 1 silver. Common core has rotted your goblina gene brain mutt.
>>539309942There's also only 1 gold in either box after you pull the first golden ball, hence the word "next," you pretentious failure. So its clearly 50%
>>539309959Yes you can because it is meaningless to the probability of the remaing ball. It's a trick question and you got tricked. Don't blame me for not understanding the problem
>>539309647Also, if any people actually think the answer is 1/2, I would gladly arrange the experiment in real life and run a thousand trials with you. For every time the second comes out silver after the first came out gold, I will give you $1100, and for every time the second comes out gold after the first came out gold, you have to give me $1000.If you actually think you're right with your demonstrably absurd 1/2 assertion, it's a bargain, right?
>>539307972The issue was that the problem was worded ambiguously, leading both sides to be correct depending on interpretation.
>>539309814you're pulling a 2nd ball out of the same box you pulled the gold ball out ofhow could it possibly be 50/50 if you're 2x as likely to have randomly chosen the double gold box over the mixed box
>>539310075Lmao Jesus Chris dude. You dont understand the problem
>>539309942Two boxes eligible that a GOLD ball was pulled. One would have a GOLD ball left - GOLD GOLD box and one would have a SILVER ball left - GOLD SILVER. In the second pick there is only one ball left - YOU HAVE TO PICK FROM THE SAME BOX - you aren't choosing out of 3 balls left. People aren't reading.
>solved since 1889https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bertrand%27s_box_paradox
>>539310205>10 posts by this idFucking retard lmao
>>539310164Cool hypothetical on an anonymous board, disingenuous faggot
>>539310081Tell me how many times will you reveal silver with a 1/2 probability of revealing a second gold?You run this experiment 10 times. How many silvers instead of gold are revealed?
>>539310166It really isnt worded ambiguouslyThere's just a lot of people making assumptions or failing to read the problem
This thread was moved to >>>/bant/24700952
