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Previous: >>539784355

Day 1,617 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>Ryazan refinery AND Wildberries warehouse burning after Ukrainian drone strikes
>The US Senate overwhelmingly voted to advance Graham's russia sanctions bill with 11 Democrats and 1 Republican voting against it
>russians have sharply increased demand for rental apartments in Armenia amid rumors of a new mobilization wave
>This autumn there will be ballistic strikes on mosquew - Fire Point co-owner Denys Shtilerman
>The potential bankruptcy of the Wildberries marketplace could completely destroy the russian banking system due to the company's colossal multi-billion dollar debt - russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska
>USF have knocked out over 20% of Wildberries’ logistics capacity in a single week - DroneBomber
>Kazakh President Tokayev publicly urges monke to "freeze the war" and return to negotiations
>Ukrainian drones will reach ranges of more than 4,000 km this year, increasing to 5,000-10,000 km next year - Zelensky
>Trump is expected to meet Zelensky in Washington on Tuesday
>The russian ballistic strike on Kyiv did not hit a military training ground, but a private sports complex with no relation to the AFU - Yuriy Ihnat
>Ukrainian Flamingo cruise missiles struck the Aviatek defense plant in Kirovo-Chepetsk, around 1,200 km from Ukraine
>THREE Wildberries warehouses destroyed in a single day by Ukrainian drones. Two in St. pidorsberg, one in occupied Simferopol
>russian-occupied Crimea: complete transport collapse, no gasoline, no fuel, and no electricity.

▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateEN
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
▶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: files.catbox.moe/19avc9.zip
▶russian confirmed KIA updated daily: hochuvernut.com
▶WILDBERRIES BINGO: wildberriesbingo.com
>>
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good morning TZD

>cofi status?
>>
>>539800457
I know a Russian dude who vacationed in Crimea not that long ago, they really just don't think about it.

>>539800247
>>539800357
sweet thanks, sounds good to me!
>>
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>>>>539800384
In this infinite mercy of “Il-Sol-2020-Uranus-Neptune-Mars-Europa-Ploutos-Inari-Hotei-Ebisu-Daikoku-Saturn,”
Curse those who curse Ukraine; Bless those who bless Ukraine. Ahmeyn; It is Uncontrollable. [ 8-8-8 ]
>>
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>it's a land war not a warehouse war
>>
I'm retarded and should go to sleep because I'll hate myself when I'll have to wake up in like 5 hours.
>>
>>>>539800593
F
>>
>>539800593
you'll already hate yourself for only sleeping 4 hours so yeah
>>
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>9k hours in paint pls clap
>>
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>>>>539800686
>>>>539800573
>>>>539800384
Yet another FRESH round of TOTAL RUSSIA HUMILIATION in the thread (kekarooo)


>>>>539800524
Nah, I'll have some cheap green tea later instead
>>
TzD
>>
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>>
27:1
>>
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imagine stomping on a russian baby's skull until it's a bloody pulp
>>
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Numbers
We're getting low on TzD again
>>
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thousands of new workers are free to join the smo everyday thanks to hohol strikes
>>
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>>539801023
We don't have to imagine
>>
>>539800686
You can see in the map how Ukraine was limited by range this time in 2025. Every hit had a distance of ~1k km or less from the border. Well range isn't a blocker anymore.
>>
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>>539801041
>millions of dildos and fake baby pussies burned
literally genocide
>>
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>>539801041
It'll buff out.
>>
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>>539801041
cool, send em in
>>
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>>539801126
>>
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digits
>>
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>>539801041
>>539801169
did they hit it with a flamingo or what? why is there a big chunk missing KEK
>>
>>539801297
those werehouses are flimsy and collapses easily
>>
>>539801297
Drone fuel can melt steel beams.

Warehouses are constructed extremely cheaply, doesn't take much of a fire for it to collapse on itself.
>>
>>539801297
pidors are notoriously cheap with logistics
that shit is probably cardboard, full blown potemkin building
>>
>>539801332
It's a comforting thing, knowing that it takes one bad hit from something and you're likely buried under rubble and burning to death.
Kekaroo.
>>
is there an /ugh/ version of "Zaporizhian Cossacks write to the sultan of turkey" ?
>>
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>>539801359
When you consider that the inside is loaded with flammables it's not much of a surprise that they burn so well. I wonder how much extra merchandise they're dealing with now that they've lost so many locations.
>>
Very sad that losing their knock off Amazon is going to be more inconvenient to ziggers than 1.5 million of their countrymen dying for nothing
>>
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>>539801027
>>539801285
0.91 dead ziggers per minute still is tremendous
>>
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Hohol nazis destroyed estrogen factory for bombass children((((
>>
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>>539801423
1/4
>>
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>>539801423
2/4
>>
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>>539801423
3/4
>>
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Su-35 status?
>>
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>>539801423
4/4
>>
>>539801423
>T0wnKART
huh nice
>>
>>539801742
>bitcoin kike
>4chan maxxer
>glowie
>yellow fever neckbeard
my favorites
>>
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Anons, tragic news.
The widely expected Iranian missile strike against Ukraine will seemingly not happen. And the huge and devastating, upcoming Russian large-scale, combined drone and missile strike also hasn't happen last night.
No happenings tonight.
Nothing is going on.
Maybe tomorrow.
>>
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>>539801897
>Ukraine bombs a regional power's vessel
>Said regional power can do nothing but cope and seethe about it
Bros, when did we become a quasi-superpower?
>>
>>539800384
TzD
>>
forever comfy TZD
>>
>>539801897
Who was retarded enough to believe that Iran would have done that anyway?
>>
>>539801638
Human life is worthless in Russia.
>>
>>539801998
p... please dont take over europe after this...
>>
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>>539801897
it seems Iran is not an all powerful regional hegemon that can take on the whole of Europe like in ancient times
the Westfalen has fallen
>>
>>539802042
Russians.
>>
>>539801297
Those buildings are all the same - metal skeleton and sandwich panels. It doesn't really take much to get them going, and once it's lit it will stay lit until all the foam in the panels has burned out.
>>
>>539802103
we're gonna take berlin in 2 days and force all Europeans to eat russian babies every day muahahahah
>>
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What a beautiful day for Russians to die.
>>
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mmmm burning ziggies
>>
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>when you get hit by a blue shell at mario kart double dash
>>
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Ahoy-hoy!
>>
>The US Senate voted 86-12 to advance a bill intended to increase pressure on Vladimir Putin to end his years-long war in Ukraine, in a sign Washington is starting to warm to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
>Breaking: Ukraine President Zelensky thanks US Senators for bill that threatens India and four other countries with up to 100% tariffs for buying Russian oil and gas
Based
>>
>>539802042
Niggers and ziggers
>>
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>>539802530
based numbers poster the third
feast to 1310 destroyed katsaps
>>
>>539802558
They should just name it the anti-shitskin bill because that's what it is.
>>
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the mutt is back. no crying this time, probably didnt have the remaining of his dildo stock in that warehouse
>>
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>Crimeans seeking scarce fuel reportedly tricked into funding Ukrainian troops

>Residents of Russian-occupied Crimea who tried to buy fake QR codes to bypass petrol rationing may have unknowingly donated to Ukrainian troops, according to Ukrainian open-source investigators.

https://tvpworld.com/94544558/crimea-fuel-qr-code-scheme-reportedly-raised-money-for-ukrainian-army
>>
>Following the reported attack on July 29, Wildberries announced on its website that access to the Ryazan warehouse had been "temporarily restricted."

>"We will provide further information when operations are restored," the company said.

KEEEEEEK just wait a few years we'll be back
>>
>>539801041
its a land war, not a blueberry factory war
>>
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>>539801297
It's a warehouse. I'm currently looking into building ~100 m2 for my own business, and the cost is like 20k euro. It's cheap and fast to construct. As long as rockets are not hitting it, it's sturdy enough. But yes, it's usually a styrofoam or something similar sandwiched between two metal sheets. It can burn from inside, beneath the metal. You seemingly have no fire, then suddenly whole wall is falling apart, fire spreading everywhere. Sure, you should have partitions out of different materials between different parts of the warehouse, so the whole thing doesn't burn down in the case of emergency. But it's the russia.
>>
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kyaa
>>
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>>539802979
The special warehouse restoration operation is going to be completed in two, three days at most.
>>
I was born at the end of soviet union and lived through it's collapse/90s. Never thought i'd get to see the country i was born collapse twice in my life time, but here we are. At least i'm not gonna be there personally this time as all this goes down.
>>
>>539803039
>temporarily restricted
>>
>>539803061
Glad you get to watch it the next episode of this shitshow from the outside with us anon.
>>
>>539803075
>further information when operations are restored
>>
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how powerful is that little nigga?
>>
>>539803061
Same pretty surreal watching this shit unfold
>>
>>539803158
He has the Trump card now.
>>
>>539801285
I remember when going above 1k puccians dead per day was a rare occurrence, now it seems like 1.5k is the average.
>>
>>539803158
Thank you senate Democrats.

I still have some reservations, in that I would prefer their be some enforcement mechanism. That is if India stops buying or supplying the russia, tariffs would be dropped.

Perhaps Zelenskyy has something else in mind.
>>
>>539803097
Honestly i never thought i'd ever end up in USA but life is fun like that.
>>539803187
The one thing i remember in the 90s that at least people had pity for russia/russians. Getting bush legs on the cheap and my mom cooking chicken soup with them or frying them up kept us fed well after several months of eating nothing but grecha (buckwheat). But after this retard putin war everyones gonna hate russians for a long ass time, and there no even gurantree that russia wont just go full gulag/iron curtain on steroids because its run by a retard mafia state that doesnt believe in anything except sucking old man putins saggy balls. Soviet union at least had an idea of what a future family man was. Not russia.
>>
>>539803269
>Soviet union at least had an idea of what a future family man was. Not russia.

The Russian future family man is going to get blown up by a drone.
>>
Another Dutchie here, arrived in Kyiv this morning. Curious how sleeping will be tonight with explosions, that's gonna be a first. TZD.
>>
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>>539803187
The last russian propaganda I fell for was that they weren’t going to invade. It seemed so obvious it would be a mistake, and even then the worst case scenario I could imagine fell so far short of reality.
>>
If you're a Russia seller with stuff in a wild berries warehouse you're rushing to get your stuff out, right? They can always go back to shipping directly. This will gum us logistics though which is the point.
>>
>>539803269
>But after this retard putin war everyones gonna hate russians for a long ass time
Nah.
A more lenient leader and a decade or two of acting like a decent human being is what will convince the limp-dicked EU leaders that Russia has reformed. Maybe not even that long, if the trade relations are restored and heavily favor the west.
And after 40 years or so, we're back at this point.
Europe never learns. Russia must be balkanized, if not totally glassed.
>>
>>539803364
the failure of assuming rational, optimally strategic, behaviour from russia. it still causes analysis to fail daily.
>>
>>539803327
Don't be a thrill seeker. Seek shelter when alerted to do so.

TZD
>>
>>539803397
i bet they are. but there will be a limit as to how quickly they can remove stuff.
>>
>>539803158
I'm convinced ukraine stole monke's kompromat on the miga niggas recently. nothing else explains the 180. they should release it anyway just for the lulz though.
>>
>>539803459
>Seek shelter when alerted to do so.
Ukrainians hardly do that themselves. When in Rome...
>>
>>539803482
ukrainian mission to steal the pee tape which had no copies?
>>
>>539803482
or maybe laura loomer convinced trump
>>
>>539803490
And that is wrong.

First responders have to risk their life and well being every single time they have to rescue someone from a collapsed building.
>>
>>539803364
>The last russian propaganda I fell for was that they weren’t going to invade
The last one I fell for was that their army would actually be capable of something. The invasion wasn't a surprise as such, but the state they were actually in surprised me. I mean, I never thought they were actually GOOD or a modernized army, but I thought they had enough tanks, missiles and men and at least some tactical and strategic sense and could take on Ukraine equipped with similar gear (mainly by pounding them to submission with endless waves of tanks, men and missiles, but still). Especially after Crimea went quite smoothly and Ukies just caved.
>>
>>539803061
There is time for two more collapses after this
>>
>>539803269
Nah, once monke is dead, the politburo will find out he was a traiter and a pest. his "buddies"will either disown him or fall out of windows, the KGB will appoint some young nobody for president, and said nobody will deliver all the right talking points that make catladies int the EU parlaments happy, and it's all back to bussiness as usual.
>>
>>539803158
Unironically? He's probably one of the most effective modern leaders in the world. Honestly he makes Trump look kind of retarded by comparison. You dont have to like the guy to see how effective he is at getting what he wants while in his position. If a guy always seems to get what he wanted he knows what hes doing.
>>
>>539803482
Zion Don's shitting bricks because it turns out Iran won't be a cakewalk and Iran is refusing peace unless they actually get what they want (Israel dumped), so now he desperately needs an ally.
>>
>>539803584
those scenes a few days in, of the line of broken down rusty trucks half way to kiev...
>>
>>539803269
>The one thing i remember in the 90s that at least people had pity for russia/russians.
Eh mutal war help ppl together somewhat but they pissed all that away
>Getting bush legs on the cheap and my mom cooking chicken soup with them or frying them up kept us fed well after several months of eating nothing but grecha (buckwheat).
Have some vague memories of something along those lines too but thinking back my family was somewhat wealthy i assume they were just taking aid since it was easy
>But after this retard putin war everyones gonna hate russians for a long ass time,
The media machine that has big corporate interests will try to quickly whitewash thier crimes due to the aforementioned corporation wanting in on the cheap dirty busines
>and there no even gurantree that russia wont just go full gulag/iron curtain on steroids because its run by a retard mafia state that doesnt believe in anything except sucking old man putins saggy balls.
It probably will the whole world will try to get s piece of pie and mafia bosses will just side with whichever country offers the best deals
>Soviet union at least had an idea of what a future family man was.
Only in propaganda though that may to an extent count
>>
>>539803557
>And that is wrong.

Sure but life must go on. Air raid alerts are way too frequent to seek a shelter every single time. Iirc about as many civilians died due to Russian bombing and droning as in Ukrainian traffic last year, but nobody would argue that you should stop driving altogether.
>>
>>539803584
yep, I remember analysts discussing how a future Ukrainian insurgency could be armed and supported to wear russia down similar to how it was done with Afghanistan. Some more optimistic ones assumed Ukraine might hold the Dnieper river. Meanwhile we are in year 5 and russians are stilll fighting in Donbas lmao
>>
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PERFIDIOUS FROGBURGERS
https://www.ft.com/content/5ca782bd-5c4a-45f8-9a7a-5793d800321d
>>
>>539803459
>>539803490
>>539803557
We're staying just outside of the city, so low chance of being hit. Meeting girlfriend's family, not thrillseeking, anon. Plus we have a bunker/cellar. When we're out in Kyiv itself we'll duck if alerts go off of course.
>>
>>539803061
If le Monky had invested on infrastructure and resource extraction instead wasting money on useless dick-waving shit like tanks, ships and nooks, Russia would have been easily be the richest country in Europe.
>>
>>539803660
Jesus christ, that column. Or that river crossing, where they lost 70+ IFVs and tanks.
Looking back I'm rather surprised they had the presence of mind to cancel that one VDV drop, after they failed to take the airfield.
>>
>>539803837
For me its the chornobaivka time anomaly
>>
>>539801897
best what they can offer - is to sent more meat to the battlefield.
>>
I'm gonna be completely honest frfr
watching wildberry burn is pretty boring just fix the refineries already so I can watch them burn again (ongod)
>>
>>539803327
Kyiv anon here, you don't get explosions every single night but you gotta join Telegram channels like Київcькe нeбo or Tpyхa Київ to get info on strikes.
If you're indoors then you're often not gonna have enough time to get to shelter before the ballistic missiles hit, usually you only have 1-3 minutes by the time a launch is detected but sometimes they even hit before detection

My best advice is simply avoid going outside too much and try not to reside in the higher floors of large apartment complexes
>>
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I prefer russnigers dead!
>>
>>539804193
I'm sure it's already in use in some sense but shouldn't the EriEye AEW&C be able to work & data link with the radars to give more reaction time for the BMs? Maybe too close to the border when talking about Kyiv so it's used in a less risky position till bandits can get meteor'd



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