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About 1/3 of US debt matures in 2027. It will have to be rolled over at current higher yields.
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>>540107282
Nuke Iran. Not even kidding nuke one of their mountain bases
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>>540107282
More debt?
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>>540107282
What is wrong with maturity?
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You bring in Trump and Elon to cut spend..... AHAAHAHAAHAHHAAHA
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>>540107282
Sounds like an excellent year to attack Iran for your Israeli masters!
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>>540107282
engineer financial crisis prior to rollover so you can roll over at lower rate
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>OP memeflag
>'handle this'
Congress needs to stop rubberstamping the gigaballoon $2 trillion+ spending.
Congress is the branch of government that holds purse strings on spending.
Interest Payments on the debt instantly <whoosh> vacuum up fully *half of* the U.S. fedgov annual spending. Yes, a $1 trillion credit card payment just in Interest Payments (using money the U.S. gov doesn't 'have', it is """printed""" out of thin air *and added to the $40+ trillion debt* magnitude), every single year. Approved by Congress.
Interest Payments on the federal debt now outstrip the government's own discretionary spending.
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>>540107282
Just nuke Americans
Solution to 99,99% of the problems in this world
>>
Tax cuts for billionaires and more aid for Israel.
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>>540107387
The OP topic is about rollover. U.S. gov is *using bonds to finance its own operations*, one of the things the previous administration did was shift a lot of it into longer-term bonds, the current administration is trying to 'roll them over' into shorter-term (2 yr-and less bonds). Bessent's overall objective is to lower the dependence on the 10 year treasury, which is a key linchpin of the global bond market and health of the global economy. Nobody wants to buy *any* bonds right now, it's a primary reason the global debt market is more volatile and unstable in the past four years than in half a century. In a debt-based global economy, everything is founded on confidence in the debt market. The debt aka bond market, in such a giga-overleveraged system founded on debt, is the last place you want uncertainty and instability. Bond yields aren't supposed to (as they have been for the past half decade) whipsaw up-down like crypto or stocks.
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>>540107733
>Just nuke
Not enough. We will have to boots they grounz, denazify and write them a constitution
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>>540107924
10yr functioned like money. Short term like currency. Foreign central banks cannot afford to hold long term paper. They took a bath on it when yields went from 0 to 5% because america monetized it's debnts and gibs da stimmies to Timmies and Tyrones. Dollar cannot function internally as price signals and externally as weapon of financial war simultaneously. Gotta chose one master
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>>540107583
>fully *half of* the U.S. fedgov annual spending
anon I think you are only looking at discretionary spending
annual fed spending is over $7T per year
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>>540108116
No (already mentioned that discretionary spending is exceeded by Interest Payments), the annual fedgov budget approved by Congress for the past several years has been around $2 trillion.
It also depends what you mean/define by 'fed spending' aka 'total outlays'
I'm talking about the Congress' annual spending bill, what they approve and what is added to the national debt magnitude.
Half of that $2 trillion, is instantly spent on Interest Payments
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>>540108257
>We've run out of model
No worries, anon. It just has to last until boomers get their body bags shipped back from Persia; install their new organs and become transhumanism
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>>540108438
None of the debates over 'w-what happens to America' are even worth paying attention to.
Global debt-based system *depends entirely on* confidence in the UST denomination aka how confident are global HNW investors in the debt (bond) market, ruled and defined by UST.
The global bond market has been more unstable in the past several years than in half a century; and that long ago, the global debt magnitude was one-twelfth what it is now.
U.S. Treasury and federal government—at current spending rates approved by Congress of greater than $2 trillion/year—is headed for the brick wall of total default in less than five years. As noted, the global confidence in bonds is at hundred-year lows and the debt market is extremely volatile in an environment where global debt in 2025 topped $350 trillion, almost four times the amount of all global economic output. Nobody wants to buy the debt because for very little more risk (and sometimes lower risk) HNW investors can parlay into some other speculative debt instrument for greater return: hence the lack of demand for bonds overall, even UST.
It's a global debt-based economic model fueled by speculative debt instruments and """backstopped""" with infinite continuous too-big-to-fail QE from private central banks. The global investment bank black box gigacasino sails onward towards the abyss. Keep watching the 10-year yield
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>>540107924
>>540108101
This thread is too high IQ for the average /pol/ poster nowadays.
And by that, I mean me.
Give it to me straight, finance-savy anons:
Realistically, how does this goes on?
Is there a way this doesn't all completely collapse?
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>>540107282
It was supposed to be handled via show of military dominance and then returning to the old way of doing business.
>I don't want to die so I'll just do business on burger terms
Unfortunately for Americans, they don't have a military that can achieve victory against non-peer armies. Peer will be much, much worse for them.
Even more unfortunately, all of the military investment money is tied into completely worthless firms (old and new.) It would probably take a decade (at maximum speed) to shift this to something better, and then another decade to bear some fruit.
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>>540110204
The UK took decades to pay off the Napoleonic Wars after hitting a 200% debt to GDP ratio. It's always possible to right a ship, but it's painful.
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>>540110204
Money can be made funny, but guns kill people and that is serious.
So no matter how bad debt is etc. if you can manage your military and you can strike opponents, scare potential opponents, etc. then it can all be fudged around to 'work.' That is what many of the military excursions were for in the past too, to prevent developments that would essentially 'spoil the fudge.'
In one old deal like this, China was given a tremendous deal in order to keep a neighbor of China 'down'...ironically that has (possibly) come back to hurt the burger. But maybe not. I don't know how grateful China is for that or how they consider their history or what they want.
You might ask what happened to the neighbor, well, that is why Taiwan is as it is now and why there is such a tight, dysfunctional monopoly re. processing chips.
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>>540110204
The government has to find buyers for 8 trillion in bonds and T bills annually. If they don't find buyers, the treasury has to increase yield, which leads to higher interest payments or the fed has to purchase the bonds themselves aka 'money printing', which we already saw in 2020 causes huge inflation. Interest payments are also above 1 trillion annually at the moment. These are the highest numbers ever seen in US history and are getting near exceeding social security program's total cost. So basically Trump is spending so much money and has so much accumulated debt, the government is at serious risk of a bad outcome, that inevitably tax payers will pay for. Spending $1.5tn on a war in Iran that nobody asked for, when you already maxed out the credit card, is the cherry on the shit sundae.
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>>540110414
Which is why they're betting everything on AI right now. They need terminators to keep everyone oppressed before they switch the money printer to Zimbabwe mode.
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>>540107924
>. Nobody wants to buy *any* bonds right now, it's a primary reason the global debt market is more volatile and unstable in the past four years than in half a century.
because covid free funny money drove stock gains so who would invest in low yield bonds in comparison? delusions must end eventually



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