>Nate Silver has updated his official election model and now rates James Talarico's campaign as one of his top picks to flip blue, rating it as a 63% chance of pickup.>Texas now leans heavily blueHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAAAAAATEXAS IS GOING BLUEFUCK YOU MIGGERS
> Nate Silver
>>540728750I don't trust anyone who smiles that much in that way.
>>540728750ahahahahaahah texans are faggots
>>540728750>be me>out having a beer at the local bar>in the most right-wing part of austin>james talarico comes on TV>local guy next to me says "you know what, he ain't so bad. maybe I was wrong about the whole two genders thing. can't believe I'm saying this, but ol' Round Rock Jim's got my vote">looked around and everybody else was nodding>"damn straight">even the old farmer in a ballcap in the corner raised up his beer with a nod
>nate bronzeyou mean the guy who didnt see trump winning in 2016?
>>540728750>Nate Silver has updated his official election model and now rates James Talarico's campaign as one of his top picks to flip blue, rating it as a 63% chance of pickup.
>>540728834>>540729266>>540729323cope
>>540728750TALERICO IS BASED COMPARED TO THE CORRUPT EPSTINE PEDOS IN THE GOP
>>540728834Ken Paxton has only led in one poll since June
>>540729266>63% == 100%this is why rightoids never invent or discover anything
>>540732069>>540732392>>540732420
>>540732702Rump stole the 2016 election
>>540728750Trump looks like he's cooked in the midterms
BUMP!
>>540732753Polling is not stuck in a decade ago
>>540733004that empty tortillia is $12 thanks to republican policies
Republicans shocked you have to actually do things people like in order to win.
>>540733004Talerico is the new tampon Tim ok!!
>>540733040I have never seen a more pedofillic phenotype than the eternal boy-man on the right. straight off a Greek vase painting
That is so funny. Total Republishart Death!
>>540733554what about the lazy eyed incest guy
>>540733040If you support trans kids, you support pedophiles.
>>540733040>guy that seems obsessed with kids becoming trannies
>>540733650targeting children and making them kill themselves is Christian
>>540733040fix that for you, in texas we have a saying that goes:better the devil you know than the devil you don't, yes Ken Paxton has faced allegations of corruption, abuse of office, and legal scandals for over a decade. felony indictments, a historic state impeachment, and federal investigations. also the republican party quietly deleted their own ad attacking Ken Paxton's record on crime... because Paxton is now the republican party's nominee...https://youtu.be/S-dr4VdR5Zc?siBUT, James Talafreako is a vegan, cheakmate niggers
>>540728750>Texas now leans heavily blueIt is amazing how every election Dems try and sell this lie by pumping Texas candidates with more money than Hillary Clinton and then pretend it never happened each time
>>540733650Ken Paxton helped a child rapist.
>>540728750the faggots in Texas thought they could illegalize porn, what the fuck do they think would happen to the male voting block?
>>540728750>Nate Silverstopped reading here lmao
>>540733876he didn't.
Sure thing, tranny. Just like Wendy Davis was going to win. Just like Betamale O'Dork. Texas is a conservative state. End of story.
>>540734006Yes he did. Didn't even get the kid fucker on the sex offender registry
>>540728750Sort of like the Wisconsin Primary, right?
>>540734042>Texas is a conservative state.There are no conservative or liberal states.It's conservative rural America vs liberal metro areas.
>>540729154>the most right-wing part of austinkek good one anont. stuck in the faggot shithole known as Austin
>>540733792texans love voting for republicans who continue to import hordes of Indians and muslims into the state, i dont get it
>>540733925>Ban porn>Taking away the shitty hemp, the crumbs they get of anything close to legal weed>Flooding it with jeetsHow are they genuinely this retarded? They know the democrats are even more so, but even running on that tactic, while acting just as retarded, can have its limits.
>>540733094Why do things when you can throw up your hands and blame demographics instead of unpopularity.
What did the polls say in the primaries for Senate in Michigan and Governor in Wisconsin?
>>540734373It's both, anon. The republican politicians in Texas are becoming even more unbearable with their increasingly nanny state bullshit.
>>540734509Wasn't the wheelchair texan guy all for screaming about how texas is a hindu state?
>>540729266In Nate Shit's defense he was actually on the lower end of probability for Hillary winning.
>>540734628Yeah, he was sucking indian dick for the labor. It's sad, because he has done a handful of really good things, some that were long overdue, but then he does so much more that just overshadows all of it.
>>540734754Didn't you also ban contracts from people that boycott Israel? Considering Israel sells your defense secrets I would think that's textbook treason and he should be pushed off a building.
>>540734807Yeah, no government contracts with anyone who boycotts a fucking foreign nation. That's one of the things that overshadows the good he has done.
>>540734807>Didn't you also ban contracts from people that boycott Israel?so? https://www.aclu.org/press-releases/texas-city-tells-people-no-hurricane-harvey-aid-unless-they-promise-not-boycott>A Texas city has required residents who are seeking government disaster relief funds in the wake of Hurricane Harvey to pledge not to boycott Israel.>The city of Dickinson, about 30 miles (48km) south of Houston, posted grant applications for anyone seeking money for repairs after the category 4 storm.>In the four-page, recovery aid application posted on the city's website, a section reads: "By executing this Agreement below, the Applicant verifies that the Applicant: (1) does not boycott Israel; and (2) will not boycott Israel during the term of this Agreement."
>>540734754Build a thousand bridges. Nobody calls you a bridge builder. You fuck ONE sheep...
>>540735015LMAO
>>540733639Retard
>>540728750Not surprising. A poll with an R+15 sample had Paxton winning by <5 points. Paxton is an apocalypticly bad candidate. He's one of the few TX Republicans that could lose this race. But all you need to win a primary these days is a Trump endorsement, and the low information miggers will carry you to victory.
>>540735015
>>540734042OK boomer. Republiniggers are going to get raped in the midterms.
>>540735070there's this texas youtuber i watch who reads banned books, real banned books that cost 100+ bucks on ebay and are rare to find, and he bought some jew book and he got a note from the postal office saying they're putting him on a watch list:https://youtu.be/uF3C6gAPM2o?si=ETHOaS-nz-y_LhT-&t=984
>>540728750Does he support legalizing weed? Ill support him, fuck it, Texas is lost anyway now with all the jeets
>>540735336To be honest, I wouldn't mind a few years if Blexas to roll back the ziocuckery and Bible thumping censoriousness of the last decade or so.
>>540732069You aren't an American. No one gives a shit what you say, Hans.
In nomine Dei nostri Satanas Luciferi Excelsi
>>540735252Think that concept of a trump endorsement might be fading. I'm not a DSA type of person and from an outside looking in haven't liked what your dems have done pandering to the more lefty side of things. But your current administration essentially bowing to Israel and going full police state/big tech data raping absolutely is brewing resent from within your constituents and not to mention whipping up your competition.
>>540735775I'm not talking about the general. I'm talking about Republican primaries, where Trump has used his endorsements to primary out incumbents that have slighted him like Cassidy and Cormyn.
>>540736566I c i c
>>540728750You're gonna lose again, tranny.
>>540728750BASEDMIGGERCAUST
>>540735542>last decade>not the last 30 years
republicans not trying to elect a corrupt israeli pedophile challenge: impossible
>>540729154LMAO! Austin is just San Francisco without a bay. There is no right wing part of Austin lol that's like saying there is a non faggot part of San Francisco
>>540728750>nate bronze
>>540736894Democrats trying to not make excuses for inbred Islamic pedos marrying children and not talk about Israel challenge: impossible
>>540733004I won't vote for anyone with a vowel at the end. It ain't white
>>540736828HB89 was 2017, and they had largely been shamed into not admitting that they thought that Harry Potter Satanic panic during the Bush administration. I think the wheels really came off on the Bible thumping during the first Trump term.
>>540728834he got downgraded from nate sodium to nate straight jenkem
>>540736948>taking my greentext seriously
>>540737003>if you are for Israel then you are for islamYou know what you are at the end of the day.
>>540737563Err if you aren't for Israel* then you are for IslamAnd vice versa. My bad.
>>540728750'Memba when that bug-eyed gook was leading in the polls?
>>540737003this board hates when you criticize muslims
>>540733639Incest is basedSimple as
>>540728750>Still putting stock in that unreliable kikeKill yourself, 1post.
>source: nate feces
>>540729266He got 2020 right, unlike all miggers.
>>540728750Kek miggers only have themselves to blame. America is DONE with LOW IQ ZIONISM
>>540738013JUST YOU WAIT LIBRUL TRANNY, TRUMP IS GOING TO WIN 4758767657689% OF THE VOTE, MAGA WILL WIN AGAIN! YOU LOST TRANNY!
>>540733792Texas is only 40% white, it's simply a matter of timeCuckservatives keep talking about based beaners but the reality is the only reason they still win elections is because of old boomers
>>540738512Cuckservatives employ even more illegals than libs do, kek
Talerico should implement a christian dictatorship and create an all trans ICE force that deports chuds.
>>540728750>There are "people" on this very message board who think that the "closeted sunday school teacher" archetype is going to outperform Beto, lol
>>540739299Talerico is like what republicans used to be, and people see him compared to demonic trump cultist republicans and yarn to go back. He is going to win in a landslide.
>>540729154Classic
>>540728750Didn't they say this with Beto O'Rourke too? >>540738512People say this without realizing that Hispanics and Asians in Texas also vote Republican
>>540739466>Talerico is like what republicans used to be, and people see him compared to demonic trump cultist republicans and yarn to go back. He is going to win in a landslide.are you really a male liberal? LMAO
>>540740157Beto was running in a very different environment, Trump still had support then. Now almost his entire base has abandoned him. The midterms are just a referendum on Trump. It also doesn't help that Paxton is legitimately fucking terrible while Talarico is just mediocre.
>>540728750yea and hillary won 2016
>>540740229>Now almost his entire base has abandoned him. The midterms are just a referendum on Trump.So why are the Dems only up 2 in the generic ballot?
>>540728750Is this like when you said that ugly gook was gonna win that election in Wisconsin and then she didn't win it and you got all depressed about it?
>>540740211liberalism is the new punch rock again, you failed at magaing chud.
>>540740393>liberalism is the new punch rock again,nah, you're just a fag tbqh
>>540740229And Cruz's office is pretty responsive, and people feel like he does represent them. And he hadn't kissed the ring and gone full migger like he does now, which played well with moderates. It wasn't an easy seat to flip for Beto
>>540728750why does politics attract so many closeted faggots? does being in the closet make you crave power? if so maybe the faggots should do something about this b4 we let them in polite society., or it could possibly destroy society as we know it?
>>540729154T.marble falls anonI commute into that refuse 4x a weekDidn't take long for it to become intolerable
>>540740310>coping this hard>not even pretending the GOP is ahead on the generic in the process of coping>>540740462If Beto had waited until after the 2021 winter storm to challenge Ted Cruz he probably would have won since Cruz ran away to fucking Cancun.
>>540740521To become a politician you need to fuck a kid, and they don't always have little girls available.
>>540733733>If my dog can't eat vegan, he will KILL HIMSELF! YOU BIGOT!!!
>>540740661we're always telling slimes to police their own. maybe we should be telling faggots too? also TKD.
>>540728750>nate plutoniumIts unironically over for talarico. Seriously though, why did you idiots think a guy who ran a vegan campaign and hates barbecue had any chance in hell in fucking Texas?Why are you always so stupid?
>>540729154I was at the same gay bar in Austin as this anon. I was nodding and loudly saying “ya damn tootin”
>>540741100Because he's better looking than the other guy and roasties will vote for him for that alone, lol
>>540729323Zoomers will never understand what it was like watching the results roll in on election night in 2016.I will remember that feeling of ecstasy forever.
>>540732164Do you think caps lock makes your statement more true?
>>540728750>nate silverok, it's worthless
>>540732826Lmao, still seething>it was HER TURN!!!
>>540728750GOOBER ASS YBOI THINK HE OBAMA
>>540733040It really is though because leftists refuse to ever admit when their wrong.
>>540740157O'Rourke ran almost entirely on "charisma," and that meant focusing on energizing the base. The problem is that he had no appeal to anyone that wasn't a solid Democrat, and his "charisma" also energized the Republicans.Talarico is running on character, which has (at least in theory) more appeal to independents than O'Rourke's strategy.That said, this is more of Republicans throwing the election than Democrats putting up a strong fight. The election wouldn't have even been a question if Cornyn had won. Meanwhile, Paxton is a horrendous candidate who needed Trump's endorsement to win the primary.
>>540741183I was living in Cali in Venice beach in this huge apartment complex. When Trump won I was screaming off my balcony “PRESIDENT TRUMP YOU FUCKING FAGGOTS!!!!”It was the high water mark for white America.
>>540733792This.They are so desperate for a blue Texas because to them it basically means they win every election from now on and dont have to pretend to care about people who dont live in cities anymore.
>>540741294If this causes Blexas, the blame lies squarely on Trump for endorsing Paxton in the primary.
>>540740592>>not even pretending the GOP is ahead on the generic in the process of copingThe opposition party always does well in the midterms as everyone should know by now, but the Dems really aren't this cycle. In 2018, which actually went decently for the Rs all things considered, the Ds had like an 8 or 10 point lead on the generic ballot at this point.
>>540740393Nobody even cares what punk rock is faggot.You liberals were obnoxious when you decided to become hipsters, and now you refuse to grow out of it turning yourselves into luddite boomers.How is the generation that made fun of old people for not knowing how to use excel trying to get AI data centers banned?You guys are so fucking backward its a joke.
your choices are:guy who is pro jewish pedophile shadow governmentguy who wants 1000 mexican men to live in your neighborhood and rape your wifepick
>>540741568>guy who is pro jewish pedophile shadow governmentseeing liberal faggots try to turn Epstein(a major Democrat donor with almost exclusively left wing friends) on Republicans has been pretty funny. Too bad none of you are smart enough to pull it off, lol
>>540728750At least he is a Christian that is one for being a girly man who doesn't care if you are lgbtq. Some people make fun of him or most do but I think his kindness is refreshing in a world of Trump and AOC, he's not Machiavellian he is just caring and wanted to make a different in peoples lives.
>>540741409>the Ds had like an 8 or 10 point lead on the generic ballot at this pointGot a source for that?>>540741762>with almost exclusively left wing friendsYou mean except Trump? Sorry republishill, nobody's buying this shit.
>>540741992>Got a source for that?Just google it and then come back and apologize when you figure out that I'm right and you're retarded. >>540741992>You mean except Trump? Sorry republishill, nobody's buying this shit.Epstein and Trump were just on the NYC/Palm Beach rich guy circuit together. You don't understand these things because you've never even been around moderately wealthy people, lol
>>540732392The polling this year has been pretty off. It showed the progressives with double digit leads that never really showed up. Hong was supposed to win handily and lost to a guy who has dropped out of his race earlier. All shit posting aside the way these polls are done is deeply deeply flawed and political strategy has been pretty rudderless for a decade now because they genuinely cannot get a good pulse on the politics of the country.
>>540742206>Just google it and then come backI just did, I couldn't find any generic polls for just Texas in 2018, only generic polls for the entirety of the 2018 midterms. But RCP's current generic average for the midterms overall is a 7-point lead for Democrats, not a 2-point lead like you said. So in other words you'e a lying faggot.
>>540742389>So in other words you'e a lying faggot.Are male libtards allowed to say faggot now? Total pol victory.
>>540728750This twink ain't winning shit lol
>>540728750good! maybe he'll pull the state's mouth off of the jewish cock that hot wheels and MAGA have gleefully been sucking on.
>>540742715>if you don't suck Trump's cock ur a heckin' tranny librul moozlim soshulist, gawd bless amerigaYou're also a nigger, nobody gives a fuck about the Dems, they just want to see you migger faggots lose.
>>540742336>the way these polls are done is deeply deeply flawedI think leftists chase polls while normal people avoid them. It's a potential significant issue because it would mean polls can no longer predict voting. Meaning voting goes wild as the media and everyone can only watch.
>>540728750There will be ads encouraging Saars to barely hold onto the GOP kek
>>540728750LETS GOOOO. I AM A TALAFREAKO
>>540742868>, nobody gives a fuck about the Dems, they just want to see you migger faggots lose.What would your kids say if they saw their dad acting like a resentful faggot online?
>>540742389And what's the current dem approval rating?Do you really think you can count on turnout to save you like it usually does?Democrats are low propensity voters.You're in trouble and you know it.
>>540742937Oh no! I guess elections will go back to how they were before public opinions.... in the 1980s...Dark times indeed
>>540728750>shit "option" a vs shit "option" bjews really do like torturing people
>>540742868If you are willing to vote for a socialist, then you are a socialist.
So for those of you just joining us, here's the situation:>2018>Dems ahead 8-10 points in the generic ballot>No Iran war, economy is relatively good, Trump's base still largely behind him>Beto vs Cruz ends in a close victory for Cruz, no 2021 winter storm that would have made Cruz lose if it happened sooner>Overall end result: Dems take the House but not the Senate>2026>Dems ahead 7 points in the generic ballot>Iran war, economy in the shitter, Trump betrayed every promise he made to his base, only boomers still with him>Talarico vs Paxton, Paxton is possibly the worst candidate they could have gotten>End result: ???>>540743089>Democrats are low propensity voters.This time Republicans are too. Nobody's going to show up for fucking Paxton, especially not after Trump fucked up so hard.>>540743192If you voted for Trump you're a pedophile.
>>540728750>nate sodiumThat nigger has been consistently wrong for like a decade at this point.How does anyone still listen to him?
>>540735015>top and bottomHeh
>>540743368>If you voted for Trump you're a pedophile.Again, all of Epstein's friends were Democrats. Hell, he was even on the phone with the Dem Rep for the USVI during a congressional hearing in 2018 giving her pointers, lol. And you're stuck voting for the poor brown people party because your life is so shit, ahahaha
>>540741349i got absolutely shitfaced at the bar down the street from my house and the last thing i remember was about 1am, woke up at 4am frantically looking for my phone to see who won,immediately called my bros who i knew would still be up doing coke and went over there and celebrated good fucking times
>>540743654>blatant liesSo all those pictures of Trump and Epstein together just don't exist apparently.
Texas is brown.
>>540743918>So all those pictures of Trump and Epstein together just don't exist apparently.Rich guys from the same city pictured together doesn't mean all that much, which you'd know if you'd ever interacted with those sorts of circles. How do you explain Epstein sounding like a garden variety MSNBC boomerlib with TDS in all of his emails though?
>>540744242>How do you explain Epstein sounding like a garden variety MSNBC boomerlib with TDS in all of his emails though?are you stupid? he's like every other kike. left-wing for thee, right-wing for me
>>540744298>are you stupid? he's like every other kike. left-wing for thee, right-wing for meI don't know... I know some of these NYC types personally and was surprised to find that a lot of them are just true believer libtards who rode the boomer wave and got filthy rich.
>>540735392Jeets, mudshits, jews. Might as well be Ontario now.
>>540728750Creepy Christian vs Corrupt Adulterer.What has my state come to?
>>540728750If you really believe that, bet your life's savings on Polymarket. You can open an account via Gemini, which has a subset of Polymarket bets.I just put another $500 on Paxton last night.
>>540728750Hot Wheels turned TX Dem.Jeets will all vote Dem, even if they lie about it.Only Whites are ever "Govt skeptical".When a Jeet kid gets his first "American govt" "job" as volunteer at local library, his entire village celebrates.
>>540728750Orange daddy made sure Talarico had it easy by endorsing Paxton - the worst, most corrupt, and revolting senate candidate in history. I want Talarico to win but Texas deserves Paxton because Texas is a giga shithole.
