https://www.weforum.org/stories/food-water-air/shocks-converge-to-threaten-global-food-production/https://archive.is/3ft3S>The shock has significantly increased nitrogen- and phosphorus-linked fertilizer prices over the past months. Synthetic fertilizers have become indispensable to growing the staple crops that feed billions around the world, so high fertilizer costs put food prices and availability at risk.>At the same time, scientists predict this year’s El Niño – a cyclical climate phenomenon fuelled by unusually warm ocean waters in the Pacific – might be one of the strongest on record. Such a ‘super’ El Niño can severely affect global temperatures and rainfall and increase the risk of extreme weather. Over the next months, this could mean severe droughts and extreme flooding, further reducing yields across producing regions.>As fertilizer stocks run out and disruption persists, planting seasons are already being affected. Fuel shortages and the war in Ukraine are already putting spring wheat harvests at risk and could make wheat the first commodity to be severely affected.>One more month of fertilizer constraints will affect global winter wheat planting seasons and tighten wheat supply as early as the first half of 2027.>Rice production could also soon be impacted, as another three months of fertilizer disruption would hit planting in most tropical regions. El Niño-related rainfall would further reduce yields expected in the first half of 2027.>Regardless of the crop, reduced harvests would matter most for regions dependent on imports. Export restrictions by major producers can protect domestic consumers but further price out importers in Southeast Asia, South Asia and Africa.
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/fastthinking/four-scenarios-for-a-looming-global-food-crisis/>Two problems are currently colliding, with major implications for the world’s food supply. In the Gulf, very few ships carrying oil and gas are passing through the Strait of Hormuz due to the risk of attacks, driving up global fertilizer prices (nitrogen-based fertilizers such as urea are processed from natural gas).>But even if strait traffic ramps up quickly, another challenge has emerged: a “super” El Niño set to begin this month. Caused by Pacific Ocean temperatures that are more than 2 degrees Celsius warmer than normal, it will raise global temperatures and disrupt weather patterns around the world.>The result is a situation that becomes untenable for a great number of countries around the world. Prices of both staple foods such as corn or rice and non-staple commodities such as cocoa or coffee spike across the board and stay high into 2027. Although there are historical precedents for such a predicament—such as the wheat-price spike following Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine that was alleviated by international cooperation—few if any food crises have been this comprehensive. >Previously stable countries are pushed into fragility and some into outright political collapse. Migration outflows from failed states trigger political crises in other countries—think of the results of Syria’s 2011 collapse, but several times over—with unpredictable consequences that reverberate for years to come.
https://www.cfr.org/articles/hunger-warfare-and-a-fertilizer-crisis-are-straining-global-food-supplies>In late July, the Russian regime once again attacked Ukrainian food export facilities.>What distinguishes this contemporary food weaponization strategy from historical precedents—such as the siege of Leningrad and the Holodomor—is its area of effect. Food weaponization now has transnational reach and geopolitical scope: modern actors can leverage control over global agricultural commodities and supporting supply chains to exert influence far beyond battlefield borders. >Over nine days in early August, Ukraine exported 463,000 metric tons (510,000 tons) of grain. That’s only about a third of the average export pace the country’s Black Sea ports handled before Russia’s renewed strikes. >Several indicators are pointing to a more severe crisis in 2027. Reduced nutrient availability, caused by high fertilizer prices, could constrain yields in the Northern Hemisphere further. Grain and crop prices have climbed in step: wheat up 24 percent from January to July 2026, rice 14 percent, basedbeans 8 percent, corn 4 percent. Farmers had already cut fertilizer purchases after the April price spike, and the continued climb has not reversed those decisions.>Then there is the final shock: .... NOAA predicts severe El Niño in the Pacific region from November 2026 to January 2027.>Even without new conflict, global food systems are under strain. But now the world is seeing the convergence of unprecedented climate effects, lingering issues caused by fertilizer price increases, and pending seasonal demand peaks, with the renewed output shocks through intensified Black Sea attacks on Ukrainian grain shipments and the continued tit-for-tat conflict between the United States and Iran. Undoubtedly, this has created compounding risks for 2027 and 2028 yields.
>>542566568Great, more browns and jeets invading the West.
https://archive.is/WgEqL>we have seen wars in Europe and the Middle East before. We have seen energy price shocks before. We have seen extreme weather events batter harvests before. What we rarely see is all of them arriving at once, each amplifying the others rather than playing out in isolation.>That is the situation facing global food markets in the second half of 2026: a war-driven fertiliser shortage, war-driven shortages of fuel and grain, and an intensifying El Nino, converging on a food system that had only just steadied after the shocks of 2022.>Two things have kept this shock from being worse. Northern Hemisphere farmers had already secured much of their fertiliser ahead of the Iran war, and natural gas prices – the main input cost for nitrogen fertiliser – have not risen as sharply as in 2022.>But those cushions are temporary. If the strait remains closed into the next planting cycle, the buffer built from pre-war inventories will run out.>The second force compounds rather than merely adds to the first. Diesel powers the tractors that plant and harvest crops, the irrigation pumps that water them, and the trucks and ships that carry both fertiliser and grain to market.>The second is the sustained campaign of Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries, which has cut Russian crude processing to roughly 60 per cent of capacity – the lowest level in more than two decades – forcing Moscow to ban diesel and petrol exports to protect its domestic market.>The third force is weather-related rather than geopolitical, but no less consequential. A strong El Nino>Historically, the Asia-Pacific has borne more of the burden from El Nino than almost any other region: The climate phenomenon typically brings drier conditions to rain-fed rice and corn belts across South and South-east Asia, weakens the Indian monsoon, and has previously cut Australian wheat output by more than a third in a single season.
>>542566665so close.famine will be used as an excuse to bring in even MORE shitstains>to help with muh farmingThey'll say "nobody wants to work!" during a famine & recession.>Alfred Henry Lewis - "There are only nine meals between mankind and anarchy."
>>542566665>>542566858Politicians can still prevent migrants, so can the public.Look at the backlash over Cueta.Then again, most Europeans still claim Russia is sending migrants through Belarus, ignoring the open Mediterranean.
>>542566568>GLOBAL FAMINE BEGINS NOW - MAJOR THINK TANKS ANNOUNCE FAMINEThe starved masses are uncontrollable.
>>542566568I have over 100 pounds of meat in my freezer, is that enough to survive the famine?
>>542567030Which politicians?Biden was flying them in in secret.https://www.naturalnews.com/2024-03-08-biden-administration-confirms-secret-migrant-flights-us.htmlLawmakers culpable as well.Why in secret? Well because the public would have protested that landings.SeparatelyBiden allowed illegals to use their>warrants for the illegal's arrestas proof of ID to flyIf that was a screenshot people here would call it AI slop it's so unbelievable.Lawmakers are also culpable here.I think this article implies illegals were allowed to fly instead of being arrested when flashing their warrant.Can't make that up.Not sure was BS Trump and the current lawmaking admin is up to, but dang.I'm not sure which politicians are actually trying to stop illegals from entering the country nor H1B sellouts.I'm the public. I've reported my previous Fortune 500 job for both H1b visa abuse and a second report of discrimination.I've also reported my Mexican neighbors to ICE, yet they remain. They pretend to not speak English yet have no problem rummaging in my car and messing with my garage door - I've caught one of them and the criminal ran away.No ICE.No H1B enforcement or revocation.>Be me>See job is hiring>Ask boss if he'd like to see resumes of qualified devs (my friends, but they're actually good)>Some were even free interns my professor friend is teaching.>Sorry Anon. These positions are for foreigners only.>UWAT.jpgThey keep getting away with it.No action on the discrimination suit.I'm not convinced the government is willing to enforce its laws unless it means more immigration.I doubt the public can do anything while the government keeps its actions secret or obfuscated at best.
https://www.chathamhouse.org/publications/the-world-today/2026-06/fifth-food-mega-shock-20-years-how-stop-these-crises-good>Now, in 2026, the crisis around Iran and the disruption to the strait threatens to combine many of these risks: energy disruption, fertilizer shortages, shipping instability, inflation, investor uncertainty, international aid retrenchment and geopolitical fragmentation.>The danger today is no longer any single disruption, but the convergence of several stresses in a deeply interconnected system. The stakes are extraordinarily high. If the current disruption continues, it has been claimed that as many as 10 billion meals a week could effectively disappear from the global food system.>The timing of these shocks makes the situation particularly dangerous. The first phase is immediate: higher fuel and transport costs. The second phase emerges over the following months as fertilizer scarcity affects planting decisions. The third phase arrives with the next harvest cycle, when reduced yields tighten supplies and push prices even higher. The result is not a short-lived shock but a cascading food inflation cycle over the next year.>The agricultural industry is already experiencing the first phase. Fuel powers tractors, irrigation systems, processing plants, refrigeration, trucking networks and shipping routes. Rising oil and gas prices therefore feed into food inflation, and within weeks, consumers are already seeing higher prices for staples. In import-dependent economies struggling with debt, the inflationary transmission is often severe. >In northern Nigeria for example, fertilizer prices have already risen beyond the reach of many small farmers, forcing some to reduce application rates despite fears of weaker harvests later this year. In parts of Pakistan, farmers are delaying planting decisions because fuel and fertilizer costs have become too uncertain.
>>542567442that's like one US serving
>>542566568Hopefully it hits India devastatingly hard.
https://archive.is/6ifT8>higher costs may translate into lower fertilizer use, affecting yields. This risk is high for the upcoming late summer and autumn planting seasons. So far, staple food prices have not risen along with input costs, causing a sort of “affordability crisis” for farmers. Figure 3 shows the relative international price of urea with respect to the international prices for rice, wheat, maize and basedbeans. An increase in this fertilizer/crop price ratio suggests inputs have become less affordable, affecting farm profitability.>The burden of higher consumer prices will be distributed unevenly. They will be felt the most by those nations and consumers who are least equipped to handle rising costs. Households in low-income countries spend around 50% of their income on food. This means that if food prices rise by 10%, their disposable income drops by 5%. On the other hand, families in high-income countries use a much smaller portion of their income for food, so price increases have a far lesser effect on their finances. In other words, supply chain disruptions and rising prices hit hardest those with less purchasing power and weaker social protection systems.>Low-income countries that rely on food imports face an added challenge known as the “dollar double-whammy.” Not only do global commodity prices go up in U.S. dollars, but geopolitical instability often makes the dollar even stronger. As a result, when these countries convert import costs into their local currencies, the prices become even higher, stretching budgets and making food less affordable.>With declining food supplies there is also the risk that major food-producing countries restrict their exports to protect their own domestic supply, as they have done during previous global food price shocks (Martin et al. 2024). These restrictions reduce the amount of food available globally and speed up price increases, hitting import-dependent countries the hardest.
>>542566568stock up on deenz or starve to death!
>>542570543I’ve deenmaxed for a while now. My only concern is the sodium.
>>542570543Alri Mercedes!!!
>>542566858The amount of food that gets destroyed every year to keep prices artificially high. There's no such thing as a food crisis, it's a corruption and mismanagement crisis.
>>542566568Why do you think jeets are being imported everywhere? They are not human and will be the next major food source. Screen shot this and look back at it when you're having roasted jeet this thanksgiving.
>>542570631Jeets eat shit, eating a jeet is the same thing as eating shit. No thanks. You can eat the jeet if you want, I will not eat the jeet.
>>542570676you vill eat the jeet and you vill be happy
>>542566568Maybe they should nut up and admit this is all israel's fault and we need a global intervention force to smash israel to dust. Call it Operation Hadrian.
>>542570543deenz and rice
>>542566568It is Agenda 2030. You will notice things vanish from shelves, consumerism is starting to be slowed down to lower standards of living. Machines will replace most workers by the mid 2030's. Behavioral compliance will mean basic subsistence. This is the start of 2-3 generations of population reduction and lowered standards of living to alter human behavior and produce a maintenance population under 2 billion people.
>>542566568we will pay more for everythingyou niggers will starve, and we will all be happier for it
>famine>niggers stop getting gibskek, let's see what happen next. Oh no, we need to send the niggers elsewhere back to africa so they can repopulate the continent!
>>542566568How will this affect Ozempic sells?
>>542566568You know who makes a massive amount of Nitrogen fertilizer?RUSSIA.You know who makes a missive amount of Phosphorus fertilizer?BELARUS.You know who has two thumbs and doesn't care about starving shitskins?THIS GUY.
>>542566568I predicted the global famine from China stopping exporting fertilizer in March, Iran oil crisis, and Super El Nino 2 months ago. The Super El Nino in 1877 killed 50 million people from famine which was 4% of the world population, mostly India and China. The modern ocean charts show the ocean is way warmer than the 1877 super El Nino that's predicted from ice core and wood samples.
>>542571555Italians are dirt poor peasants anyway
>>542571940Imagine all those fat retards who took ozempic and as soon as they finally got skinny a global famine hits and they could have survived no problem an entire year by burning their fat but now they have none. The fatties will inherit the earth
>>542571978plants need more than just nitrogen retard, they need potassium and sulfur too, along with calcium and magnesium
>>542566568Hopefully it frees us from the indian plague
>>542572072you want a medal for being able to read a write-up :|
>>542566568You will all starve to death...
>>542566661>What distinguishes this contemporary food weaponization strategy from historical precedents—such as the siege of Leningrad and the Holodomor—is its area of effect.I can't believe they printed this antisemitic slander. They should all lose their jobs! (and their children too when they get old enough to have jobs)
>>542572108>muh PotassiumYea it's called N-P-K (Nitrogen, Phosphorus, Potassium). There are many sources of Potassium . And Nitrogen only needs massive inputs of energy (natural gas helps save some steps too).Sulfur, Calcium, Cobalt, Copper, Iron and whatever are all just trace elements (not much needed).>>542572136What will happen is that BILLIONS of shitskins will decide to sneak into the west instead of starving, Camp of the Saints style.
>>542572650>What will happen is that BILLIONS of shitskins will decide to sneak into the west instead of starving, Camp of the Saints style.our governments will make sure nobody tries to stop them
>>542570767so this how they get us to WANT to eat the bugsclever
>>542571411>me at the prospect of any other war:>thank god my ass is too old to be enlisted>me at the prospect of war with israel:>god I hope my ass aint too old to enlist
Trump begs Israel to stop bombing Russian petrochemical processing plants.https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/2099282947786375237
>>542566568When should i stop eating?
>>542573092>dis golem is getting uppity
>>542567442And watt if the electric grid fails?
You aren't starving. Close to the earth people never will and they never have for eons. But if it is printed and then pictures of white people giving peanut butter to starving skeletons you believe it and start shoveling dollars into ngos. Who needs USAid when you have propaganda and politicians saying you should help the big fake.
>>542573334You should eat more. The safest place to store excess calories is on your ass (American style). When I go to sharty Mart and see my fellow fat Americans. I think, "All these skinny people will be skeletons, while all these fat people will be skinny.">>542573489>And watt if the electric grid fails?Then it's beef jerky time!
>>542566568New psyop just dropped
why are you guys trying to scare people?
>>542570543
>>542572088and we survive while you niggers die
>>542566568>we have done enough damage that everything will hopefully turn out like we predicted>now eat ze bugz
>>542566568We've got a fuck ton of potash here. Any food shortage will be manufactured
>>542571527How's that a bad thing? 2 billion people is also way too many. It should be reduced to 500 million. The elite are right
