>USDTHE FED JUST RAISED RATES TO 3.75–4.00%>YENTHE BANK OF JAPAN JUST RAISED RATES TO 1.25%THE HIGHEST LEVEL IN 31 YEARSNow that both the U.S. and Japan have announced interest rate hikes at the same time, it sounds like the stock market is about to crash.
>>542829492i dont have any stocks im poor
Poor poor nippon....they didn't see the signal flares.They didn't cut themselves loose from the sinking titanic.Now little kawaii tugboat nippon is getting pulled underwater with the rest.RIP nippon, you always were the zestiest of them all. <3
>>542829492You stupid bastards told me over and over>deflation will NEVER happen! NEVER!Who's laughing now? Dumb fuckers
Any explanation if this is good or bad for Japan?
>>542831945By raising U.S. interest rates, ensure that a rise in Japanese interest rates does not cause yen carry trades to collapse.
>>542833546It makes it worse because now you have higher interest rates in both nations. Sure the dynamic remains, but old debt just got so much more expensive to roll over for all these zombie corporations. Time to crank up the stagflationary dial.
>>542829492Jews should be able to burrow infinite money from Japan to prop up the housing market in the US forever
>>542836637>zombie corporationsThis isn’t just a matter of borrowing; the most critical issue is the energy crisis.Oil prices will continue to skyrocket no matter what. As a result, all resources imported by Japan will become more expensive.And with the yen depreciating so severely, the current interest rates can only slow the pace of its depreciation—they certainly cannot solve the problem.Interest rate hikes in Japan and imported inflation will lead to a wave of bankruptcies among Japanese companies.This is because ordinary Japanese citizens can no longer even afford to eat.
>>542837773I was leaving out the energy crisis as that was not brought up. But now that it has been and that we are seeing diesel outages in the mainland USA, I am simply waiting around to see what they will do next. A symptom of this is the AI bubble nearing its end as we see AI executives fearmongering for regulatory capture and tax payer bailouts. I would gladly trade the rest of my karmic allocation for the year if it meant that these issues accelerate and fuck up whatever plan they have for the midterms.
>>542833546interestingit'll still slump the market a little bit
Some reading for anyone interested.https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2026/07/12/the-us-is-both-the-worlds-top-oil-producer-and-top-consumer/and the document they are referring tohttps://www.energyinst.org/__data/assets/file/0004/1827616/Statistical-Review-of-World-Energy-PDF-Report.pdf
>>542838258The United States is an oil-producing country, and as a last resort, Trump could order a ban on oil exports to drive down oil prices.However, this would also lead to a complete collapse of the U.S. Treasury market.Since the U.S. would no longer be able to export oil, everyone would sell U.S. Treasuries to buy oil.Just as happened a few months ago, when the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz caused oil prices to skyrocket while gold prices plummeted.At that time, small countries were frantically selling off their gold reserves to buy oil.Next, they would sell off U.S. Treasuries.U.S. Treasury yields would surge past 6%.This is an unsolvable dilemma.
>>542838936The USA has a structural deficit of ~5.6 million barrels of oil a day, this is not even addressing the actual break down of whats actually included in that figure. The USA makes a fuck ton of LNG and sweeter blends from their own fields, but for the heavier stuff, the USA relies on imports for the rest, which are becoming very unreliable. https://www.jalopnik.com/2256151/costco-rationing-oil-doubling-price-as-supply-dwindles/ for the sake of convenience, I will conflate energy/oil with lubricants and everything in between as its all needed for the machinery. The key problem is the lack of investment in energy production in the USA as oil prices are being politically manipulated lower to both support the war effort and to subsidies gas prices. There is the idea of the well thats the USA do have are now aging and are not producing as much as they were in the past. They like to say that the domestic production is increasing, which is true. Yet they ignore that the gains from one well hardly beat out the losses from another. The USA is simply not prepared and the economy will be forced to contract due to energy constrains as well.I have not read into China recently regarding your energy stockpiles and current buying patterns, you have any thoughts to share on that? I am under the impression both oil and gold stock piles are under reported.
>>542839636Apart from key government officials, no one knows exactly how much oil China has stored underground.However, according to satellite imagery, above-ground storage facilities alone are sufficient to meet China’s demand for one year without importing a single drop of oil.If underground storage facilities are included, the supply could last more than two or even three years.Most of China’s oil purchases come from Russia and Iran. Due to long-standing Western sanctions against these two oil-producing nations, they have been forced to sell oil and natural gas to the Chinese government at a 30 percent discount.In August, just as the oil crisis was on the verge of triggering a global financial collapse, China simply stopped buying oil, which drove down international oil prices.Now that the government has resumed purchasing oil, prices are rising again.The Chinese government’s energy purchases are simply too massive; through buying alone, it can easily manipulate prices in the international energy market.Therefore, our government doesn’t care at all about rising energy prices, because it doesn’t actually need to import energy.As for gold, they’d love to see gold prices plummet due to soaring oil prices.For the Bank of China, a drop in gold prices is equivalent to a massive discount sale.Simply put, our government is using the two wars in Ukraine and Iran to rake in money as fast as possible.Iran and Russia, on the other hand, should actually thank us, because we’re giving them money so they can continue their wars.Meanwhile, China is reaping the benefits of cheap energy and discounted gold.
>>542839636I’m not even lying to you—after the war in Iran broke out, interest rates on Chinese government bonds actually fell.Our central government is incredibly wealthy—to a degree that even the vast majority of ordinary people can’t fathom.They could trigger a global financial market collapse simply by buying up massive amounts of oil.Without a single person dying.
>>542838936>when the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz caused oil prices to skyrocket while gold prices plummeted.>At that time, small countries were frantically selling off their gold reserves to buy oil.LMAO, unironically the >sell low>buy highstrategy.
>>542841072>>sell low>>buy highThis is just the beginning.J.P. Morgan has already warned that a global food crisis will erupt next year and that international food prices are about to rise.Soon, you’ll even have trouble putting food on the table.
>>542840771>>542840985I believe you, I assume China is positioning themselves in the same way the USA did post WW2. Does China intend on becoming the next world reserve currency? If so, do they want to get away from being a manufacturing nation or try to have both of both world? All I get out of news on China just come off as blatant propaganda and so I don't actually know how true the youth unemployment rate is. With the move to electrification, rare earth metals are going to be critical in that. I know copper and silver are in real short supply for the projections everyone is making.
>>542829492>1.25%Wake me up when it cracks 2%
>>542839636Canada and Venezuela produce heavy oil/tar almost exclusively. The refineries on the Gulf of Mexico are well equipped to process it. The Western Hemisphere will be fine.
>>542841493Its still not enough to keep up with current demand as refineries are maxed out and underinvested in. The current situation is increasing demand while the deficits are getting worse.
>>542841322>Does China intend on becoming the next world reserve currency?That’s not the case.We do hope to internationalize the renminbi so that we can bypass the U.S. dollar and conduct foreign trade transactions directly.But it’s impossible for it to become a universally accepted international currency like the U.S. dollar.Because that would destroy China’s manufacturing sector.The United States has experienced severe deindustrialization due to the appreciation of the U.S. dollar.As a result, now that war has broken out with Iran, they can’t even produce missiles to bomb Iran.Money is just paper; material resources are everything.The Bank of China plans to establish an international gold-based currency trading system centered on the gold standard.It might take the form of a digital gold currency, where the currency’s value depends entirely on a country’s gold reserves and national credit.This would actually benefit the U.S. dollar as well—the more gold in the U.S. Treasury, the more valuable the dollar becomes.>Imagine a Bretton Woods System 2.0, but with the addition of digital currency.https://x.com/austin_fit76995/status/2044105385728942355
>>542841713Think of it like how China handled covid. As long as it’s worse for everyone else it counts as a competitive advantage, at least on a relative basis.
>>542829492Because debt-peg both Japan nor USA not want that cap between their currencies spreading one way or the other.
>>542841777As a burger, the idea of a nation that positioned themselves very well in both financial and material terms, would not take full advantage of that for personal enrichment. I like the idea of BRICs and the basket of currencies backed by commodities, but that requires everyone to play nice. So lets hope cooperation and not perpetual war is in our future.>>542841844I just love the idea of WW3 being fought over who can come out at the biggest turd in the pile. We are all going to get fucked in some aspect, some worst that others.
>>542842250I suggest you stockpile gold and food for the long term.As the economy continues to deteriorate, the value of gold will keep rising.Furthermore, with international food prices set to rise starting next year, inflation will become extremely severe, and ordinary people will suffer greatly.Gold, whose value continues to rise, will ensure that you can still buy gasoline and bread even during the most difficult times.If you can hold out for the next five years, in a world that has returned to the gold standard, the price of gold could exceed $50,000/oz.
>>542842250My take is that China has been in an undeclared war against the west since it’s inception, it’s the nature of world communism. They’re just smarter than the Russians were and have built the rope factories to mass produce the rope, flipping the script a little. How it ends? Dunno, but it’ll be interesting, Chinese are playing the long game while western systems are inherently limited by being tied to short term political cycles. I’m less concerned about Trump than I am about the pendulum swinging back the other way.
>>542829492Yen still sliding to nothing.
>>542842525I am very much prepped for that as a prepper. What concerns me is access to good soil and seeds as everything here is poisoned with Glycophosphates that kill the bacteria in the soil and in our stomach biome. I like to make sourdough bread and access to wheat does not look good in the future. My biggest regret in life is not taking out a $350k mortgage at the age of 14 a bit after the GFC ;^)>>542842865Yes, the USA was destined to lose the position due to mismanagement and overreach as the world reserve currency like everyone else before them. Ironically, even though our president gets swapped out every 8 years at most, the congress/senate/judicial branch are all occupied by dinosaurs who have been in the game since the 80's. I really need them to all croak and make room for the future.
>>542842865China is communists in name only at this point. They are really national socialists.
>>542837069Jews don't borrow, they lend. Why else raise the rates?
>>542841322>Does China intend on becoming the next world reserve currency?This would kill the chinese currency like what happened to Japan's.
>>542843270>My biggest regret in life is not taking out a $350k mortgage at the age of 14 a bit after the GFC ;^)I’ve heard that student loans in the U.S. are pretty scary, too—you take out a $100,000 loan to go to college.After paying interest for 10 years, your debt ends up being $200,000.That’s a debt trap.
>>542843335>national socialistsThe official Chinese explanation calls it “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics.”Essentially, it is a hybrid system that combines socialism and capitalism.State-owned enterprises account for 60 percent of the country’s GDP, while private enterprises revolve around them.Basically, whatever the state tells you to do, you have to do it.Everything is done to make the national economy wealthier.
>>542843788Destroy their currency for its use as an exporter. It would sacrifice the manufacturing sector in favor for finance. What I find interesting is that their interest rates went down where everyone else went up, which would encourage foreign investment in China, who apparently want to keep their currency cheap. They will have to spend a lot of time and effort to keep the balance between manufacturing and finance in check.>>542844024I never went to college because I realized real quick how much a scam it is. Particularly with the equality bullshit and the scab labor flooding in. I did trade work until the mRNA mandates rolled out for access government contracts, which I rejected, but those contracts make up 80% of the available work in the area. Now I just spend time focusing on preparing myself for whats to come.
>>542844499>They will have to spend a lot of time and effort to keep the balance between manufacturing and finance in check.Almost all of the foreign investment attracted by the Chinese government consists of industrial capital.Examples include Tesla electric vehicles, the semiconductor industry, and factories in Germany.Unlike Jewish financial speculative capital, industrial capital requires factories to launch new products in order to turn a profit.The Chinese government plans to promote green energy globally, particularly in Europe, which is currently mired in an energy crisis.It aims to generate profits by selling solar panels to Europe and Africa.Of course, green energy alone is not enough; the government is also vigorously developing the drone and AI industries.Because if you don’t manufacture AI-powered drones, you will lose the next war and ultimately lose everything.
>>542845412Which comes back to the cooper and silver question. If material science has a break though and figures out how to use and manufacture those carbon based conductors cheaply, then the green energy golden age will be upon us without restriction. In the USA, investment in nuclear energy is still not being taken seriously.
>>542845817>In the USA, investment in nuclear energy is still not being taken seriously.The U.S. actually has the capability to build nuclear power plants or other forms of green energy.The problem lies in deindustrialization, rampant corruption, and the interests of the oil industry.Trump is essentially a puppet of the U.S. oil industry; he’ll do anything to make money. This has made it nearly impossible to develop green energy in the U.S.He’s essentially the polar opposite of a German Green Party member.The U.S. government has essentially handed the green energy market over to others because American politics doesn’t allow for green energy.Trump really needs to step down; even J.D. Vance would be better than him.I have to go to sleep now. It’s been a great conversation, anon.
>>542846501Good night, see you on the next one.
>>542829492>Ching Chong with a fake slave economy thinks he knows how financial systems work, thinks raising interest is some apocalyptic eventKek, go back to making black dildos, nigga.
>>542829492>picrel
>>542829492I'm gonna bailout wallstreet don't worry bro. Ur good to buy.
