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File: russia-1986-2026.jpg (445 KB, 1200x866)
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Previous: >>543111939

Day 1,673 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>Samara refinery strike
>Ufa refinery strike
>Mosquew authorities didn't initiate alerts during the raid to "ensure election attendance"
>Ukraine launched over a thousand drones at mosquew, setting the refinery ablaze and killing at least 3 rusniggers
>Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps Recaptures 125 Sq Km in "Operation Vivaldi" in Donetsk Region
> The Third Army Corps paralyzed the Russian elite unit "Rubicon" in Lyman
>Ukraine reveals 'Operation Vivaldi' counterattack near Lyman
>In Rostov - the destruction of an An-12 aircraft, two An-26s, and three more helicopters
>US House passes Graham's Russia sanctions bill
>Belarus reactivates signal relays
>Ukraine repatriates bodies of 252 fallen citizens
>Two S-400 launchers struck in Bryansk
>Yaroslavl oil refinery struck again
>Russian general Grunis killed weeks after being awarded Hero of Russia
>Russian general Milchakov killed in August drone strike
>In 2026, a Russian refinery was hit by drones on average every three days t. IEA
>World’s First Naval Drone Duel: Ukrainian Victory
>Strike Destroys Molniya Drone Production Facility and Fuel Tanks at Taganrog Airfield
>Russian Drone Strike Narrowly Misses Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt and Ex-CIA Chief David Petraeus

▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateUA
t.me/DroneBomber
t.me/Exilenova_Plus
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
▶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
▶russian confirmed KIA
hochuvernut.com
200.zona.media/
poteru.net/en/
▶An illustrative article for understanding the "kill zone" in Ukraine's front lines
reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/KILL-ZONE/znpnojmknvl/
▶/uhg/-approved vidya
deepstatemap.live/arcade/
▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: files.catbox.moe/19avc9.zip
>>
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Never Forget!
>https://busification.org/en
>>
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To. The. Last.
>>
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>543122258
lel.
>>
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>543122282
PUCCIAN :D
>>
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>>
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>>
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Concede and pay reparations to Russia.
>>
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>>
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Reminder behind every PUCCIAN there is a zutted, literally? XD
>>
>>543122185
TZD and don't engage with the romanian gypsy faggot with an irish vpnflag until he explains why he's a gigafaggot. >>543121645
>>
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>>
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You guys got anymore videos of dying Ukrainian soldiers you want to brag about?
>>
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>>543122406
>>
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>>543122381
Can't stop, won't stop
>>
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>>
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>>
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>>543122353
Ok that was funny I give you that.
>>543122381
Not a single one, he isn't even funny, unlike the guy larping as Zelensky.
>>
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>the brown queer deflects with aislop
>>
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>>
>>543122516
Why the memeflag, nigger?
>>
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>>
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>>
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Lol, lmao even
>>
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>>543122566
I really like the fact they are throwing most of their budget in us while getting nothing in return but more anti-PUCCIAN memes xD
>>
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>begging to see another man's penis
>>
>>543122710
post foreskin
>>
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>This shitskin is spamming the thread
embarrassing
>>
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Those damn westoid tranies, begging to see men's penises
>>
>>543122710
Benissimo xD
>>
>>543122185
the map is so retarded it's a little hard to believe. even yugoslavia? jesus christ read a book about it first
>>
>>543122776
Let's see if we can get a meltie out of him like with the bangladeshi.
>>
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>>543122776
Oh yeah? I'm communicating the truth. Unlike your pedo established who have caused so much shit for the Germans and Ukrainians already.
>>
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>straightest zigger be like
>"show foreskin"
>>
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Fucking inbreds
>>
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Genetic rejects
>>
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>543122881
Srry I played too much Wargame Red Dragon instead of being indoctrinated with a stick like you in pic related (we all know you are a chinkdian but whatever)
>>
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Why are zhills the biggest, most disgusting degenerates?
>>
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This is who is leading GayTO right now kek
>>
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>g-genetic rejects!!!
>f-fucking inbreds!!!!
>GAYTOOOO!!!!!
>>
>>543123060
Such is the power of Rusky Mir.
>>
>>543122632
14 year old to the front. This is a good sign this is the last year for shithole and the cokike addict that's ruling it
>>
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Why can't the anglokikes protect their brown, drug abusing gypsy?
>>
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>>543123225
Kinda funny they have to activate him because I was simply throwing random facts about PUCCIA in the previous thread, basically they are now reactive.
>>
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Why is Russia allowed to do what it wants?
>>
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>y is pozzia allowed to do what it wants?
>>
Man, they're spazzing today.

what blew up?
>>
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How come the discord troons haven't joined their /k/osher nazis yet?
>>
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>>543122698
Everything is worse there since russia seized it. Typical
>>
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What will the anglokikes do about it?
>>
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>d-discord troons!!!!!
>>
>543123251
>Going from long tirades about Rusky Mir to trying to make a point by mocking Zelekike
I mean I could never expect PUCCIA finally losing all their street creed against a literal crossdressing clown, but it was quite an appropriate ending all things considered xD

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfZDqT_0uPI
>>
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Why are anglokikes so incompetent?
>>
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Why are GayTO lapdogs so embarrassing?
>>
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>>543122919
Just making fun of what "she" looks like is enough to get free (you)s.
Plus she seems to be past 20 schizo posts with no signs of stopping.
>>
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>>543123523
Tranniesform and roll out! xD
>>
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>g-gayto!!!!
>>
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This is all about russniggers dying and the lowering of world AIDS.
>>
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When will /uhg/k/rannies join their /k/osher ZIOnazis?
>>
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>>543123635
Good, I was worried there was no russnigger to bump :v
>>
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teezeedee
>>
>>543122926
>who have caused so much shit
Russians, it's Russians, you dumb nigger
>>
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Why is Budanov not in Cri-me-a (river)? Has he learned to make broken promises from the anglokikes?
>>
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The anglokikes promised the Europeans that Russia would collapse within two years. Why are GayTO associates so full of shit?
>>
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>>543123780
It's even in their stupid foundational myth.
>>
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>Why is Budanov not in Cri-me-a (river)? Has he learned to make broken promises from the anglokikes?
>>
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Should the khazarian trouble makers be pogrommed once again? Find out in the next episode.
>>
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>543123861
Did they?
Wow, I mean, wow, very bad, so bad.
Nah, good things take their time.
>>
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Russia has always been a gay and impoverished shithole. Always will be. Such is the fate of subhumans.
>>
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Oy vey, the short answer is yes.
>>
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The /k/ seethe coming through on /ugh/ will never not be funny. /k/ created generational for ziggers
>>
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>>543123959
In retrospective this image should have revealed everything we need to know about PUCCIA,
>>
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>oy vey!!!!
>>
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>>543122185
when new recruits join the Russian army
https://youtu.be/ufFOghMt1yI?si=TvA9LmJpAfyhRXsf
>>
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Why are subhumans drawn to Ukraine? It's so inorganic and pushed
>>
>>543123979
*generational trauma
>>
>>543124049
Oi vey indeed.
>>
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Like what do Orthodox Slavs have to do with clip related (subhuman)?
>>
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>Why are subhumans drawn to Ukraine? It's so inorganic and pushed
>>
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Big if true
>>
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>>543124061
>subhumans
but enough about Russhits
>>
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>>543122353
how about get bombed
>>
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Russtard deflection posting is back, AIDS
>>
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>543124061
Oh well, that explains this. Thinking too much about him?
>>
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Zelensky here. I`m so pretty, so pretty. Nigger dick does that to you. Z
>>
>543124205
Another more for the collection I guess >>543122591
>>
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Every orc accusation is a projection
>>
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>>543122287
I can't help grimacing at this. War is hard and shit sucks, I get it, but that's just some old man getting tortured. He's already miserable, he's clearly not valuable. Just shoot him and be done with it if you have to.
>>
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Like this mental institution called NAFO, (sponsored by Open Society infidels) why can't Open Society/Soros get them proper medical care? Why are they exploited by these shameless anglokikes?
>>
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>>543124269
Globohomo more like gulaghomo xD
>>
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>>
27000
>>
>543124205
Outer /pol/ can't stop talking about blacked shit. What is wrong with them?
>>
>>
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>543124205
>Zelensky here. I`m so pretty, so pretty. Nigger dick does that to you. Z
Vodka powered intelligence at work. This actor, whom you mock, is destroying the russia and lowering world AIDS. Did I mention AIDS?
>>
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>>543124294
Looks like abuse, don't it
>>
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>>
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Look at this whore using the youth in her sick political games.
>>
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Total Zigger Death
>>
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>>>>>543122185
In this infinite-mercy of Culśanś-Hermes-Neptune-Polaris-Pleiades-Ogdoad-Sol-Uranus-Slaanesh-Ares-Selene-Abrasax-2020-Amalek-Februus-Enlil-Ilu-Europa-Yehoodah-Jupiter-Ploutos-Inari-Hotei-Ebisu-Daikoku-Earth-Saturn-Discordia,
Bless those who bless Ukraine; Curse those who curse Ukraine. Ahmeyn; So mote it be. [ 8-8-8 ]
>>
>it's a brown meltdown thread
34 pbtid holy shit
>>
>>543124456
Oh god, what is that?
>>
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These GayTO politicians are like predators recruiting children for their anti Russia campaign. Subhumans is the correct term for them.
>>
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>>>>>543124541
>>>>>543122185
God bless those Ukrainian war-criminals; God curse The Russian Federation. Ahmeyn; So mote it be. [ 8-8-8 ]
>>
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Look, another child abuser
>>
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>trannies trannies trannies trannies
>comrade the dick is in the ass, dick and balls comrade
>dedovshchina is trad and based comrade xaxaxaxa )))))
>>
>>543124563
Heh

russtards lost a lot of their supposed gainZ lately
>>
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a zigger gasboy to toast up the bread
>>
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Recruiting youth for their death games
>>
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>Pedo on the job recruiting the youth
>>
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>>
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The recruitment doesn't stop at Ukraine, unfortunately. Homosexuals don't reproduce they recruit by means of molestation
>>
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Nothing good comes from it. Love they call it
>>
>Homosexuals don't reproduce they recruit by means of molestation
Do they also recruit by begging for dick pics?
>>543122710
>>543122794
>>
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Some cultures found a cure
>>
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Others just point and laugh at the "vivid progression"
>>
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>>543123203
till Muslim become majority in UK
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N48TBntiW4Q
>>
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>>543124683
Hey bud, just so you don’t feel like you’re wasting your time in the thread, I bought you another dead pidorussian
Thanks for the bumps, hope they were worth it hehe
>>
Danetroon has been here for fucking 12 hours every day for months kek
>>
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>>
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>>543124061
>Why are subhumans drawn to Ukraine?
ask the Russians,
Why do you fucking "SUBHUMANS" drown to Ukraine that you would destroy your own country and comrades for? Obviously no one is more DRAWN to Ukraine then Monke's Uruks.
>>
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The anglokikes take their molestation very seriously
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qUSSH0r3WOc
>>
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>>543124923
He went missing for like 2 weeks or so
Guess they let him out of the psych ward
>>
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The French got infected too
>>
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>>
>>543125003
He's so embarrassed for being outed as a pedophile he changed to an Irish VPN
>>
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>>
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>>543124965
I'm talking about the most obvious subhumans
>>
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>>543124965
>>
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>>
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https://x.com/actfast/status/2102511968301310260
> RUSSIAN MILBLOGGERS ADMIT UKRAINIAN FORCES ARE CHASING THE 144TH MOTORIZED RIFLE DIVISION BEYOND THE ZHEREBETS RIVER.

> UKRAINIAN FORCES HAVE CROSSED THE RIVER AND ARE DRIVING THE 144TH TOWARD KREMINNA–KRASNOPOPIVKA AS RUSSIA'S PRESENCE ON THE WEST BANK QUICKLY EVAPORATES.

fucking KEK, russtards XD
>>
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By the way, I sorely miss /anarchist/ fren
>>
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>>543125209
lel
Also it seems the memedogs mindbreaking russniggers won't stop.
>>
>>543123635
>pic
He would sell his Kursk gradmother's ass to look even remotly like Konchita Wurst. The best our little asylum seeker can do is larp as the Mcdonnald's clown.
>>
In case you missed it, UN walking out on Netanyahu's speech. Best thing I've seen all day.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGczX15Xu8M
>>
>>543125353
Good
>>
>>543125281
NAFO mindraping russtards will never not be funny lol


>>543125353
Very nice
>>
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drowned subhuman no more AIDS
>>
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this place needs more dead russniggers
>>
>>543125353
Should've pelted him with glasses and shoes instead.
>>
>>543125462
saved btw
>>
>>543125353
Yeah, that IS what a 20% approval looks like.....
>>
>>543125353
>upload date: 11 months ago
>>
>>543125661
Just saw it. Think it's gotten any better?
>>
Tomorrow I will remind the subhumans of their subhuman nature once again. May some of you have a very disturbed night.
>>
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>>543122185
TZD
>>
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Zigger wanted a rain cheque on its AIDS cure. Denied.
>>
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I'm ready to be subjected to any quantity and intensity of suffering on the condition that I can take all Ivans with me
TZD TPD TRD
>>
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God bless The Kingdom of Denmark; God curse The Russian Federation. Ahmeyn; So mote it be. [ 8-8-8 ]
>>
>>543125848
clever nordlings...
>>
>>543122185

When will the uraine stop coping?
>>
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Ukie buzz bomb doing IFR
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ROASTY TOASTY
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>>543123325
Because Russia is a great power.
>>
https://files.catbox.moe/8bh15r.mp4

Odessan warehouse got toasted
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Achtung, great power inc
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>>543123861
For Western leaders, admitting the failure of an investment or geopolitical strategy is associated with enormous electoral risks. Therefore, in the public sphere the emphasis shifts to rhetoric of “defending democratic values” and “strategic defeat of the opponent,” even when real economic indicators point to a severe crisis and resource depletion.
>>
>Episode 9: Is Ukraine Committing National Suicide?
https://youtu.be/zmatx3ZJDKY

Everyone already knows the answer.
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Dobropilia (both of them) about to fall.
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>>543126229
Well they're not killing themselves, russia is killing them. Doesn't fit the definition of suicide
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ziggers in their scoobie doo's
such power!
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>>543125209
10s of thousands of russoids dead for nothing lmao
at least they are inherently worthless so there’s no great loss
>>
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>>543126091
Ahahahaha oh that's a classic!
Hey "great power", how come you're losing against your impoverished neighbor?
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>>543126379
Not for nothing. Dead russniggers have brought a lot of anons a lot of joy.
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russnigger inexplicably carries explodium
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>>543126091
>Because Russia is a great power.

>Kyrylo Budanov
The Russians are beginning to understand that their army is not that strong, that their air defense systems are not that good, and that the Russian army is actually not capable of protecting the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territory.
>This is not at all the second army in the world, and not even the fourth. And the reckoning will come.”
>“The understanding that there will be retribution comes to people when they personally begin to see and feel that the war is not somewhere in some part of the world, but on their own territory. Therefore, the turning point has already begun

Russia is trash
TZD
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>summer over
>fall has arrived
>pederatsiye won't last through winter

in short our thread is doomed
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>>543126738
Cheer up anon, there will be another, even better bread. This one was only supposed to last 3 days.
>>
Russia refinery are keep being strike? Jesus christ bro, the mighty indeed fall off

But europe going run out of oil too, in this rate, due to usa-iran conflict in middle east
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>>543126778
I like when he points straight at the camera
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>>543126259
In my experience as soon as fighting hits an urban centre it slows to a crawl, is there any reason you think this time will be different? They're at the outskirts.
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>>543126818
aye
and it better be a real civil war this time pidors, dozens of factions, multiple decades of fighting
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explodium plating on ziggerloaf performs as expected
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Why do WOKE libtards hate indians so much? Wasn't this supposed to be the part of tolerance?
>>
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>>543126969
lets not feed them this time, especially not us
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>>543127023
>w-why do you hate nigger bug creatures that eat their own shit, leave a disgusting shit mess wherever they go and worship thousands of nigger gods.
lol....LMAO even.
>>
>>543126346
At any moment, ukraine could tell Russia they will no longer pretend to be western.

At that same moment, ukriane stops committing suicide.
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mayo taster's mom gets the cheetos
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>>543127023
Maybe, just maybe, your favourite idiotic biased "debate" youtuber painting everything black and white was incorrect?
>>
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>>543126551
We are richer in their loss.
>>
>>543127258
Lmao, even when you're simping you still make it obvious how much you acknowledge all the vatnik bullshit. You used suicide in the "he totally fell out of the window" sense.
>>
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>>543127258
the West is the only civilization in this world and may expand where it pleases
also, Germany, the Hyperion itself, is in the West, we stand above all, therefore our allies and partners do as well
>>
What's even the poibt of makis these threads if there is no updates. Sama refinery was hit when?
>>
>>543122185
TzD
>>
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russniggers lost their 2026 gains
AIDS
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are you fucking retarded
>>
>>543127642
yesterday
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remember: quantity has no quality of its own
TWNBYB
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we don't need no socialism
we don't need no komsomol
no Marx or Engels in the class room
hey! lefty! you will face the wall
>>
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Looks like TZD is back on the menu, boys!
>>
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>>543128331
nice
>>
>>543122185
If someone showed the 2026 map to people in 1986 no one would have believed them. I wonder what the 2066 map will look like?
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>>543128331
BanderaGPT, run the numbers.
>beep beep boop boop
>1.083 dzpm
>64.98 dzph
>one bonus dead zigger every 12 mins
>>
>>543127952
Yes how could you tell ?
>>
>>543128331
Gotta pump those numbers up.
>>
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>>543129174
>>543129064
>>543128792
>>543128375
>>543128331

Trannies,

Listen to the section of Prof. Mearsheimer's talk where he covers the corruption inside ukraine.

https://youtu.be/zmatx3ZJDKY?t=1696

Listen to him acknowledge how the dirty dealings inside ukraine has caused irreparable damage to democratic institutions across the west.

I always said there will come a time when all of you trannies will pretend you never supported ukraine to begin with.

This whole shitshow will come crashing down soon enough.
>>
>>543129444
>political lesbianism kvetching

Nobody cares pidor.
>>
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>>543129444
>will come crashing down soon enough
Any day now. Hold out hope Z
>>
>>543129444
>posting the big bad Mersh in anno domini 2026
They're not sending their best and brightest, are they?
>>
>>543129496
given that all of your lesbian leaders in Europe are telling you to prepare to die in ukraine, I would say a lot of people care.

When you're shipped to ukraine, I bet you wont find it so easy to continue supporting them.
>>
>>543129513
>>543129515

its never just one finnish flag that appears.

Its all so disgusting to witness.
>>
Russian people are attacked because they aren't subhuman slaves like euroshits
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>>543129647
Innocent peace loving victims who dinduu nuffin
>>
>>543129604
The internet belongs to Binland :D:D
>>
>>543124198
So...what happened this time?

Refinery, Mosquew, or Warehouse?
>>
Zelensky regime brainwashing children from age of 2 for war, fascism, and invasion of Russia. Absolute evil
>>
>>543129566
Those are some nice delusions tranny.

I'm sure you'll be happy to be the trench whore for your churka masters.
>>
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>>543129775
Ukrainian children being send to the frontlines to shell Donetsk children
>>
>>543129908
>>543129775
This is what the Christian Rodina is fighting against...
>>
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>>543126729
Zelensky will prove to the Moscow tsar, on principle, just how wrong he was. And neither the horrifying losses of the Ukrainian army nor the devastated Ukrainian economy will stop Zelensky.
>>
>>543129908
fascinating. from a very young age, ukies are trained to shoot each other in the back.

I bet finns undergo similar training. This has been how you guys have behaved ever since joining NATO.
>>
"The war in Ukraine will not end with a Russian victory, since the Russian army is doing poorly on the battlefield. This war is harmful for both sides. It is obvious that it harms Ukraine and is disastrous for Russia." - Marco Rubio
>>
>>543130038
>Marco Rubio

Cant hope to continue his career in politics if NATO and the entire western order collapses under his watch.

Despite the Trump administration being voted in to end the war in ukraine, everyone in his administration has an interest to do the exact opposite.

Why is it ukraine supporters can only ever view the world through the surface level kayfabe that is fed to them?
>>
>>543129999
It's the state of pigrainian Zelesnkyy jugend training and shows how desperate the russophobic regime is

http://www.spo-vat.ru/obshhenie/novosti/44257/
>>
>>543130124
You have a very shallow understanding of politics. You should go back.
>>
>>543130038
Rubio went from a 'neutral mediator' to 'we have chosen Ukraine's side.' In June 2026, he stated that the U.S. cannot be an impartial mediator because it supports Kyiv. Critics (including retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis) accused him of having 'destroyed the negotiating process.' Three months later, in September, he again speaks of the 'logic of negotiations.' This is a cyclical shift in rhetoric, reflecting the uncertainty of the American position.

>'Russia will not win'
Russia has already occupied ~18% of Ukraine's territory and holds the land corridor to Crimea. This is not victory, but it is not defeat either.
>'Poor results on the battlefield'
Russia continues to advance in Donbas, albeit slowly. 'Poor' is an evaluative category.
>'Destructive for Russia'
The Russian economy has adapted: the military-industrial complex is working, unemployment is low, and real incomes of the population grew in 2023–2024.
>'Harmful to both sides'
For Ukraine — physical survival; for Russia — financial costs. The scale of damage is incomparable.
>'It will end in negotiations'
Negotiations have not begun, and it is not certain they will. Rubio himself admits: the sides are 'far from an agreement.'
>>
>>543129999
>retarded pidor got baited >>543130129
It's so easy with you niggers.
>>
>>543130307
Good bait but you should also throw in some boasting about the warm water ports
>>
>>543122585
>>
>>543130307
>it is not defeat either
So the 3-day SMO going for year 4, and that's the best you can brag about?
>Russia continues to advance
Not even the telegram Zhills like Crybar can support such a statement.
>Russian economy has adapted
What's the key interest rate of the CB? What's the budget deficit? Why is the GDP contracting? Why is the government pretending inflation is 10%? Why do you need to import jeets for streetsweeping? Why do large company impose a 3-day work week? Why is the largest real-estate devloper begging the government for a bailout?
>The scale of damage is incomparable.
Yeah, Ukraine can be rebuild - nobody will help you niggers ever again
>>
>>543123251
how about single mothers?
>>
>>543130307
>Russia has already occupied ~18% of Ukraine's territory
make it 12%. Crimea was handled to you without a fuss
>Russia continues to advance in Donbas, albeit slowly.
very slowly in fact. at this rate it'll take another 5-10 years to take it and time is not in pyccia's favour
>The Russian economy has adapted
with selling gold reserves, seizing private companies and milking (both literally and figuratively) the society
>for Russia — financial costs
and the pyccian society. and existence too
>>
>>543130124
Conspiracy theories are like religions, every retard has one and as soon as you dig under the hood it turns out none of them agree on them.
>>
>>543122926
>>
>>543130625
hear me out...
>>
>>543130620
Ukraine’s infrastructure and economy are destroyed; its survival depends on external assistance. Russia has macroeconomic imbalances, but still has significant resource potential.

Many public claims about Russia’s “poor results” or the “destructiveness” of the conflict for it are in fact either evaluative or fail to take into account the adaptive capacity of the Russian economy. Reality is more complex than any unequivocal formulations, and the situation is indeed far from a negotiated solution.
>>
>feeding vatgpt (You)'s
Grim
>>
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i dont like russians very much or something
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>>543123879
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>>543123965
>>
>>543130723
While Russia possesses vast resource potential, converting those resources into long-term economic stability or sustainable military power during prolonged war is exceedingly difficult:

The "Cannibalization" of the Economy: Converting an economy to military production generates short-term GDP growth, but it sacrifices future productive capacity. Capital is funneled into consumable goods (like artillery shells and armored vehicles that get destroyed) rather than growth-generating infrastructure, health, education, or technology.

Depletion of Sovereign Wealth: Russia's liquid reserves (such as the National Wealth Fund) have been drawn down significantly to subsidize war spending and buoy domestic industries.

Infrastructure Bottlenecks: Redirecting oil, gas, and commodities away from Western markets toward Asia requires massive physical infrastructure that takes years and immense capital to build, eroding profit margins through high transport costs and steep discounts to buyers like China and India.
>>
>>543130723
Import Substitution Limits: Russian manufacturing and defense sectors rely heavily on Western high-tech components. "Adapting" often means replacing advanced Western microchips or machinery with inferior substitutes or routing them through complex, costly third-country intermediaries (parallel imports).

Demographic and Human Capital Collapse: Hundreds of thousands of working-age adults have died or been injured, while hundreds of thousands of educated, tech-savvy professionals fled the country. Russia faces acute, chronic labor shortages that severely cap future economic growth.

High Interest Rates and Inflation: Maintaining a war footing while trying to control inflation forces high domestic interest rates, which starves non-military private businesses of credit and private investment.

Sustained Western Integration: Ukraine's economic survival relies on Western aid, but this aid is tied to deep structural integration with Europe (including EU accession pathways, financial modernizations, and institutional reforms). Western aid acts as a bridge toward long-term reconstruction and modernization.

Russia's Isolation: Russia faces systemic sanctions, frozen foreign reserves, and isolation from Western capital markets and technology transfer. Its reliance on China creates an asymmetric, junior-partner dependency that limits Russia's economic sovereignty over time.
>>
>>543130723
Strategic attrition affects both sides. War costs are non-linear; an economy can appear stable right up until critical thresholds are crossed (e.g., severe currency inflation, industrial supply chain bottlenecks, or social discontent over labor shortages).

Russia’s resilience relies on high military spending and high energy revenue. Significant drops in global energy demand or price caps create sharp, immediate fiscal pressures that domestic "adaptation" cannot easily offset.
>>
>>543130651
This is not a collapse, but a restructuring of the economy in wartime mode, which has its own logic and resources. You are underestimating the Russian economy’s ability to restructure. Sanctions turned out to be weaker than expected, and its reserves of resilience are higher.
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>>543124982
>>
>>543130894
Calling it 'restructuring' doesn't make it sustainable. Burning through sovereign reserves, running factories on depleted machinery, and spending state budgets on equipment designed to be destroyed isn't a new economic model—it's capital consumption. Sanctions weren't meant to cause a sudden crash; they degrade efficiency and technology over time. Russia isn't building a resilient future economy; it's burning its future economic potential just to maintain current military output.



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