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File: russia-1986-2026.jpg (445 KB, 1200x866)
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Previous: >>543111939

Day 1,673 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>Samara refinery strike
>Ufa refinery strike
>Mosquew authorities didn't initiate alerts during the raid to "ensure election attendance"
>Ukraine launched over a thousand drones at mosquew, setting the refinery ablaze and killing at least 3 rusniggers
>Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps Recaptures 125 Sq Km in "Operation Vivaldi" in Donetsk Region
> The Third Army Corps paralyzed the Russian elite unit "Rubicon" in Lyman
>Ukraine reveals 'Operation Vivaldi' counterattack near Lyman
>In Rostov - the destruction of an An-12 aircraft, two An-26s, and three more helicopters
>US House passes Graham's Russia sanctions bill
>Belarus reactivates signal relays
>Ukraine repatriates bodies of 252 fallen citizens
>Two S-400 launchers struck in Bryansk
>Yaroslavl oil refinery struck again
>Russian general Grunis killed weeks after being awarded Hero of Russia
>Russian general Milchakov killed in August drone strike
>In 2026, a Russian refinery was hit by drones on average every three days t. IEA
>World’s First Naval Drone Duel: Ukrainian Victory
>Strike Destroys Molniya Drone Production Facility and Fuel Tanks at Taganrog Airfield
>Russian Drone Strike Narrowly Misses Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt and Ex-CIA Chief David Petraeus

▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateUA
t.me/DroneBomber
t.me/Exilenova_Plus
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
▶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
▶russian confirmed KIA
hochuvernut.com
200.zona.media/
poteru.net/en/
▶An illustrative article for understanding the "kill zone" in Ukraine's front lines
reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/KILL-ZONE/znpnojmknvl/
▶/uhg/-approved vidya
deepstatemap.live/arcade/
▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: files.catbox.moe/19avc9.zip
>>
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Never Forget!
>https://busification.org/en
>>
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To. The. Last.
>>
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>543122258
lel.
>>
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>543122282
PUCCIAN :D
>>
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>>
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>>
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Concede and pay reparations to Russia.
>>
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>>
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Reminder behind every PUCCIAN there is a zutted, literally? XD
>>
>>543122185
TZD and don't engage with the romanian gypsy faggot with an irish vpnflag until he explains why he's a gigafaggot. >>543121645
>>
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>>
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You guys got anymore videos of dying Ukrainian soldiers you want to brag about?
>>
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>>543122406
>>
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>>543122381
Can't stop, won't stop
>>
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>>
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>>
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>>543122353
Ok that was funny I give you that.
>>543122381
Not a single one, he isn't even funny, unlike the guy larping as Zelensky.
>>
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>the brown queer deflects with aislop
>>
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>>
>>543122516
Why the memeflag, nigger?
>>
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>>
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>>
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Lol, lmao even
>>
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>>543122566
I really like the fact they are throwing most of their budget in us while getting nothing in return but more anti-PUCCIAN memes xD
>>
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>begging to see another man's penis
>>
>>543122710
post foreskin
>>
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>This shitskin is spamming the thread
embarrassing
>>
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Those damn westoid tranies, begging to see men's penises
>>
>>543122710
Benissimo xD
>>
>>543122185
the map is so retarded it's a little hard to believe. even yugoslavia? jesus christ read a book about it first
>>
>>543122776
Let's see if we can get a meltie out of him like with the bangladeshi.
>>
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>>543122776
Oh yeah? I'm communicating the truth. Unlike your pedo established who have caused so much shit for the Germans and Ukrainians already.
>>
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>straightest zigger be like
>"show foreskin"
>>
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Fucking inbreds
>>
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Genetic rejects
>>
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>543122881
Srry I played too much Wargame Red Dragon instead of being indoctrinated with a stick like you in pic related (we all know you are a chinkdian but whatever)
>>
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Why are zhills the biggest, most disgusting degenerates?
>>
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This is who is leading GayTO right now kek
>>
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>g-genetic rejects!!!
>f-fucking inbreds!!!!
>GAYTOOOO!!!!!
>>
>>543123060
Such is the power of Rusky Mir.
>>
>>543122632
14 year old to the front. This is a good sign this is the last year for shithole and the cokike addict that's ruling it
>>
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Why can't the anglokikes protect their brown, drug abusing gypsy?
>>
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>>543123225
Kinda funny they have to activate him because I was simply throwing random facts about PUCCIA in the previous thread, basically they are now reactive.
>>
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Why is Russia allowed to do what it wants?
>>
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>y is pozzia allowed to do what it wants?
>>
Man, they're spazzing today.

what blew up?
>>
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How come the discord troons haven't joined their /k/osher nazis yet?
>>
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>>543122698
Everything is worse there since russia seized it. Typical
>>
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What will the anglokikes do about it?
>>
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>d-discord troons!!!!!
>>
>543123251
>Going from long tirades about Rusky Mir to trying to make a point by mocking Zelekike
I mean I could never expect PUCCIA finally losing all their street creed against a literal crossdressing clown, but it was quite an appropriate ending all things considered xD

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfZDqT_0uPI
>>
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Why are anglokikes so incompetent?
>>
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Why are GayTO lapdogs so embarrassing?
>>
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>>543122919
Just making fun of what "she" looks like is enough to get free (you)s.
Plus she seems to be past 20 schizo posts with no signs of stopping.
>>
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>>543123523
Tranniesform and roll out! xD
>>
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>g-gayto!!!!
>>
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This is all about russniggers dying and the lowering of world AIDS.
>>
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When will /uhg/k/rannies join their /k/osher ZIOnazis?
>>
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>>543123635
Good, I was worried there was no russnigger to bump :v
>>
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teezeedee
>>
>>543122926
>who have caused so much shit
Russians, it's Russians, you dumb nigger
>>
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Why is Budanov not in Cri-me-a (river)? Has he learned to make broken promises from the anglokikes?
>>
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The anglokikes promised the Europeans that Russia would collapse within two years. Why are GayTO associates so full of shit?
>>
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>>543123780
It's even in their stupid foundational myth.
>>
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>Why is Budanov not in Cri-me-a (river)? Has he learned to make broken promises from the anglokikes?
>>
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Should the khazarian trouble makers be pogrommed once again? Find out in the next episode.
>>
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>543123861
Did they?
Wow, I mean, wow, very bad, so bad.
Nah, good things take their time.
>>
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Russia has always been a gay and impoverished shithole. Always will be. Such is the fate of subhumans.
>>
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Oy vey, the short answer is yes.
>>
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The /k/ seethe coming through on /ugh/ will never not be funny. /k/ created generational for ziggers
>>
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>>543123959
In retrospective this image should have revealed everything we need to know about PUCCIA,
>>
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>oy vey!!!!
>>
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>>543122185
when new recruits join the Russian army
https://youtu.be/ufFOghMt1yI?si=TvA9LmJpAfyhRXsf
>>
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Why are subhumans drawn to Ukraine? It's so inorganic and pushed
>>
>>543123979
*generational trauma
>>
>>543124049
Oi vey indeed.
>>
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Like what do Orthodox Slavs have to do with clip related (subhuman)?
>>
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>Why are subhumans drawn to Ukraine? It's so inorganic and pushed
>>
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Big if true
>>
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>>543124061
>subhumans
but enough about Russhits
>>
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>>543122353
how about get bombed
>>
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Russtard deflection posting is back, AIDS
>>
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>543124061
Oh well, that explains this. Thinking too much about him?
>>
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Zelensky here. I`m so pretty, so pretty. Nigger dick does that to you. Z
>>
>543124205
Another more for the collection I guess >>543122591
>>
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Every orc accusation is a projection
>>
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>>543122287
I can't help grimacing at this. War is hard and shit sucks, I get it, but that's just some old man getting tortured. He's already miserable, he's clearly not valuable. Just shoot him and be done with it if you have to.
>>
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Like this mental institution called NAFO, (sponsored by Open Society infidels) why can't Open Society/Soros get them proper medical care? Why are they exploited by these shameless anglokikes?
>>
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>>543124269
Globohomo more like gulaghomo xD
>>
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>>
27000
>>
>543124205
Outer /pol/ can't stop talking about blacked shit. What is wrong with them?
>>
>>
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>543124205
>Zelensky here. I`m so pretty, so pretty. Nigger dick does that to you. Z
Vodka powered intelligence at work. This actor, whom you mock, is destroying the russia and lowering world AIDS. Did I mention AIDS?
>>
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>>543124294
Looks like abuse, don't it
>>
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>>
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Look at this whore using the youth in her sick political games.
>>
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Total Zigger Death
>>
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>>>>>543122185
In this infinite-mercy of Culśanś-Hermes-Neptune-Polaris-Pleiades-Ogdoad-Sol-Uranus-Slaanesh-Ares-Selene-Abrasax-2020-Amalek-Februus-Enlil-Ilu-Europa-Yehoodah-Jupiter-Ploutos-Inari-Hotei-Ebisu-Daikoku-Earth-Saturn-Discordia,
Bless those who bless Ukraine; Curse those who curse Ukraine. Ahmeyn; So mote it be. [ 8-8-8 ]
>>
>it's a brown meltdown thread
34 pbtid holy shit
>>
>>543124456
Oh god, what is that?
>>
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These GayTO politicians are like predators recruiting children for their anti Russia campaign. Subhumans is the correct term for them.
>>
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>>>>>543124541
>>>>>543122185
God bless those Ukrainian war-criminals; God curse The Russian Federation. Ahmeyn; So mote it be. [ 8-8-8 ]
>>
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Look, another child abuser
>>
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>trannies trannies trannies trannies
>comrade the dick is in the ass, dick and balls comrade
>dedovshchina is trad and based comrade xaxaxaxa )))))
>>
>>543124563
Heh

russtards lost a lot of their supposed gainZ lately
>>
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a zigger gasboy to toast up the bread
>>
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Recruiting youth for their death games
>>
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>Pedo on the job recruiting the youth
>>
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>>
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The recruitment doesn't stop at Ukraine, unfortunately. Homosexuals don't reproduce they recruit by means of molestation
>>
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Nothing good comes from it. Love they call it
>>
>Homosexuals don't reproduce they recruit by means of molestation
Do they also recruit by begging for dick pics?
>>543122710
>>543122794
>>
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Some cultures found a cure
>>
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Others just point and laugh at the "vivid progression"
>>
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>>543123203
till Muslim become majority in UK
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N48TBntiW4Q
>>
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>>543124683
Hey bud, just so you don’t feel like you’re wasting your time in the thread, I bought you another dead pidorussian
Thanks for the bumps, hope they were worth it hehe
>>
Danetroon has been here for fucking 12 hours every day for months kek
>>
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>>
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>>543124061
>Why are subhumans drawn to Ukraine?
ask the Russians,
Why do you fucking "SUBHUMANS" drown to Ukraine that you would destroy your own country and comrades for? Obviously no one is more DRAWN to Ukraine then Monke's Uruks.
>>
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The anglokikes take their molestation very seriously
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qUSSH0r3WOc
>>
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>>543124923
He went missing for like 2 weeks or so
Guess they let him out of the psych ward
>>
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The French got infected too
>>
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>>
>>543125003
He's so embarrassed for being outed as a pedophile he changed to an Irish VPN
>>
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>>
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>>543124965
I'm talking about the most obvious subhumans
>>
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>>543124965
>>
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>>
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https://x.com/actfast/status/2102511968301310260
> RUSSIAN MILBLOGGERS ADMIT UKRAINIAN FORCES ARE CHASING THE 144TH MOTORIZED RIFLE DIVISION BEYOND THE ZHEREBETS RIVER.

> UKRAINIAN FORCES HAVE CROSSED THE RIVER AND ARE DRIVING THE 144TH TOWARD KREMINNA–KRASNOPOPIVKA AS RUSSIA'S PRESENCE ON THE WEST BANK QUICKLY EVAPORATES.

fucking KEK, russtards XD
>>
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By the way, I sorely miss /anarchist/ fren
>>
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>>543125209
lel
Also it seems the memedogs mindbreaking russniggers won't stop.
>>
>>543123635
>pic
He would sell his Kursk gradmother's ass to look even remotly like Konchita Wurst. The best our little asylum seeker can do is larp as the Mcdonnald's clown.
>>
In case you missed it, UN walking out on Netanyahu's speech. Best thing I've seen all day.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGczX15Xu8M
>>
>>543125353
Good
>>
>>543125281
NAFO mindraping russtards will never not be funny lol


>>543125353
Very nice
>>
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drowned subhuman no more AIDS
>>
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this place needs more dead russniggers
>>
>>543125353
Should've pelted him with glasses and shoes instead.
>>
>>543125462
saved btw
>>
>>543125353
Yeah, that IS what a 20% approval looks like.....
>>
>>543125353
>upload date: 11 months ago
>>
>>543125661
Just saw it. Think it's gotten any better?
>>
Tomorrow I will remind the subhumans of their subhuman nature once again. May some of you have a very disturbed night.
>>
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>>543122185
TZD
>>
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Zigger wanted a rain cheque on its AIDS cure. Denied.
>>
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I'm ready to be subjected to any quantity and intensity of suffering on the condition that I can take all Ivans with me
TZD TPD TRD
>>
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God bless The Kingdom of Denmark; God curse The Russian Federation. Ahmeyn; So mote it be. [ 8-8-8 ]
>>
>>543125848
clever nordlings...
>>
>>543122185

When will the uraine stop coping?
>>
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Ukie buzz bomb doing IFR
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ROASTY TOASTY
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>>543123325
Because Russia is a great power.
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https://files.catbox.moe/8bh15r.mp4

Odessan warehouse got toasted
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Achtung, great power inc
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>>543123861
For Western leaders, admitting the failure of an investment or geopolitical strategy is associated with enormous electoral risks. Therefore, in the public sphere the emphasis shifts to rhetoric of “defending democratic values” and “strategic defeat of the opponent,” even when real economic indicators point to a severe crisis and resource depletion.
>>
>Episode 9: Is Ukraine Committing National Suicide?
https://youtu.be/zmatx3ZJDKY

Everyone already knows the answer.
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Dobropilia (both of them) about to fall.
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>>543126229
Well they're not killing themselves, russia is killing them. Doesn't fit the definition of suicide
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ziggers in their scoobie doo's
such power!
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>>543125209
10s of thousands of russoids dead for nothing lmao
at least they are inherently worthless so there’s no great loss
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>>543126091
Ahahahaha oh that's a classic!
Hey "great power", how come you're losing against your impoverished neighbor?
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>>543126379
Not for nothing. Dead russniggers have brought a lot of anons a lot of joy.
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russnigger inexplicably carries explodium
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>>543126091
>Because Russia is a great power.

>Kyrylo Budanov
The Russians are beginning to understand that their army is not that strong, that their air defense systems are not that good, and that the Russian army is actually not capable of protecting the temporarily occupied Ukrainian territory.
>This is not at all the second army in the world, and not even the fourth. And the reckoning will come.”
>“The understanding that there will be retribution comes to people when they personally begin to see and feel that the war is not somewhere in some part of the world, but on their own territory. Therefore, the turning point has already begun

Russia is trash
TZD
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>summer over
>fall has arrived
>pederatsiye won't last through winter

in short our thread is doomed
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>>543126738
Cheer up anon, there will be another, even better bread. This one was only supposed to last 3 days.
>>
Russia refinery are keep being strike? Jesus christ bro, the mighty indeed fall off

But europe going run out of oil too, in this rate, due to usa-iran conflict in middle east
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>>543126778
I like when he points straight at the camera
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>>543126259
In my experience as soon as fighting hits an urban centre it slows to a crawl, is there any reason you think this time will be different? They're at the outskirts.
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>>543126818
aye
and it better be a real civil war this time pidors, dozens of factions, multiple decades of fighting
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explodium plating on ziggerloaf performs as expected
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Why do WOKE libtards hate indians so much? Wasn't this supposed to be the part of tolerance?
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>>543126969
lets not feed them this time, especially not us
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>>543127023
>w-why do you hate nigger bug creatures that eat their own shit, leave a disgusting shit mess wherever they go and worship thousands of nigger gods.
lol....LMAO even.
>>
>>543126346
At any moment, ukraine could tell Russia they will no longer pretend to be western.

At that same moment, ukriane stops committing suicide.
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mayo taster's mom gets the cheetos
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>>543127023
Maybe, just maybe, your favourite idiotic biased "debate" youtuber painting everything black and white was incorrect?
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>>543126551
We are richer in their loss.
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>>543127258
Lmao, even when you're simping you still make it obvious how much you acknowledge all the vatnik bullshit. You used suicide in the "he totally fell out of the window" sense.
>>
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>>543127258
the West is the only civilization in this world and may expand where it pleases
also, Germany, the Hyperion itself, is in the West, we stand above all, therefore our allies and partners do as well
>>
What's even the poibt of makis these threads if there is no updates. Sama refinery was hit when?
>>
>>543122185
TzD
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russniggers lost their 2026 gains
AIDS
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are you fucking retarded
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>>543127642
yesterday
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remember: quantity has no quality of its own
TWNBYB
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we don't need no socialism
we don't need no komsomol
no Marx or Engels in the class room
hey! lefty! you will face the wall
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Looks like TZD is back on the menu, boys!
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>>543128331
nice
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>>543122185
If someone showed the 2026 map to people in 1986 no one would have believed them. I wonder what the 2066 map will look like?
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>>543128331
BanderaGPT, run the numbers.
>beep beep boop boop
>1.083 dzpm
>64.98 dzph
>one bonus dead zigger every 12 mins
>>
>>543127952
Yes how could you tell ?
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>>543128331
Gotta pump those numbers up.
>>
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>>543129174
>>543129064
>>543128792
>>543128375
>>543128331

Trannies,

Listen to the section of Prof. Mearsheimer's talk where he covers the corruption inside ukraine.

https://youtu.be/zmatx3ZJDKY?t=1696

Listen to him acknowledge how the dirty dealings inside ukraine has caused irreparable damage to democratic institutions across the west.

I always said there will come a time when all of you trannies will pretend you never supported ukraine to begin with.

This whole shitshow will come crashing down soon enough.
>>
>>543129444
>political lesbianism kvetching

Nobody cares pidor.
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>>543129444
>will come crashing down soon enough
Any day now. Hold out hope Z
>>
>>543129444
>posting the big bad Mersh in anno domini 2026
They're not sending their best and brightest, are they?
>>
>>543129496
given that all of your lesbian leaders in Europe are telling you to prepare to die in ukraine, I would say a lot of people care.

When you're shipped to ukraine, I bet you wont find it so easy to continue supporting them.
>>
>>543129513
>>543129515

its never just one finnish flag that appears.

Its all so disgusting to witness.
>>
Russian people are attacked because they aren't subhuman slaves like euroshits
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>>543129647
Innocent peace loving victims who dinduu nuffin
>>
>>543129604
The internet belongs to Binland :D:D
>>
>>543124198
So...what happened this time?

Refinery, Mosquew, or Warehouse?
>>
Zelensky regime brainwashing children from age of 2 for war, fascism, and invasion of Russia. Absolute evil
>>
>>543129566
Those are some nice delusions tranny.

I'm sure you'll be happy to be the trench whore for your churka masters.
>>
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>>543129775
Ukrainian children being send to the frontlines to shell Donetsk children
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>>543129908
>>543129775
This is what the Christian Rodina is fighting against...
>>
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>>543126729
Zelensky will prove to the Moscow tsar, on principle, just how wrong he was. And neither the horrifying losses of the Ukrainian army nor the devastated Ukrainian economy will stop Zelensky.
>>
>>543129908
fascinating. from a very young age, ukies are trained to shoot each other in the back.

I bet finns undergo similar training. This has been how you guys have behaved ever since joining NATO.
>>
"The war in Ukraine will not end with a Russian victory, since the Russian army is doing poorly on the battlefield. This war is harmful for both sides. It is obvious that it harms Ukraine and is disastrous for Russia." - Marco Rubio
>>
>>543130038
>Marco Rubio

Cant hope to continue his career in politics if NATO and the entire western order collapses under his watch.

Despite the Trump administration being voted in to end the war in ukraine, everyone in his administration has an interest to do the exact opposite.

Why is it ukraine supporters can only ever view the world through the surface level kayfabe that is fed to them?
>>
>>543129999
It's the state of pigrainian Zelesnkyy jugend training and shows how desperate the russophobic regime is

http://www.spo-vat.ru/obshhenie/novosti/44257/
>>
>>543130124
You have a very shallow understanding of politics. You should go back.
>>
>>543130038
Rubio went from a 'neutral mediator' to 'we have chosen Ukraine's side.' In June 2026, he stated that the U.S. cannot be an impartial mediator because it supports Kyiv. Critics (including retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis) accused him of having 'destroyed the negotiating process.' Three months later, in September, he again speaks of the 'logic of negotiations.' This is a cyclical shift in rhetoric, reflecting the uncertainty of the American position.

>'Russia will not win'
Russia has already occupied ~18% of Ukraine's territory and holds the land corridor to Crimea. This is not victory, but it is not defeat either.
>'Poor results on the battlefield'
Russia continues to advance in Donbas, albeit slowly. 'Poor' is an evaluative category.
>'Destructive for Russia'
The Russian economy has adapted: the military-industrial complex is working, unemployment is low, and real incomes of the population grew in 2023–2024.
>'Harmful to both sides'
For Ukraine — physical survival; for Russia — financial costs. The scale of damage is incomparable.
>'It will end in negotiations'
Negotiations have not begun, and it is not certain they will. Rubio himself admits: the sides are 'far from an agreement.'
>>
>>543129999
>retarded pidor got baited >>543130129
It's so easy with you niggers.
>>
>>543130307
Good bait but you should also throw in some boasting about the warm water ports
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>>543122585
>>
>>543130307
>it is not defeat either
So the 3-day SMO going for year 4, and that's the best you can brag about?
>Russia continues to advance
Not even the telegram Zhills like Crybar can support such a statement.
>Russian economy has adapted
What's the key interest rate of the CB? What's the budget deficit? Why is the GDP contracting? Why is the government pretending inflation is 10%? Why do you need to import jeets for streetsweeping? Why do large company impose a 3-day work week? Why is the largest real-estate devloper begging the government for a bailout?
>The scale of damage is incomparable.
Yeah, Ukraine can be rebuild - nobody will help you niggers ever again
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>>543123251
how about single mothers?
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>>543130307
>Russia has already occupied ~18% of Ukraine's territory
make it 12%. Crimea was handled to you without a fuss
>Russia continues to advance in Donbas, albeit slowly.
very slowly in fact. at this rate it'll take another 5-10 years to take it and time is not in pyccia's favour
>The Russian economy has adapted
with selling gold reserves, seizing private companies and milking (both literally and figuratively) the society
>for Russia — financial costs
and the pyccian society. and existence too
>>
>>543130124
Conspiracy theories are like religions, every retard has one and as soon as you dig under the hood it turns out none of them agree on them.
>>
>>543122926
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>>543130625
hear me out...
>>
>>543130620
Ukraine’s infrastructure and economy are destroyed; its survival depends on external assistance. Russia has macroeconomic imbalances, but still has significant resource potential.

Many public claims about Russia’s “poor results” or the “destructiveness” of the conflict for it are in fact either evaluative or fail to take into account the adaptive capacity of the Russian economy. Reality is more complex than any unequivocal formulations, and the situation is indeed far from a negotiated solution.
>>
>feeding vatgpt (You)'s
Grim
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i dont like russians very much or something
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>>543123879
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>>543123965
>>
>>543130723
While Russia possesses vast resource potential, converting those resources into long-term economic stability or sustainable military power during prolonged war is exceedingly difficult:

The "Cannibalization" of the Economy: Converting an economy to military production generates short-term GDP growth, but it sacrifices future productive capacity. Capital is funneled into consumable goods (like artillery shells and armored vehicles that get destroyed) rather than growth-generating infrastructure, health, education, or technology.

Depletion of Sovereign Wealth: Russia's liquid reserves (such as the National Wealth Fund) have been drawn down significantly to subsidize war spending and buoy domestic industries.

Infrastructure Bottlenecks: Redirecting oil, gas, and commodities away from Western markets toward Asia requires massive physical infrastructure that takes years and immense capital to build, eroding profit margins through high transport costs and steep discounts to buyers like China and India.
>>
>>543130723
Import Substitution Limits: Russian manufacturing and defense sectors rely heavily on Western high-tech components. "Adapting" often means replacing advanced Western microchips or machinery with inferior substitutes or routing them through complex, costly third-country intermediaries (parallel imports).

Demographic and Human Capital Collapse: Hundreds of thousands of working-age adults have died or been injured, while hundreds of thousands of educated, tech-savvy professionals fled the country. Russia faces acute, chronic labor shortages that severely cap future economic growth.

High Interest Rates and Inflation: Maintaining a war footing while trying to control inflation forces high domestic interest rates, which starves non-military private businesses of credit and private investment.

Sustained Western Integration: Ukraine's economic survival relies on Western aid, but this aid is tied to deep structural integration with Europe (including EU accession pathways, financial modernizations, and institutional reforms). Western aid acts as a bridge toward long-term reconstruction and modernization.

Russia's Isolation: Russia faces systemic sanctions, frozen foreign reserves, and isolation from Western capital markets and technology transfer. Its reliance on China creates an asymmetric, junior-partner dependency that limits Russia's economic sovereignty over time.
>>
>>543130723
Strategic attrition affects both sides. War costs are non-linear; an economy can appear stable right up until critical thresholds are crossed (e.g., severe currency inflation, industrial supply chain bottlenecks, or social discontent over labor shortages).

Russia’s resilience relies on high military spending and high energy revenue. Significant drops in global energy demand or price caps create sharp, immediate fiscal pressures that domestic "adaptation" cannot easily offset.
>>
>>543130651
This is not a collapse, but a restructuring of the economy in wartime mode, which has its own logic and resources. You are underestimating the Russian economy’s ability to restructure. Sanctions turned out to be weaker than expected, and its reserves of resilience are higher.
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>>543124982
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>>543130894
Calling it 'restructuring' doesn't make it sustainable. Burning through sovereign reserves, running factories on depleted machinery, and spending state budgets on equipment designed to be destroyed isn't a new economic model—it's capital consumption. Sanctions weren't meant to cause a sudden crash; they degrade efficiency and technology over time. Russia isn't building a resilient future economy; it's burning its future economic potential just to maintain current military output.
>>
>This is not a collapse, but a restructuring
Kek
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>>543125019
>>
>>543130848
>"Cannibalization" of the economy: capital is directed toward goods that are destroyed rather than development.
Military spending creates jobs and supports demand, and technologies from the defense industry flow into the civilian sector.
>Depletion of sovereign wealth: liquid reserves have been significantly depleted.
The NWF was accumulated precisely to be spent in difficult times. The NWF volume remains significant (13.5 trillion rubles).
>Infrastructure bottlenecks: reorientation to Asia requires enormous costs and reduces profitability.
Russia has already successfully redirected flows using the shadow fleet and alternative routes, which has allowed it to maintain its export potential.
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>>543125353
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>>543130929
Although reserves are being spent, their volume remains significant. The NWF still has liquid assets, and its gold reserves are among the largest in the world. The seizure of assets is not only an economic but also a political measure aimed at consolidating control over strategic sectors.
>>
>>543125353
.
>>
>>543131004
>>543131114
>Military spending creates jobs and supports demand, and technologies from the defense industry flow into the civilian sector.
Defense technology "spillovers" to the civilian sector happen when advanced, dual-use tech is developed (e.g., GPS or the internet). Russia’s current defense sector is doing the opposite—it is cannibalizing civilian technology (buying consumer appliances or basic microchips to put into military hardware) to maintain basic output.

>The NWF was accumulated precisely to be spent in difficult times. The NWF volume remains significant (13.5 trillion rubles).
Looking at the total National Wealth Fund (NWF) top-line figure is misleading because the liquid portion is what matters, and it is draining rapidly. Much of that total figure is tied up in illiquid assets—shares of state-owned banks, domestic infrastructure projects, and frozen foreign holdings—which cannot be easily sold or used to pay immediate state bills. The actual liquid portion of the NWF (mostly gold and Chinese yuan) has decreased drastically since 2022 to cover budget deficits and subsidize state industries. The NWF is officially calculated in rubles. Because the ruble has weakened significantly since the war began, the ruble-denominated total looks higher on paper, but its actual domestic purchasing power and foreign currency value have degraded substantially. A wealth fund is meant to be a rainy-day cushion replenished by high oil tax revenues. With Western energy revenues permanently reduced and high war expenses continuing, the fund is acting as a one-way drain, not a renewable buffer.

>Russia has already successfully redirected flows using the shadow fleet and alternative routes, which has allowed it to maintain its export potential.
Redirecting physical volume via a shadow fleet is an expensive, high-risk workaround—not a replacement for lost economic value. Relying on shadow fleets leaves Russia completely exposed to enforcement tightening.
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>>543130863
Although the demographic situation is difficult, Russia remains a country with a population of 146 million people, and even the loss of hundreds of thousands does not mean immediate collapse. The labor shortage is easily compensated by migration from the CIS. You are also not taking into account Russia's resource potential.

The Central Bank of the Russian Federation has already begun to lower the rate, and lending is showing signs of recovery. The share of enterprises experiencing a shortage of working capital has dropped to 10%.
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I'm absolutely baffled that you niggers are responding to this chatgpt bot lmao.

The russia lost
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Don't worry though, I'll get this bread back on track.
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>>543130894
>This is not a collapse, but a restructuring of the economy
The soviet union said the same.
>>
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The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) falsely claimed that Russian forces have encircled Dobropillya — an intensification of the Kremlin’s cognitive warfare campaign alleging encirclements across various sectors of the frontline to falsely present Ukrainian defenses as collapsing
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>>543131175
You correctly point out the fundamental limitations of the Russian model: technological dependence, depletion of reserves, and the high cost of workaround schemes. However, they do not negate the fact that the system demonstrates adaptation. The shadow fleet and parallel imports show the system's ability to find workarounds, albeit expensive ones.
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Russian authorities are reportedly training some regional government officials for possible mobilization scenarios. The Udmurt Republic will hold a two-day long “Organization of Mobilization Training in State and Local Government Bodies” training program for 20 state and municipal employees.[7] The program will reportedly run until December 5, and its modules will include lessons about the transition of the Russian economy to wartime conditions, the organization of mobilization planning, the military registration of citizens in the reserves, the protection of classified information, and the monitoring of mobilization preparations.
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Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian oil refineries on September 21 and 22. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces struck the Bashneft-UNPZ Oil Refinery in Ufa, Republic of Bashkortostan (roughly 1,338 kilometers from the international border) and the Kuibyshev Oil Refinery in Samara City (roughly 920 kilometers from the international border) on September 21 or overnight on September 21 to 22, causing fires at both facilities.[13] The Ukrainian General Staff stated that the Bashneft-UNPZ Oil Refinery has a processing capacity of around 7.5 million tons of oil per year and that the Kuibyshev Oil Refinery has a processing capacity of around 7 million tons of oil per year. Geolocated footage published on September 22 shows smoke plumes and fires at the Kuibyshev Oil Refinery.[14] Ukrainian defense source Militarnyi reported that satellite imagery and footage indicate that Ukrainian strikes on the Kuibyshev Oil Refinery damaged its AVT-5 primary processing unit.[15] Zelensky also stated that Ukrainian forces struck unspecified targets in the Black Sea on September 22.[
>>
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>>543131286
Only 6% of Russia's GDP consists of military spending, and taking into account quasi-budgetary operations — 8%. For comparison: the Soviet Union during World War II allocated 40% for this.

Is a budget deficit of 2% normal? It is not just normal — it is negligible against the backdrop of 32% in 1992 and 40% GDP losses during the war.
>>
>>543131234
Central Asian (CIS) migration overwhelmingly supplies low-skilled labor for construction, agriculture, and municipal services. It does not replace the software engineers, industrial technicians, scientists, or doctors who fled the country or were mobilized. Sberbank CEO German Gref explicitly warned that attracting low-skilled labor while losing high-skilled talent is a national security risk. CIS migration flows have faced growing domestic crackdowns, xenophobic policy backlash inside Russia, and tightening exit rules from CIS countries themselves. Russia has been forced to look as far as India, Bangladesh, and Africa to fill factory quotas—and even then, employers routinely fill only a fraction of their quota targets.

The Russian Central Bank lowered key rates after pushing them to aggressive, growth-choking peaks (peaking at 20%) to contain severe overheating. Lowering rates toward ~14% is an attempt to prevent systemic corporate defaults, not a sign of a thriving economy. Borrowing costs remain punitive for non-defense businesses. The "recovery" in lending is heavily concentrated in defense-linked corporate loans and state-subsidized programs. Commercial banks are lending to state-backed defense contractors whose revenue comes directly from the budget, creating an artificial loop rather than organic market credit expansion.

Working capital surveys ask if a company has cash on hand to pay immediate bills—which state-subsidized firms currently do. What those surveys don't capture is capital expenditure, equipment replacement, and physical supply chain degradation. Russian firms have working capital because the government is front-loading military procurement advances and issuing soft state loans. Having liquidity to pay salaries today says nothing about whether a firm can buy new foreign machine tools, upgrade software, or remain competitive when state subsidies stop.
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The Ukrainian General Staff provided an updated battlefield damage assessment (BDA) of a recent Ukrainian strike against Oryol Oblast. The Ukrainian General Staff confirmed on September 22 that the Ukrainian strike against a Russian drone storage, preparation, and launch site near Tsymbulova, Oryol Oblast (roughly 173 kilometers from the international border), on September 21 damaged at least three drone storage facilities, a jet-powered drone launch pad, and five drone launchers
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Ukrainian forces continued their intermediate-range strike campaign against Russian military assets in Belgorod Oblast. Ukrainian forces struck Russian logistics trucks at a poultry plant near Oktyabrsky (roughly 12 kilometers from the international border) and a truck near the E-105 Kharkiv City-Belgorod City highway northwest of Golovino (roughly 18 kilometers from the international border), according to geolocated footage published on September 21
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Russian forces continued offensive operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast on September 21 and 22 but did not advance.
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>>543129775
>Zelensky regime brainwashing children from age of 2 for war, fascism, and invasion of Russia. Absolute evil
>>
>>543131315
This concession in the debate gives away the key point. Shift the focus from whether "adaptation" exists to what that adaptation actually accomplishes:
Nobody denies the system can adapt—it has to in order to survive. But confusing 'adaptation' with 'health' misses the point. Using a shadow fleet and paying inflated prices for parallel imports are expensive workarounds that act as a permanent tax on the Russian economy. Adaptations that burn through capital, lower technological standards, and erode long-term productivity don't build a resilient future—they just guarantee a slow, irreversible slide into economic irrelevance.

Russia's current model trades future competitiveness for current survival. Over a 5-to-10-year horizon, relying on workaround supply chains leaves industrial equipment degrading, aviation deteriorating, and tech industries falling further behind global standard benchmarks.
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Russian forces continued limited offensive operations in the Velykyi Burluk direction on September 21 and 22 but did not advance.
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Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction on September 21 and 22 but did not advance as Ukrainian forces counterattacked.
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Russian forces are struggling to consolidate positions after infiltration missions in and near Kupyansk due to Ukrainian drone activity and counterattacks. The commander of a Ukrainian battalion operating in the Kupyansk direction stated on September 21 that Russian forces are attempting to identify weak points in Ukrainian defenses and then intensify operations in those areas.[30] The commander stated that Ukrainian drone activity has limited Russian movement within 15 kilometers of the frontline. Ukrainian Joint Forces Group Spokesperson Colonel Viktor Trehubov reported on September 22 that Russian forces already in Kupyansk are facing supply shortages due to Ukrainian counterattacks against Russian positions on the western bank of the Oskil River between Dvorichna (north of Kupyansk) and Kupyansk.
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Russian forces continued limited offensive operations in the Borova direction on September 22 and 23 but did not advance.
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>>543131357
Everyone's suffering from this war. Both Jewrope and Russia. The only ones profiting are the Jews and the 1% in the US and the EU. German economy is shit without cheap Russian energy. Russian economy is shit without refining capacity due to repeated attacks by Ukrainian drones. Unless you guys ramp up and seriously escalate by 2027, you'll get attrited instead of Ukraine. The boiling frog effect. This war has to end. Nuke Kiev and Berlin.
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Ukrainian forces confirmed that previous Ukrainian strikes against a pipeline that supplied Russian forces have interdicted Russian logistics and hindered offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast. The Ukrainian 3rd Army Corps reported on September 21 that Ukrainian strikes shut down a Russian pipeline from Voronezh Oblast that supplied 50 percent of the total diesel fuel for Russian forces in occupied Luhansk Oblast.[34] The 3rd Army Corps reported that Russian tankers must now transport fuel along a 400-kilometer route from Russia to maintain fuel supplies and noted that fuel shortages resulting from the pipeline shutdown will make it more difficult for Russian forces to run generators, charge drone batteries, and operate electronic warfare (EW) equipment.
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>>543122185
Lmao natofaggot general
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>>543122692
>you have to be this tall to join NATO
That explains why they rejected Putin.
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Ukrainian military officials continue to provide additional details about Ukrainian tactics north and northwest of Lyman during Operation Vivaldi. A staff officer of a Ukrainian brigade operating in the Lyman direction reported on September 22 that Ukrainian forces were able to covertly accumulate forces, inflict heavy fire damage on Russian positions, and strike Russian drone launch points ahead of the Ukrainian counterattacks that liberated Drobysheve (northwest of Lyman) and Derylove (north of Drobysheve).[36] The officer noted that Ukrainian forces timed their strikes against Russian positions to allow Ukrainian infantry to move covertly into position for the subsequent counterattacks. Ukrainian forces have liberated at least 125 square kilometers in the area north of Lyman during Operation Vivaldi and demonstrated innovative tactics that have enabled Ukrainian forces to break out of positional warfare and reintroduce limited elements of mechanized maneuver in a limited way at the tactical level.
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>>543131357
In modern peacetime, normal defense spending is around 1.5% to 2% of GDP (like most NATO countries). Spending ~7–8% of GDP on defense—plus additional hidden security spending—means Russia is committing over one-third of its entire federal budget directly to war and security. The 6–8% figure only counts direct military procurements and troop pay. It ignores the indirect costs: lost output from dead/injured workers, massive state subsidies to defense contractors, loss of human capital from emigration, and high interest rates imposed on the remaining 92% of the economy. Much of Russia's war spending is hidden under non-defense budget lines (like regional budgets paying soldier sign-on bonuses, "social support" for war casualties, and state enterprise bailouts). When you aggregate these, the actual strain on the state balance sheet is vastly higher than official defense figures suggest.

>Is a budget deficit of 2% normal? It is not just normal — it is negligible against the backdrop of 32% in 1992 and 40% GDP losses during the war.
Claiming a 2% deficit is "normal" because it was 32% in 1992 is like telling someone a $100,000 credit card debt isn't bad because they were bankrupt 30 years ago. 1992 was a hyper-inflationary state collapse; using it as a benchmark for normalcy is ridiculous.
Western economies run 2–3% budget deficits because they can easily borrow money on global capital markets at normal interest rates. Russia cannot borrow internationally. To cover its deficit, Russia must either: Drain its liquid reserves (which are finite), force domestic banks to buy state bonds at high interest rates (which crowds out private business lending) or print money / inflate the currency.
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Russian forces continued offensive operations east and southeast of Slovyansk near Rai-Oleksandrivka and toward Mykolaivka and Fedorivka Druha on September 21 and 22 but did not advance.
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>>543131365
You do not mention Ukraine's problems (destroyed infrastructure, dependence on aid), which makes the analysis one-sided.
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>>543130723
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>>543131357
Fucking lmao
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Russian forces continued offensive operations near and southwest of Kostyantynivka on September 21 and 22 but did not advance.
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>>543131567
I'm not analysing, I'm correcting you.
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Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Novopavlivka and Oleksandrivka directions on September 21 and 22 but did not advance, as Ukrainian forces counterattacked in both areas
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Ukrainian strikes are preventing Russian forces from establishing cohesive defensive positions in the Oleksandrivka direction.[49] The spokesperson of a Ukrainian brigade operating in the Oleksandrivka direction stated that Ukrainian forces are retaining the tactical initiative in this sector but that Russian forces continue infiltration missions. The spokesperson stated that Ukrainian drone and artillery strikes, including those conducted by High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS), prioritize Russian drone launch and control points, artillery systems, logistics, and personnel concentrations to deprive Russian forces of several elements of their overall combat capability simultaneously.
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>>543131567
>>543131357
Also PPP is literal brokie cope. I don't care that I can buy a loaf of bread for cheap in shitassistan, it doesn't make them wealthy it just means everyone is equally poor as fuck.
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Ukrainian forces are leveraging drone and artillery strikes to degrade Russian drone operations and ground lines of communication (GLOCs) in the Hulyaipole direction. The chief of the Air Defense Directorate of the Ukrainian 7th Rapid Reaction Corps of the Air Assault Forces reported on September 21 that Ukrainian forces are specifically targeting Russian drone operators, particularly from Russia’s elite Rubikon Center for Advanced Unmanned Systems units, in the corps’ AoR, striking six to eight of these drone control points every day.[50] The commander noted that Ukrainian forces’ transition to a corps system in early 2025 has improved coordination between Ukrainian units and increased their mobility to deploy firepower. Geolocated footage posted on September 22 shows Ukrainian forces striking a Russian ammunition depot in Hulyaipole after using a reconnaissance drone to track a Russian vehicle travelling to the depot.[51] Geolocated footage published on September 21 and 22 shows Ukrainian forces striking several bridges near Ukrainske and Polohy (between seven and 13 kilometers from the frontline).
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Ukrainian forces recently advanced or maintained positions in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Russian forces struck a Ukrainian position in eastern Orikhiv, an area where Russian sources previously claimed that Russian forces maintained positions, according to geolocated footage published on September 21.[55] A Russian milblogger claimed on September 22 that Ukrainian forces consolidated positions in several windbreaks south of Lukyanivske (west of Orikhiv and southeast of Zaporizhzhia City), as Russian forces are attempting to advance toward Lukyanivske from the southwest.[
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Ukrainian forces conducted a series of intermediate-range strikes against Russian vehicles in occupied Zaporizhia Oblast. Ukrainian forces struck a van northwest of Udachne (roughly 80 kilometers from the frontline) and a truck along the E-58 Mariupol-Berdyansk highway west of occupied Novovasylivka (roughly 93 kilometers from the frontline), according to geolocated footage published on September 21.
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Ukrainian forces conducted an intermediate-range strike against Russian air defense assets in occupied Kherson Oblast. Ukrainian forces struck a Russian mobile fire team in a truck along the T-2209 Melitopol-Chonhar highway near occupied Martivka (roughly 87 kilometers from the frontline), according to geolocated footage published on September 21
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Ukrainian forces are denying the Russian Black Sea Fleet (BSF) the ability to conduct repairs and maintenance at its ports in Novorossiysk and occupied Crimea
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>>543131534
>Russian military spending is understated and amounts to up to 10% of GDP.
Even by independent estimates, it is not 40% as in the USSR, and the economy is still withstanding the burden.
>Russia cannot borrow on external markets.
It actively uses domestic borrowing (OFZ) and has significant reserves.
>Indirect costs are enormous.
Some of them (for example, wage growth) only stimulate consumer demand.
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>>543131477
>Nuke Kiev and Berlin.
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>>543131692
Will you bake or should I?
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy held talks with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to secure Ukraine's financial stability through 2026 and 2027, as reported by NV on September 22.

During the discussion, President Zelenskyy expressed gratitude for the European Union's decision to provide a €90 billion ($106 billion) loan


>>543131733
You can bake.
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>>543131720
You're right. I completely forgot about nukking Brussels.
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>>543131745
You know it's bad when these shitskin commies keep talking about mUH NOOOOKS lmao.

The bleetings of the cu|cked faggots
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>>543131624
PPP does not assert the opposite. It shows that for one dollar in a poor country, one can buy more basic goods. Nominal GDP (at market exchange rate) also distorts the picture, but in the opposite direction — it understates the size of poor economies.
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>>543131745
how many times was your ass nuked, tranny?
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>>543131802
>>543131802
>>543131802

Baked, get in.
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>>543131477
For all the dumbass yapping you do you sure are too stupid to realize that eliminating russia would be the quickest road to world peace
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>>543131424
Over a 5-to-10-year horizon
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>>543122258
So this paki just posts the same posts, word for word, in every single thread?
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>>543131528
Zelensky just got sat down like a good boy.



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