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Previous: >>543625564

Day 1,682 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

â–¶Latest
>Explosion in Krasnozavodsk Chemical Factory, Moscow Oblast
>Tu-95MS bomber crash in Amur, six dead
>russian government 10 year bonds hit all time low
>250 russian POWs taken after Azov troops routed russian troops out of Northern Lyman during Operation Vivaldi.
>putin signs a decree mogilization an additional 1million soldiers to die in Ukraine.
>Ukrainian soldiers have delivered 4 tonnes of food by drone to Oleshki
>Reports of starvation deaths are emerging from Oleshky at the occupied part of Kherson region of Ukraine
>Lavrov holds first meeting with German Foreign Minister
>Strikes in Voronezh, Ulyanovsk, Luhans'k, sPerm, Bryansk
>Another warning about a potential russian attack on Europe, this time from Danish intelligence
>CIA warns of a russian drone attack against Spain, France or Italy
>Samara refinery strike
>Ufa refinery strike
>Mosquew authorities didn't initiate alerts during the raid to "ensure election attendance"
>Ukraine launched over a thousand drones at mosquew, setting the refinery ablaze and killing at least 3 rusniggers
>Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps recaptures 125 sq km in "Operation Vivaldi" in Donetsk
>Third Army Corps paralyzed the russian elite unit "Rubicon" in Lyman
>Ukraine reveals 'Operation Vivaldi' counterattack near Lyman

â–¶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
â–¶Intel
t.me/DeepStateUA
t.me/DroneBomber
t.me/Exilenova_Plus
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
â–¶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
â–¶russian confirmed KIA
hochuvernut.com
200.zona.media/
poteru.net/en/
â–¶An illustrative article for understanding the "kill zone" in Ukraine's front lines
reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/KILL-ZONE/znpnojmknvl/
â–¶/uhg/-approved vidya
deepstatemap.live/arcade/
â–¶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: files.catbox.moe/19avc9.zip
>>
TZD
>>
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russians in krasnozavodsk rn
>>
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When will the gulagdina stop printing?
>>
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Here in brussels nobody is celebrating. I just came out of a gay orgy in the geyropean parliament where we decided to hand over eastern europe to MIGHTY RUSSIA.
We will also be paying reparations in the form of toilets, domestic appliances, cucumbers and boipucci. The latter will be used strictly for disciplinary purposes. Russia is the grandpa of europe and all geyropean petukhs must display buttocks for punishment.
Hopefully this will stop Gerasimov's T-14 Armata Ghost Brigade on its way to lissabon.
>>
>>543635921
Fake War—interesting to see when they’ll make a new Call of Duty about Ukraine. They’ve already been promoting it for five years; I can’t wait to play it on pc
>>
Big Boobs.
>>
the gulaghomo losted the war. his people will pay the price
>>
>>543635921
I just hope russia wins because russians in internet are funny
>>
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>>543636403
Agreed.
>>
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>be Russian
>get arrested
>>
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>>543636569
>>
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When will the pidaras start retaliating?
>>
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>>543636319
Gulaghomo lost kek
>>
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TOTAL
Zigger
DEATH
>>
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When will the NA BERLINa be arriving?
>>
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>>543636718
Lol dying gulaghomo hahahaha
>>
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>>543636595
What the fuck is he hitting them with? A PVC tube? Are they trying not to damage them so he can fuck them later?!
Half-assed punishment. No wonder they are all faggots.
>>
>>543636718
>wiggle wiggle wiggle
:DDD
>>
>>543636776
He wants to hurt and humilliate them but not enough they cant walk, people who cant walk cant be sent in meatwave hours after being punished.
>>
Any news from Lyman? Are the boys still measuring eggs and pushing east?
>>
>>543636718
>look ma, no leeygs!
>>
>The autumn of 2026 is already being called the "bear anomaly," and for good reason. Since mid-August, more than twenty people have been estimated to have died. The deaths are spread across a vast territory: the Altai Republic, Krasnoyarsk Krai, Tuva, Buryatia, Irkutsk and Tomsk Oblasts, and Kamchatka.

GO TEAM BEARS!
>>
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>>543637021
Your allies are abandoning you, pidors.
>>
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https://x.com/clashreport/status/2105921986689941630
>pan zlonsky, our intelligence has discovered that jewtin...wants to bomb civilians and civilian infrastructure
>>
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Anything ACTUALLY happening?
>>
>>543635921
Question to Ukrainians:

What are you guys doing? Like seriously, what is your end game here? You're losing 30k men every month and you're losing territory every day. Russia has won, and continued resistance will just delay the inevitable.

If you continue doing what you're doing, a lot more people will needlessly die - maybe even you. So why not just sit down with the Russians and make peace already?
>>
>>543637386
General Winter next!
>>
>>543635921

When will the pigkraine stop losing?
>>
>>543637542
I did some fact checking on this message. Ukraine is not losing 30k men/month, Russia is infact losing more than that. Ukraine is attacking on the front, making large wins. Infact Russia's 2026 gains have been totally wiped off.
>>
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>>543637542
If any of that is true why is it year 5 of special operation and why hasn't Russia won yet
>>
Question to vpnpidors:

What are you guys doing? Like seriously, what is your end game here? You're losing 50k men every month and you're losing territory every day. Ukraine has won, and continued resistance will just delay the inevitable.

If you continue doing what you're doing, a lot more people will needlessly die - maybe even you. So why not just sit down with the Ukrainians and make peace already?
>>
>>543637659
>Infact Russia's 2026 gains have been totally wiped off.
no
>>
>>543637542
>Russia has won
May we see that win?

>reeeeee

okay then.
>>
>>543637682
what do you think you're doing exactly? Ukraine has no path to victory, don't just reply with a n-no y-you childish argument
>>
No, you can't see our dicks or feet, "made for brc".
>>
>>543637687
Yes
>>
explain in words your vision of path to victory. that's based on concrete and realistic steps and not emotional knee jerk reactions
>>
>>543637778
How is Russia going to win, what's their plan to win
>>
Explain in words why do you have saved and catboxed gay nigger porn. >>522332975
>>
>>543637827
did you open a map? what is this infantile kindergarten level of discussion even, people who shill for Ukraine talk like teens who just entered puberty
>>
>>543637842
you need to link to archive or make a screencap, retard
>>
>>543637937
You need to stop being a complete newfag.
>>
>>543637529
Brother we're just one week after Operation Vivaldi brought Ukraine back into Luhansk
You need to have a bit of nothing between your collapses of the russian front
>>
>>543637731
Two more weeks you mystery meat tranny and pozzia will definitely seal the deal

Trust the plan
Z
>>
>>543637892
Yeah I have, the frontlines have barely moved in 4 years, it's a stalemae worse than the Western Front in WW1
>>
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kill all ziggers and zigger shills
>>
>>543638115
yea yea 2 moar weeks to Russian collapse. When Russia takes the final Sloviansk-Kramatorsk belt Putin is doing to hold his victory speech in the Donbass war and we have can this shit done with for good
was it worth it halving the Ukrainian population to lose the war in the end anyway?
>>
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1991 borders
EU membership
NATO membership
Euroreich 1000 more years
deal with it
>>
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>you are le political infant

again with the sovok methods
your shit will never, ever hit fertile ground here
>>
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>>543637529
inbetween a few extraordinary days where everything happens all at once, there's weeks, months and years when nothing ever happens
>>
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>BLYAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA BUT I SAID ALL THE VATNIK LINES, WHY AM I GETTING ARRESTED?
because you're Russian, my goylem
>BLYAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
>>
>>543635921

When will the uraine stop coping?
>>
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When will the snarlers stop yapping?
>>
>>543638173
War ends when last russkie dies. Then its norks and indian turn.
>>
>>543637659
>>543637687
>Infact Russia's 2026 gains have been totally wiped off.
Yeah they were.....on david d.'s twatter and ukr_shills telegram
>>
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>>543638822
whataboot chinks?
>>
>>543638819
NOOOOO NOT THE HECCIN PUPPERINOOOOOO
>>
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>543638173
>pok pok pok
>already 7 posts by this ID
Is it having another one of its hysterical episodes?
>>
>>543638880
When oil burns it creates astounding amounts of energies that express themselves as light, fire, and shillbotspam.
>>
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>>543636158
kök
>>
>>543638236
>1991 borders
too small. needs to include Bilhorod and the Kuban minimum
>>
>>543638819
that dog is worth more that 50,000 pozzian lives.
>>
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No Liman?
No Bridge?
No Ammo factories?
Too scared of Russia to block/attac Kaliningrad?
Got their cargoships counter siezed in return for their piracy, not even daring to say a word about it?
Must be another operation of NATO! the mOST pOWERFULL mILLITARY aLLIANCE!
Total traitor death, for a Europe of Free nation states!
>>
>>543638819
Motion to strike the breed from the list of proper dogerinos. I hate these little cunts so much and I always end up disliking their owners as well.
>>
>>543639283
>No Liman?
kek, ziggers still report they are controlling Lyman?
>>
>>543639484
they are not very smart.
>>
>>543639484
>>543639714
Since they've reported it before to please Putin, they have to report it still, if they don't want to get defenestrated.
>>
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>>543639714
>>
>>543637542
If Russia has won already then why do Russians keep dying?
>>
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Helm?
>>
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>>
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GOOOOOOOD MORNING THE RUSSIA
Are back to shooting down our own aircraft, comrades?
>>
>>543639300
Same. Uncle Dolf would have declared Exterminatus on them for sure.
>>
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>ziggers celebrate hitting two bridges with drones
>the traffic has already resumed
>>
>>543639484
the new metodichka roll out has encountered ehmmm.... how do you say it
some difficulties
please understand and thank you for your patience
>>
Europe is going bankrupt and cannot pay energy. Winter is coming piggies.
>>
>The French bankroooooooooopter
>>
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>>
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Two more hamsters.

Two more piss chugs.
>>
>>543640337
>Europe is going bankrupt
Ruble bond yield status?
>>
>>543640337
>almost white
Why were you born in Algeria, comrade?
>>
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>>543636595
>>543636776
>>
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>>543640337
>Europe is going bankrupt
May we see it?
>Winter
Oh no are we gonna frooooze?
>>
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>>543640438
If pidors knew about the state of their economy, they'd be very upset.
>>
>>543640438
>>543640408
Yes, France is going bankrupt, and will bring europe with it.
Europeans would welcome Putin as liberator now.
>>
>i'm bankrooooooooopting
>>
>>543640529
>muh europe didn't freeze before so it will not freeze now !

Pigger, there was no energy crisis and houthi / Iran closure of westoid straights by then !
>>
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>>543640337
bruh Europe is fine
it's everyone else you should be worried about
>>
>>543636595
>fucking goat fuckers
The Chechens won’t be happy to see this.
>>
>>543640547
If France's economy is so bad compared to Russia, why does the Russian government have to pay more than 3 times as much to borrow money?
>>
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>>543640612
>kike wars will thwart Europe

nope
priced in
>>
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also El Nino is currently flexing its power
we're still having July weather over here
chillin topless with windows open
there might not be much of a winter in Europe this "cold" season
>>
>>543640612
>Trump will save us
Sure thing Kabyle, in two more weeks. Meanwhile i can go to the gas station and fill my car with as much diesel as i can afford to, unlike in russia, where they have to line for their ration like in the good old days.
>>
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curiously, many parts of the pidor steppes are already hazardously cold
>>
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GRUIK GRUIK ALLEZ LES HALOUFS
>>
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>>543640861
>almost year 5
>still can't do organic 'jaks

you're so bad at this it's actually fascinating
>>
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>>543637731
Ukraine won on the second day of the war. Ever since Russia has been chimping out and destroying both countries for literally nothing. If you told a Russiaboo, back in March of 21, that five years later Russians would be bombing Kiev and trying to take over entirety of Donbass they'd call you a Nafotroon, a shill, copelord, etc.
>>
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>the same uninventive zhills in every single thread, day after day
zigger metodichka is really falling behind lately
>>
>>543640709
Europe is indeed in the hands of kike.
Do you happen to see with your eyes how much power they have over media ? All politicians try to bow to them or else be cursed as "antisemitic"

>>543640822
Trump is a traitor.
He tried to maek the world believe he would disband american empire... he only tried to save it through war and treatchery.

Trump should have cut all funding, starlink and palantir to piggers to start with.
>>
>>543640633
You must be a nepo baby to not see everyone and everything going bankrupt around you

Artisans in France don't serve clients over 50km because they lose with the diesel cost of going to the client in car.
>>
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>>543640990
>it's a Chabad happening in Ukraine episode

Why does the russia have a fat Jew prime minister?
>>
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>IMG_XXXX.JPG
cumrade.. iphones are satanic bourgeois invention
>>
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>>543641036
everyone and everything around me is busy, nerd
actually powerful countries would like to see Germany eat shit and they keep failing
what chance can the chickenshit Russkiland have?
>>
>>543640237
They will claim that this is hohol lies, of course.
>>
>>543641149
When France, the second pillar of EUSSR, will go bankrupt, all of european economies will swoop in the wind.
>>
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>>543641255
oh so you hate commies? say Heil Hitler
>>
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>crickets

China will be decommunized btw
>>
Europe will go bankrupt because of pensioners if anything, not due to supporting Ukraine.
>>
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>welfare kabyle nigger wishes the country he's leeching from to go bankrupt
>>
>>543641532
I am a net contributor to my countries finance, unlike most ukrainian and pro ukrainian leeches

/uhg/ is clearly full of neet, including the french pedo drawing childrens, for instance
>>
>>543640547
>will bring europe with it.
no. there won't be a bailout this time. AfD was founded because of the last European bond crisis. it'd rise above 30% if they tried another one, plus the commies aproaching 15% which would tear the Liberal parties apart
>>
>>543641630
Nigger, you're the reason French schools can't afford shit.
>>
>>543641036
>You must be a nepo baby to not see everyone and everything going bankrupt around you
I don't know anyone going bankrupt. Things are not like that in Europe, unlike in russia where you reside, VPN pidor.
>>
>>543641666
>aproaching
approaching
>>
>>543641527
Sorry dumbass
EU/UK pension funds have all been used to buy land from Zelensky in Russian territory. Thats why they cant afford to end the war.
>>
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>Putin instructed the Russian military to abandon the rules of war.

Gloves are finally off
>>
>>543637542
why don't you just win if you already won? i don't uinderstand
>>
>>543641666
Indeed, AfD will tear EU down and ally with Putin, the true great man of current europe

>>543641724
Switzerland avoided this by being neutral, althourgh it is already changing
>>
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>>543637731
Russia has no path to victory. It could only defeat Ukraine by defeating Ukraine's armed forces. Those forces are getting stronger relative to russia's each year. Russian losses a trending up yet, but russia's 2026 offensives have been massive failures.
>>
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>>543641753
they're going to invade and bomb ukraine?
>>
>>543641532
Ahahahahahahaha he’s seething now that you’ve exposed him.
>>
>>543641968
Whore, Russia has 100 million more people than you lol
>>
>>543641753
>monke said
Into the trash it goes
>>
>>543641878
>AfD will tear EU down
doubt it. there'd be no majority for it in parliament. but the retarded debt spending of certain member states will have to stop.
though an ideal outcome would be the crisis getting even worse until France enters a racial civil war where Communists and nonwhites will get [redacted] en masse
>>
>>543641673
his kind literally tried to burn down a school in nantes yesterday. this is the kind of "net contributor" we're talking about
>>
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>>543642109
superior numbers are meaningless
>w-we have 100 million useless eater bydlo
lmao the West will rule you forever
>>
>>543642109
That just means more graves to dig. Though I guess russians are generally disposed into stomachs of stray dogs so not that big of a problem
>>
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I maintain that it's utterly banal to perceive the AfD as a growing threat
they will self-sabotage and be forgotten
>>
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When will the pidors stop dying?
>>
>>543641753
So its ok to gas russkie civvies now?
>>
>>543642109
Pidors have less meat than bangladesh gypsy. And unlike the swamp pajeets, most of pozzia is ageing sovok boomers not even fit to intercept drones
>>
>>543642109
Can absolutely everyone be used as soldiers? Why does it matter if Russia burns through the most capable men and imports jeets, niggers and norks to compensate?
>>
>>543642109
How many fighting men in that 100 million? How many of those fighting men can they afford to remove from the economy, from their jobs, from production?
Answer me this.
>>
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>NOOOOOOOO MORE PEOPLE MEANS MORE BETTAR
>WE HAVE THE GREATER MOB, RESPECT THE GREATER MOB! OR ELSE!!

commie world views are utterly fascinating
>>
>totally organic Finns shilling for the pigkraine
>>
>>543642299
Seems like most are so fried from burgers archaic and broken election system. Where a zigger asset like trump can win with 0.5% margin and then be in complete, uncontested control over everything in the executive branch. Because
>winner takes all

But real talk, whom would be willing to step into a coalition with such poison like the DDR niggers like afd
>>
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imagine ze smell
>>
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lmao the gypsy stopped hiding
>>
>>543642582
>winner takes all
They got the house system, so it ain't as simple as that. He's likely going down as the lamest of lame ducks in history come November.
>>
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>>543642360
Literally all of them. The more of them die,the less danger to monke and his endless lust for power
>>
>>543642314
>When will the pidors stop dying?

This is a fairly easy question to answer.

The difficult question is, "When will ukraine stop losing?"
>>
Thank god they're so fucking stupid.
>>
pypa must be the biggest TZD enthusiast
>>
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>>543642582
only the BSW commies, which is curious innit, the totally trad and nationally minded German interests advocates pacting with full blown Marxist-Leninists
this is why we have to remember the to crush both sides, like only one man in history so far was moderate enough to do
>>
>>543642807
This explains the zpam.
>>
>>543640269
You fags have broken muscovite animals. Pre 1917 they were brutal and stupid, after they are less than animals. And you still control their economy and politics
>>
>>543642901
he is a Jewish bolshevik prince, and as such trained to disdain all Rus from the very moment his cognition began
>>
>>543642655
Federal agencies, where the actual power resides, answer directly to the king...i mean POTUS. Congress and the courts can issue as many rulings and bills as they want, but if the POTUS staffs the agencies with his men and refuses to obey the orders, there is no real way to enforce their will with raw strength. Other than individual states defying the federal executive

American presidents are not like a typical parliamentary republic ones, but IMO more similar to electable kings. It wasn't intended as this way out of the gate, but it became a reality as Congress surrendered more of its power to the POTUS over time. since
>it was easier and more comfortable
> congress itself becones frequently disfunctionally deadlocked because of the partisan nature of a two party only system
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>>543642807
nobody hates a zigger more than a zigger
>>
>>543642976
shut the fuck up you’re just some Russian rape baby roach!
>>
good morning /uhg/ i had a dream that I got to press the red nuke moscow button but I woke up right as the bombs fell :(
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>>543643123
Nigger, had Trump wanted russia to win, they would already have. He is keeping current status because it gives him beneficial position and allows him sweet revenge, during his first term he has called for NATO countries to spend what they have promised, now they are forced to pay. There are real zigger assets Merkel, Schroder and Schwesig
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>>543643018
>yfw you've sent 1.5M ziggers for cubing and they worship you
>>
How is the tranny subreddit doing today? Hopefully no suicides like last time
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>>543643829
nigger
>>
1/2

Russia’s finance ministry failed to sell sovereign debt at a scheduled auction this week, drawing a blank from investors unsettled by plans for record military spending and a sharply wider deficit.

The ministry scrapped the planned sale of 2030 OFZ treasury bonds on Wednesday, citing an "absence of bids at acceptable price levels". The aborted sale ended the third quarter, over which Moscow borrowed 1.264 trillion rubles ($15.1 billion) against a backdrop of intensifying fiscal strain.

"Nobody showed up to the OFZ auction," T-Investments analysts wrote in a client note, highlighting the first outright auction failure since July, when primary sovereign debt issuance was temporarily halted amid a steep secondary-market sell-off. The flop followed two relatively solid weeks of borrowing, which netted 150 billion rubles and 139.6 billion rubles, respectively.

Investor sentiment soured after the government unveiled aggressive fiscal revisions. Next year, Moscow plans to ramp up defense outlays by roughly 30% to 17.1 trillion rubles; alongside wider security sector allocations, national defense and law enforcement will swallow more than 40% of all state spending, according to Reuters reporting.

The revised fiscal blueprint has also doubled this year’s projected deficit to a record 7.3 trillion rubles, from an earlier target of 3.6 trillion rubles, necessitating an extra 1 trillion rubles in gross domestic issuance this year and a staggering 7.7 trillion rubles in bond sales next year.
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>>543644048
2/2

The scale of the planned borrowing wall has rattled fixed-income markets. Analysts at Raiffeisenbank noted that the Moscow Exchange OFZ price benchmark dropped to near-summer troughs of 111.2 points, while yields on benchmark long paper surged toward 17%—levels unseen on fresh sovereign paper since Vladimir Putin's first presidential term in the early 2000s.

With the open market resisting heavy supply, authorities have turned to quasi-monetary financing schemes. In early September, the ministry unloaded nearly 1 trillion rubles of floating-rate debt to domestic commercial banks in one go, while the Bank of Russia extended virtually the same volume of liquidity to those same lenders on the day.

Economist Vladislav Inozemtsev described the loop as a "coordinated game" where the central bank finances lenders to buy sovereign debt, which is subsequently posted back to the central bank as collateral—a maneuver he called "purely an emission-driven operation".

Vector Capital analysts warned that if commercial demand fails to materialize over the next two or three auctions, the ministry will likely have no choice but to rely on backdoor central bank balance sheet expansion once again.
>>
1/2

Russia’s Interior Ministry Seeks to Triple Fines for Court Violations and Broken Bails

Russian authorities are preparing to more than triple financial penalties for citizens who fail to honor courtroom obligations or breach pledges made on behalf of criminal defendants, according to draft legislation published for public review and reported by Kommersant.

Under the bill submitted by the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD), the cap on fines for failing to fulfill obligations as a personal guarantor under Article 103 of the Criminal Procedure Code would jump from 10,000 rubles to 33,000 rubles ($350). Concurrently, penalties under Article 117 targeting trial participants—including victims, witnesses, court-appointed experts, and interpreters who defy procedural rules or miss hearings without good reason—would climb from 2,500 to 8,000 rubles.

Personal surety in Russian law serves as a milder alternative to pretrial detention. Under this mechanism, an individual signs a formal guarantee that a suspect or defendant will attend all interrogations and court sessions; parents and legal guardians take on an identical commitment for juvenile defendants. If the suspect absconds or ignores summonses, the guarantor faces administrative fines.

Defending the overhaul, the MVD stated that the current penalty thresholds have sat unadjusted since 2008, causing them to lose their deterrent value and prompting courts to largely ignore them. Higher financial liabilities, police officials argued, would foster greater civic responsibility toward the judiciary.
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>>543641878
If Europe is collapsing and russia is so great, why don't you move there?
>>
>>543644182
2/2

Legal analysts, however, expressed deep skepticism regarding the bill's real-world impact.

Sergey Okhotin, director of the Center for International Law, noted that the 33,000-ruble figure is strictly a maximum ceiling, leaving judges free to levy lower amounts or dismiss fines altogether. He added that fixing courtroom absenteeism requires administrative reforms—such as reliable notice deliveries and clearer procedural briefings—rather than heavier financial penalties.

Vadim Klyuvgant, a partner at the Pen & Paper attorneys at law, went further, dismissing the personal guaranty statute as "dead on the books" due to judges' overwhelming preference for formal detention or travel bans.

"Consequently, raising the monetary penalty for failing to meet a guarantor’s obligations will have virtually no practical consequence," Klyuvgant said. While acknowledging that tougher sanctions under Article 117 could be justified when participants actively sabotage courtroom proceedings, Klyuvgant warned against judicial overreach: "If such a penalty is deployed to curtail procedural rights in a discriminatory fashion, that constitutes official misconduct, and those officials must be held to account."
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>>543644215
He is good at counting welfare checks
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>>543642807
hahaha very good !
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>>543635965
>>543635957
what the fuck is going on in Moscow /uhg/bros?
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No suicides in the subreddit yet?
How about now? Lmfao

Tranny opsec statvs?
>>
>>543642516
Do you think a Finn needs any extra reasons to oppose Russia on any given day?



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