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/pol/ - Politically Incorrect


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>>543698727
Tranny thread.
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Name some of the good things republicans have done Since trump retook office. I'm trying to understand if he has done anything at all.
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>>543698799

It is over for you....stay at Canada.
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>>543698727
>OMG, Team Red has been terrible, let's vote Team Blue until the 2030 midterm when we'll be saying they suck and it's time to vote in Team Red again
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>>543698809
I miss when they shaped the fake psyop poll charts like a dick or goatse to fuck with us.
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>>543698809
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>>543698821
The tariffs were awesome.
We paid for them, then big business received refunds.
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>>543698799
Good morning Sukhdeep
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>>543698809
how delusional are miggers in thinking social sentiment today is the same as in 2016. these retards truly live in an alternate reality. in many ways they kind of act like the woke left used to. completely ignorant of reality.
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>>543698809
Are betting sites more accurate than polls?
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>>543699166
Laughing at MAGA won't be nearly as much fun as laughing at leftists in 2016. Who are you going to make fun off, semi sentient boomers, 80IQ retards, and Ben Shapiro?
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>>543698727
Damn people really have no faith in them huh.
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>>543699286
Well unlike polls, betting sites benefit from misrepresenting the outcome directly as opposed to indirectly, so...
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>>543699286
The betting odds sites have AOC as the favorite or #2 (depending on which you look at) to win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. That alone should tell you something. She won't win one fucking primary state, if she even runs at all.
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>>543700136
They never learn
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I don't know why anyone would care. Republicans have done fuck all. The only guy who is actively doing anything in this government is trump. The democrats only goal is to be a roadblock, the republicans only goal is to get paid. Neither of them moved an inch on anything. Trump is throwing whatever he can at them, but they are immovable. Senate, house, they do fucking nothing except securing their pay.
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>>543698809
>miggers posting polls as cope
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>>543698934
>>543698809
Hey, didn't Tchump cheat in all three elections he was in, including 2024?

https://www.npr.org/2026/09/10/g-s1-142713/musk-trump-2024-lasers-space
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>>543700239
And all Tchump has done is ruin everything.
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>vote for Democrats
>they want war with Russia

>vote for Republicans
>get a war with Iran
>>
Both parties are servants of kikes.
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>>543700526
You are so right bro, your problems would be a lot better if you had almost the exact same shit + infinite migrants and higher inflation. Maybe you wouldn't have the iran war at hand, but everything else would be even worse.
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>>543698809
Anon, do you understand why a singular presidential election in a year with generally positive consumer sentiment featuring an institutional candidate is different from dozens of individual races with a deeply unpopular incumbent party with very poor consumer sentiment?
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>>543700948
Do you understand than "deeply unpopular incumbent party" is only a view point held by the same people who thought Clinton had a guaranteed win? Even though not everything Trump does is liked by everyone, it is naive to think that the overwhelming support he received in the Presidential election has just simply disappeared. It wont be all Red but the midterms arent going to be the bluewave that Dems are always claiming will happen.
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>>543700136
What's the market volume though?
A betting market thats 12+ months from paying out acts very differently to one for an event in the near future. A betting market has no predictive power until there is a sizeable volume in the market.
An election market that is 2 years away is the equivalent of the shitcoin market. The majority of the market is not planning on keeping their money in a position for 24 months, which would be retarded. They are buying with the hope that some news story will hit at some point that puts a candidate into the spotlight for a week and boosts the value of their position so they can cash out. It's pump and dump with candidates instead of tokens.
But as an election approaches it becomes more like a traditional betting market.
Anyway a betting market is far from a perfect predictor. But they have been more accurate than polling in US elections fron the last 10 years.
Since 2016 betting odds have essentially just reflected the polling numbers but adjusted to account for the bias that pollsters can't seem to work out of their methodology.
Personally I would still give a slight edge to Republicans regarding the senate but the fact that you can even make a compelling argument the other way is wild. The senate should have been a lock for Republicans this cycle.



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