Uhhh, Ohiobros? Why is the Jewess winning over the based Republican? What is going so terribly, terribly wrong?
>>544209687because the republican is a fucking indian. nobody is going to vote for a pajeet.
>>544209687no one likes shitjeetsespecially anchor baby shitjeets that run constant scams.
Acton winning is a good thing though fuck that pajeet he sends his lackeys to my car dealership to get service done to his escalade and he has a plate carrier in the back of his car and most likely bullet proof glass as well
>>544209687jeets are radioactive waste
People thought “voting against miga” was based but it’s just electing lefty jew communists
How accurate is polymarket or similar settings websites?What makes it any better than muh polls
>>544209687Americans don't want to vote for indians to lead them. They handed this election to the democrats on a silver platter.
>>544210018I would rather elect a Hezbollah militant over a shit eating, child sacrificing, street dedicating, demon worshiping Pajeet. It’s your own fault
>>544209687>What is going so terribly, terribly wrong?The pajeet has the aroma of Trump on himCouple that with his innate stench from being a street shitter, and Ohioans cannot stand him
>>544210019actons winning in those polls too.ohio had a 10+R lean going into this.it shouldnt even be this close. if the republicans just ran a white guy, this election wouldnt even be in the conversation.but peter thiel paid a lot of money to try and own this country, so i guess no one is brave enough to push back against him (until they lose 10+R Ohio lmao)
>>544209687Indians give people the ick
>>544210153>actons winning in those polls too.Indeed
>>544209687I always vote straight ticket GOP in every election, even the off year ones and I wouldn't vote for a jeet. I'd just leave that shit blank
>>544209687republican party has been hijacked dont be surprised people notice you doing things contrary to what you campaign on. vivek literally left twitter after he was continually roasted for his posts about how america has to become more indian and americans should start acting more like jeets
>>544210019More accurate zeitgeist. People are willing to stake actual money on the outcome, vs calling a bunch of retarded boomers and thinking that means anything.
Stop posting charts from gambling site as if it means anything stupid NIGGERS
>>544209687When the poo declared he was going to flood the state with infinity poos is when his retard support sank like a rock.
>>544210019>>544210253>>544210153>>544210224Polymarket, kalshi etc used to be way, way better than normal polls a few years ago because people were putting up actual money, but now fags are putting out fake polls and are using those betting apps to pump and dump and do rug pull scams so idk how good they are at this point. That one poll that had that female chinaman up 20 points in wisconson was completely made up to influence betting markets
>>544210019Pretty accurate. Polymarket predicted the last elections with something like a 90-95% accuracy. Generally, it's believed that betting markets capture a more accurate snapshot of public opinion at that moment because they leverage "wisdom of the crowds", and reflect general public opinion better than traditional polls.
>>544210216>poopjeetshttp://www.google.com/search?q=toilet+witches+indiahttp://www.google.com/search?q=codex+pajeethttp://www.google.com/search?q=india+jamboyhttp://www.amazon.in/s?k=cow+dung+cakeshttp://www.google.com/search?q=india+poop+festivalhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2Pi4-zWJTghttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9JDGGcY0wDUhttp://patriots.win/p/1ATVaFitCU/india-seeking-to-host-2036-summe/chttp://patriots.win/p/1ATVaFic5L/india-and-oh-you-statistics-you-/cGO BACK TO INDIA YOU STINKING PAJEETS>GO BACK TO INDIA YOU STINKING PAJEETS
If this was such a rational and predictive site, why would it have Vivek at 75% just a few months ago?Political prediction markets are strangely terrible, because sportsbetting is so sharp you'd expect that to translate to this too
>>544210520This is fallacious because only a subset of competitions are battlegrounds. You're counting in the easy victories. The only form of betting I've ever consistently made money off of is political because people basically "vote" with their money and act irrationally. I've been on PredictIt, Poly, and now Kalshi. In about 90% of cases, the odds are at least somewhat biased towards Democrats. I've been able to put money on safe states like MO, TN, TX, FL, IA, and OH in the past at bankable odds like 50-70%.In a real efficient market you wouldn't be calling TX only 40% for Republicans right now. This is a state they haven't lost in a very long time and the polling is still close, so you'd consider them "homefield advantage" and it would be more like 70%. Upset potential but precedent matters. Since they don't do that, you know it's retarded and volatile. I will make money again this november.
>>544209976Huh?
>>544210817Because a poll was released showing Acton 10 points ahead in March and the markets reacted.https://tiffinohio.net////////posts/poll-amy-acton-leads-vivek-ramaswamy-by-10-in-ohio-governor-s-race/
Poly/PredictIt can be retarded the other way as well. On election night 2020, all of the battleground states surged to 90% Trump because he was dominating the early vote count. They hadn't factored in the mail in ballot dumps that would ensue.I made out fine because I took my money in FL, OH, and IA and went home. Always trust Republican governors to keep it steady.
>>544211141Then they are retards because public polls can and have always said whatever they wanted. If it was actually high info sharps and whales it wouldn't factor in much.
>>544210389>Polymarket, kalshi etc used to be way, way better than normal polls a few years ago because people were putting up actual money, but now fags are putting out fake polls and are using those betting apps to pump and dump and do rug pull scams so idk how good they are at this point. That one poll that had that female chinaman up 20 points in wisconson was completely made up to influence betting marketsSo counter-bet retard. There is literally a mathematical formula that tells you how much you should buy if you have current_probability and actual_probability for maximum profit.
>>544211792most of the fags making money on kalshi are hedgefunds and investment firms, you retarded, nonWhite retard
>>544212054There is nothing preventing you from making money if you know real actual odds.
>>544210018Lefty jew communists are in charge either way and voting doesn't do anything
>>544211017Normally I'd agree with you, but the republican candidates in both Texas and Ohio races are such absolute dogshit that I think theres an exceptional advantage for the democrats this election.
This election boils down to will there be enough hatred of jeets to cancel out the trillions of fucktarded gop boomoids.
>>544212336that's the thing, rajeet, we don't. the hedgefunds/traditional banks that are using the platform know the real odds with their internal tools, but the average person doesn't have access to those tools
>>544210153One man tried to Putsch back
https://youtu.be/se_zckC_0QI?t=202
>>544209687the groyper curse comes for the poojeet ramaswamy
>>544211017People don't just look at polls before they bet. They also look at figures like Trump's approval rating, economic factors, inflation, general mood in the country, vibes and voter registration shifts. All look terrible for Republicans.
>>544210253>People are willing to stake actual money on the outcomeBut the problem is that you can sell your bets at any time. So the bettors are not exactly making that huge of a commitment with their bets.
>>544209687THERE WILL BE NO FUCKING INDIANS IN THE GOVERNOR’S OFFICE. CAN YOU IMAGINE THE FUCKING NAUSEA WAKING UP EACH DAY KNOWING THERE’S A FUCKING INDIAN IN YOUR GOVERNORS OFFICE???? INDIAN, SAY IT, INDIAN
>>544209687Nazis dont want to vote for a shitskin, duh
>>544209687That fat kid really did him dirty.
>>544212417TX not at all. There is no universe where Talarico presents as a "stronger" candidate than Paxton in a state that is full of truck nut macho hardos. Ohio, the weak spot is Vivek. And that's why I'm asking, why couldn't these "sharps" see that before the predictable Dem-leaning polls started to come out? A random Indian billionaire wasn't ever going to be a huge favorite to win the OH governorship but he was priced there. Because it's all reactionary vibes.But political betting is NOT that hard. It's not chaotic. It's simple margins that shift a moderate amount this or that way. You have big moats to work with. There is no soccer ball to score a late minute golden goal, or hail marys, there are only millions of people who predictively shift this or that way a certain amount.
i thankfully don't live in that fucking dump but if i did i certainly wouldn't be voting for a shitjeet under ANY circumstance
>>544213162zain???
>>544210216>the carboard cutouts>the street urchins running around unchecked>the scamming shiteaterwew lad
-No one liked Vivek to start with.-He wasn't successful in distancing himself from Trump.-The ad charging him with marketing fake alsheimer drugs really crippled his popularity.-A section of Republicans won't vote for him because of his Indian heritage.
>>544214292>in a state that is full of truck nut macho hardoshow about beans and streetshitters>There is no soccer ball to score a late minute golden goal, or hail marysso you've never heard the term 'october surprise'dems will win in ohio and texas because the candidates the republicans are running are repulsive losers and the jew war in iran has skyrocketed fuel prices
>>544210019Polls are just "here's who said they will vote." Markets like this include weighting, effectively people with more confidence (ie insider info) will be able to put in more money depending on how confident they are. This adds an additional value to it, though it still isn't a perfect representation of likelihood
>>544209687>polymarketkek zoomers have totally lost faith in the polls even though the betting markets also do not predict SHIT lelwhat's their next stunt going to be, asking AI who will win?
>>544210018>>544209687Democracy is one crazy illusion of choice
>>544209687>be jeet>make promises>completely fuck your base over while calling them racist>why won't they vote for me again, we did ask them nicely to give us few more years
>>544210018keep doing it miggers we're loving it
>>544214292>state that is full of truck nut macho hardos. lmao you are a retard
most people decided they didn't want to support the Israeli pedfiles cult so they are voting for Democrats just because now.
>>544209687>jeet
