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File: petersburg.png (704 KB, 1180x1120)
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Previous: >>544563625

Day 1,699 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>Polymarket: russia taking all of Donetsk oblast by NYE at ~1%, same as Jesus returning before 2027
>1,015 drones over russia overnight (MoD claim). St. pidorsburg: oil terminal & Ruchi depot on fire, VK confirms its data centre hit (5th+ russian DC since Oct 8), Ozon warehouse burning, Korabelny fairway bridge struck
>Sobyanin: 2,730 drones flew at the moscow region Oct 10-17, 195 downed on the 17th alone. Vnukovo & Domodedovo shut again
>Gazprom's Surgut condensate plant, russia's largest, on fire after a drone strike ~2,350 km from Ukraine
>Trump waives the Graham Act sanctions on russia he signed into law last month. Dmitriev: "truly historic". Zelensky: "helps only the russians"
>Zelensky: russia hit Ukraine's energy sector 76 times since Trump's Oct 11 "energy ceasefire". Past week: ~2,700 drones, 1,700 KABs, 66 missiles
>Rubio: Ukraine has no Starshield access, White House didn't order the Starlink throttling
>Putin claims 6,500 km2 taken in 2026. ISW: ~100 km2 net, and a net LOSS of 122 km2 since Sept 1
>UN: 328 civilians killed in Ukraine in September, 85% more than Sept 2025
>UK sending more Storm Shadows before winter (Bloomberg)

▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateUA
t.me/DroneBomber
t.me/Exilenova_Plus
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
▶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
▶russian confirmed KIA
hochuvernut.com
200.zona.media/
poteru.net/en/
▶An illustrative article for understanding the "kill zone" in Ukraine's front lines
reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/KILL-ZONE/znpnojmknvl/
▶/uhg/-approved vidya
deepstatemap.live/arcade/
▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: files.catbox.moe/mpcw7p.zip
>>
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I DENOUNCE THE DONALD TRUMP
>>
TZD
>>
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TZD
>>
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pozzia is a fake country created by Genghis Khan, their only purpose was to collect taxes on his behalf
they are genetic cuckslaves
>>
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>>544574022
BURNNN Saint Pidorburg BURNNN
>>
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uh oh migger melty
>>
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TZD and welcome!
>>
>>544574196
Who cares what that dying old fart types on his twatter? He'll be dead in less than a month.
>>
>>544574197
there is something about the sight of this creature that makes me so irrationally angry.
>>
>>544574407
cuz he's white
>>
>>544574407
He's likely donated thousands of euros of disposable income to drone forces which pulverise jeetnigger allies.
>>
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>>544574196
KWAB!!!
>>
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>>544574196
>I WANT THIS WAR END!
>>
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>>544574196
>please surrender
>>
>>544574197
lets completely ignore his corduroy pants and the fact he treats his political ideas as fashion accessories. In the spirit of charitable discussion, we will look past his manicured nails.

Do you know a single man who takes pictures of himself like this?

He even bought a camera with a remote so that he could take pictures of himself more efficiently.

I would go out of my way to bully this thing.
>>
>>544574197
>Unbothered. Moisturized. Happy. In My Lane. Focused. Flourishing.
>>
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>>544574196
>I will end the war in 1 month!
>...
>zelonsky please stop the war
>>
>>544574492
>>544574436

please tell this creature participates in uhg.

I am going to pretend the german poofter who is always here is actually him.
>>
>>544574715
he's nafo... nafo doesn't like us because we advocate for genocide and say nigger. wait mearshnigger are you nafo?
>>
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>>544574715
Why not me?!
Don't I mean anything to you
>>
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>>544574715
>please tell this creature participates in uhg
>mfw mearshsaaamer
>>
>>544574196
This pedo really needs a bullet to the head
>>
>>544574656
Paying attention to tiny details like a manicure are a sign of attraction
>>
>>544574806
NAFO man doesn’t watch blacked porn either unlike Mearshy.
>>
>>544574853
People are blatantly and openly threatening the President of the United States and the mods do nothing about it. This is ridiculous
>>
>>544574806
He’s not the real mearshnigger, but the real one definitely supports Ukraine
Why else would he keep posting when he knows his posts directly lead to dead pidorussians?
>>
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>>544574930
Make another thread about it lol faggot
>>
>>544574930
Even jannies agree that the world would be better off without the orange pedo and his miga cultists
>>
>>544574888
>Paying attention to tiny details like a manicure are a sign of attraction

being uninterested and unobservant of the world around you is why you support ukraine today.
>>
>>544574022

B
A
S
E
D

Please wipe out my Yandex porn search history senpai!
>>
>>544574888
>Paying attention to tiny details like a manicure are a sign of attraction

Maybe you have a point.

My last girlfriend didnt have nails that nice. My last girlfriend wasnt as soft as that german ukraine supporter either.
>>
>>544574914
can nafo even watch porn? aren't they all mormon tier naive on sex?
>>
>>544574830

do you have strong opinions on matters of warfare while also having hips that are wider than your shoulders?
>>
>>544574715
>I am going to pretend
Add that to the long list of things you're already pretending.
>>
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>mearshy
>girlfriend
>>
>>544575025
Maybe Putin should have been a little more interested and observant about Ukraine's willingless to fight back back in 2022.
>>
>>544575194
Well, no on both counts
but still
>>
>>544574196
this niggerlicious niggerman really needs to stop his niggerlicious niggertweets, i mean at this point any of his niggerlicious ziggertweets makes his zigroposition worse
>>
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>>544575086
wow you must really love kraut anon. he is kinda out of your league but you should shoot your shot and ask him out the answer is always no until you ask ya know?
>>
Well Mearsheimer, you buck broke UGH. Congrats
>>
>>544575293
Throughout Europe, hordes of third worlders are imported to rape European women.

Germany is a special case where its the men who get raped by the immigrants.

>Most German men would LOVE to have gay sex with immigrants, BUT YOU HAVE TO ASK THEM FIRST. This is called consent.

What exactly is happening in germany right now?

Did you all ever read the anti-rape pamphlets the german government produced?
>>
>>544574022
That's a beautiful fire.
Is it just me or does 4chan and other sites run smoother after the attacks on Russian servers?
>>
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>pidorsburg burns
>lakhtoids: umm, uhh...oh, look at how funny this fat fuck nafoid is lmaooooo...haha...haaa...
>>
>>544575217
I really like this pig. It's a nice pig.
>>
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>>544574076
I like Jews and I'm tired of pretending I'm fucking not
>>
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>>544575674
get the fuck outta here with this gay shit nigga
>>
>>544575821
cool it with your russophobia, bigot
>>
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>>544575771
>I really like this pig
>>
>>544574930
I hope somebody drones him. And posts the footage
>>
>>544575765
>pidorsburg burns

I cant be bothered with the 10,000th trash can fire started by ukraine.

Russia already won the war in ukraine.
>>
>>544576002
Yeah yeah. We know. Russia already won. You just gotta say it 1000 more times and it comes true
>>
>>544574930
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X1fjXnyjZ40
>>
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>>544576002
>trash can fire
Not a single actual mutt from magapedestan will call "dumpster fire" a whatever you called it, jamboy
>>
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>>544575869
people are afraid of russians?
>>
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>>544576225
>jamboy
Spiritually, maybe.
>>
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>>544574930
>weahhhhhhh
>>
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TZD TZD TZD
>>
good evening, what's blowing up in Russia as we speak?
>>
>>544574930
Send zion don into a woodchipper
>>
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>>544576002
>trash can fire
>>
Trump is the just the beginning. Le Pen and AfD will side with Russia too. Ukraine is finished.
>>
>>544576520
Trump loses in November, then the US pressures Germany and France to play along again.
>>
>>544576225
I dont think ukraine has been given enough firepower to start a dumpster fire.

The petty acts of vandalism conducted by ukraine are at the level of a trashcan fire.

Now that ukraine has been limited to 300kms for strikes into Russia, even trashcan fires might be difficult to pull off.
>>
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>>544576002
>trash can fire
>>
>>544575217
in fairness, he might be very inebriated.
>>
>>544576520
Zion don and his retarded family will be executed by a drone firing squad
>>
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>>544576586
>tries coping around misusing a figure of speech
>>
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>>544574930
I was on his side for the no migrants crossing the borders anymore and fucking maduro in one night, but now I wouldn't mind another attempt for fucking everything else up and shifting blame for his senile decisions.
I wasn't expecting him to fumble his last years without being senile like sleepy Joe and his autopen marionette years, his ratings is even lower than Zelensky he likes to blame.
>>
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>>544576520
from
>3 days to kyiv
>the west will fall
to
>HELP AMERICA HELP
>HELP FRANCE HELP
>>
>>544576499
he's not wrong. pidorsburg is a trash can
>>544576520
le Pen will cut some of the funding (France is going bankrupt anyhow).
AfD doesn't have a shot at getting into federal government before 2029, and even then it's unlikely. so at least 2.5 years of zigger death
>>
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>>544575771
>>
>>544576655
>misusing a figure of speech

homeless people dont huddle around dumpster fires.

Trashcan fires are a thing. They are considered a nuisance.

Much like ukraine.
>>
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>>544576967
Le Pen isn't elected yet fren
>>
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>>544574022
>>544574076
>>544574549
>>544574580
>>544574643
>>544576400
>>544576568
>>544576621
>>544576655
You Lost Tranny
>>
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>>544577038
>trashcan fires are a thing
yeah THEY'RE CALLED TRASH FIRES YOU FUCKING IMPOSTER lmfao if these things are just brain stem.
>>
>>544577085
Why are miggers so homo erotic?
>>
>>544577085
You lost to irannie, nigger
>>
>>544577049
even if she isnt elected, ukraine is still fucked.

the limp dick AfD could vanish like a fart in the wind......and ukraine is still fucked.
>>
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russia lost
>>
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>>544577139
Let's see if Russia fares any better and which one can find partners to rebuild
>>
>>544577117
>yeah THEY'RE CALLED TRASH FIRES

the leftists are trying to redefine terms and make shit up again.

you guys are horrible at this game.
>>
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>homeless people dont huddle around dumpster fires.
Ironically Ukraine is causing the fires your thinking of but they still aren't trashcans false-mearsh
>>
>>544577160
He won by losing
>>
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>>544577210
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
>>
this is unacceptable. Zelenskyy must go!
strikes on pidor infrastructure have dropped in September and it seems like they'll drop further this month. we're back to January levels. Zeleboba MUST call snap elections in which Biletsky wins
>>544577049
she will thoughbeit. such a shame it won't be Zemmour
>>
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>>544577327
>she will thoughbeit.
Not saying you're wrong
But saying I've been hearing this song for 20 years and that's not how it ends
>>
>>544574196
>total muttoid humiliation ritual
KEK
>>
>>544577412
>that's not how it ends
explain plox.
if you mean that she'll have to make compromises with parliament, yes. that'll blunt the worst pro-pidor impulses
>>
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>>544577085
Didn’t you hear? Trannies won, faggot
>>
>>544577412
>>544577552
I just don't see the other voters uniting behind either a Marxist candidate or, as they ususally did, a Liberal. this time really is different
>>
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>>544577552
Because the electoral of the 5th republic has a built-in system to prevent extremists from seizing power. That's the function of the two turn system. If she qualifies on turn one, turn two forms a coalition behind the moderate candidate and defeats her.
That's why even the failure of the two parties of the two party system did not bring us extremists to power and basically forced Macron president.
Her most realistic chance is having the moderate candidate punted out in the first turn. Which can happen. Probably wont.
>>
>>544574930
lol be glad the eurocucks are finally open about it instead of just dancing around it like they did for the last decade
>>
>>544577652
>this time really is different
yeah last time it was different, and the time before it too. It's always different and they always eat the ground
>>
>>544574196
This can't be real
>>
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Everyone laught at the frenchies
>le russia is brown
uh oh france is actually brown
>le russia is collapsing
uh oh france is actually falling apart
top kek
>>
>>544577732
so shes the french ron paul?
>>
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>>544577884
She doesnt have a US equivalent, you guys never had a politically dominant military high command, the advantage of never have been a monarchy
>>
>>544574196
fuck this traitorous faggot, hope he fucking dies soon.
>>
>>544574196
oceans AND seas???? Ukraine bros....
>>
>>544577692
>is having the moderate candidate punted out in the first turn. Which can happen. Probably wont.
I think it will this time. there won't be a moderate in the 2nd round. I get that I'm coming across as
>let me tell you about your country
but judging from the polls - which, admittedly, can change - the Republicans and remnants of the Liberals will split the vote between their candidates, which means the choice will be between RN and LFI. the only things that could change this are le Pen losing out to a nationalist contender or Mélenchon getting supplanted by a less radical leftist. the former is exceedingly unlikely and the latter wouldn't change the electoral arithmetic much
>>544577732
polls could change until April next year. but the political situation definitely won't. the debt crisis will only worsen with political gridlock preventing all reforms. added to that, niggers and nafris will have many more opportunities to chimp out
>>
>>544577692
>Because the electoral of the 5th republic has a built-in system to prevent extremists from seizing power. That's the function of the two turn system. If she qualifies on turn one, turn two forms a coalition behind the moderate candidate and defeats her.

you just described why THE EMPEROR will return.

The government of France actively seeks to fuck over their own people, and the "democratic" system currently in place is designed to make sure the French continue to get fucked over.

The English, Germans, and Romanians have recently had a taste of what "democracy" means as well.

Lets not forget our own "fortified" elections.
>>
>>544577972
>always runs
>dedicated following that always insists this time will be different because of x y and z
>it isn't different
thats ron paul enough for my mcbrain
>>
>>544574022
>~1%, same as Jesus returning before 2027
So if I bet $100K against Jesus returning before 2027 I will be given $1K in January?
Is that how it works?
What's the catch?
>>
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What monke up to?
>>
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>>544578115
We'll see, but keep in mind I have been hearing this kind of reasoning for 20 years. Yeah it's always different this time yadda yadda.
I'm not saying it won't happen. It can, but this kind of panicked alarmism is not really unexplored ground for me
>>544578151
>Lets not forget our own "fortified" elections.
US democratic system was not fortified at all and actually rewarded the loud yeller over the sensible policy carriers. It's a totally different system and nothing is transposable. You cannot learn anything about the french system by observing the US system.
>>544578233
fair enough
>>
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>>544574197
Nothing can convince me otherwise that ziggers are paid to post this image. Don't get me wrong, this guy is fat but beyond that there's really nothing else of note. Meanwhile the average zigger is just as fat in a best case scenario but more often they're some shitskin or dysgenic tranny. I have an entire folder dedicated to retards in /chug/ that doxxed their tranny/shitskin faces meanwhile after 4 years they still have to resort to reposting some tubby guy's selfie from twitter as if we're supposed to give a shit.
>>
>>544578305
>here's how we can force ukraine to surrender
>>
>>544578305
Putin is going to transfer foreign russian oil assets to Kushner, Witikoff, and Lutnik in return for their treason. Trump needs China to agree to the change in the balance of energy production since technically (((americans))) will be taking over their oil contracts.
>This is the big bribe but it only works if China is okay with it.
>>
TZD
>>
>>544578151
rare decent post by mearshie. might have to print this one out and frame it.
the way it's set up, there almost cannot be a meaningful change in power. only a change in management. a political system that's designed to prevent important reforms will at some point collapse under the weight of the many flaws it didn't address. or the pendulum swings hard to one extreme
>Lets not forget our own "fortified" elections.
I think that might change soon. word is Trump has something planned for the midterms
>>
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>>544578305
>>544578542
Expect lots of zigger gloating.
>>
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>>544578694
They’ll gloat for a day or two like after the waste of time in Alaska
Then mosqueow will keep getting hit and nothing will change
Then they’ll go back to gloating about controlling Crimea or something
None of this is new lol
>>
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>>544578672
No it is retarded. I assume this makes sense for you because you don't live here, do not participate to the local political life, and France only appears on your radar every five years. Politics don't stop between elections here. There is social life, there are locale elections. Electing the president is (very) important but there are a lot of other means for the people to express its voice.
"If we can't elect the condamned thief that sworn on her father grave she would torch the country, it means democracy has failed" is honestly a shit take. The republican system is fortified against people that would destroy it, as it should.
>>
>>544578305
Its a real shame that president Xi has to play ball with satanic freemason's for his countries sake. He should kill them both for the greater good but we all know the CCP has no values and would shank Xi in his sleep if he didn't bring goodies back.
>>
>>544578694
Its to ensure there is a recurring revenue stream for them and to prevent future sanctions from shutting down operations again. Its the big bribe. Its also treason so they are dead men walking after this.
>>
>>544578694
>A senior U.S. official told the WSJ Trump has not agreed to such a summit.

Trump has refused such offers before. He could now. Especially with Xi, I'm certain he want China out of this (he hopes to turn Russia against China)
>>
>>544579272
Trump worships Xi and Putin.
>>
>>544578907
>that sworn on her father grave she would torch the country
proofs?
also, you'll see a lot of people change their opinion once only her and a Marxist are on the ballot
>>
>>544578070
We lost, yo. We lost.
>>
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>>544579573
>once only her and a Marxist are on the ballot
Mélanchon isn't really marxist... Like maybe, by tradition? But this is totally meaningless today. Mélanchon is a bit-redder-socialist, but the average PCF militant is more radical than he is. He's a cunt tho, fuck him too. She would probably beat him and he's her best chance yeah



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