>Everyone knows polling is fake liberal propaganda until the week before the election, then they start posting the real numbers so they can say they were accur-AAAACK!
>>545043248Shills have been spamming polymarket for a month now
>>545043248>talarico +5hoooly, blue wave incoming
>>545043409MAGA Demons on suicide watch.
>>545043248It's not "the week before the election" it's their final polls, which usually get released Saturday-Monday before Election Day Tuesday. The final polls are the only ones their accuracy is judged on. They can say Candidate A +25 for months, quietly put out a Candidate A +1 poll the day before the election and then when candidate B wins by one be like "see? we had a great polling cycle, we got it within the polling MOE."If you're going to shitpost from this angle, at least get it right.
>>545043409 I've heard the news proclaim a "texas blue wave" every two years for decades now.
>>545043653If its gonna happen is now no?Never before have there ben such conditions for it?Migration waves of blue voters to Texas+High gas prices so discontent in general.
>>545043248>they start posting the real numbersthis has never happened.
>>545043409In Pennsylvania here, it's the blue tsunami
>>545043980
>>545043980No one cares because you have no Senate race this year and your governor is already a Democrat. No major office is flipping, so it's not a story like Texas.
>>545043796Ken Paxton is also a terrible candidate with a mountain of political baggageI don't think Talarico winning is going to be a sign Texas is going blue, I think it will just be the result of Republicans nominating a particularly terrible candidate in an election cycle where anti-Republican sentiment in highI honestly won't be surprised if Talarico ends up being a one term senator
>>545043248>fake polls>fake news
As someone who studies election data and made huge money betting in 2020-2024, the chance of a Democrat overperformance is huge. Polling firms are still hugely overcorrecting for nonrespondent white voters by throwing extra turnout and R points. These people aren't showing up this year. Early voting data massively confirms it.My models are predicting a -0.5 to +6 range for the R polling error, mean 3.2
I hope miggers commit seppuku next week.
>>545043248According to RCP aggregate poll Dems have a >1 advantage in 6 Senate races and need 4 to sweep the Congress. If they get corresponding governors too 2028 looks bleak for GOP especially if they double down with Vance or Rubio
>>545044307>Ken Paxton is also a terrible candidate with a mountain of political baggageWhat does that tell you about Texas Republicans they nominate people who let pedophiles get one day in jail?
>>545044898>If they get corresponding governors too 2028 looks bleak for GOP especially if they double down with Vance or Rubio2028 is gonna be an absolute blood bath for GOPDestanis, Vance Rubo = all neocon Israeli firsters who will shill for Iran war that will be in it's third year straight by 2028
>>545045179>>545044821MIGA will force him to escalate the war after the election blowout. He will rapidly deteriorate after that, be forced to step down, and Vance will get blown out to (most likely) Shapiro
