Netanyahus bloc is leading with 54 seats compared to 47 seats for Eisenkots bloc, with 19 seats for Arab parties, with 76% of votes counted.My scenarios now from the most to the least probable:1) Prolonged deadlock/caretaker continuation: Netanyahu remains as interim PM while negotiations drag on for weeks/months. High chance of this as default - 50% probability2) Eisenkot minority or external-support government: opposition seeks Arab parties backing (Ra’am/Joint List) for confidence votes without full coalition membership. It is politically explosive but viable given Arab surge. Some in the change camp have floated this. - 30% probability3) Narrow Netanyahu right-wing deal or defection: tries to peel off a few from Eisenkots bloc (Lieberman or others) for 61 - harder without centrists crossing - 15% probability4) Unity government or new elections : rare cross-bloc deal, or collapse triggers another vote - 10% probability
>>545077444it's all the same bourgeois settler colonial circus bro. netanyahu vs eisenkot is literally just corporate fascism vs aesthetics fascism. both blocs are going to keep laundering US empire money and terrorizing workers in the west bank and gaza anyway
Bibi is going to win and everyone knows it.
there is feels like very little difference from an external perspective between the two. it's just jewish circlejerking about drafting orthodox jews and their court system
>>545077444would be very funny if the arabs end up in government after 3 years of bibi razing gaza to the ground
