Realistically how likely is it for China to collapse before 2030
Not likely at allAnd if some unexpected even happens to cause their collapse, the rest of the world will probably be even worse off
>>546073484
>>546073484it would be surprising if the whole regime collapses.if xi dies then maybe the politburo will have a crisis since xi has consolidated power so much and the next guy will most likely not have the same command.otherwise, maybe some provincial governments get replaced as they are heavily in debt.otherwise, some uncertainty is whether they go ahead with a taiwan invasion. a lot of chinas neighbours would be more than happy to use that as an excuse to carve up china.short of a full revolt, which is unlikely considering the lengths the ccp go to to prevent such, the rigid hierachy is quite resilient.
>>546073484hasnt china collapsed like seven times already?
>>546073484>Just as, to the bourgeois, the disappearance of class property is the disappearance of production itself, so the disappearance of class culture is to him identical with the disappearance of all culture. That culture, the loss of which he laments, is, for the enormous majority, a mere training to act as a machine.–The Communist Manifesto
0% chance. Even if their economy stalls completely, lets say a couple of years of 0% growth, they will be fine. State collapse isn't easy. It would take a decade of civil war for it to collapse, like Syria. And the Chinese state is too strong for that to ever happen. If a chimpout lasted a week it would be an achievement.
2030? They will be extremely lucky if they don’t collapse within the next 14 days.
>>5460734840% likelyask again in 20 years
>>546073484>China to collapsehahahahahahahahahahhaa
>The proletariat will use its political supremacy to wrest, by degree, all capital from the bourgeoisie, to centralise all instruments of production in the hands of the State, i.e., of the proletariat organised as the ruling class; and to increase the total productive forces as rapidly as possible.–The Communist Manifesto
>>546075132in what way is china communist?
>>5460751711. Abolition of property in land and application of all rents of land to public purposes.2. A heavy progressive or graduated income tax.3. Abolition of all rights of inheritance.4. Confiscation of the property of all emigrants and rebels.5. Centralisation of credit in the hands of the state, by means of a national bank with State capital and an exclusive monopoly.6. Centralisation of the means of communication and transport in the hands of the State.7. Extension of factories and instruments of production owned by the State; the bringing into cultivation of waste-lands, and the improvement of the soil generally in accordance with a common plan.8. Equal liability of all to work. Establishment of industrial armies, especially for agriculture.–The Communist Manifesto
>>546075171These measures will, of course, be different in different countries.–The Communist Manifesto
>>546073484Not that simple.https://executiveconcern.substack.com/p/celestial-empire-5dd
>>546073484Hardly, chinks are intelligent unlike wiggers
>>5460734842 more weeks, trust me there are so much youtube videos on this it must be true.
>>546073484The average bugman doesn't have access to the global internet and is used to living on 89 cents per day. 90% of them will be dead before the rest of the World even figures out what's going on there.
>>546074530china has historically always had a revolution whenever the mandate of heaven is no longer fulfilled by the government
>>546073484They’ve lost 100 plus million from declining birth rates and emigration in 4 years.The food short fall is growing 10-15 million per year. It’s been collapsing since Covid.
>>546073484>Realistically how likely is it for China to collapse before 2030It's the worlds industrial and technological hub. The West on the other hand is a financial hub, producing nothing of tangible value. What on God's green earth makes you think China's up for collapse? They're an absolutely indispensable nation, while we're absolutely dispensable. We've gone the way of Britain when it turned from industry to a purely financial power, and consequently lost its empire. The US and the EU have followed in their steps and have no leverage in any global matter besides virtual signalling. Motherfucking EU had the gall to lecture China about their disregard for our retarded sanctions on Russia. It's so comically retarded.
>>546073484Just watch what happens to the Yuan once the Chineseys stop artificially deflating their currency. The Yuan will probably become the world's reserve currency at some point. I have no problem with China though, I am scared of India becoming a superpower though, that's when the real bad shit starts.China have been planning world domination since their "Century of humiliation".
>>546075288private property inheritance is better protected in china than the usa. you're a dork.
>>546073484Not happening. Israel first!
>>546073484If anything russia will collapse sooner than china ever will. There is like 60% chance russia wont make it to 2030 its just nuclear bombed hellscape forever engaged in civil war
>>546074077>and the next guy will most likely not have the same command.Your narrative of the politbureau is that they're feral animals held together by a cult of personality, with nothing else holding them together like common cause, ethno-national identity, or the law. How do you justify that view? You sound retarded when you talk about it this way. Has it occured to you that China is an ethnically homogenous civilizational nation state? It doesn't have race riots burning commercial centers down every few years like America and Britain. It's a stable country.
>>546076759>Russia, the largest nuclear arsenal supported by better AD and more and better offensive missiles, will lose a nuclear exchange against America>Despite also being allied with China, Iran, and North KoreaYours is not a realistic scenario.
