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File: chumlee.jpg (393 KB, 1320x740)
393 KB JPG
Everything is a 50/50 chance. Either it happens or it doesn't.
>>
>>17013294
Well, the theory is either true or it isn't, so there's a 50/50 chance it's accurate.
>>
>Either it happens or it doesn't.
This doesn't establish the claim that there's a 50/50 chance of anything happening.
>>
Shit meme, fuck off.
>>
half of everything is luck
>>
>>17013294
Go spend all your cash at the lottery then
>>
>>17013294
great, let's bet on dice rolling. bet on a certain number. i bet you won't roll it.
>>
File: neh.jpg (69 KB, 761x403)
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>>17013294
Chance of something happening with 50/50 chance is 50/50 and so on.
Which proves that chance of anything happening is 0.
Ergo nothing ever happens.
>>
>a box with 99 blue balls and 1 red ball
>1 in 100 chance of drawing a red ball
>draw 100 times
>never get a red ball
Explain this then. If there really is a 1 in 100 chance then how is it possible to draw 100 times and never get a red ball?
>>
>>17014967
you drew one of the blue balls twice
>>
>>17013294
Rick doesn't do it like that. He takes the cat out the back, skins it, and removes the tail to make it spherical and then puts it in a vacuum tube.
>>
>>17013294
If everything is a 50/50 chance, then everything has a 50/50 chance of being 50/50.
>if everyone is a 50/50 chance, then noone is.
>>
>>17013294
I think you're confusing chance and states. Something happening or refers to state ie it either exists or it don't, whereas the likelihood of something happening would be where you say it's 50/50 or whatever odds.
>>
>>17014716
I just rolled my die and I did get it
>>
>>17013294
Yes, but there are many steps between something happening, so the probability of something will be 50/50 of 50/50 of 50/50 of 50/50 of....
>>
>>17019644
You can answer questions, or you can make noise.

The Lord prefers the Form-er over the Ladder
>>
>>17013303
funny meme, fuck in.
>>
>>17013294
Everything in the universe has a 100% chance of happening, because everything that happened, happened.
>>
>>17015234
and it's 70/30 not 50/50
>>
>>17013294
This is kinda how I look after a bender lol
Not so fat though
>>
To find the probabilities, we calculate the squared norm of the components of this new vector. First, we normalize the vector by dividing by its total norm [math]N = \sqrt{(1/\sqrt{3})^2 + (1/\sqrt{6})^2} = \sqrt{1/3 + 1/6} = \sqrt{1/2} = 1/\sqrt{2}[/math].

The normalized state is:
[math]|\psi_{normalized}\rangle = \sqrt{\frac{2}{3}} |GG\rangle + \sqrt{\frac{1}{3}} |GS\rangle[/math]

The probability that we are in the [math]|GG\rangle[/math] state (meaning the other coin is also gold) is the square of the coefficient of the [math]|GG\rangle[/math] basis vector:
[math]P(\text{Other is Gold}) = \left| \sqrt{\frac{2}{3}} \right|^2 = \frac{2}{3}[/math]

inner product spaces are the most elegant way to state the weighted sum of events
>>
>>17020852
[math]P(GG \mid \text{Gold}) = \frac{2/3}{1/2} = \frac{2}{3}[/math]

[math]P(GS \mid \text{Gold}) = \frac{1/6}{1/2} = \frac{1}{3}[/math]
>>
>>17014967
>If there really is a 1 in 100 chance then how is it possible to draw 100 times and never get a red ball?
P{drawing 100 times and not getting a ball and getting it on the 101th try} =
[math]
(1-\frac{1}{100})^100 + \frac{1}{100} = 0.37
[/math]
Imagine trying to disprove a troll while showing everyone you don't even know how probability works LMAO

Suppose indeed things either happened or not, so 50/50:
P{drawing 100 times and not getting a ball and getting it on the 101th try} =
[math]
(1-\frac{1}{2})^100 + \frac{1}{2} = 0.50000000000000000000000000000079
[/math]

So in the real world, you'd have a 37% chance while in schizo's world it would be 50%. Not that much different, huh? You still wouldn't expect to get certainly get the red ball
>>
>>17020852
What vector? lol
>>
File: BertrandBoxDecisionTree.png (146 KB, 1088x704)
146 KB PNG
from /g/'s thread
>>
it's just funny to see people get riled up over this after 15 fucking years
it's 1/2 odds gg box deal with it
>>
>>17020877
There are two conditions: you draw a red ball or you don't. Your slip into endless gradualism is a fallacy.
>>
>>17013303
>>17019836
sunny creme, suck through
>>
>>17014798
infinitesimals round up
>>
>>17013294
ok we are gonna play texas hold em, 1000 dollars per hand and ever hand I get aces and you get 72. At the end of 100 hands we will just be tied
>>
>>17014798
yes
>>
>>17013294
It's actually a 13/27 chance it will happen.
>>
>>17025406
13/50 for negroes
>>
File: 34543578896.jpg (109 KB, 1280x720)
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>>17013294
>>
>>17014967
It's 50% each time unless you're keeping the drawn balls outside the box
>>
>>17028814
You put the drawn ball back in after each draw so that it remains a 1/100 chance of drawing red for each of the 100 draws.
>>
>>17013294
Does that explain skidmarks in underwear?



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