[a / b / c / d / e / f / g / gif / h / hr / k / m / o / p / s / t / u / v / vg / vm / vmg / vr / vrpg / vst / w / wg] [i / ic] [r9k / s4s / vip] [cm / hm / lgbt / y] [3 / aco / adv / an / bant / biz / cgl / ck / co / diy / fa / fit / gd / hc / his / int / jp / lit / mlp / mu / n / news / out / po / pol / pw / qst / sci / soc / sp / tg / toy / trv / tv / vp / vt / wsg / wsr / x / xs] [Settings] [Search] [Mobile] [Home]
Board
Settings Mobile Home
/sci/ - Science & Math

Name
Options
Comment
Verification
4chan Pass users can bypass this verification. [Learn More] [Login]
File
  • Please read the Rules and FAQ before posting.
  • Additional supported file types are: PDF
  • Use with [math] tags for inline and [eqn] tags for block equations.
  • Right-click equations to view the source.

08/21/20New boards added: /vrpg/, /vmg/, /vst/ and /vm/
05/04/17New trial board added: /bant/ - International/Random
10/04/16New board for 4chan Pass users: /vip/ - Very Important Posts
[Hide] [Show All]


[Advertise on 4chan]


https://youtu.be/C92XdXWV5vg?is=mirsthQHiB9aBlPJ

So if I wanted to auramax by playing russian roulette repeatedly to show I'm not scared, do I roll the revolver each time I shoot or just once at the start?
>>
Assuming a perfectly fair revolver (unlikely, but let's roll with it) your cumulative odds for shooting yourself with no respin are:
n: [math]p = \frac{n}{6}[/math]
1: [math]p = \frac{1}{6}[/math]
2: [math]p = \frac{1}{3}[/math]
3: [math]p = \frac{1}{2}[/math]
4: [math]p = \frac{2}{3}[/math]
5: [math]p = \frac{5}{6}[/math]
6: [math]p = 1[/math]

And with respin:
n: [math]p = 1-{\left(\frac{n}{6}\right)}^n[/math]
1: [math]p = \frac{1}{6}[/math]
2: [math]p = \frac{11}{36}[/math]
3: [math]p = \frac{91}{216}[/math]
etc.

In terms of discrete pulls. Two is about equally risky with or without spins (basically a 1-in-3). Six with is about as dangerous as four without. Ten with is about as dangerous as five without.
>>
>>17040327
why isn't the probability for respins:

p = 1/(7-n)

or even,

1: p = 1/6
2: p = 1/(6*5)
3: p = 1/(6*5*4)
...and so on.
>>
>>17040365
The “empty chamber” chit is tossed back into the urn upon each spin.
>>
>>17040365
Your probability for not getting shot is (5/6)^n with each reroll.
Thus your probability of getting shot is 1-(5/6)^n.
Your cumulative odds eventually approach 1, but it grows more slowly than without the reroll.



[Advertise on 4chan]

Delete Post: [File Only] Style:
[Disable Mobile View / Use Desktop Site]

[Enable Mobile View / Use Mobile Site]

All trademarks and copyrights on this page are owned by their respective parties. Images uploaded are the responsibility of the Poster. Comments are owned by the Poster.