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In the same 2025-2026 period he won Sinquefield twice, his results elsewhere were 8th overall in the GCT standings, 3rd in Finals, mid-field in other classical events, meaning he over-performed his contemporaneous baseline by approximately 40-50 Elo points specifically in Saint Louis and nowhere else. Two consecutive wins while rated 2765 at a tournament whose field averages 2760 gives a raw probability of (0.15)2 = 2.25% if independent. The anomaly is not the individual results, it is the concentration: all three career classical super-tournament wins post-2017 are at the same venue, same city, same organizers, zero elsewhere across 9 years of elite play.