I'm a 28 year-old incel tired of not getting any so I decided I'm going to download Tinder. Not looking for a gf, just one night stands and fuck buddies I can booty call, the idea is to get a stable and reliable supply of sexo.However I've been doing some preliminary research before getting started and I realize this will require a little more thought than just downloading the app and uploading my best pictures.First, some numbers. I live in a city of>308,950 people (this is taken from census data from 2022 so the actual number is undoubtedly higher)The city is 52.4% female so the number of women are>161,972I asked ChatGPT to estimate the number of females between the ages of 18 and 30 (since Tinder doesn't allow setting your age parameters below 18 and I'm not going for old hags although I hope girls 15/16/17 years of age are surreptitiously on the app too since the AOC in my cunt is 15) and it spat out>33,398Furthermore ChatGPT says the typical adoption rate of Tinder in my cunt is between 3-8% but I'll only use the most pessimistic estimate so the number of females between the ages of 18 and 30 that are on the app is>33,398x0.03=1002 (rounded up)The number of active users is likely lower, between 700-800 give or take. The average matching rate for male users is just 5.3% so the number of matches I can expect is>700x0.053=37 (truncated)The average response rate after matching is around 50% so I can expect only>37/2=19 (rounded up)women to respond after we match. We should assume these numbers are optimistic, the actual chances of me matching, getting a response, setting up a date and it ending in sexo is probably in the single digits.1/2
So those are the stats, now what about the strategy? I live in a country where the average male height is 174.75 cm (5'8" in), I measured myself the other day and found out I'm 180.5 cm (5'11" in) but tbqh I don't feel that I tower over most people here. My plan relies almost entirely on heighmogging the competition (and my skin tone being slightly lighter than average). As you might have guessed I live in a non-Western country so I can reasonably expect women to not be as hypergamous here as they are in the West (right?)Any other ideas? Me pushing 30 is an advantage since girls in their late teens/early twenties go after older guys, right? My dick is 15 cm (5.91 in bonepressed although since I'm somewhat fat it looks smaller) btw.
>>17057515Larger search radius. Make them come to you.
NO PUSSY NO WARHE WHO DOES NOT FUCK DOES NOT FIGHT
>>17057515>The average matching rate for male users is just 5.3% so the number of matches I can expect isHow do you know you will get the average rate though? It's a Pareto distribution not a normal distribution according to incel theory, so actually very few men would get close to the average match rate. Some would get very high and most would get lower.>The average response rate after matching is around 50%This may also be optimistic because of the same reason.>>17057523I hope OP does not die invading the Falklands considering that he lives in San Salvador de Jujuy, Argentina.
>>17057515Anyway Santiago one thing you should do is include men in your options. Not that you should match with them, but Tinder uses an Elo system to choose how much to show your profile to women. If more people swipe right on you, your Elo goes up, if they swipe left it goes down. Like a game of chess, if you swipe right on someone and they swipe left on you, they "win" and your profile gets cucked in the algorithm. If you include gays (who famously have lower standards than women) in your search options they will swipe right on you and you will swipe left on them, making the algorithm think you are more desirable and showing you to more women.They may have patched this exploit but at least it used to work.
you know you have a better chance by talking to strangers at a shopping mall than those apps.
>>17057516>>17057515fuck off jeet
>>17057515>Be me>Read title>Crafting a mathematically viable Tinder strategy>Hmm sounds like AI>Skim first few words of each paragraph >I asked ChatGPT>Stop reading >Post response>Close thread>Hide thread
>>17057515give your height in light nanoseconds, it's slightly more forgiving than feet.
>>17057515>Im trying to be Mathematically rigorous for you.>The 1=n.
The mistake is adoption rate. There is 5-10 times more guys on tinder than girls. On top of that, a lot of girls are there just to promote their onlyfans.And with an average dick and being fat, no girls will want you just for something casual. You have to be at least fit. They all look at jacked guys on instagram and think this is a norm. Because of porn tgey also think a 20cm dick is a norm.Your best chance is being a sugar daddy.I'm 6'1 jacked and have a 19cm dick and still girls constantly trying to turn me into an atm machine, despite them fully satisfied in bed. I doubt they will care about your fat body to even reply to you.
You forgot to factor in your personality, face, height, weight, wealth, social skills, and good boy points (they're negative, surprisingly).>Checks math. Montage of lab scenes. Dog in lab coat is furiously calculating. You match with 1/65536th of a woman. Sorry, math don't lie.
>>17057632Coincidentally I was at the mall last weekend and saw gaggles of teenyboppers in short shorts walking around. They seem to just amble around and window shop (they obviously have no money). Cold approaching them in public would be suicidal though, especially since my rizz game is non-existent.>>17058420Tinder doesn't have stats on my specific city but it does have stats on the country. Apparently the ratio is around 74.6% guys and 25.4% girls so roughly 3 guys for every girl.Yeah, I've read that many are just there to promote their Insta and OnlyFans, if I see them mentioned on their bio I'm swiping left since I have no intention of being a follower simp.Thing is girls who are actually there looking for a fling swipe left on most guys, meaning if she actually swipes right on you your competition is actually very low. The trick is to pass that filter and ensure your profile gets swiped right.>>17058428I already mentioned my height and I have a decent picture I can use as my first pic (the most important one).As for my weight I already said I'm a bit fat, I live in a two-story apartment (owned by mom) and have a sidegig renting out rooms, which I expect is better than younger guys who probably have no jobs and therefore no money.As for social skills I have no friends but I constantly interact with guests meaning I'm not a complete sperg who spills his spaghetti and can actually look people in the eye when talking to them.As for personality I'm into literature and cinema but I just plan on saying I'm into travel, cooking and fashion to appeal to the foids.
>>17058644You don't inderstand girls. They all have hundreds of guys better than you in their dms on instagram or tiktok. Tge only reason they are on tinder is those guys not good enough for them. They are looking for top 1%, hoping he won't just pump and dump them. Your only chance is below 6/10 girls who are invisible to the top 1%. Even those will ask you what kind of car you drive and what you do for a living and it will be the last time they reply to you.Try hitting oj girls irl. Stop carrying about rejection. It's a much better chance this way. Lear to read female body language and hit only on those, who show interest in you. If they don't show any interest, forget about them.
>>17058986>Your only chance is below 6/10 girls Kek no, the top 5% of men garbage dive like everyone else. Try 3/10 and below.
>>17058991>>17058986Both posts true. But I agree below 6/10 is cope. Ive made catfish accounts with 40yr old obese, bald black women and get messages from mem making 300k/yr and over 6'5. Average male has slim pickings especially online where women's inboxes have dozens of men waiting to fuck them. Also will those women even meet up. They get hit on at work, at the club, and at the grocery store by men way better looking and richer. Women also share men with their friends
>>17057662Kill yourself
>>17057515Have you tried just not being an incel and being chad instead?
>>17057515Start with a proof whether dateable women exist
>>17057515It's a fools errand to assume that women follow any kind of logic, consciously or subconsciously. Seriously just buy a fucking hooker. Mathematically speaking this has a 100% success rate unless your gay ass gets robbed.
Just have sex
>>17057516>reasonably expect women to not be as hypergamous here as they are in the West>Me pushing 30 is an advantage>somewhat fatThen on top of that>>17057515>I hope girls 15/16/17 years of age are surreptitiously on the app tooHoly fucking delusional shit skin
>>17057515Go outside
>tfw when overweight, relatively short, and pretty severely crippled, although used to be pretty handsome before like 25-27 and got amazing hair>only try chatting up girls who are good at English (most out here are complete ESLs so do not fit my vision)>all of that makes my chances really, really, REALLY slim>somehow used to pull some very cool and cute girls online, although most of it wasn't in my city and fell through but I got one-night stands; mostly still years of online chatting and sexting with young 18-22-somethings>starting to feel desperate, and in a desperate move finally pull an amazing 19yo that fits all my criteria and lives nearby at 29 and she gets a huge crush on me over text, then we meet, and are eventually in love, her parents approve, and 3 years pass, even sorta thinking of marriage (yes couldn't believe that shit myself)>feeling much younger and ready to take on challenges, feel like I have amazing support>lose her. it's so fucking over>all the online dating shit started dying here hard so can't even return to old habits, especially at my age>thought I'd marry the love of my life and now I suddenly am old, retarded, dying alone, and my hair started thinning>reading all those statistics and shit makes me realize how insanely lucky I used to get and how unlikely any of that to happen again>months pass, either severely depressed or researching ways to safely kill myself with what I have here, and even failing at that oneI wish I just didn't get any chances at all and lost all hope much earlier. Maybe I would've been semi-content otherwise.
What you are looking for is a prostitute. Use that big brain of yours to make money.
>>17057515kill yourself
>>17057515interesting