If you flip a coin 9 times and it’s heads every time, the 10th flip is gonna be heads too.
1+1=2 2+2=24 24+24=72What?
When I was in sixth grade we did a math olympiads thing where this was one of the questions and the 'official' answer was that you were supposed to assume the coin was rigged.Pissed me off then, still pisses me off now.
The more heads you get in the row the higher is the probability that you have a rigged coin.
>>17088891>coin shows 9 heads in a row>this is 1/512 chance>this is proof the coin is rigged>be in Old West>be playing poker>opponent shows a straight flush>this is 1/3,591 chance>immediately shoot him dead for cheating
>>17088907[eqn]P(R \mid H^n) =\frac{P(H^n \mid R)\,P(R)}{P(H^n)}\quad \text{and} \quad\frac{d}{dn}P(R \mid H^n) > 0[/eqn]
>>17088907No? All you have to do is just throw the coin the exact same way every single time.
>>17088891Yeah if you don't know p, you can update it recursively by bayesian estimation. Although you will need at least 180k trials for your estimate to converge to the true estimate, and you will go bankrupt if you try to do this in a gambling website.
>>17088982True. But then you have a rigged hand.
>>17088992No? The word "rigged" implies a deceitful setup, there is no deceit in training your coin toss, that's like saying you rigged your probability to get into a car crash by learning how to drive.
>>1708889150/50 it either happens or it doesnt, but if it does that's some bullshit you're cheating and I am telling.
>>17089010coins generally arent thrown the exact same way you kike
>>17088891>1/512 chances never fucking happen, okay!>>17088904Yeah, that's retarded.>>170889141/14,564.
>>17089290>1/14,564.I was referring to Texas Hold'Em
>>17089285Completely irrelevant, probability distributions are inherently only applicable to the set of conditions that produce said probability distributions, so it's very wrong to say that a coin flip has a 50/50 chance to produce either heads or tails, rather there's a 50/50 probability to get heads or tails only if you satisfy the conditions which produce that result.
The item might be doing negative spins with itself instead of landing on part of a cone.
>>17089321>you get 50/50 when you get 50/50amazing>probability distributions are inherently only applicablethey always are. everything is chance. no guarantees anon, at the very best there's only very high chances
>>17089388And in my case the probability of getting head is 100%, no rigging required.
>>17089431thats still rigging anon.
