When will BTC start going back up? Lots of estimates put BTC at as much as 200k by November, but that window is getting pretty tight and momentum seems to have reversed. I don't know if I should pull out and accept a minor loss just to re-invest after some huge fall and make more money that way, or just keep holding and wait for it to rise. If I pull out now my total loss would be like 2k from a 12k investment. I've been around the block when it comes to trading crypto and I've made plenty of money, but this time feels different so I just wanted to double check with the expert autists. Any thoughts? Thanks.
>>60868236>Are we at top of cycle?Yes
>>60868236We have at least two rate cuts in Q4, altcoin ETF deadlines expiring then too, everything should align then
>>60868236>BTC at as much as 200k by November140k at bestand even that is starting to look not so likely
>>60868243yep. the eth roon was the final pump. it went from $1500 to $5000 in 5 months.>>60868337this asset is becoming very big. it wont grow crazy like in the past indeed. this cycle is done. we hit $124k from $15k low. some altcoins went 10000x (pepe, bonk, kaspa). many went 20x. my sister finally bought a small amount of bitcoin last month. (top signal) she didn't buy for 7 years. people at work talked about people making milllions with crypto : signal 2just look at the long term ethereum chart : signal 3the 4 year cycle time is as good as passed, only 4 months left.if you buy now you obviously buy the top of the cycle. i don't expect bitcoin to dump as hard this bear market, maybe to 80k.
>>60868236it really dependsif you sell your BTC>new ATH hits next week at 135kif you hold it>dumps to 95k
it's over.
>>60868264>>60868337>>60868411(and everyone else but the post will think that's spam)Thanks for the advice, gents. I have decided to sell and hope that it keeps going down. I've been pretty bullish on BTC given the recent enormous investments by everyone from billionaires, to investment firms and banks, to country's governments, but it seems like the steam is starting to slow (at least, in the short term). Will let you guys know how it goes in a few weeks/months/ehenever.Cheers
>>60868236>based pepe>never lost on a single trade>feels like witchcraft
>>60868236BTC is money.Why would you trade money for government diarrhea paper?
200k in November? You realize it’s basically September. Jeer you must be out of your mind. Hold your coins. $1m by end of the decade.
>>60869583What
>>60869676Because I think BTC will temporarily lose more value than the dollar, so I'm hopping off the BTC peg while it falls just to hop back on as it rises.>>60869703Sir yes sir
>>60869583i too sense this
>>60868236no one knows
>>60868455no it's not. You are going to miss out on buying A now.
>>60868236It's a crapshoot now - one cycle repeated a previous top after November. Another peaked. One was already past peak.The only upside is that we definitely didn't get the hype wave yet, regardless of what anyone says. Doesn't mean we will actually get it, but crypto isn't all over the news and large cap shitcoins never pumped. Nor did we have any sort of craze - no NFT, AI, DiFi, etc narrative happened.
>>60868236>if you sell, when will you buy back in, is there a spefic value. If you are wrong and the price rises, at what point to buy back in, is there a value in this case?
>>60871148global liquidity cycles and macro surprises are more important than the halving now, have been since 2023but keep playing yesterdays game>>60868236>pull out and accept a minor loss just to re-invest after some huge fallyou'll do a newton and buy back in at the actual top only to turn very pink thereafter
>>60871414Prove it. Yes, there is a correlation between BTC and NASDAQ, yes, it's pretty strong. But it also entirely decouples occasionally. Admit that no one knows shit.
>>60871434>BTC and NASDAQnever said that altho both are correlated to global liquidity of courseas to the proof it, just look to the pa of this 'cycle' itselfdumped on that march banking collapse and then slight up mode as money was printedthen major up move with the announcement of the etfs, after that crab dumping for most of the year with the other leg up on the trump election and then this year dumpage on the tariff warsmeanwhile the halving should have been crab year in 2023, early bull 2024 and mania nowadmit it to yourself if the halving still dominated pa then we wouldnt have seen everything from this year
>>60871463Nope, I still have no idea what's going on.
Why is so many people still so optimistic? Just look at chart and you'll see BTC has been following the exact same pattern as last time and it's about to dump just like it did back then.
>>60868236I had a dream of going all in on BTC at $84500, having full confidence it was about to pop. I don’t even buy BTC, it’s too boomer for me. Anyways I suggest you wait for that price and go all in, it won’t last long
>decided to say fuck it, put $35k into IBIT at $112k>will probably crash to $75k to test meI’m not selling for 30 years so I don’t give a fuck
>>60868236historically, the stock market typically tanks in Sept., and since BTC is following stocks now, i would expect it to tank too
>>60868236No, when bitcoin crosses 130k then think about exiting the market.
>>60868236I'm still waiting for us to get to 200k minimum, everything seems to be too stable to really go down, even things like note.fun give 50k just for existing, there must be more after all this
>>60868453can never support selling BTC except if you're a retard. 1m in 2025, so why would I sell? Just stake on ExSat and find a nice island to go skinny dipping until you retire your bloodline
