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You were warned.
>>
>>60900934
thats why i sharted in july
>>
>>60900934
Is there actual reasoning behind this or is it just a coincidence
>>
>>60901079
>kids go back to school
>>
If I buy, it goes down

If I sell, it goes up

So I’m holding forever and it’s going to be sideways forever
>>
>>60900934
October-January seems to be a toss up of extreme pump or dump. Depending if we are bear or bull cycle
>>
File: Coin-flips.png (103 KB, 1075x397)
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>>60901079
statistical variance. if you treat each month like a coin flip then it's more likely than not to happen with a 97% chance. However the chances of it happening in two consecutive months (August + September) is lower at 47%, but that's still not meaningfully low. the real odds are a little lower since it's not exactly a coin flip, it's weighted towards positive with slightly more green than red.
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>>60901079
It's the same with the stonks markets. "Sell in May and go away" has been a thing for decades. Buy back in in September.
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>>60901079
Probably follows macro markets. Seasonality tends to represent wider economic events like summer/winter spending, tax years ending, election seasons etc.

Im even pretty sure the 4 year cycle for crypto has never really been to do with halvings but moreso with general market cycles as it also applies to the S&P/NASDAQ.
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>>60900934
>it's gonna DECLINE bro!
>zoom out
>it just keeps going up
not falling for it
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>>60901079
Fiscal year end
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>>60900934
Market already got shaken out earlier this year, so september will be green.
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>>60900934
If anything this chart says we have a better chance of ending green than red. There has never been a green August and sept, and there are years where both are red, but there are more 50/50s than anything
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>>60901079
Everyone just decided that September is a good time to sell and has become self fulfilling.
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>>60903504
Midwit. there is obviously patterns that the monthly chart
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>>60904103
Shh don't tell them
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>>60903767
Pretty sure Bitcoin halving was designed in alignment to benefit from the 4 year cycle in the NASDAQ.
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File: 1742050666433396.jpg (2.91 MB, 3840x2160)
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>>60900934
>the month has more red boxes so it must be a red box this year too
This is dumber then placing a line on a chart and expecting that line to physically hold up the price
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>>60900934
The last 3 years seem to incidate that red august=green september. So we probably hit 130k by october 1st.



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