>stock market on the verge of collapse>negative job growth the past 2 years>inflation on a constant downward trend for over 3 years>yet the fed still wants to keep going with their economic tighteningSomeone explain this shit to me because it makes no fucking sense at all. Is the fed living in some kind of alternate reality from everyone else?
>>61315584what do you mean? they cut rates and in december they are stopping QT entirely
>>61315646We're on the verge of a major liquidity crisis and maybe even the start of the second great depression and they're talking about pausing rate cuts again.
>>61315584I think Trump honestly made it worse by being so obnoxious about cutting that the fed have dug their heels in and think any substantial cuts is giving in. Last meeting 100% should have been a 50bps cut.
>>61315702So the fed is playing partisan politics. Shouldn't that be grounds for the entire board to be fired?
Economy has been on a downward trajectory since 2023. Biden kept it underwraps but hiring a fuck ton of govt workers to prop up the jobs reports but everyone agreed the economy was shit even before Trump got in.Trump is now just speeding up the downfall. The AI bubble bursting is either gonna lead to a 2008 crash or a 2000s lost decade
>>61315722Well it would be hard to prove. Plus you have Trump simultaneously saying the economy is phenomenal and jobs are doing better than ever, which goes against needing cuts.
>>61315733>The AI bubble bursting is either gonna lead to a 2008 crash or a 2000s lost decadeIt's going to be worse than any of the crashes since 1929. When the crisis starts we're going to see yet another emergency rate cut to 0 and maybe even go to negative rates this time. The fed could avert it but they seem to be completely fixated on their retarded path of stifling the economy because they think it's still 2021 and everyone is afraid of going back to work because of covid or something.
>>61315584I am pretty sure this is it, the selloff is just getting going and next week's are going to be pretty bad desu.
>>61315584Wrong inflation is a constant upward trend
I mean, the bubble is obvious to anyone having an IQ over two digits, but I really wanted to reach at least 2000's CAPE valuations. We were like 6% away...And I also refuse to believe we won't trigger the 7000pts on the SP500 this cycle. We were like just a day away.This is why I'm still cautious about calling the current dump the start of the big one.I still feel the start will start with at least a -3.5 or -4% day.
>>61315584The goal is to make Trump look bad by hamstringing stock growth and cratering employment. It's that simple. Note that I am not pro-Trump by any measure but even I can see this.
>>61315584Are you retarded? Fed is reducing rates and stopping qe. Are you a magat from idaho?
>>61315584We're not argentina you kike. We're at 3+% inflation. Our standard is 2%. If they loosen credit too much inflation goes up way too much
>>613166473% is and has always been the standard.
>>613166472% is not a realistic goal.
>>61315673That's what we have been hearing for the past three years but the money keeps flowing. The Fed knows that the liquidity is still there but people are just being greedy. It's not their job to hand out free money.
>>61316744>liquidity is still thereWhere's the money going then?
>>61315733Nigger we're already going into year 7 of this decade. The 2020's have long been a lost decade. It remains to be seen whether things can turn around in the 2030's. Boomers will start croaking in large numbers so my guess is maybe.
>>61315584I voted for this
>>61316765Job creation is low because unemployment is low. People still have jobs and are spending money, just reluctantly. They are bitching about higher prices after inflation and the lack of delusional euphoric markets like we had during COVID, but people are still making and spending money as usual.
>>61316794We've had nothing but mass layoffs every year in every industry since 2022 and everybody is saying it's near impossible to find a job now. The reported unemployment rate is likely fake and it's probably close to 10% now and rising every month.
>>61316838There mere fact that a /tech workers unemployment/ general fucking exists on /g/ is pretty telling. That shit didn't exist not too long ago.
>>61315584>stock market on the verge of collapseso they say every year since dawn of stock markets. prove it.>negative job growth the past 2 yearsnot true. job growth is positive (weak tho).>inflation on a constant downward trend for over 3 yearsyep, but it is still above fed target>yet the fed still wants to keep going with their economic tighteningmain goal of central bank is aiming for targeted inflation, so monetary tightening was expected. if you are so sure about next fed moves, go bet on polymarket. same with muh stock collapse - put your money where your mouth is
>>61316838I've been having to sell crypto at painful lows as i haven't been able to get another job for 14 months now
>>61315584Actually doordash said the economy was going good
Society has been destroyed by bankers stealing from the people and they are trying to 'keep control' not reaizing that eventually people will just fucking eat them.
