>bobos talk about free money shorting>i short>btc goes up>i get liquidated>btc goes down>i short again>btc goes up>i get liquidated>i short again>btc consolidates so i remove my position (in loss)>btc falls again>i miss it>btc price now 82kthere will never be another opportunity for me to short.i will never understand you niggers, you lying faggots.
>>61368821don't fucking enter at the bottom, lad. wait for your entry, and don't swing for the fences.
>>61368854>>61368821sry wrong screenshot
>>61368821welcome to nigger market buddy.
>>61368821keep at it broyou will win one dayRemember that it is statistically improbable to lose many times in a row, so if you lose a trade, next time use higher leverage (go from 10x to 15x for example). If you lose again use 20x the next time. That's how you make back the losses
>>61368821And what did we learn about gambling
>>61368869kek
>>61368857ITS ALREADY OVER, BTC WILL NEVER GO BACK UPTO 90K LET ALONE 100K
>>61368821I've always wanted to short but I have no idea how to do it. Do I need an app or use a website? I don't even know where to begin.
>>61368821The more you lose the more likely it is you'll win big, keep going.
>>61368821>Now 82kThanks for the reminder, got a bit nervous shorting at 86k.Next time don't do 100x and you will be fine
>>61368881This.Try to toss a coin. It can land on heads 3 times in a row. Now how likely is it on your next throw that it's gonna land on heads a 4th time? It's much more probably that it's gonna be tails this time.Learn into statistics and probability
>>613688863/10 but I'm autistic and am going to respond anyway: the probability of seeing 4 heads in a row is about 6.25% but the probability of your next toss being heads is always 50%. Every toss is an independent event.
>>61368902No, it's simple logic and it's the same day of moment you are tossing coins. It can land on heads 3 times in a row, but it's bound to land on tails also. Especially if it already landed on heads 3 times in a row. There is almost no way it will land on heads a 4th time. Learn how to logic my friend
>>61368886I don't know if you're baiting or just retarded. You literally described the most common gambling fallacy. >>61368902 is correct. The next toss is 50%.
>>61368902>>61368914But it's very unlikely to get 4 heads in a row, so if you already have 3 heads you are almost guaranteed to get tails on the next one.
>>61368821Most of the bobos on here are either nigger boomer rock collectors or actual CEX staff trying to convince you to leverage trade some shitty position to lose your money.
>>61368909https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy
>>61368921/thread Maybe mathematically on paper or something they are right, but in real life, there is no way you can throw heads 4 times in a row.Try it fucking now if you dont believe me.
>>61368933I have just explained, maybe on paper you are right. But in real life you are not. Prove it. Grab a coin from your wallet and throw it in the air 4 times. See if you get heads 4 times in a row.
>>61368880that's a man
>>61368921if you had 3 heads in a row your probability of getting tails on the next one is 50%. The coin-toss is not influenced by the past. It is independent. You are mistaking the event probability for the joint-event probability of a compound-event made up of individual coin tosses for which the question would be "how likely is the probability of the next 4 tosses being x", to which the answer is (0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.0625). But since you already did three tosses your question is "What is the probability of the next toss being x" - and the answer to that is: 0.5.
>>61368962i don't think that's how statistics works
>>61368962So lets say you have a pistol with 6 chambers but one round, you spin it and shoot but it clicks, then you spin it again, you would have again 1 in 6 chances of the bullet firing? Because I think you just have one chance less. Because that's how Russian roulette works.
>>61368962Mathematical theories and real life are different though. If you flip a coin 4 times in real life, you will almost never get 4 heads.
>>61368976I think you will have a dim memory of something resembling pic related in your sixth grade mathematics text book.
>>61368997>If you flip a coin 4 times in real life, you will almost never get 4 heads.This. What they are saying might make sense in theory, but in real life, the odds of throwing heads 4 times in a row are near to zero. I wouldn't count on it that's for sure. Anyway we are getting a bit offtopic now
>>61368997wanna bet?
>>61368996>>61368997>If you flip a coin 4 times in real life, you will almost never get 4 heads.Yes, if you flip the coin 4 times you will almost never see 4 heads, because the probability is:Toss one: 50%Toss two: 50% * 50%Toss three: 50% * 50% * 50%Toss four: 50% * 50% * 50% * 50%but do you see that each toss individually added 50%. that is the probability of the next event being x: 50% - meaning that the probability of one toss outcome is not the same as the joint-probability of 4 toss outcomes.
>>61369011>Anyway we are getting a bit offtopic nowYeah, but I think we uncovered the reason these people are down on their investments - they can't into math or logic.
>>61369013don't be mean to the dumb kids.
>>61369034Once again: Yes it's definitely possible someone once threw heads or tails 4 times in a row. Especially if you take into account thinks like the multiverse theory where there are an infinite realities and possibilities going on at the same time. So yes, in theory, in math, it might be possible that someone somewhere has throw heads or tails 4 times in a row. But in real life it's just not very likely. I wouldn't bet money on it. Which is the whole point of this thread. What's so hard to understand?
>>61369034So you're saying that if you flipped 4 coins right now, there's a 50 percent chance you would get 4 heads? Haha, sure buddy.
>>61368821That was my experience trading (in general, not just shorting) in 2019-2021. If I just held on to my 50 ETH, I'd be a very happy eastern european poorfag right now, but I thought I knew better and instead lost all my money day trading like a moron.
>>61369042Yes it's already possible you lose multiple times in a row, but the more times you lose, the bigger the chance is next time you win. That is why you bet more after each loss. So that when you finally win (and you will based on statistics) you make back your previous losses.
>>61369046>What's so hard to understand?ok, let's look at your post here:>>61368909>Especially if it already landed on heads 3 times in a row. There is almost no way it will land on heads a 4th time.so what you observed were three heads:50% * 50% * 50% = probability of 12.5%ok, now four heads in a row has a probability of 6.25% as it is 50% * 50% * 50% * 50% so how many '50%' do you have to add to three times 50% to get to 4 times 50%?do you get it? your next coin flip has an exact probability of one times 50% to come out heads. That means each coin flips probability is 50% always. and this is real life and you do not need to infer quantum physics. You only need to be very angry at your school for making you the way you are.
>>61369059I'm saying if you flipped three times and the result was three heads your chance of seeing yet another head is 50%
>>61369046If you toss a coin 4 times you have 16 different outcomes. Every outcome is just as likely as the next one, a 1/16 chance of happening. HHHH or TTTT is not any more or less likely than THHT.
>>61369102>a 6% chancebro you need to understand how low that actually is. It is very unlikely to happen. Especially after 4 tries.
>>61369126yah, you're an idiot.
>>61369186you are ngmi with theories in real life
>>61368996This is basically how people blow up. They make trades for month or years that make them millionaires. Everyone think they’re geniuses. But then their final trade brings them down to zero and they are exposed for the retard they are. Just like bitcoiners kek
im hoping for btc to go to atleast 95k and then ill put a massive short
>>61368880>hehe men want to have sex me >let me just tell you all how much I hate that men totally want to fuck me>like I totally can't wait for the wall to hit in 5 years
>>61368821bears dont trade
>>61371577they definitely do , fag
>>61368941But retard if they did it 100 times statistically it would happen 6 times
>>61372575nope
>>61368941its crazy really, i actually did the coin tossi have been always getting 2 tails and then a head and on the fourth time its a tail, and it keeps on going the same way
>>61368869This.It's always a 50-50 chance. You either win or you lose.
>>61369964Good morning saar
>>61368821what is a market for $6,000,000, Alex?
>>61369071At first I thought you were trolling but now I realize you really are just a retard.
>>61368821>being retarded
>>61373100kek you must be a fag baggie
