BTC to Gold ratio has dropped quite a bit. Is it time to sell gold and stack BTC?
>>61535368No, wait until December 2026. For now, use your cash to buy silver and switch into BTC at that point.
>>61535378Explain.
>>61535385BTC follows a debt cycle. It's a debt driven reflexive narrative loop with a Q4 top range every 4 years and a Q4 bottom range every 4 years.So the timeline goes like this:1) Halving dates are public so everyone knows when the next halving date is coming.2) People start buying before the halving because they think the halving will drive the price up.3) Price goes up -> more attention -> more people buy -> price goes up more.4) Traders borrow money, getting into debt (leverage) to chase the move, which makes the pump bigger but fragile.5) Price tops and starts to fall -> leveraged traders get liquidated -? forced selling causes cascading crashes.6) Market is scared and quiet for a while -> new people come in -> next halving becomes the new story -> cycle repeats.Tops: Q4 2013, Q4 2017, Q4 2021, Q4 2025Bottoms: Q4 2014, Q4 2018, Q4 2022, Q4 2026Precious metals have been booming since 2022 due to geopolitics, inflation, debt and supply deficits. They have, at least, another 4 years of road ahead. So if you're serious about BTC, use the precious metals boom to grow your cash over the next year.
>>61535368Yes, and make sure to post a screenshot of the transaction
>>61535394checks out. Will buy some buttcorn q4 next y.
>>61535394I don't see how buying silver at what is most likely going to be a generational top would grow your cash. I mean, short term anything can happen, but over the next 4 years, there is no way that buying silver at these prices will outperform the general market.
>>61535467On silver: There's around 1 billion oz left in vaults and they're draining fast. The LBMA, Comex and Shanghai have all struggled this year as the demand is growing far faster than the supply can keep up, and it takes a very long time to get new silver mining up and running because it's mostly a byproduct of mining other metals. The price is still far too low to provide an incentive for new mining. Plus, this AI data center build out is going to require a lot of silver and countries are putting new controls on their silver exports.On gold: Central banks have been buying hand over fist since 2022 and it's not slowing down, that's what's been driving the price up. Over the next 4 years, the geopolitical situation will get more tense before it calms back down, but even when it does calm down, the worsening US debt situation means that many central banks would rather hold gold than US bonds. You also have the fed cutting rates whilst inflation is above 3%, and the new Trump friendly fed chair next year is going to cut those rates further, driving inflation up.It's a perfect storm for precious metals.
>>61535467
>>61535368>Is it time to sell goldYes.>and stack BTC?No.BTC is still following the cycle so we are in a bear market. You need to wait.
>>61535394>>61535501Wow I was not expecting such high quality responses after this short blurb >>61535394Well done informedanon, you're gmi. One thing I'd add to your metals outlook is the potential rehypothecation unwind, which could be what's going on now. Just like the revolution, the rehypothecation unwind won't be televised... at least on MSM. If it's happening the only way us plebs will know is via price action.I've been around a long time and worked in the futures industry back when Bart Chilton was CFTC chair. He was a good man and one of few government officials I've ever respected. His death bed interview about metals manipulation is a must watch and what convinced me that the upside of a long precious metals trade wasn't just "inflation protection" but also the potential for a massive, one-time upside swing caused by unwinding the manipulation.
>>61535690Oops, too much egg nog, I meant this short blurb >>61535378
>>61535368Buy when its below 10
>>61535394>>61535501good posts
>>61535394but we never got to part 4 this cycletrumps bullshit with the tariffs spooked markets at the exact worst time for crypto and unlike regular stonks animal spirits never returnedwe never reached irrational exuberance this time around, we neer even reached normie adoption this time
