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08/21/20New boards added: /vrpg/, /vmg/, /vst/ and /vm/
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It's already happened 3 times. What are the chances of it happening again?
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>>61824153
its going to 30kish for the next year
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there is no bottom this time. The underlying ponzi flywheel is dead and there are no greater fools. The etf was the last attempt to bait idiots to buy out ponzi players. It failed
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>>61824153
>2021 can be disregarded because of covid. 2017 market cap was 220 billion, compared x10 market cap of 2025, 2013 can also be disregarded because of tiny market cap. There isn't a good reference to guides us on what happens next.
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>>61824162
will you buy the bottom or bear post through the entire bullrun like a faggot?
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>>61824231
Bullshit
crypto died in 2014/15
the only thing that saved it was the same thing that saved the real estate market in 2011, wide spread rehypothecation with bonds and loans, buying more crypto.
ifinex and circle are the only reason crypto recovered.
Since then all crypto is is a same asset re-leveraged ponzi; no natural demand. The etf was the last attempt to save it and give the rehypothecation flywheel a new spin, it failed
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>>61824242
I will be buying the top
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>>61824165
Post your solution to the problem of negative sum actor corruption of trusted third parties. Ignoring the problem is not a solution. Bitcoin is a solution
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>>61824247
See: >>61824547
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>>61824547
Deflation to equilibrium
Correcting the mistakes after 2008
No too big too fail
Total prohibition on treasuries emitting bonds
End of post 1815 Banker Communism
>B-but I dont want to lose my "wealth"
>Have mercy with the old
no
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>>61824153
By econ 101, the more it happens, the less likely it is to happen again as the market instinctively prices it in.

When you see people talking about having sold during the bill and are waiting to buy back in at an anticipated 2026 bear market bottom, you are witnessing live the natural process of crowds pricing in expected changes, which is the very thing that prevents them from recurring the same way as they did previously.
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there's inductive inference under uncertainty okay



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