Capitalism Ho Edition>Some helpful links to numb the painhttps://findahelpline.com/https://www.nvidia.com/refunds/https://www.whitehouse.gov/refundshttps://jlingz.com/>Educational sites:https://www.investopedia.comhttps://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain>Financial TV Streams:https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.htmlhttps://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/>Charts:https://www.tradingview.comhttps://www.finscreener.comhttps://www.portfoliovisualizer.com>Screeners: so you feel like in the movieshttps://finviz.com/https://etfdb.com/>Gambling:https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.comhttps://optionstrat.com/https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices>Pre-Market and Live data:https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futureshttps://finance.yahoo.com/>Calendarshttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendarhttps://www.earningswhispers.com/calendarhttps://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.htmlhttps://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform youhttps://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_startedhttps://www.sec.gov/search-filings>Misc smg:https://www.financialjuice.com/homehttps://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickershttps://market24hclock.com/https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculatorhttps://brokerchooser.com/https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-ratesPrevious smigger thread>>61891337
DING DING DING DING DINGHow did it go today?!?!
first for BABE!!!!
>>61892644I've made nothing in two years
>>61892644impeccable work soldier-4% day+10% month+22% year
>>61892644+ 3.2%. Sad!
>>61892644-3.62%bring on nvidia earnings already
>>61892644Metals ripping. All of them. 3.8%
Thank you anon whoever got to it before me <3
>>61892644Today: -1.73%This Month: -2.56%This Year: -4.43%this market is extreme shit
>>61892644Glad to be here for the ding today. Thank you snowstorm.-0.15% today. Honestly not bad. In my eyes, out performing the market is far more important than some USD loss.
>>61892644pretty good, I have all of my money in LITE, SNDK, and silber
>>61892644-$415 (-3.1%)A crab after the dump. How sad
>>61892644epic & dubspilledNovo was a sucker though>>61892647i failed you babe...
>>61892644Bad, -1.2% + and a fucking shitty wagie day
>>61892665Poor boy. He doesn’t know what’s coming.
>>61892644>-2.84%Checked
>>61892657you track your balances but not your trades or what?
>>61892644I lost 1.17% today, tragically only beating djia
JOE BIDEN IF YOU CAN HEAR THIS. PLEASE SAVE US
>>61892675zoom out and po
>>61892644+12.27% today+47.8% monthly+93.8% YTD
i made $10 at the close todayanyone want anything from the MCD value men-aaaacccccccckkkkkkkkkkkkk!
>>61892687Hmm let’s have a look. Ahh yes. 320% since 2022 across all metal and commodity classes and assets. Sit down baggie. This is just the beginning
>>61892685>>61892685>JOE BIDEN IF YOU CAN HEAR THIS. PLEASE SAVE USno
>>61892692Nice anon, how'd you pull this off?
>>61892692How many times have you busted out on leverage? Be honest?
>>61892703no i mean zoom out because I don't know how to pull up that chart and i want to see what it looked like in January.
>>61892681In that account I run leveraged rotation strategy on QQQ. Only do a few trades a year in it, re-started it recently. I'm bullish on tech at least into October but we'll see as the year goes on. Either way, I only trade when my indicators trip
>>61892707Holding memory stocks throughout January. Swing trading those memory stocks through most of Feb then full porting into HGRAF - they either revolutionise the world or I go broke.>>61892710I don't trade options or use leverage. This is all with my own cash. Just 100% longs.
I wish I was born as an american. I love america so god damn much its unreal.
>>61892644>-.66%
>>61892724Americans don't know how good they have it. I live in Hellscape Britain and it's humiliating. More than picrel
>>61892724Why? It sucks here unless you're already loaded
>>61892724#1 all time best post of smg you god blessI can get a whore to marry you for 20k if you want citizenship
>>61892736stfu bro. you dont know how bad it is here in europe.
>>61892736Everywhere sucks unless you're loaded, murrica just sucks less
>>61892685The old man cannot hear your screams, for this is a feast for bears.
are there any YN's posting in /smg/? picrel for reference
>>61892644-1%better than expected desu senpai
>>61892644-5.3%Yes I own PLTR calls, how could you tell?
>AI IS TAKING OVER! SELL ALL THE SOFTWARE STOCKS!>BUT AI IS ALSO SHIT! SELL ALL THE AI COMPANIES!>NOT SPENDING ENOUGH ON AI? FUCKING SELL.>SPENDING A LOT ON AI? FUCKING SELL.>CRYPTO IS SHIT. FUCKING SELL>STABLECOINS ARE THE FUTURE. FUCKING SELL VISA AND MASTERCARD
>>61892761Just sell bro
>>61892761People are selling software stocks because they're all adding bullshit useless AI features that do nothing but waste 60% more RAM usage and piss customers off. People are finally waking up that AI is 90% bullshit.
>>61892761Why are they so schizo?
>>61892776srys idk we need to regulate these people...
>>61892767No, you still need to buy when the earnings are utter dogshit. When they're great, good, or slightly poor, that's when you FUCKING SELL
>>61892724many are saying this!
>>61892736There isn't really anywhere in the world you can "make it" besides the US and China. Everywhere else has low wages and taxes out the ass and the stock market is restricted to just the financial institutions
>>61892742>>61892743>Functional public transit system >Healthcare system that isn't designed to completely fuck you over >Food that isn't full of poison >If you don't like it you can travel two hours and be in a completely different place with a different culture Yeah wow it's so terrible, unless you live in some kind of eastern euro shithole in which case I'm sorry
>bag IDstay away from me!
Can copilot order a pizza for you like open claw?If it can do that, why doesn't everyone like Microsoft?
>>61892724As a leaf, I agree 100%
>>61892798I'm a burger and there's no place I'd rather live
>>61892798germany for me and it IS bad. I see all the writings on the wall. you as someone who isnt living here wouldnt understand and I say that as someone who lives in the better part of germany (bavaria). I would gladly trade places with any american no matter what state he is from.
>>61892798>functional public transitAre you a Redditor too afraid to drive or do you have too many DUI's? Busses are for children.
>>61892804You became able to order pizza from DPZ while playing Oblivion in October 2022. Some say this advancement was what led to MSFT's 2022-2024 bull run.
>>61892798ok but>leftist economic policy making social mobility impossible
>>61892798>50% tax (base)>rapefugies everywhere>arrested for saying niggers on the internetsblow it out your ass.
>>61892798>Functional public transit systemlmao>Healthcare system that isn't designed to completely fuck you over No, instead it's the healthcare system that's absolutely fucked over>Food that isn't full of poison Maybe there's one positive>If you don't like it you can travel two hours and be in a completely different place with a different culture muzzie parasites everywhere
>>61892825Bavaria is Germany on Easy Mode. Come to literally any other County and get stabbed and robbed while the Finanzamt sucks your last drop of blood
Is we getting a tariff stimulus
Can someone look at KTOS and tell me if I should hang up the noose or not. They had earnings today after market.
>>61892857Isd WE?
>>61892798Bongland;>Functional public transit systemNo>Healthcare system that isn't designed to completely fuck you over Prioritizes afghan migrant men who arrived on a boat. A story just yesterday about how an old woman died on her floor at home from a hip fracture because she was told an ambulance would take 10 days >Food that isn't full of poison They're hiding and relabelling Chitin (bug shell) into more and more things>If you don't like it you can travel two hours and be in a completely different place with a different culture Roads are completely packed with foreigners with no insurance. Driving is now an extreme sport
>>61892857I doubt it, although they might float the idea (again?).
>>61892857I saw some r*ddit post earlier today about how Trump said 2k tariffs dividends are back on the menu and he doesn't need congressional approval for them. Obviously he's lying since congress controls the purse but since when has that stopped him?
brb, need to go blow off some steam
>>61892873white driver with a maintenance buzz>sober brown driver
>>61892858Yeah you're gonna need some rope or kneepads anon
>>61892888Not like this...
>>61892873>LAd ID>LAD behaviorkino
Only bobo getting paid very cool
HGRAF is pumping non stop since last week and it’s hitting new ATHs every day again. Hgraf anon was right, I wonder if he’s still holding today
>>61892644>-0.67%
When do you choose to slurp? I wait to see two-three red days in a row then purchase a few K of basic bitch ETFs like VOO.
>>61892871He can do stimmies under a made up emergency, thats basically what obamacare started asHe can't get revenue, thats what the decision was about. It is a bit silly that he can spend a quadrillion but needs 70% majority to make any money
>>61892798>free speech illegal>self defense illegal>besides germany, makes nothing of value>fading out of relevancy fast on the world stage>more retarded immigration than NA>dies waiting for treatment>shit foodyou can keep what little of your continent you have left
>>61892918I wonder if it’s too late to buy in? I imagine there will be a dip in 1-6 days after hype dies off
>>61892644-1.04% a really shit day for most of my stocks. I'm not too worried though but it's not been a good year for investing so far
>>61892644-0.80% Ill take it
>>61892946Kek
>>61892644I'm back to the same amount of gains I had in 2021
We are going sideways until the next pump
>>61892947Like some anon said , we're still extremely early for HGRAF. If it dips just slurp morehttps://x.com/i/status/2025917666779639827
>>61892644-1.8% Bad but could have been worse I guess.
>>61892640If you were in the club, the current market situation would not come as a surprise to you.
>>61892724Tell me about it. I work in a field that is only well paid in the USA and China but I'm stuck working for peanuts in Europe for the time being where we are getting hit by a new tax every year because the state is more broke than the average /biz/ poster.
Something interesting today for anyone who’s invested in miners. Today’s the first time in the last 5 years where a general market pullback was decoupled from miner equities. They sold off a bit. But still up. Before even if gold silver and copper were up. But the main indexes were down. They sold off always. First hint today that’s now ending. Let me just jump in before any tard replies. I’m up to my balls, brain and bags in these sectors. I know them like my blood pressure. It’s a sign an inflection is nearing.
>>61892994Spawn issue
>>61892981shill me more. $EAF looks terrible
>>61892724I know, it's pretty nice. I wish we weren't so retarded and could appreciate all the things we have going for us much better.
>>61892952> I'm not too worried though but it's not been a good year for investing so farFor who?
>>61893007Me? Not everyone of course but my portfolio has not been doing well
>>61892644>+10.46%sootsisters wagmi
>>61892981its still a completely speculative stock. be very careful about betting the farm
>>61892804OpenAI. 1.3 Trillion in debt. We can order a pizza for you that you can only afford to pay with Klarna because you’ve 150k student debt for a career in advising kids how to chop their cocks and tits off. But got laid off because Openclaw mutilates kids for a quarter of your wage of 3.2 Big Macs for football fields per hour.
Total nvideo death after this Wednesday
>HGRIFT
>>61893027Change strategy. Dont get attached to losers. Take losses early and see where the capital is GOING to. Not where it’s coming from.
>>61893007all non-tech trannies
>>61892997>Today’s the first time in the last 5 years where a general market pullback was decoupled from miner equities.I don't believe you
>>61893050Genius. Amazing. Guys. Close all the other threads. Sell all your bags. Gather everyone round. We have done it. We have finally found him. Buffet X Elon to the power of Soros cubed. Shhhh…..Listen lads. This is all we need to know to make it. He said…“Non-tech trannies”No run. Go! Buy! He has spoken! THE COSMICLY FUCKING RETARD SAVANT OF FINANCE HAS SAVED US!!!!You fucking plonker.
>>61893057Stay your course then. It wasn’t meant for you. Pearls before swine. Guess what you are.
>>61893061uooooooooh someone didn't buy precious metals and precious metal accesories you will never be a real sexbot
>>61893076Who knows what he’s actually talking about? I don’t.
>>61892644+0.13%I sleep while my dividend ETFs almost don't move
PE didn't matter on the way up, what makes you think it's gonna matter on the way down?>>61892997gold & silbur acting risk off is infact a huge signal after the action we've been getting the past couple weeks. same with dollar, as well as bonds on a longer view. day doesn't make a trend but if they negate that selloff candle it's big over. buy AGNC. reminder that the 40yr japanese bond has been strong bid since election.
>>61893050kek non-tech traders do be dilating trannies though
>>61892644+0.14% thanks to QQQ puts
>>61893039>OpenAI. 1.3 Trillion in debt
>>61892644-10%stop dumping ZIM i need it above 30 again reeeeee
>>61893084This anons sees the signal. Now what happens if it strengthens. Interesting eh?Something to keep in mind. Even as silver and gold dropped what? 30 and 20 percent? That large caps maybe dipped 10 percent max. Small maybe 15%. Most have already recovered. That’s a strong signal for undervalued under bought and under owned.
buy CRWD. complete nonsense for it to tank like this.
t
>>61893104Slurping
How do you hedge against US market collapse? All equities are going down including international. Commodities are crashing. Currency will be worthless. What can you actually buy?
Henlo bigbrainsSo volatility surface is basically like a an electron orbital map where the low regions are your probability of finding a price at a given point, since the cross section at a given date creates the smile yes?As in this example where charted it out with line thickness representing implied corse for this particular stock where line thickness implies strength of expectation - basically electron orbitals.Plz explain as though you are talking to a retarded child.Thank you for your attention in this matter.
>>61892644+0,26 thanks to SilverChads, LLY and NVA. The rest was a shit-fest.
>>61893064I have about $100K in minors and I will stay my course, but I still don't believe your statement. Have you done a full analysis on the last 5 years' price action?
There will be a surplus of data center related metals when Sam Altman is indicted and open AI is bankrupt
>>61893114that's just a handy chart to look at the implied vols on every individual option on the chain
>>61893004>bull thesisThey own the patent for making graphene. No one else can make high-purity graphene at a low enough cost to be commercially viable. Their process is very high-margin and the machines they use to manufacture it break even after just 44 days of operation. All they need is more contracts
>>61893161but the lowest implied vol looking forward = implied price probability does it not?
btw this report is literally the reason for the crashing today: https://archive.ph/KxGd5look at how they're talking about stock prices. Literally what happened today:>V hit the least>then MA>hardest hit was AXP and COFSo you're telling me market makers managing billions are literally like women reading their favorite magazine and following it exactly to the T?
I had absolutely no idea what the tariffs were but I still made money.
MU is le AMD and Sandisk is le NVDA of hardware. i will just sell my mu bag and buy sndk instead , MU just can't pump
How do I even prove anything exists outside of my own mind? I have this thought every day. Like, can I really prove that anything exists outside of me?
>>61893091NVDA is going to miss earnings on wednesday and crash the market, aren't they?
>>61892918GRIMRIT'S PROBABLY MAYBE POTENTIALLY OVERM
>>61893199Its just the beginning i will buy more tomorrow
>>61893189try picking a fight with someone much bigger than you. that always works for me
>>61893198No they’re going to beat earnings and crash the market
>>61893198I wouldn't bet on it. The market could dump at any time on no news, or pump on bad news. I wouldn't bet on anything. Just keeping 35% cash right now so I can gamble, but honestly can't predict when it will dip, how deep and for how long. Just one thing, look at the 1 year chart of S&P500, does it look like it has any momentum left?
HGRAF
>>61893133I’ve been in there’s markets every day for this time. I know exactly how the miners move as the indexes move. And today they did something SLIGHTLY different. I’m not saying remortgage the house. But it’s a signal. And I’ve not seen it in 5 years and I know this sector like the back of my fucking hand. I’m not a monetary fanatic or silver autist. I just see where things were heading some years ago. I exited crypto with a small stack then from nothing and haven’t looked back. My main interest has always been geopolitics. Now that. Is the thing I really know. And why I ended up here. Either way. There’s the fist undeniable signs. Commodities are decoupling form the general markets. The underlying reason is leverage there is being flushed and the price is being set now in the east primarily. Which aren’t paper saturated derivatives markets.
>>61893189You prove through the experiment. Like the man said. Pick a fight with a beast. Tell your self you can fuck him up. And your theory will be quickly be disproven or not. The mind generates the ideas. Reality tests their predictive value.
>>61893176i don't know desu. if you're looking at that low implied in the shorter dated 3 strikes, that would be where you would find the cheapest short term vega i would think.
>>61893189this nigga barely discovering solipsism 2000+ years late lmaoooo
>>61892692Nice, what penny stocks are you in?
>>61893189No clearly you're all figments beneath me and everything is gone when I am
>>61893238>I’ve been in there’s markets every day for this time. I know exactly how the miners move as the indexes move.aaahhh, are you the anon that was saying to buy miners in pre-market when they are down because MM were manipulating the prices, and then sell when up again and repeat?If that's you, you sure went quiet when the crash happened, buddy
I am so bearish that I hallucinate mass suicides and weekly military parades
>>61893277No that wasn’t me. I was the one saying buy in 2022 as the Ukraine war started. If you recall. I went into a lot of detail. But AI won the day. Yet here I am. Over 300% up and it’s accelerating.
it has begun
>>61893080Me neither boss
>>61893096I put a buy order at the bid and if that assigns a sell order at the ask on ZIM calls every day. It has worked great 2 out of 3 days. That's a 66% win rate!seriously tho I have strong conviction the sale is going through at a min of 35. It's free money
>>61893189Try walking on water
Enough
>>61893333lmao you haven't been fuckin around with the december '26 35 strikes have you?
>>61893308I mean to be fair NVDA is up 700% or so since then
>>61893369Trump should turn around the navy ships
>>61893369These chimps are stupid enough to burn war supplies instead of use them I can't even
>>61892774correct, who the fuck wanted copilot in MS paint of all things? why would i want AI to read my goddamn pdf for me? instead of fixing core issues of their products they create new useless stuff, hire half of india and vibecode their core products
>schizoposting is now just a completely normal mainstream way to connect with your audience
>>61893372no i fuck with the april 30 C and I'm not going to buy anymore until the ones i bought today sell for at least .9, else I may take assignment >>61893369>puerto vallarta>costcoSomebody's begging Uncle Sam for a rape correction
>>61893369mexico is a shithole.
>>61893369>wasting all those $1.50 hot dogs and $5 chickensThis is grounds for military intervention desu
do i go all in $13k on msft at $365 or meta at $615-$620?
>>61893389The old just buy a Time Machine bro. I fucking guarantee you aren’t up 700%. So given time machines don’t exist. What’s your plan time lord. Go back and buy wheels 10,000 years ago? As usual. Keep buying the last bull. Deaf to the next one. Anyone who does the “Time Machine” trope is either a baggy or bagless and Larping as someone with ACTUAL gains and capital. You are DISMISSED SIR!
>>61893404I'm finna grab a twister righ' now to be honest. Didn't know they brought my boy back.
>>61893369We've killed millions in the middle east for less than this
>>61893187You should have both. SNDK will top out before MU.
>>61893369The West has fallen.
Shit I watch this channel https://youtu.be/xWyooORAMJQ?si
>>61893404>>61893492wtf is a twister?
It begins.
>>61893531>soap barsWTF are they fighting Indians??
>>61893528It WAS my childhood.
>>61893404Silence Brand.
>>61893176>implied vol looking forward = implied price probability does it not?stock price on a big time frame is basically a geometrical brownian motion that has 2 components: the drift (how much exponential growth is expected) and the brownian diffusion, which is basically evaluating a bell curve at any given time. the implied volatility is the expected 1 standard deviation move over a year, taking into account the snapshot where you took the data since its more like a projection. with the price movement information and events such as earnings, the market figures out an idea of where the stock price might be. the bell curve, if you remove the drift, means the most likely future evaluation of the stock price is the mean of said bell curve, that is the current stock price. This does not mean the price will remain there forever, since with more information (a future snapshot of the price action) might for example place a stock price from within a 1 sigma probability to a 3 sigma probability. Mathematical models account for random bullshit events by constantly reevaluating those volatilities (volatility itself is a random variable, with some mean reverting properties). Your picture basically shows a "if this stock price was way too far away from the strike price, the projection of the volatility has to be recalculated and this is the value it should have under the current market data"TLDR: >IV wont tell you where the stock price will be, just how wide is the distribution of possible prices>in a short span of time (unless local drifts are involved), the most likely stock price is the mean of the gaussian distribution: the current stock price>vol surfaces of option chains are subject to change constantly.also>the jitter effect you observe in the vol surface plot happens because the stock you picked probably has low liquidity (wide bid-ask spread for options). if you want a smoother surface, try data for stocks with great option liquidity like NVDA.
> futures
>>61893084I bought mine years ago. I do not think silver will ever be below $50 dollars again. Even if they mine the shit out of it.
>unrealized gains tax
Here's that AI boom I was telling you about
i spent my last 20 bucks on 695 SPY calls for tomorrow please pump that shit so i can get back in the game guys
>>61893584https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iEInNZ0oB-E
>>61893584>YTD
>>61893540oh it's like... a wrap thing
ibm was down 13% today. they are under the radar one of the leading ai firms, already getting 20% of their revenue from it. also i think a lot about the watson project and alternative paths to agi, all of that was before large language models, coded the old fashioned way. also a quantum computing and cybersecurity play. anyways it's one of my bigger positions and i would buy at this price.
>>61893540so are we reverting back from slop bowels to slop wraps?
>>61893613That knife is falling fast
>>61893570Will never happen
>>61893551Jesus Christ
>>61893613IBM is a dinosaur living off outdated tech that all companies are trying their best to migrate off fromI'd give it 3-5 years at max
>>61893613Oh, might be a nice pick up soon.
>>61893550siiiiick
>>61893629that meme is older than me but ibm is probably the best managed company on the planet. they do have legacy businesses that are dwindling but they've made really smart acquisitions with red hat and plowed a lot of money into ai and quantum in the last decade and the first bet is paying off big, they have a pretty heavy footprint in cloud ai services that rivals the mag 7.
>>61893550Stocks are literallyprice+sin(time)*volatility = new price
hold me futa sisters
>>61893634Soon you'll be able to pick up the whole company. /smg/ could literally pool a few grand and buy IBM if we wanted
moved my $13k from MSFT to meta at $610. aigmi bros?
>>61893670>webmGirl be yappin
>>61892981erm why cant I find this on nasdaq
Bitcoin is going to be over 100k end of year btw, people can finally get in. But they wont because people are cowards. And then will complain when they missed it. Eternal cycle.
>>61893681It’s OTC so you have to ask your female broker. It’s also likely a pump and dump scam as well.
>>61893692ya but most people here don't want to make money, they want to moan about other people making money and how they are actually stupid for doing so.
>>61893584The Fag 7 was a mistake
Claude fucking sucks
>>61893706Works great for me. Noobie prompt jockeys like you just need to git gud.
>>61893718It’s a force multiplier. 100 x 0 is still 0
seriously why is Microjeet collapsing? did big std billy really kept that whole shit together? from xbox360 to whatever crap theyre doing now.
>>61893693naruhodo
bought some ADBE a few years ago. Down over 50%. Going to double my position tomorrow. Their revenue is still growing despite the AI dooming, and forward P/E is now in the single digits.
PFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
>>61893545I thought about getting some KFC cos i like fried chicken then i remembered i'm not a nigger. Advertsiing fails on autists once again
>>61893778>DocuSign devouring Acrobat>Generative AI devouring creative cloudLoading up on shit is still shit anon. You're doubling down on garbage. When you regret this as it continues to fall don't come crying to me.
boring crab market
>>61893551Cant tell if he's norf fc, laplander or some fingolian. Almost look like a putin.
On the topic of murica, it’s fucking depressing being American and making friends with a European who moved here for work. I complain about this country and he looks me dead in the eyes and tells me how much worse it is in Europe>poor forever>lower wages>higher taxes>”imagine the most left wing faggot you can think of from America. That person would be considered slightly right leaning in Europe”>immigrants>worse apathy than AmericaWhen you think you have it bad and then you realize nearly everyone else is envious of your position, gloomy as fuck
>>61893778Bought Lenovo and HP. Those are cheapies for hardware. They are seeking other software alternatives from Microslop. Both a good start up with history that is going somewhere and a rebound with name recognition.
Buy (Mexican) minors
