150?200?
>>61949961The Trump admin probably starts trying to implement price controls above $150.
>>6194996110,000 Gold.
How will crypto perform without rate cuts in the next 3 years?
>>61950059Eoy yes
>>61949961That's Tehran right? So all those oil tanks were holding the oil that Iran was using to pay for those non-working radars and anti-ship missiles. Winnie the Pooh won't be happy about that.
I knew I should have bought an oil container when it was like 2.50 a gallon a little while ago but I had no idea how that would even work
>>61949961The only thing keeping oil high is insurance companies. When they start insuring again oil will be flowing through the Strait again and oil will hit its top next week.
>>61949961Alright, let's look at where this might go...1973 Oil Crisis:In March 1974, OAPEC lifted the embargo, but the price of oil had risen by nearly 300%: from US$3 per barrel to nearly US$12 per barrel globally. Prices in the United States were significantly higher than the global average.- $3 -> $12 = 400% increase- In today's dollars: $22.91 -> $83.76, 365.6% increase (which coincidentally also shows how retarded the way the gov calculates inflation is)1979 Oil Crisis:In January 1979, the U.S. crude oil first purchase price was approximately $9.46 per barrel. "Starting with the Iranian revolution, the price of crude oil rose to $39.50 per barrel over the next 12 months (its all-time highest real price until March 3, 2008)."- $9.46 -> $39.50 = 417.5% increase- In today's dollars: $45.05 -> $157.06, 348.6% increaseOil's lowest price per barrel over the past year was $56.52, occurring on Dec 19th, 2025. If we multiply that by 400% we get a potential $226.08/barrel.The price per barrel three weeks ago before it was completely obvious that the US was committed to attacking Iran was $60.71/barrel. 400% × $60.71 = $242.84/barrel.
>>61950184The chinese tech from 2004? Imagine using that>>61949961They sell like 85% of that oil to middlemen who then sell the oil to China so not a big deal
>>61950713(cont.)A study recently done by Kansas State University found:"Longer term, the price increase could be 4.2 cents per gallon for every dollar per barrel"$226 × $0.042 = $9.49/gallon$243 × $0.042 = $10.20/gallonIf we take the lowest percentage (bent by the gov's inflation calculator) of 348.6% and multiply that by the lowest price per barrel in the past year of $56.52, we get $197.03/barrel translating to $8.28/gallon.Problems with stocking up on gas right now:The gasoline supply in the US will remain the winter formulation until the beginning of May. Winter gas has a higher Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP), meaning it evaporates more easily than summer gas. This is less conducive to long-term storage. While people often claim that the RVP is so the gas ignites easier in winter, in reality the different formulation is mostly due to cost and air pollution concerns - in the winter, you can get away with cheaper formulations because the cold temps lead to less air pollution. Being more stabile, summer gas is better for storage any time of the year. Fuel stabilizers don't really improve this particular aspect of winter gas.Various taxes, regulatory measures and subsidized incentives may also be implemented. Towards the end of the Carter administration, domestic oil was reduced to about 1/5th the global price per barrel through various measures including a windfall profit tax on oil companies which basically erased their profit margins from the high global prices keeping oil prices in the US for US use lower than elsewhere in the world. In 1980 the US imported about 40% of the oil it used so this didn't lower the price of gas by 4/5ths, but it did blunt the price felt by consumers. These efforts resulted in the price of gas only doubling instead of quadrupling. If gas prices only doubled from their pre-war average of ~$2.90/gal we'd see ~$5.80/gal.
>>61950728>If gas prices only doubled from their pre-war average of ~$2.90/gal we'd see ~$5.80/gal.a literal nothingburger. BUYING GAS IS THE CHEAPEST PART OF OWNING A CAR!
>>61950728>$8.28/gallon.I checked and its higher then that in Germany.
>>61950801My math was for the US only. As the world's largest producer of oil and now an oil exporting country, we have it better than most other countries.
>>61949961No one cares about oil prices anymore, chud.
>>61950790Driving a little gasoline Toyota Corolla 100,000 miles @ 40mpg and $5.80/gal: $14,500Driving a larger electric Toyota bZ4X 100,000 miles at 252 miles per charge and $15/charge: $5,952Look at what happened to the motor vehicle market after the 1973 and 1979 oil crises. Definitely not a nothingburger for investors.
>>61950857Didn't Tesla stop making cars?
>>61950872>tesla is the only ev maker>>61950868>still not owning an ev
>>61950184>non-working radarsFunny that you say that
>>61949961What oil stock do I buy bros????
>>61951080Here is a real image, unlike your lazy well poisoning attempthttps://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/05/middleeast/radar-bases-us-missile-defense-iran-war-intl-invs
>>61949961What will happen on Monday bros..?
>>61951283Oil go up
>>61949961At this point, over 300. Short term I'm guessing around 150.
>>61949961I still don't understand why Americans give a blood sacrifice to Israel every 10 years. Is it some sexual thing?
>>61949961This is the biggest oil production cut in the history of mankind. I don’t think an initial spike to $300 before face melting deflation kicks in is out of the question
>>61951346It is a sexual thing and it's on tape.
>>61950875>still not owning an evIn the 90s and 2000s my dad was 100% against cell phones, despite cell phones having been around in some form since the 70s. He grudgingly finally got one for business around 2010. Now he doesn't have a home landline. You'll huff and puff for another decade while the world moves on from internal combustion vehicles, but you'll eventually own one like everyone else. Every oil crisis has accelerated the replacement of less efficient vehicles with more efficient vehicles, and we've maxxed out the efficiency of gasoline engines. New battery technology is already doubling range and longevity while halving charge time over what was possible just a couple of years ago. People are running out of excuses to avoid EVs and reasons to keep ICEs. So, you can be the modern equivalent of a guy in the 1930s still riding a horse into town and rejecting those new fangled automobiles, but from an investor standpoint EVs and the technology surrounding them are where the growth is and will continue to be. Personally, I look forward to a world without jeet-owned gas stations and white trash greasemonkey youtube slop.
>>61951441oh vey
>>61952245Yeah you want overpriced golf carts with planned obsolescence instead. Such an improvement!
>>61950713>>61950728Based and rare high analysis anon, Im doing an investigation currently myself but it’s difficult without drawing from past source’s because the current MSM story is far removed from reality even from a cursory glance. Need to keep eyes on the situation as it unravels, but it seems you’re indicating that this is more than a short spike and could be a year long event?
>>61950868Spend an extra $20,000 on a car to save $8548 on gasolineyore a geneos dude
>>61949961it was about -$40 a few years ago so I'm guessing it might reach $3.50 soon
>>61954746The nice thing about gasoline cars is that you can "recharge" in less than 5 minutes AND have the ability to double your range simply by carrying extra gas cans.Electric takes HOURS to charge, and you can't exactly take an extra battery with you. It's a matter of convenience, and then there is the big brother IoT tracking your every move, which electric vehicles will surely have in them + hardwired kill switches. But that's getting a little off in the weeds.Combustion engine vehicles are just simply better, more reliable, more convenient.
slurp the dip?
>>61952559>but it seems you’re indicating that this is more than a short spike and could be a year long event?1. Oil extraction is already shutting down or gas been shut down in the regions that ship oil through the strait.2. Oil storage in these regions is maxxed out or about to be maxxed out.3. It takes a couple of weeks to get production going again.4. It takes a few weeks to queue up tankers, fill them, have them travel halfway around the world, and offload their oil.5. It takes maybe a week to refine that offloaded oil and have it ready for distribution.6. Countries like Japan are already tapping their strategic reserves, which will divert some of that oil.So, if the war ends tomorrow and speculators leave the oil market, fuel prices will still remain elevated due to simple supply constraints for *at least* 6 to 8 weeks. Realistically, the war is going to last at least that long and the strategic reserves of various countries will need even more refilling. We're probably looking at 6 months of high gas prices *at least*.7. Unlike 1973, the Saudis and a couple of other countries aren't cutting production but increasing it. So prices will likely stabilize at an elevated level soon(ish).8. Unlike 1979, the US is now a net exporter of oil and oil extraction has increased around the world thanks to new technologies. There are many more vehicles in the world, but the global motor pool is also significantly more efficient than in 1979/80.So, high fuel prices are going to last awhile, but probably won't get as high as they would if we were facing the exact same situation as in '73 or '79.
>>61956311So you drive 300 miles to work or something?
>>61950050Then the sellers will just stop shipping and production. It will go over $200.
$250 and momentary spike to $800 at some point.
All markets at this point are skewed by massive retail gambling, you're going to get burned if you chase price action.
