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If you have not invested right now, you are retarded. If you haven't noticed the pattern, we're about to pump right out of the roof.

Calling it: Trump will call a ceasefire next month, America loses another war, and enter another bull market.
>>
>losing 25% of oil, x% of helium, 20% of fertilizer, x% of LNG for potentially months + dealing with damaged infrastructure which could get even worse is the same as Trump pussying out on his original tariffs into an AI bubble
>>
>>62055499
digits confirm holy fucking shit OP is both faggot and retard lmao dude what planet, WHAT FUCKING PLANET?
>>
>>62055554
> off by one
BTFO
>>
>>62055326
after the dotcom bubble bursting, we had a bear/flat market for 4-5 years you ignorant moron
>>
>>62055326
I don't believe orange man will call the war
However I do think the worldwide markets will come to realize that the war ultimately doesn't matter unless it's superpower v superpower directly, not proxy
so yes, it will shoot up. buy now
>>
>>62055499
We let the goyim deal in the real world, silly.
>>
>>62055643
That was before TikTok
>>
look at this silly goy thinking the market cares about the real world >>62055499
>>
>>62055643
Are you going to ignore all of the new policies implemented to prevent that from happening again? After 2008 it's impossible to have an extended bear market without the government intervening. They intervene anytime we get close to 20%
>>
>>62055682
>the war ultimately doesn't matter
it matters because they need petroleum products
>>
>>62055748
>policy says they can just print more oil
why is everyone here braindead?
>>
>>62055748
Paper law are just paper that bets on social cohesion and self regulation. The BoomerX did everything in his power to make defection the only rational play. From bail outs over importing short term collateral to legislating himself entitlement. The accurate punishment for the major voting block and the polity of the past 40 years is a violent desd
>>
>>62055801
Workarounds can be provided. Probably should've always been provided, but profits. Petroleum products are actively terrible for us but they're pushed regardless. Why? Abundance. If scarce? We'll return to how we were.
>>
>>62055820
>Workarounds can be provided
There are very few workarounds, all of them are comparatively subpar to the real thing, and extremely expensive. If you think 180 is bad then be prepared to pay double that for your workarounds with terrible supply that won't cover the demand until at least a decade or more.
>>
>>62055820
>Workarounds can be provided.
there's no workaround to oil
>>
>>62055846
>there's no workaround to oil
The real workaround is the amount of turd worlders who starve to death at the end of this.
>>
>>62055803
The real economy and consumers will suffer of course, the markets will go up anyway.
That's how it goes now.
>>
>>62055326
>America loses another war
you faggots are delusional
>>
>>62055820
The only workaround is the Chinese coal-to-polymer process which is about equivalent to 80$ oil. And guess who didn't bother developing this?
>>
>>62055499
>betting against the US.
Thats why you are poor. Go suck a dick for $5 brokie.
>>
>>62055842
>>62055846
>>62055891
how'd we do it before?
glass, tin
EZ waow
OH NO IT'S NOT AS EFFICIENT
isn't it, if we haven't had a whole world geared towards making use of petroleum byproducts?
And even then, the US has plenty
>>
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>>62055937
>how'd we do it before?
at a much lower productive capacity, technological advancement, and standard of living.
without oil, the world as we know it collapses overnight.
every medical product, every pharmaceutival, every food product: gone.
>>
>>62055972
bull shit
any reduction in quality was due to inferior technology and was likely still superior to the trash we have in every sector of our society today
>>
File: 1772742956312319.jpg (379 KB, 1445x1218)
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>>62055980
>inferior technology
explain how you'd make pic related without oil
>>
File: IMG_0066.png (333 KB, 640x374)
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>>62056012
Make it out of glass and tin of course :^)
>>
>>62055326
> convincing people to go through one of the biggest rug pulls in history
> market critically over valued
> money made out of nothing
Sure jan.
>>
No, I think I'll wait
>>
>>62056061
your entire post is propped up by high oil dragging the market down. you'd have zero confidence or support in such a reply otherwise. if oil stays high we're heading for a recession. have fun rationing everything everyday queer
>>
>>62056074
>>62056061
>>62056151
not sure whats your angle here but its all public data
market recovered and became even stronger after every war and after every recession
EVERY
SINGLE
TIME

this is one of those times to invest
simple as
>>
>>62055937
Look at the world population growth graph, then look at when oil started being drilled. The modern world breathes oil.

Idk why I'm even telling you this, you're probably a llm
>>
>>62055748
/thread

The actually main problem are private equity and private credit markets. Although these do effect public markets on the periphery, it's nowhere near the same as the 2008 financial crisis, which was publicly held mortgage debt held worldwide, which only existed because the Federal Government literally forced banks to give loans to 80 IQ retards, poor people and losers with low credit scores, which were then bundled with other debt instruments of higher-quality, then advertised as AAA rated debt. When the S&P tried to downgrade these bundled debt instruments (along with US Treasuries) the government actually sued the S&P and forced them to continue rating the debt as AAA.

The issue today has more to do with uber-rich people dumping money into anything private equity and hedge funds have to offer. It'll end up biting them in the ass, and the banks making these shit loans will probably go bankrupt. Your average Joe with $20k in his 401k is barely going to be effected by this. The major brokerages (Fidelity, Vanguard, Scwab, etc.) are going to be fine. All of your major national and regional banks are way more capitalized than in 2008 and are going to be fine.

As for the global economic issues. This all has to do with way too much government spending on welfare, combined with terrible regulations and incentives that cause banks to choose lending for consumption instead of production and entrepreneurship. Free gibs will NEVER work. You need mass-production and massive increases in supply of goods and services. Handing out cash will just make inflation worse because you're just increasing demand for goods with no increase in supply. Especially when the cash is targeted at poorer/dumber people who spend their entire paychecks on basic consumer goods. Richard Werner explained all of this shit years ago and it used to be the general economic consensus among professionals until academia was flooded with socialists, communists and big-welfare liberals.
>>
>>62055748
True
>>62056266
>main problem are private equity
Bad take. Privately held equity is the one thing holding up the economy as they don't answer to hedge funds but to private owners. Ie private owners can develop long-term visions for their companies without some whiny stock traders crying about their short term losses. Take Yum Brands which makes the legit best restaurants on the market. Taco Bell is easily better in quality than Burger King and McDonalds combined, and it's done via them being owned outside of public trading. Large firms still own shares but aren't obsessed about stock prices.
>It'll end up biting them in the ass, and the banks making these shit loans will probably go bankrupt.
I don't see how this is a problem exclusive to private equity? This is an issue with racking up liabilities in general. I'll grant you're right though that companies are getting stupid with how much debt they're accumulating.
>This all has to do with way too much government spending on welfare, combined with terrible regulations and incentives that cause banks to choose lending for consumption instead of production and entrepreneurship
Agreed, but I think the ones that create consumption economies are public companies. Take Walmart for example. Back when Walmart was a private company held only by the members of the Walton family it produced some S tier products (usually made in America) for very low costs. I remember when I was a kid in the early 2000s (and I think it was on the market back then, but far more shares were privately held is my point) that the stores were always greatly stocked, clean, staff were always kind and helpful, and the overall experience was amazing. Now Walmart sucks. It's this way with almost every stock if traded long enough.
>>
>>62056385
Sorry I'm a retard Yum Brands is a public company.



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