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War is on till taco

>Some helpful links to numb the pain
https://findahelpline.com/
https://www.nvidia.com/refunds/
https://www.whitehouse.gov/refunds
https://jlingz.com/

>European indices
https://live.euronext.com/en
https://www.justetf.com/en/how-to/invest-in-europe.html

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Financial TV Streams:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/

>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com

>Screeners: so you feel like in the movies
https://finviz.com/
https://etfdb.com/

>Gambling:
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Calendars
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits

>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform you
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
https://www.sec.gov/search-filings

>Misc smg:
https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates

previous smg thread
62108582
>>
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>>62109346
fuck you sergey give me back my money
>>
Why is SPY even down?
>>
>>62109354
Someone in BLU team switched to rage pyro after getting facestabbed 3 times in a row by a spy, so now this one fucking pyro is spychecking everyone
>>
>>62109354
Peace has been cancelled .
It would be down lower but war is good for business in many ways
>>
What happened to the other thread?
>>
kekkkk tech baggies
>>
I'm not fucking looking at my bags
>>
>>62109361
Thank you btw
>>
>>62109650
you're welcome
>>
previous thread
>>62108582
>>
so korosu zo means "i'm going to kill you"
what does kono kusomushi mean?
>>
>>62109800
kono = this
https://www.nihongomaster.com/japanese/dictionary/word/154627/kusomushi-%E7%B3%9E%E8%99%AB-%E3%81%8F%E3%81%9D%E3%82%80%E3%81%97
>>
/smg/ has no baker
>>
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>>62109330
The ceasefire and peace talks are cancelled, but the market hasn't caught up to this yet.
Should I buy 'XLE' and 'EXH1' to make money?
>>
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>>62109361
lmao, I wish MMs would stop letting gray mann fiddle with the maps so we can have a fair match more often
>>
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>futas
>>
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EU continues to monitor.
>>
>>62109988
lmao
>>
Thanks JD Vance, I'll keep making a killing selling calls
>>
I need a quick 1,000 bagger. What buy
>>
why is oil so flat
>>
previous
>>62109321
>>
minor dip
the markets are FORWARD looking
the war is simply not a problem
STOCKS are FOREVER
war is TEMPORARY
>>
>>62109994
CRDO or MRVL could 10x
>>
>>62109998
The last month has been defined by the monday morning pump post. My guess is blockade gets cancelled at market open and for whatever reason it pumps.
>>
Betting against SPY is like fighting Thanos. All the bad news and threats by Trump only cause a drop of blood.
>>
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>>62109875
>>
>quit it with the antisemitic conspiracy theories, goy
>>
suck my gonads general
>>
I've been bullish lately, but I think I'm fully converting to a bear now. It seems pretty clear that Israel won't let this end without getting Iran's enriched uranium and Iran won't give it up voluntarily, so USA is stuck as it won't ever leave Israel. The question now is how will they extract the uranium and I don't think special ops/invasion is on the table and the path they'll go through is economical, political pressure and threats and resource starvation. That's why USA is clocking the strait of Hormuz and threatening with tariffs. They want to stop anyone (China) from supplying Iran to eventually make Iran run out of resources to fight and control the strait of Hormuz. Not sure how will China react, but Iran will probably see the writing on the wall and unless they will will secure some stable resource source they'll likely to pull on closing the Red sea as well.

Either way I find it hard to see this ending without further escalation and fighting and while it may not last that long, we may see pretty heavy further increases to oil prices. We'll possibly see a truth social media post trying to temporarily calm the situation, but the bottom line seems to be further rounds of conflicts and possibly the continuation of threats to end a civilization (with possibly even pulling the trigger this time around).

Either way long oil and NATGAT seems to be the way, short tech and gold.
>>
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>>62110007
Forgot pic
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Where is the bottom?
>>
>>62110009
>converting to a bear now.
some stocks will do well in endless war bobo
>>
>>62110012
Judging by current oil prices, this is probably the bottom. Bussyent will short in the morning and we will be green by open
>>
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>>62109330
slime language, I don't speak, I just beam
>photonics
>>
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>OpenAI Sam Altman's home has been shot at, a few days after a Molotov cocktail was thrown, per SF Chronicle

Keklmao only a matter of time before Jensen or some other AI ceo stooge gets killed for real and then the AI bubble will make Dot Com look like a walk in the park
>>
>>62110011
What are they gonna do about it
>>
>>62110012
Where is Meathead and his kid?
>>
>>62110020
This is what happens when you make a lot of enemies, and putting people's livelihood in jeopardy does that.
The market prices in automated efficiency, but does not price in political instability kek
>>
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>>62109800
"This fucking/shitty bug" basically. Obligatory fuck kikes and fuck jannies.
>>
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>>62109988
>We are concerned
>>
can I take my vote back, I want Kamala, she would’ve passed the Iran nuclear deal.
>>
>>62110036
Elect me as president, and I will pass gas
>>
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>>62110036
>Ms. Unrealized Gains Tax
I would never. Even Mr Market Fraud and Chaos is better than that
>>
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everything will be fine
>>
>>62110043
what a choice
>>
8 HOURS TO TACO
>>
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Freak the fuck out and panic sell everything right now. It's fucking over.
>>
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All my N's say HH
>>
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>>62110049
>1pbtid TACO TACO TACO #783 tn

yep, Jane Street botfarms out in force, we we will be crabbing.
>>
>>62110057
SHUT THE FUCK UP OK DO YOU UNDERSTAND ME YOU LITTLE PIECE OF SHIT 1PBTID
>>
another taco tuesday on the menu
>>
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OIL status?
>>
What happens if Trump doesn’t TACO before 10 ET? Massive rally?
>>
>>62110009
>GDP
Q4 2025 was only .5%.
>Unemployment
Figure on headlines is 4.5% or so, but that data only includes people out of work and actively looking. If you include people who aren't looking for a job, 8%. If you include people who are retired/disabled/etc, 10%. If you look at majority of jobs added recently, they're mostly in part time sectors. Data also includes people with 2 part time jobs as 2 new jobs. So yeah those numbers aren't looking as good as they make out.
>Private Credit
Default % rising, liquidity is getting capped as people try to withdraw
Top it all off with an broadly inflationary oil crisis and yeah I'm hibernating in a cave my nigga.
>>
>>62110064
For oil and PMs yeah
>>
Fuck waging.
>>
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>leave to work 7 hours ago oil at 104
>come home from work oil at 104
>>
>>62110064
If the market really was forward thinking this blockage would be a huge boon. It's a winning move.
>>
reminder the talks aren’t over, the ceasefire isn’t over and Vance said the talks were good.
>>
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I am once again getting raped in the nigger booty hole on the GLD stock
>>
>>62110079
Coping faggot.
>>
>>62110079
>talks were good
talks are usually good
talk is also cheap
>>
Looks like 9 ships went through the strait today. Wonder what the story is on that
>>
>>62110043
It would never pass
>>
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>>62110080
you were asking for it
>>
>>62110079
Unless talks will make Iran give up enriched uranium, then it's it's dead end.
>>
>>62110076
It's so much forwardlooking it's already PASTlooking. See what I did there?
>>
Do you think musk wants to IPO Space X so bad because he realizes there is a nonzero chance of the Iranians launching one of their rockets ships into space full of deer shot and turning LEO into one chain reaction?
>>
>>62110090
That's a little too clever for me
>>
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>>62110092
Why are brown people like this?
>>
>>62110092
>Do you think musk wants to IPO Space X so bad
because it's the peak of the cycle in any case, so they want to get a good price on the IPO
and also there are other mega ipos in the works, most notably openai, which will also crowd out the mega IPO space
so they are all rushing to beat the market to a crash, and beat each other to the finish line

This is not good for any public investor who wants to buy stock from the IPO. it's all pure exit liquidity and taking advantage of FOMO
I will be buying space x stock 6 months to a year after the ipo, after it crashes to a more normal valuation.
2 trillion (somehow that bumped up from 1.5 to 1.75 to 2) is like 100x revenue. Not 100x earnings. 100x sales. It's insane.
>>
>>62110099
Is openAI chatgpt? That one I'd short. 100% it rnds bankrupt owned by microsoft.
>>
>>62110100
>Is openAI chatgp
poster has sub 5 IQ
>>
How the market just recovers on nothing is quite crazy. Same situation, maybe worse, not really better, but it's going up
>>
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>>62110101
True. I cant even take a picture right side up. Now answer the question you dumb fag.
>>
>>62110057
why would they need to do that, most people here are broke clowns. The bp name fag doesn’t have a job and has 6000 dollars to his name and cries about a 300 dollar loss, trying to give financial advice to people who literally wipe their ass with 300 dollars
>>
>>62110102
There's only so much shit you can give about Trump's tweets.
>>
>>62110100
>Is openAI chatgpt?
yes they make chatgpt
>That one I'd short. 100% it rnds bankrupt owned by microsoft.
openai is very overhyped and massively overvalued, much like spacex. Though I think they have a lot less of a moat than spacex.

the new entrant anthropic is killing them now. but a new one after that will probably outcompete anthropic. betting on who will win in ai is going to be really difficult. People were counting out google as a clown stock, and now it's winning? You can't invest in a sector like that. and by the time they figure out who the winner or winners will be, the easy money will be made. maybe an ai etf would good? probably not. betting on the companies benefiting from ai capex seems way way easier.

I feel a lot more confident betting that spacex will "win" in space. and also I might as well buy the space ETF, which is UFO for now until a better one comes along. pic unrel but you get the point
>>
>>62110099
what exactly is the bull case though?

other than it being THE reddit eschatology, I really don't see it.
they had to do the satelite internet shit just to generate the need for the launches and ive never seen a single one of those things in use.

i understand retards dont know anything about space; that there is nothing up there of any value until light speed is broken (which it wont be) or the fact that it makes more sense to build a colony in the center of freshly created nuclear bomb crater but surely they must have some shill line after losing billions last year?
>>
>>62110106
MDA has been an absolute gem for me. I wasn't a huge fan but a buddy talked me into throwing 100k in and Im so glad he did. Ill probably sell when SpaceX IPOs but if you want something outside the box at better value. Billion dollar company with 4 billion dollars of demand right now.
>>
>>62110106
>the new entrant anthropic is killing them now
anthropic has been killing them for ages, opus had been better for years.
>>
>>62110102
Wow. Just like during the Iraq war. Maybe chronically online retards don't actually understand much about how and why the market moves.
>>
>>62110106
Wouldn’t an AI ETF just rebalance to OpenAI when it IPOs?
>>
>>62110081
I am but I’m also right
>>
>>62110111
this nibba missed by 1
>>
>>62110111
Hey, I bought 400k of TQQQ at bottom and begged this board to follow. Just to much noise from absolute losers like this poorfag virgin >>62110101.
>>
>>62110104
contrary to popular belief, most ideas/thoughtforms start at the top, immediately fall 50 flights, grow in the dark of the basement, and then permeate back up.
>>
The Iran blockade is a nothingburger. Iran will just ship its oil on Chinese ships which the US won't dare to stop. India and Pakistan will probably negotiate an exemption for their ships as well.
>>
>>62110102
>>62110105
With Trump its feels like an old man yells at clouds situation these days.
>>
>>62110119
if you are trading 3x leverage in an environment like this, you will likely be joining the sub 10k crew soon.
>>
Why is oil not going up? Iran isn't opening the strait any time soon.
>>
2028 will close with 8% interest rates and 20% inflation. Also the yen carry trade will blow up in October.
>>
The strait is now open so what are you larpers still on about? Oil is about to flush so hard it'll make your last nacho bell grande shit look like rabbit balls.
>>
>>62110129
Markets are forward looking. People probably think Trump is going do whatever it takes to get the strait open again.
>>
>>62110130
And coonservatives will still be blaming Biden.
>>
>>62110130
*2026 fuck
>>
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>>62110102
Spy has almost completely recovered as you were told it would.

It is not time for Mr. Bobos party yet.

Mr. Bobos party is a big deal.

We haven’t had a party like this one in just under 100 years. We need time to prepare.
>>
>>62110129
Brent is up 6%
>>
God, everything just keeps getting shittier. The paper towels I just bought don't have the extra perforations anymore, so you can only pull off full size squares like back in the 2000s
>>
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>bing bong
Shop, open.
Scran, reheated.

>No card payments / noncery or affiliated nonces accepted
>>
>Futures
>https://youtu.be/8zNLCVroj2A?si=ftAjZDAt-X_TapCA
>>
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Oil is following the meme chart
>>
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>>62110130
You have McNamara syndrome.

You are overvaluing what can be easily be measured or quantified, simply because it can be.

Mr Bobos party will be taking place before October. The celebration will disabuse you of these notions.
>>
TACObros, TACO monday or TACO Tuesday?
>>62110092
>Do you think musk wants to IPO Space X
End game of SpaceX has always been to HEEM bogleheads. Its a fintech company forged to crush the INDEXOORS. That is its true tech
>>
>>62110152
>before October
Crashes always happen in October because of seasonality.
>>
>>62110129
Market is completely dumb. Room temperature IQ will tell you it's forward looking or some bullshit. Same as last week. Same as 2 weeks ago. Same as a fucking month ago. Strait was supposed to be opened by the next week each fucking time. Do you see it being fucking open right fucking now?
Fucktarded markets are as forward looking as in Feb 2029.
Efficient my fucking ass.
>>
>>62110156
Feb 2020*
>>
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>>62110154
Reread my post.

Perhaps you will not understand, for now.

When you are going through it though, and wondering how you didn’t see it coming, I suggest Le Bon, Trotter, Bernays, and even a little Freud.

Which bits a relevant will only become apparent after celebrations have concluded.
>>
>>62110159
The market is going to crash, but not because of your schizo bullshit.
>>
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>>62110164
rare non-retarded impact font meme.
>>
>>62110164
The guy in the back should be Spain blocking Gibraltar.
>>
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I'm praying.
>>
>>62110129
everyone assumes he'll cuck out at the last minute just like his civilization ending bs
luckily theres about 7 hours to the deadline so we won't be waiting long one way or another
>>
WW3 over freedom of navigation where all shipping gets totally shitfucked by blockades would be extremely kino btw.
>>
>>62110178
imagine when pirates get these fuck ass drones from Ukraine/Russia or Iran shaheds and start blowing up entire ships
>>
How are the Euro markets doing?
>>
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>>62110162
Hm, alright :)

Be seeing you at the party anon.
>>
>>62109800
why are you asking this after 3 hours
>>
I went to a very strict school when I was a kid and I was always afraid of asking questions :( >>62110184

Those experience really determine who you become. It sucks
>>
Only up by a bit on oil. Would have been up by a lot if I had bought before the market closed on Friday.
I had no idea it would be resolved by the weekend. It's disgusting.
>>
So bobo investing is just waiting for a correction that never comes, bitching and losing money? Are they retarded?



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